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Varese vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 75-87
22-21 23-24 18-23 12-19
Position#4
Record10-8
FormWWLWL
Points / game92.1
Allowed / game90.6
vs
Position#1
Record14-4
FormLWWWW
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game72.0
ItalyLega ARound 19
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Varese v Olimpia Milano
18 Apr 2027
VAR v MIL
upcoming
11 Oct 2025
VAR61
MIL94
15 Dec 2024
VAR94
MIL92
17 Dec 2023
VAR70
MIL74
12 Feb 2023
VAR75
MIL87
10 Oct 2021
VAR79
MIL82
06 Dec 2020
VAR70
MIL96
29 Aug 2020
VAR77
MIL110
08 Mar 2020
VAR v MIL
upcoming
13 Apr 2019
VAR84
MIL94
29 Jan 2018
VAR76
MIL72
05 Feb 2017
VAR82
MIL98
24 Jan 2016
VAR64
MIL86
23 Nov 2014
VAR97
MIL105
27 Jan 2014
VAR71
MIL76
14 Apr 2013
VAR95
MIL81
07 Feb 2013
VAR92
MIL74
22 Jan 2012
VAR74
MIL64
17 Apr 2011
VAR82
MIL71
11 Oct 2009
VAR73
MIL66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
100-108
100
108
-8
86avg 79
H04/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
L
93-101
93
101
-8
88avg 79
A11/12
Lega A
Trieste
#15
W
104-99 OT
104
99
+5
no box
H18/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
84-96
84
96
-12
61avg 79
A26/12
Lega A
Tortona
#3
L
88-89
88
89
-1
76avg 79
H02/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
W
104-90
104
90
+14
103avg 79
A08/01
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#12
W
106-79
106
79
+27
109avg 79
H15/01
Lega A
Trento
#7
L
80-90
80
90
-10
68avg 79
A22/01
Lega A
Brescia
#8
W
80-72
80
72
+8
77avg 79
H28/01
Lega A
Tortona
#3
L
91-103
91
103
-12
84avg 79
A05/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-28
27-28
22-23
31-29
27-27
17-32
30-23
19-19
26-16
21-22
25-21
16-29
21-36
11-21
28-25
24-14
17-18
27-24
29-20
15-27
26-27
29-17
23-24
26-22
24-20
22-20
27-20
33-19
16-28
25-23
19-23
20-16
15-16
29-22
27-17
9-17
23-20
31-34
20-31
17-18
185.7Avg total
93.0Scored
92.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)92.190.6182.6+1.556%
Season at home (9)92.988.6181.4+4.367%
Season away (9)91.292.6183.8-1.344%
Last 10 (10)93.092.7185.7+0.340%
Last 5 (5)92.286.8179.0+5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)85.393.7179.0-8.333%
vs Similar (16)88.188.1176.2+0.150%
vs Weaker (5)97.691.0188.6+6.680%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#17
L
63-83
63
83
-20
54avg 71
A10/01
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
L
61-66
61
66
-5
50avg 71
H13/01
Euroleague
Tortona
#3
W
79-63
79
63
+16
no box
H15/01
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
L
73-79
73
79
-6
71avg 71
H20/01
Euroleague
Reggiana
#14
L
68-73
68
73
-5
60avg 71
A22/01
Lega A
Monaco
#4
L
88-101
88
101
-13
83avg 71
A26/01
Euroleague
Trento
#7
W
78-65
78
65
+13
70avg 71
H29/01
Lega A
Baskonia
#8
W
89-83
89
83
+6
no box
H31/01
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#11
W
74-68
74
68
+6
no box
H02/02
Euroleague
Trieste
#15
W
65-59
65
59
+6
56avg 71
A05/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-20
21-25
18-15
12-23
9-19
18-18
13-22
21-7
22-12
17-17
32-19
8-15
17-19
20-23
20-15
16-22
15-18
23-21
17-26
13-8
22-29
28-28
24-23
14-21
28-15
15-22
13-17
22-11
18-17
22-17
22-26
27-23
22-18
23-14
14-17
15-19
12-15
21-20
18-16
14-8
147.8Avg total
73.8Scored
74.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)81.772.0153.7+9.778%
Season at home (8)83.971.1155.0+12.8100%
Season away (10)79.972.7152.6+7.260%
Last 10 (10)73.874.0147.8-0.250%
Last 5 (5)78.875.2154.0+3.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)68.580.3148.8-11.817%
vs Similar (11)74.575.8150.4-1.345%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)81.872.7154.5+9.269%
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +0.5+0.5
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +0.5+0.5
VareseOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
47-56
47
56
-9
H04/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
L
44-59
44
59
-15
A11/12
Lega A
Trieste
#15
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H18/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
32-57
32
57
-25
A26/12
Lega A
Tortona
#3
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H02/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
W
55-44
55
44
+11
A08/01
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#12
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H15/01
Lega A
Trento
#7
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A22/01
Lega A
Brescia
#8
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H28/01
Lega A
Tortona
#3
D
54-54
54
54
+0
A05/02
Lega A
93.3Avg total
45.4Scored
47.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.145.090.1+0.157%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.343.187.3+1.253%-
Last 30 away (15)45.947.092.9-1.160%-
Last 10 (10)45.447.993.3-2.550%-
Last 5 (5)48.045.493.4+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)42.247.990.1-5.744%-
vs Similar (16)46.043.089.0+3.062%-
vs Weaker (5)47.446.493.8+1.060%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#17
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A10/01
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
L
27-37
27
37
-10
H13/01
Euroleague
Tortona
#3
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H15/01
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H20/01
Euroleague
Reggiana
#14
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A22/01
Lega A
Monaco
#4
L
50-57
50
57
-7
A26/01
Euroleague
Trento
#7
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H29/01
Lega A
Baskonia
#8
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H31/01
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#11
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H02/02
Euroleague
Trieste
#15
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A05/02
Lega A
77.2Avg total
38.5Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.937.176.0+1.950%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.936.376.3+3.660%-
Last 30 away (15)37.937.875.7+0.140%-
Last 10 (10)38.538.777.2-0.240%-
Last 5 (5)42.239.081.2+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)36.035.771.7+0.350%-
vs Similar (11)38.538.977.4-0.545%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)40.736.276.8+4.554%-
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 91.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.7 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.317.7
51.6%
51.3%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.712.9
38.3%
36.4%38.7
🏀 Free throws23.316.9
72.5%
76.1%16.9
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 73.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.219.4
53.6%
51.3%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.36.8
29.2%
36.4%20.4
🏀 Free throws18.214.4
79.1%
76.1%14.4
They take 59.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Feb 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Varese
LWLWWLLWLL
Olimpia Milano
WWWWLLLWLL
#4
League position
#1
-0.4
Net rating
+1.0
111.2
Offensive rating
105.5
111.5
Defensive rating
104.5
54.5%
Effective FG%
49.7%
54.0%
Opp. effective FG%
49.5%
15.7%
Turnover %
16.8%
23.1%
Off. rebound %
27.8%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.31
38.3%
3-point %
29.2%
61.1%
Assist %
51.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence111.2 · 105.5Defence111.5 · 104.5Shooting54.5% · 49.7%3-point %38.3% · 29.2%Ball care15.7% · 16.8%Off. rebounds23.1% · 27.8%Free throws0.34 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Varese   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Varese wins
9
Olimpia Milano wins
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/02/23ATortona91-103
28/01/23HBrescia80-72
22/01/23ATrento80-90
15/01/23HBasket Napoli106-79
08/01/23ABrindisi104-90
02/01/23HTortona88-89
26/12/22AOlimpia Milano84-96
18/12/22HTrieste104-99 OT
11/12/22APesaro93-101
04/12/22HVirtus Bologna100-108
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/02/23ATrieste65-59
02/02/23HCrvena zvezda74-68
31/01/23HBaskonia89-83
29/01/23HTrento78-65
26/01/23AMonaco88-101
22/01/23AReggiana68-73
20/01/23HLyon-Villeurbanne73-79
15/01/23HTortona79-63
13/01/23HZalgiris Kaunas61-66
10/01/23AAlba Berlin63-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL56%
HomeLWLWW67%
AwayLLWLL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %56%67%44%
Points / game92.192.991.2
Allowed / game90.688.692.6
Point differential+1.5+4.3-1.3
Avg total182.6181.4183.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%11%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)60% (5)0% (1)
Overtime %11%22%0%
Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW78%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWLLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %78%100%60%
Points / game81.783.979.9
Allowed / game72.071.172.7
Point differential+9.7+12.8+7.2
Avg total153.7155.0152.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%75%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %6%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano1814478%81.772.0+9.7
2 Virtus Bologna1814478%84.577.7+6.8
3 Tortona1914574%82.376.6+5.7
4 Pesaro1811761%86.584.2+2.3
5 Varese1810856%92.190.6+1.5
6 Sassari189950%85.081.0+4.0
7 Trento189950%74.376.8-2.5
8 Brindisi189950%79.883.2-3.4
9 Venezia1881044%81.979.6+2.3
10 Trieste1981142%78.181.7-3.7
11 Treviso1981142%79.684.5-4.9
12 Brescia1871139%83.383.1+0.3
13 Scafati1871139%76.877.6-0.8
14 Basket Napoli1971237%77.183.5-6.5
15 Verona1861233%78.886.3-7.5
16 Reggiana1851328%75.678.3-2.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Varese2223181275
Olimpia Milano2124231987
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