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Olimpia Milano vs Panathinaikos Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 23 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 78-76
20-21 20-18 24-21 14-16
Position#12
Record8-15
FormWWWWL
Points / game71.6
Allowed / game77.2
Olimpia Milano 🏆
vs
Panathinaikos
Position#15
Record8-16
FormLLWWL
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game83.3
EuropeEuroleagueRound 25
European cup2022
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Panathinaikos
05 Feb 2027
MIL v PAO
upcoming
11 Dec 2025
MIL96
PAO89
30 Jan 2025
MIL87
PAO75
22 Dec 2023
MIL68
PAO76
23 Feb 2023
MIL78
PAO76
14 Dec 2021
MIL75
PAO54
03 Dec 2020
MIL77
PAO80
22 Mar 2019
MIL83
PAO95
05 Apr 2018
MIL95
PAO96
21 Dec 2016
MIL72
PAO86
11 Dec 2014
MIL66
PAO64
27 Feb 2014
MIL77
PAO75
19 Jan 2012
MIL57
PAO78
18 Nov 2010
MIL71
PAO81
22 Oct 2009
MIL67
PAO75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Panathinaikos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Tortona
#3
W
79-63
79
63
+16
no box
H15/01
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
L
73-79
73
79
-6
71avg 71
H20/01
Euroleague
Reggiana
#14
L
68-73
68
73
-5
60avg 71
A22/01
Lega A
Monaco
#4
L
88-101
88
101
-13
83avg 71
A26/01
Euroleague
Trento
#7
W
78-65
78
65
+13
70avg 71
H29/01
Lega A
Baskonia
#8
W
89-83
89
83
+6
no box
H31/01
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#11
W
74-68
74
68
+6
no box
H02/02
Euroleague
Trieste
#15
W
65-59
65
59
+6
56avg 71
A05/02
Lega A
Varese
#4
W
87-75
87
75
+12
89avg 71
A12/02
Lega A
Brescia
#1
L
72-75
72
75
-3
no box
H15/02
Italian Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-12
17-17
32-19
8-15
17-19
20-23
20-15
16-22
15-18
23-21
17-26
13-8
22-29
28-28
24-23
14-21
28-15
15-22
13-17
22-11
18-17
22-17
22-26
27-23
22-18
23-14
14-17
15-19
12-15
21-20
18-16
14-8
21-22
24-23
23-18
19-12
19-20
10-25
26-11
17-19
151.4Avg total
77.3Scored
74.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)71.677.2148.8-5.635%
Season at home (12)72.576.0148.5-3.533%
Season away (11)70.678.5149.2-7.936%
Last 10 (10)77.374.1151.4+3.260%
Last 5 (5)77.472.0149.4+5.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)68.580.3148.8-11.817%
vs Similar ◀ (10)76.177.0153.1-0.950%
vs Weaker (13)82.073.0155.0+9.069%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#14
L
64-74
64
74
-10
52avg 74
A19/01
Euroleague
Lavrio
#9
W
86-84
86
84
+2
75avg 74
A22/01
Basket League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
W
89-65
89
65
+24
82avg 74
H26/01
Euroleague
Ionikos
#12
W
102-70
102
70
+32
98avg 74
H28/01
Basket League
Real Madrid
#2
L
68-83
68
83
-15
51avg 74
A01/02
Euroleague
Baskonia
#8
L
90-95
90
95
-5
no box
A03/02
Euroleague
Valencia
#13
L
91-92
91
92
-1
84avg 74
H10/02
Euroleague
Promitheas
#4
W
87-79
87
79
+8
83avg 74
H13/02
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#23
W
87-80
87
80
+7
no box
H17/02
Greek Cup
Olympiacos
#1
L
65-81
65
81
-16
no box
A18/02
Greek Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-18
19-25
21-12
13-19
18-25
21-17
28-25
19-17
19-24
8-18
37-16
25-7
28-10
27-20
30-15
17-25
14-26
16-22
27-20
11-15
23-21
15-31
27-24
25-19
26-21
23-21
19-27
23-23
14-24
29-16
23-23
21-16
27-10
25-23
19-16
16-31
19-22
21-13
10-29
15-17
163.2Avg total
82.9Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)79.583.3162.9-3.833%
Season at home (12)84.881.7166.4+3.150%
Season away (12)74.385.0159.3-10.717%
Last 10 (10)82.980.3163.2+2.650%
Last 5 (5)84.085.4169.4-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)75.087.1162.1-12.110%
vs Similar ◀ (8)82.879.8162.5+3.050%
vs Weaker (11)86.268.4154.5+17.8100%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -0.4-0.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -0.4-0.4
Olimpia MilanoPanathinaikos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tortona
#3
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H15/01
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H20/01
Euroleague
Reggiana
#14
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A22/01
Lega A
Monaco
#4
L
50-57
50
57
-7
A26/01
Euroleague
Trento
#7
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H29/01
Lega A
Baskonia
#8
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H31/01
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#11
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H02/02
Euroleague
Trieste
#15
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A05/02
Lega A
Varese
#4
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A12/02
Lega A
Brescia
#1
L
29-45
29
45
-16
H15/02
Italian Cup
79.4Avg total
39.9Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.937.576.3+1.447%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.536.776.3+2.860%-
Last 30 away (15)38.238.276.4+0.033%-
Last 10 (10)39.939.579.4+0.440%-
Last 5 (5)38.438.276.6+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)36.035.771.7+0.350%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)38.838.977.7-0.150%-
vs Weaker (13)41.036.677.6+4.446%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#14
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A19/01
Euroleague
Lavrio
#9
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A22/01
Basket League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
L
27-42
27
42
-15
H26/01
Euroleague
Ionikos
#12
W
55-30
55
30
+25
H28/01
Basket League
Real Madrid
#2
L
30-48
30
48
-18
A01/02
Euroleague
Baskonia
#8
L
38-52
38
52
-14
A03/02
Euroleague
Valencia
#13
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H10/02
Euroleague
Promitheas
#4
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H13/02
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#23
W
52-33
52
33
+19
H17/02
Greek Cup
Olympiacos
#1
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A18/02
Greek Cup
81.0Avg total
40.3Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.037.677.6+2.457%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.935.377.2+6.773%-
Last 30 away (15)38.139.978.1-1.840%-
Last 10 (10)40.340.781.0-0.450%-
Last 5 (5)44.440.484.8+4.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)36.243.679.8-7.440%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)36.240.676.9-4.425%-
vs Weaker (11)45.230.475.5+14.891%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 76.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.620.1
53.5%
53.5%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.57.2
32.0%
36.2%21.6
🏀 Free throws18.114.2
78.5%
78.5%14.2
They take 60.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 85.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.719.5
56.2%
53.5%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.59.7
36.6%
36.2%29.1
🏀 Free throws24.017.4
72.5%
78.5%17.4
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Feb 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
LWWWWWLLLW
Panathinaikos
LWWLLLWWWL
#12
League position
#15
+5.5
Net rating
+7.8
107.6
Offensive rating
114.7
102.0
Defensive rating
107.0
51.4%
Effective FG%
55.6%
49.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.2%
16.3%
Turnover %
15.7%
26.3%
Off. rebound %
25.6%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.39
32.0%
3-point %
36.6%
53.5%
Assist %
57.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence107.6 · 114.7Defence102.0 · 107.0Shooting51.4% · 55.6%3-point %32.0% · 36.6%Ball care16.3% · 15.7%Off. rebounds26.3% · 25.6%Free throws0.30 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ Panathinaikos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Olimpia Milano wins
7
Panathinaikos wins
DateGameScore
08/12/22Panathinaikos v Olimpia Milano90-77 OT
04/03/22Panathinaikos v Olimpia Milano75-76
14/12/21Olimpia Milano v Panathinaikos75-54
01/04/21Panathinaikos v Olimpia Milano86-83 OT
03/12/20Olimpia Milano v Panathinaikos77-80
22/03/19Olimpia Milano v Panathinaikos83-95
21/12/18Panathinaikos v Olimpia Milano83-86
05/04/18Olimpia Milano v Panathinaikos95-96 OT
15/12/17Panathinaikos v Olimpia Milano80-72
21/03/17Panathinaikos v Olimpia Milano74-61
Olimpia Milanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/23HBrescia72-75
12/02/23AVarese87-75
05/02/23ATrieste65-59
02/02/23HCrvena zvezda74-68
31/01/23HBaskonia89-83
29/01/23HTrento78-65
26/01/23AMonaco88-101
22/01/23AReggiana68-73
20/01/23HLyon-Villeurbanne73-79
15/01/23HTortona79-63
Panathinaikoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/23AOlympiacos65-81
17/02/23HKolossos Rhodes87-80
13/02/23HPromitheas87-79
10/02/23HValencia91-92
03/02/23ABaskonia90-95
01/02/23AReal Madrid68-83
28/01/23HIonikos102-70
26/01/23HZalgiris Kaunas89-65
22/01/23ALavrio86-84
19/01/23AVirtus Bologna64-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW35%
HomeWLLWW33%
AwayLWLLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %35%33%36%
Points / game71.672.570.6
Allowed / game77.276.078.5
Point differential-5.6-3.5-7.9
Avg total148.8148.5149.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%8%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)0% (2)100% (3)
Overtime %9%8%9%
Panathinaikos
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL33%
HomeLLWWL50%
AwayLLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %33%50%17%
Points / game79.584.874.3
Allowed / game83.381.785.0
Point differential-3.8+3.1-10.7
Avg total162.9166.4159.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%33%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)33% (6)33% (3)
Overtime %17%25%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos2417771%85.375.5+9.9
2 Real Madrid2316770%84.077.5+6.6
3 Barcelona2416867%80.877.6+3.2
4 Monaco2415962%83.782.8+0.9
5 Fenerbahce2314961%83.980.8+3.1
6 Baskonia24131154%85.483.4+2.0
7 Partizan24131154%84.282.6+1.7
8 Valencia24131154%82.983.8-0.9
9 Zalgiris Kaunas24131154%75.977.3-1.4
10 Maccabi Tel Aviv25131252%82.882.9-0.2
11 Anadolu Efes23111248%82.379.2+3.0
12 Crvena zvezda24111346%75.678.1-2.5
13 Virtus Bologna24111346%77.880.3-2.5
14 Bayern2591636%76.679.1-2.5
15 Olimpia Milano2381535%71.677.2-5.6
16 Panathinaikos2481633%79.583.3-3.8
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne2481633%74.780.2-5.5
18 Alba Berlin2461825%80.685.8-5.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olimpia Milano2020241478
Panathinaikos2118211676
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