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Olimpia Milano vs Varese Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 02 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 119-92
28-22 35-27 32-18 24-25
Position#5
Record11-6
FormLLLWW
Points / game88.5
Allowed / game85.1
vs
Position#12
Record6-11
FormWWWLL
Points / game88.9
Allowed / game98.1
ItalyLega ARound 18· Unipol Forum
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Varese
03 Jan 2027
MIL v VAR
upcoming
26 Jan 2026
MIL74
VAR84
02 Feb 2025
MIL119
VAR92
03 Mar 2024
MIL94
VAR63
26 Dec 2022
MIL96
VAR84
26 Mar 2022
MIL95
VAR77
05 Apr 2021
MIL81
VAR83
10 Sep 2020
MIL91
VAR77
03 Nov 2019
MIL93
VAR69
23 Dec 2018
MIL72
VAR67
08 Oct 2017
MIL74
VAR73
16 Oct 2016
MIL79
VAR71
11 Oct 2015
MIL90
VAR62
15 Mar 2015
MIL79
VAR69
20 Oct 2013
MIL84
VAR72
23 Dec 2012
MIL77
VAR83
09 Oct 2011
MIL89
VAR75
29 Dec 2010
MIL84
VAR80
31 Jan 2010
MIL74
VAR70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
75-66
75
66
+9
68avg 80
A02/01
Euroleague
Pistoia
#16
W
115-82
115
82
+33
117avg 80
A05/01
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
W
107-74
107
74
+33
106avg 80
A09/01
Euroleague
Reggiana
#7
W
108-106
108
106
+2
102avg 80
H12/01
Lega A
Alba Berlin
#18
W
100-68
100
68
+32
103avg 80
H14/01
Euroleague
Partizan
#12
L
70-90
70
90
-20
59avg 80
H16/01
Euroleague
Venezia
#8
L
72-85
72
85
-13
60avg 80
A19/01
Lega A
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
66-110
66
110
-44
55avg 80
A23/01
Euroleague
Trieste
#6
W
87-74
87
74
+13
87avg 80
H26/01
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#3
W
87-75
87
75
+12
83avg 80
H30/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
17-13
15-19
24-15
27-19
25-25
35-21
28-17
20-14
25-23
33-17
29-20
28-29
27-22
29-25
24-30
23-19
24-24
31-10
22-15
17-17
23-20
18-27
12-26
22-21
21-28
19-18
10-18
9-24
22-32
17-31
18-23
25-23
21-23
26-22
15-6
17-16
22-21
27-13
21-25
171.7Avg total
88.7Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)88.585.1173.5+3.465%
Season at home (9)91.485.6177.0+5.978%
Season away (8)85.184.5169.6+0.650%
Last 10 (10)88.783.0171.7+5.770%
Last 5 (5)76.486.8163.2-10.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)82.589.7172.2-7.250%
vs Similar (16)85.482.0167.4+3.469%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)99.289.4188.6+9.962%
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Scafati
#15
L
85-94
85
94
-9
73avg 81
A16/11
Lega A
Venezia
#8
L
77-86
77
86
-9
65avg 81
H01/12
Lega A
Cremona
#13
L
60-78
60
78
-18
51avg 81
A08/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
W
94-92
94
92
+2
87avg 81
H15/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
80-97
80
97
-17
68avg 81
A22/12
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#14
W
89-86
89
86
+3
86avg 81
H28/12
Lega A
Sassari
#10
W
86-81
86
81
+5
84avg 81
A05/01
Lega A
Treviso
#11
W
92-89
92
89
+3
88avg 81
H12/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
L
96-111
96
111
-15
88avg 81
A19/01
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
77-118
77
118
-41
64avg 81
H25/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-27
25-22
21-18
14-27
27-21
12-27
21-20
17-18
14-17
18-18
8-23
20-20
25-19
29-24
18-22
22-27
17-22
24-26
21-28
18-21
22-12
27-27
19-29
21-18
26-30
20-13
18-12
22-26
25-18
31-25
17-29
19-17
28-28
31-17
14-36
23-30
19-30
21-28
18-35
19-25
176.8Avg total
83.6Scored
93.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)88.998.1187.0-9.135%
Season at home (9)92.297.2189.4-5.056%
Season away (8)85.299.0184.2-13.812%
Last 10 (10)83.693.2176.8-9.640%
Last 5 (5)88.097.0185.0-9.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)88.497.3185.7-8.933%
vs Similar (15)90.288.5178.7+1.753%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q3: -7.7-7.7Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -3.4-3.4
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q3: -7.7-7.7Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -3.4-3.4
Olimpia MilanoVarese
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A02/01
Euroleague
Pistoia
#16
W
52-44
52
44
+8
A05/01
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A09/01
Euroleague
Reggiana
#7
W
55-51
55
51
+4
H12/01
Lega A
Alba Berlin
#18
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H14/01
Euroleague
Partizan
#12
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H16/01
Euroleague
Venezia
#8
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A19/01
Lega A
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
31-56
31
56
-25
A23/01
Euroleague
Trieste
#6
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H26/01
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#3
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H30/01
Euroleague
86.6Avg total
43.4Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.743.487.1+0.360%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.642.687.2+2.169%-
Last 30 away (14)42.644.486.9-1.850%-
Last 10 (10)43.443.286.6+0.270%-
Last 5 (5)39.845.084.8-5.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)38.546.084.5-7.533%-
vs Similar (16)42.941.284.1+1.862%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)49.045.994.9+3.175%-
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Scafati
#15
W
50-49
50
49
+1
A16/11
Lega A
Venezia
#8
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H01/12
Lega A
Cremona
#13
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A08/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
W
54-43
54
43
+11
H15/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A22/12
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#14
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H28/12
Lega A
Sassari
#10
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A05/01
Lega A
Treviso
#11
W
56-43
56
43
+13
H12/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
59-45
59
45
+14
A19/01
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
40-58
40
58
-18
H25/01
Lega A
91.7Avg total
46.6Scored
45.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.245.792.9+1.457%-
Last 30 at home (15)48.846.194.9+2.767%-
Last 30 away (15)45.545.490.9+0.147%-
Last 10 (10)46.645.191.7+1.560%-
Last 5 (5)50.045.695.6+4.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)48.148.296.3-0.160%-
vs Similar (15)46.343.389.5+3.053%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 87.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.218.4
55.4%
52.9%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.311.0
41.8%
35.8%33.0
🏀 Free throws22.117.9
81.0%
76.8%17.9
They take 59.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 82.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀37%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.3 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.515.4
48.9%
52.9%30.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.312.1
35.3%
35.8%36.3
🏀 Free throws20.115.7
78.1%
76.8%15.7
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
WWLLLWWWWW
Varese
LLWWWLWLLL
#5
League position
#12
+7.5
Net rating
-12.3
123.6
Offensive rating
106.5
116.1
Defensive rating
118.8
58.7%
Effective FG%
51.0%
55.4%
Opp. effective FG%
53.8%
14.9%
Turnover %
15.8%
29.1%
Off. rebound %
23.4%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.31
41.8%
3-point %
35.3%
59.9%
Assist %
63.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence123.6 · 106.5Defence116.1 · 118.8Shooting58.7% · 51.0%3-point %41.8% · 35.3%Ball care14.9% · 15.8%Off. rebounds29.1% · 23.4%Free throws0.37 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ Varese
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Olimpia Milano wins
2
Varese wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/01/25HPanathinaikos87-75
26/01/25HTrieste87-74
23/01/25AAnadolu Efes66-110
19/01/25AVenezia72-85
16/01/25HPartizan70-90
14/01/25HAlba Berlin100-68
12/01/25HReggiana108-106
09/01/25AMaccabi Tel Aviv107-74
05/01/25APistoia115-82
02/01/25ALyon-Villeurbanne75-66
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/25HBrescia77-118
19/01/25APistoia96-111
12/01/25HTreviso92-89
05/01/25ASassari86-81
28/12/24HBasket Napoli89-86
22/12/24AReggiana80-97
15/12/24HOlimpia Milano94-92
08/12/24ACremona60-78
01/12/24HVenezia77-86
16/11/24AScafati85-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW65%
HomeLLWWW78%
AwayWLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %65%78%50%
Points / game88.591.485.1
Allowed / game85.185.684.5
Point differential+3.4+5.9+0.6
Avg total173.5177.0169.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%33%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)75% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Varese
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL35%
HomeLWWWL56%
AwayLLLWL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %35%56%12%
Points / game88.992.285.2
Allowed / game98.197.299.0
Point differential-9.1-5.0-13.8
Avg total187.0189.4184.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trapani1713476%93.482.7+10.6
2 Trento1713476%88.682.6+5.9
3 Brescia1813572%91.385.9+5.4
4 Virtus Bologna1712571%84.278.7+5.5
5 Olimpia Milano1711665%88.585.1+3.4
6 Reggiana1811761%79.977.4+2.4
7 Trieste1811761%86.183.8+2.3
8 Tortona1810856%86.284.8+1.4
9 Venezia178947%78.076.8+1.2
10 Treviso1881044%85.887.7-1.9
11 Sassari1871139%81.184.5-3.4
12 Varese1761135%88.998.1-9.1
13 Basket Napoli1851328%83.287.0-3.8
14 Scafati1851328%87.192.9-5.8
15 Cremona1841422%75.381.2-5.9
16 Pistoia1841422%82.289.4-7.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olimpia Milano28353224119
Varese2227182592
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