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Varese vs Treviso Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 17:15
Final 92-89
25-18 31-25 17-29 19-17
Position#12
Record5-9
FormLWLWW
Points / game89.1
Allowed / game96.4
Varese 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#11
Record7-7
FormWWLLW
Points / game85.8
Allowed / game86.6
ItalyLega ARound 15· Palasport Lino Oldrini
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Varese v Treviso
27 Dec 2026
VAR v TRV
upcoming
15 Mar 2026
VAR91
TRV86
12 Jan 2025
VAR92
TRV89
28 Apr 2024
VAR95
TRV100
30 Oct 2022
VAR87
TRV85
10 Apr 2022
VAR80
TRV89
27 Dec 2020
VAR79
TRV80
26 Apr 2020
VAR v TRV
upcoming
03 Jan 2012
VAR96
TRV80
19 Feb 2011
VAR74
TRV68
21 Mar 2010
VAR90
TRV82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Treviso winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#16
W
102-95
102
95
+7
93avg 80
H27/10
Lega A
Trieste
#6
L
81-107
81
107
-26
66avg 80
A03/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
104-95
104
95
+9
100avg 80
H10/11
Lega A
Scafati
#15
L
85-94
85
94
-9
73avg 80
A16/11
Lega A
Venezia
#8
L
77-86
77
86
-9
65avg 80
H01/12
Lega A
Cremona
#13
L
60-78
60
78
-18
51avg 80
A08/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
W
94-92
94
92
+2
87avg 80
H15/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
80-97
80
97
-17
68avg 80
A22/12
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#14
W
89-86
89
86
+3
86avg 80
H28/12
Lega A
Sassari
#10
W
86-81
86
81
+5
84avg 80
A05/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-18
21-32
31-14
24-31
15-27
17-23
21-24
28-33
24-22
27-22
25-30
28-21
25-27
25-22
21-18
14-27
27-21
12-27
21-20
17-18
14-17
18-18
8-23
20-20
25-19
29-24
18-22
22-27
17-22
24-26
21-28
18-21
22-12
27-27
19-29
21-18
26-30
20-13
18-12
22-26
176.9Avg total
85.8Scored
91.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)89.196.4185.4-7.336%
Season at home (7)94.495.4189.9-1.057%
Season away (7)83.797.3181.0-13.614%
Last 10 (10)85.891.1176.9-5.350%
Last 5 (5)81.886.8168.6-5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)87.196.1183.3-9.029%
vs Similar (15)90.787.5178.2+3.160%
vs Weaker (1)91.080.0171.0+11.0100%
This opponent (Treviso) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrevisoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTreviso
Date
Competition
Trieste
#6
L
95-100
95
100
-5
84avg 74
H26/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
97-104
97
104
-7
90avg 74
A03/11
Lega A
Scafati
#15
W
104-75
104
75
+29
99avg 74
H10/11
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#14
W
84-69
84
69
+15
78avg 74
A17/11
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
91-88
91
88
+3
81avg 74
H30/11
Lega A
Tortona
#9
W
95-90
95
90
+5
90avg 74
A07/12
Lega A
Cremona
#13
W
87-84
87
84
+3
73avg 74
H15/12
Lega A
Sassari
#10
L
94-96
94
96
-2
89avg 74
A22/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
79-89
79
89
-10
60avg 74
H29/12
Lega A
Brescia
#2
W
86-84
86
84
+2
78avg 74
H04/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-27
28-25
12-22
26-26
27-27
27-21
21-36
22-20
26-17
9-28
35-14
34-16
15-15
22-22
18-16
29-16
18-25
18-17
21-18
34-28
22-32
24-14
22-26
27-18
22-22
24-25
21-19
20-18
29-22
22-23
18-29
25-22
20-24
16-25
24-23
19-17
26-13
24-21
21-28
15-22
179.1Avg total
91.2Scored
87.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)85.886.6172.4-0.850%
Season at home (8)86.186.2172.4-0.150%
Season away (6)85.387.0172.3-1.750%
Last 10 (10)91.287.9179.1+3.360%
Last 5 (5)88.288.6176.8-0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)78.488.5166.9-10.223%
vs Similar (15)86.885.3172.1+1.567%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)97.581.5179.0+16.0100%
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: +4.8+4.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: +4.8+4.8
VareseTreviso
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#16
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H27/10
Lega A
Trieste
#6
L
32-50
32
50
-18
A03/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H10/11
Lega A
Scafati
#15
W
50-49
50
49
+1
A16/11
Lega A
Venezia
#8
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H01/12
Lega A
Cremona
#13
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A08/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
W
54-43
54
43
+11
H15/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A22/12
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#14
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H28/12
Lega A
Sassari
#10
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A05/01
Lega A
89.0Avg total
44.1Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.045.891.8+0.253%-
Last 30 at home (14)48.845.294.0+3.671%-
Last 30 away (16)43.646.289.8-2.738%-
Last 10 (10)44.144.989.0-0.850%-
Last 5 (5)44.441.686.0+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)46.848.395.1-1.557%-
vs Similar (15)45.243.688.8+1.647%-
vs Weaker (1)47.043.090.0+4.0100%-
This opponent (Treviso) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrevisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trieste
#6
W
57-52
57
52
+5
H26/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
54-48
54
48
+6
A03/11
Lega A
Scafati
#15
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H10/11
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#14
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A17/11
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H30/11
Lega A
Tortona
#9
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A07/12
Lega A
Cremona
#13
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H15/12
Lega A
Sassari
#10
W
51-45
51
45
+6
A22/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
36-49
36
49
-13
H29/12
Lega A
Brescia
#2
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H04/01
Lega A
89.3Avg total
44.8Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.642.785.3-0.053%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.943.184.0-2.144%-
Last 30 away (14)44.642.286.8+2.464%-
Last 10 (10)44.844.589.3+0.340%-
Last 5 (5)45.844.290.0+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)41.542.884.3-1.462%-
vs Similar (15)44.642.487.0+2.253%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)35.543.579.0-8.00%-
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 85.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.8 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.3 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.316.4
50.8%
52.9%32.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.912.1
34.7%
35.8%36.3
🏀 Free throws20.015.9
79.5%
76.8%15.9
They take 67.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Trevisotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Treviso: 90.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.722.7
54.4%
52.9%45.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.310.2
40.3%
35.8%30.6
🏀 Free throws19.514.4
73.8%
76.8%14.4
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Varese
WWLWLLLWLW
Treviso
WLLWWWWWLL
#12
League position
#11
-6.8
Net rating
+4.6
107.8
Offensive rating
118.8
114.6
Defensive rating
114.2
51.4%
Effective FG%
56.7%
55.1%
Opp. effective FG%
57.5%
16.5%
Turnover %
16.0%
25.3%
Off. rebound %
33.9%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.29
34.7%
3-point %
40.3%
59.6%
Assist %
48.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence107.8 · 118.8Defence114.6 · 114.2Shooting51.4% · 56.7%3-point %34.7% · 40.3%Ball care16.5% · 16.0%Off. rebounds25.3% · 33.9%Free throws0.30 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Varese   ■ Treviso
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Varese wins
4
Treviso wins
DateGameScore
28/04/24Varese v Treviso95-100
06/01/24Treviso v Varese96-101
02/04/23Treviso v Varese95-97
30/10/22Varese v Treviso87-85
10/04/22Varese v Treviso80-89
31/10/21Treviso v Varese96-78
18/04/21Treviso v Varese94-103
27/12/20Varese v Treviso79-80
05/01/20Treviso v Varese79-84
25/04/12Treviso v Varese55-71
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/25ASassari86-81
28/12/24HBasket Napoli89-86
22/12/24AReggiana80-97
15/12/24HOlimpia Milano94-92
08/12/24ACremona60-78
01/12/24HVenezia77-86
16/11/24AScafati85-94
10/11/24HVirtus Bologna104-95
03/11/24ATrieste81-107
27/10/24HPistoia102-95
Trevisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/25HBrescia86-84
29/12/24HOlimpia Milano79-89
22/12/24ASassari94-96
15/12/24HCremona87-84
07/12/24ATortona95-90
30/11/24HPistoia91-88
17/11/24ABasket Napoli84-69
10/11/24HScafati104-75
03/11/24AVirtus Bologna97-104
26/10/24HTrieste95-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW36%
HomeWWLWW57%
AwayLLLLW14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %36%57%14%
Points / game89.194.483.7
Allowed / game96.495.497.3
Point differential-7.3-1.0-13.6
Avg total185.4189.9181.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Treviso
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW50%
HomeWWWLW50%
AwayLLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game85.886.185.3
Allowed / game86.686.287.0
Point differential-0.8-0.1-1.7
Avg total172.4172.4172.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%12%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)75% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brescia1512380%89.584.9+4.6
2 Trapani1511473%93.385.3+8.0
3 Trento1511473%88.783.3+5.5
4 Virtus Bologna1410471%85.480.3+5.1
5 Olimpia Milano1510567%89.785.8+3.9
6 Tortona159660%87.184.9+2.2
7 Reggiana159660%80.778.7+2.0
8 Trieste148657%86.785.2+1.5
9 Treviso147750%85.886.6-0.8
10 Venezia157847%78.177.3+0.7
11 Sassari156940%82.184.5-2.4
12 Varese145936%89.196.4-7.3
13 Scafati1541127%87.994.6-6.7
14 Pistoia1431121%82.188.5-6.4
15 Cremona1531220%76.981.1-4.3
16 Basket Napoli1421214%82.589.1-6.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Varese2531171992
Treviso1825291789
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