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Olimpia Milano vs Valencia Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 12 Jan 2021
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 95-80
21-20 33-16 22-24 19-20
Position#4
Record10-7
FormLWLWW
Points / game81.6
Allowed / game80.2
Olimpia Milano 🏆
vs
Valencia
Position#8
Record10-8
FormLWWLW
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game81.1
EuropeEuroleagueRound 19
European cup2020
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Valencia
05 Nov 2026
MIL73
VAL84
23 Oct 2025
MIL100
VAL103
09 Nov 2023
MIL83
VAL52
29 Dec 2022
MIL90
VAL79
12 Jan 2021
MIL95
VAL80
22 Mar 2018
MIL89
VAL93
16 Dec 2010
MIL60
VAL75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valencia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#2
L
71-87
71
87
-16
56avg 78
A11/12
Euroleague
Brindisi
#3
L
82-88
82
88
-6
75avg 78
H13/12
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#9
W
79-71
79
71
+8
70avg 78
A15/12
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#3
W
72-69
72
69
+3
64avg 78
A17/12
Euroleague
Sassari
#5
W
102-86
102
86
+16
104avg 78
H20/12
Lega A
Baskonia
#10
L
79-84
79
84
-5
65avg 78
H23/12
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
73-68
73
68
+5
66avg 78
A27/12
Lega A
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
87-91 OT
87
91
-4
no box
H30/12
Euroleague
Pesaro
#10
W
97-93
97
93
+4
97avg 78
H03/01
Lega A
Real Madrid
#7
W
80-76
80
76
+4
71avg 78
A08/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-23
28-16
18-21
10-27
18-21
22-15
17-27
25-25
26-25
18-10
24-13
11-23
20-20
26-11
6-21
20-17
26-25
22-22
24-28
30-11
19-23
22-22
16-18
22-21
23-24
23-14
12-20
15-10
17-17
16-22
25-20
22-21
21-18
18-31
25-23
33-21
17-18
22-21
22-10
19-27
163.5Avg total
82.2Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)81.680.2161.8+1.459%
Season at home (8)82.579.0161.5+3.550%
Season away (9)80.881.3162.1-0.667%
Last 10 (10)82.281.3163.5+0.960%
Last 5 (5)83.282.4165.6+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)72.069.0141.0+3.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (10)81.082.1163.1-1.150%
vs Weaker (19)87.674.9162.6+12.784%
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#12
W
96-85
96
85
+11
no box
A16/12
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#17
L
73-76
73
76
-3
70avg 80
A18/12
Euroleague
Murcia
#12
W
89-78
89
78
+11
83avg 80
H20/12
ACB
Khimki M.
#18
W
88-82
88
82
+6
91avg 80
H23/12
Euroleague
Gipuzkoa
#19
W
101-75
101
75
+26
106avg 80
H27/12
ACB
Baskonia
#10
L
70-71
70
71
-1
63avg 80
A29/12
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#8
W
101-85
101
85
+16
101avg 80
H02/01
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#7
W
91-80
91
80
+11
91avg 80
A04/01
ACB
Barcelona
#2
L
72-89
72
89
-17
70avg 80
A07/01
Euroleague
Bilbao
#17
W
106-73
106
73
+33
107avg 80
A09/01
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-16
27-23
24-26
20-20
22-20
14-25
21-12
16-19
14-22
28-21
18-19
29-16
16-13
29-16
14-23
29-30
30-16
33-22
21-18
17-19
30-17
17-22
11-16
12-16
29-21
27-24
18-17
27-23
19-17
25-19
27-14
20-30
12-18
21-20
21-29
18-22
25-21
22-11
31-24
28-17
168.1Avg total
88.7Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)81.381.1162.4+0.356%
Season at home (9)80.279.9160.1+0.367%
Season away (9)82.482.2164.7+0.244%
Last 10 (10)88.779.4168.1+9.370%
Last 5 (5)88.079.6167.6+8.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)77.882.3160.2-4.533%
vs Similar ◀ (10)83.985.4169.3-1.550%
vs Weaker (14)87.679.0166.6+8.679%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +0.4+0.4
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +0.4+0.4
Olimpia MilanoValencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#2
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A11/12
Euroleague
Brindisi
#3
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H13/12
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#9
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A15/12
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#3
W
46-31
46
31
+15
A17/12
Euroleague
Sassari
#5
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H20/12
Lega A
Baskonia
#10
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H23/12
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A27/12
Lega A
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H30/12
Euroleague
Pesaro
#10
L
39-49
39
49
-10
H03/01
Lega A
Real Madrid
#7
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A08/01
Euroleague
81.7Avg total
41.9Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.537.981.4+5.670%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.038.181.1+4.962%-
Last 30 away (14)44.137.681.7+6.479%-
Last 10 (10)41.939.881.7+2.160%-
Last 5 (5)39.642.081.6-2.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)46.031.077.0+15.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)40.139.179.2+1.060%-
vs Weaker (19)45.237.682.7+7.674%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#12
W
52-39
52
39
+13
A16/12
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#17
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A18/12
Euroleague
Murcia
#12
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H20/12
ACB
Khimki M.
#18
W
45-29
45
29
+16
H23/12
Euroleague
Gipuzkoa
#19
W
63-38
63
38
+25
H27/12
ACB
Baskonia
#10
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A29/12
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#8
W
56-45
56
45
+11
H02/01
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#7
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A04/01
ACB
Barcelona
#2
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A07/01
Euroleague
Bilbao
#17
W
47-32
47
32
+15
A09/01
ACB
84.9Avg total
46.5Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.040.481.5+0.650%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.141.283.4+0.956%-
Last 30 away (14)39.839.579.3+0.343%-
Last 10 (10)46.538.484.9+8.170%-
Last 5 (5)45.438.083.4+7.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)36.542.378.8-5.833%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)40.941.282.1-0.350%-
vs Weaker (14)43.139.182.1+4.057%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 82.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.419.2
48.7%
52.7%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.810.6
44.5%
38.1%31.8
🏀 Free throws15.912.7
79.9%
79.3%12.7
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 87.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.621.3
63.4%
52.7%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.910.2
39.4%
38.1%30.6
🏀 Free throws16.914.3
84.6%
79.3%14.3
They take 59.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Jan 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
WWLWLWWWLL
Valencia
WLWWLWWWLW
#4
League position
#8
+2.7
Net rating
+11.9
113.0
Offensive rating
122.4
110.3
Defensive rating
110.5
55.5%
Effective FG%
61.5%
57.6%
Opp. effective FG%
53.3%
15.7%
Turnover %
17.6%
26.0%
Off. rebound %
29.1%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.28
44.5%
3-point %
39.4%
60.4%
Assist %
69.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence113.0 · 122.4Defence110.3 · 110.5Shooting55.5% · 61.5%3-point %44.5% · 39.4%Ball care15.7% · 17.6%Off. rebounds26.0% · 29.1%Free throws0.25 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ Valencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Olimpia Milano wins
3
Valencia wins
DateGameScore
06/11/20Valencia v Olimpia Milano86-81
22/03/18Olimpia Milano v Valencia89-93
15/11/17Valencia v Olimpia Milano98-103 OT
16/12/10Olimpia Milano v Valencia60-75
11/11/10Valencia v Olimpia Milano69-80
Olimpia Milanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/21AReal Madrid80-76
03/01/21HPesaro97-93
30/12/20HCSKA Moscow87-91 OT
27/12/20AVirtus Bologna73-68
23/12/20HBaskonia79-84
20/12/20HSassari102-86
17/12/20AAnadolu Efes72-69
15/12/20AFenerbahce79-71
13/12/20HBrindisi82-88
11/12/20ABarcelona71-87
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/21ABilbao106-73
07/01/21ABarcelona72-89
04/01/21AJoventut Badalona91-80
02/01/21HGran Canaria101-85
29/12/20ABaskonia70-71
27/12/20HGipuzkoa101-75
23/12/20HKhimki M.88-82
20/12/20HMurcia89-78
18/12/20ACrvena zvezda73-76
16/12/20AOlympiacos96-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW59%
HomeWWLLL50%
AwayWLWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %59%50%67%
Points / game81.682.580.8
Allowed / game80.279.081.3
Point differential+1.4+3.5-0.6
Avg total161.8161.5162.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)0% (3)80% (5)
Overtime %18%12%22%
Valencia
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL56%
HomeWLLWW67%
AwayWWLLL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %56%67%44%
Points / game81.380.282.4
Allowed / game81.179.982.2
Point differential+0.3+0.3+0.2
Avg total162.4160.1164.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%11%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)80% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSKA Moscow1814478%85.278.8+6.4
2 Zenit Petersburg1611569%76.672.9+3.8
3 Barcelona1913668%81.273.6+7.6
4 Real Madrid1812667%82.377.7+4.6
5 Zalgiris Kaunas1811761%80.977.2+3.8
6 Bayern1811761%79.676.3+3.3
7 Olimpia Milano1710759%81.680.2+1.4
8 Valencia1810856%81.381.1+0.3
9 Olympiacos1810856%80.580.6-0.1
10 Anadolu Efes1910953%78.377.6+0.7
11 Baskonia1991047%79.278.1+1.1
12 Fenerbahce1991047%74.678.3-3.7
13 Maccabi Tel Aviv1981142%79.178.3+0.8
14 Alba Berlin1971237%77.483.6-6.2
15 Crvena zvezda1861233%74.778.0-3.3
16 Panathinaikos1751229%79.683.8-4.2
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne1751229%75.180.4-5.4
18 Khimki M.1921711%79.689.8-10.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olimpia Milano2133221995
Valencia2016242080
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