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Olimpia Milano vs Valencia Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 23 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 100-103
18-24 30-30 26-31 26-18
Position#13
Record2-3
FormLWLWW
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game77.2
vs
Position#3
Record2-3
FormLWLLW
Points / game92.4
Allowed / game93.8
EuropeEuroleagueRound 6· Unipol Forum
European cup2025
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Valencia
05 Nov 2026
MIL73
VAL84
23 Oct 2025
MIL100
VAL103
09 Nov 2023
MIL83
VAL52
29 Dec 2022
MIL90
VAL79
12 Jan 2021
MIL95
VAL80
22 Mar 2018
MIL89
VAL93
16 Dec 2010
MIL60
VAL75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#3
W
93-86 OT
93
86
+7
96avg 80
A27/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Brescia
#2
W
90-76
90
76
+14
91avg 80
A28/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Crvena zvezda
#9
W
92-82
92
82
+10
89avg 80
A30/09
Euroleague
Partizan
#15
L
78-80
78
80
-2
78avg 80
A02/10
Euroleague
Tortona
#6
L
71-74
71
74
-3
60avg 80
H05/10
Lega A
Monaco
#10
L
79-82
79
82
-3
71avg 80
H09/10
Euroleague
Varese
#8
W
94-61
94
61
+33
100avg 80
A11/10
Lega A
Bayern
#14
L
53-64
53
64
-11
46avg 80
A14/10
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
W
89-78
89
78
+11
87avg 80
A16/10
Euroleague
Sassari
#16
W
76-72
76
72
+4
73avg 80
A19/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-22
22-23
17-19
24-19
28-24
19-20
22-11
21-21
22-20
23-21
24-22
23-19
19-21
14-24
29-24
16-11
25-21
19-24
8-16
19-13
17-22
19-19
26-25
17-16
28-17
22-15
24-20
20-9
14-16
19-12
7-18
13-18
13-21
26-21
24-19
26-17
18-22
16-20
19-13
23-17
157.0Avg total
81.5Scored
75.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)78.277.2155.4+1.040%
Season at home (1)79.082.0161.0-3.00%
Season away (4)78.076.0154.0+2.050%
Last 10 (10)81.575.5157.0+6.060%
Last 5 (5)78.271.4149.6+6.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)88.588.0176.5+0.550%
vs Similar (17)80.979.8160.7+1.241%
vs Weaker (10)89.476.8166.2+12.670%
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#4
W
93-87
93
87
+6
86avg 92
A27/09
Supercopa ACB
Real Madrid
#2
W
98-94
98
94
+4
87avg 92
A28/09
Supercopa ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
80-77
80
77
+3
75avg 92
A01/10
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
103-94
103
94
+9
100avg 92
H03/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
W
93-81
93
81
+12
96avg 92
H05/10
ACB
Barcelona
#8
L
102-108
102
108
-6
97avg 92
A10/10
Euroleague
Breogan
#11
W
113-90
113
90
+23
114avg 92
A12/10
ACB
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
93-100
93
100
-7
84avg 92
H15/10
Euroleague
Monaco
#10
L
84-90
84
90
-6
77avg 92
A17/10
Euroleague
Forca Lleida
#14
W
99-78
99
78
+21
94avg 92
A19/10
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-26
25-18
30-27
20-16
24-27
27-17
18-25
29-25
19-18
15-17
26-26
20-16
26-23
23-23
26-25
28-23
24-15
22-18
23-25
24-23
25-26
24-22
26-30
27-30
19-27
35-20
30-27
29-16
18-27
29-22
23-31
23-20
22-27
15-30
25-14
22-19
24-25
25-16
24-16
26-21
185.7Avg total
95.8Scored
89.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)92.493.8186.2-1.440%
Season at home (2)98.097.0195.0+1.050%
Season away (3)88.791.7180.3-3.033%
Last 10 (10)95.889.9185.7+5.970%
Last 5 (5)98.293.2191.4+5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)87.095.1182.1-8.10%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)95.084.0179.0+11.182%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: +3.9+3.9
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: +3.9+3.9
Olimpia MilanoValencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#3
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A27/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Brescia
#2
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A28/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Crvena zvezda
#9
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A30/09
Euroleague
Partizan
#15
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A02/10
Euroleague
Tortona
#6
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H05/10
Lega A
Monaco
#10
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H09/10
Euroleague
Varese
#8
W
50-32
50
32
+18
A11/10
Lega A
Bayern
#14
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A14/10
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A16/10
Euroleague
Sassari
#16
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A19/10
Lega A
80.8Avg total
40.3Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.041.284.3+1.857%-
Last 30 at home (12)47.342.289.6+5.167%-
Last 30 away (18)40.240.680.7-0.450%-
Last 10 (10)40.340.580.8-0.240%-
Last 5 (5)38.437.075.4+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)41.548.590.0-7.00%-
vs Similar (17)41.540.181.6+1.459%-
vs Weaker (10)46.041.387.3+4.770%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#4
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A27/09
Supercopa ACB
Real Madrid
#2
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A28/09
Supercopa ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A01/10
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H03/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H05/10
ACB
Barcelona
#8
W
49-48
49
48
+1
A10/10
Euroleague
Breogan
#11
W
54-47
54
47
+7
A12/10
ACB
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H15/10
Euroleague
Monaco
#10
L
37-57
37
57
-20
A17/10
Euroleague
Forca Lleida
#14
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A19/10
ACB
90.3Avg total
45.9Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.442.186.5+2.357%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.541.085.5+3.569%-
Last 30 away (17)44.342.987.2+1.447%-
Last 10 (10)45.944.490.3+1.560%-
Last 5 (5)47.248.495.6-1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)42.046.088.0-4.029%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)45.240.886.0+4.468%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 79.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.818.4
51.4%
60.4%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.69.3
37.8%
35.9%27.9
🏀 Free throws19.015.2
80.0%
78.2%15.2
They take 60.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 93.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.5 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.219.0
57.2%
60.4%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.512.5
39.7%
35.9%37.5
🏀 Free throws23.318.3
78.5%
78.2%18.3
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
WWLWLLLWWW
Valencia
WLLWLWWWWW
#13
League position
#3
+6.5
Net rating
+6.1
112.5
Offensive rating
124.3
106.0
Defensive rating
118.2
53.6%
Effective FG%
58.3%
49.4%
Opp. effective FG%
56.7%
18.4%
Turnover %
18.1%
33.1%
Off. rebound %
38.2%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.36
37.8%
3-point %
39.7%
65.0%
Assist %
62.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence112.5 · 124.3Defence106.0 · 118.2Shooting53.6% · 58.3%3-point %37.8% · 39.7%Ball care18.4% · 18.1%Off. rebounds33.1% · 38.2%Free throws0.31 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ Valencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Olimpia Milano wins
4
Valencia wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/10/25ASassari76-72
16/10/25AZalgiris Kaunas89-78
14/10/25ABayern53-64
11/10/25AVarese94-61
09/10/25HMonaco79-82
05/10/25HTortona71-74
02/10/25APartizan78-80
30/09/25ACrvena zvezda92-82
28/09/25ABrescia90-76
27/09/25AVirtus Bologna93-86 OT
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/10/25AForca Lleida99-78
17/10/25AMonaco84-90
15/10/25HHapoel Tel-Aviv93-100
12/10/25ABreogan113-90
10/10/25ABarcelona102-108
05/10/25HBarcelona93-81
03/10/25HVirtus Bologna103-94
01/10/25ALyon-Villeurbanne80-77
28/09/25AReal Madrid98-94
27/09/25AUnicaja93-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW40%
HomeL0%
AwayWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games514
Win %40%0%50%
Points / game78.279.078.0
Allowed / game77.282.076.0
Point differential+1.0-3.0+2.0
Avg total155.4161.0154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Valencia
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL40%
HomeWL50%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %40%50%33%
Points / game92.498.088.7
Allowed / game93.897.091.7
Point differential-1.4+1.0-3.0
Avg total186.2195.0180.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hapoel Tel-Aviv65183%92.388.2+4.2
2 Panathinaikos54180%91.086.4+4.6
3 Paris53260%92.289.0+3.2
4 Zalgiris Kaunas53260%85.682.4+3.2
5 Barcelona53260%93.691.0+2.6
6 Crvena zvezda53260%86.884.8+2.0
7 Olympiacos53260%87.685.6+2.0
8 Partizan53260%85.285.2+0.0
9 Virtus Bologna53260%82.883.4-0.6
10 Monaco63350%84.882.5+2.3
11 Real Madrid63350%83.581.8+1.7
12 Dubai63350%82.082.8-0.8
13 Olimpia Milano52340%78.277.2+1.0
14 Fenerbahce52340%83.082.6+0.4
15 Valencia52340%92.493.8-1.4
16 Anadolu Efes52340%83.286.2-3.0
17 Bayern52340%76.682.8-6.2
18 Lyon-Villeurbanne62433%84.086.7-2.7
19 Maccabi Tel Aviv62433%88.792.3-3.7
20 Baskonia5050%88.297.2-9.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olimpia Milano18302626100
Valencia24303118103
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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