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Olimpia Milano vs Valencia Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 29 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 90-79
29-22 21-21 21-17 19-19
Position#12
Record5-10
FormLWLWW
Points / game69.5
Allowed / game75.7
Olimpia Milano 🏆
vs
Valencia
Position#13
Record7-8
FormWLWWL
Points / game81.4
Allowed / game84.5
EuropeEuroleagueRound 16
European cup2022
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Valencia
05 Nov 2026
MIL73
VAL84
23 Oct 2025
MIL100
VAL103
09 Nov 2023
MIL83
VAL52
29 Dec 2022
MIL90
VAL79
12 Jan 2021
MIL95
VAL80
22 Mar 2018
MIL89
VAL93
16 Dec 2010
MIL60
VAL75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valencia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Treviso
#13
W
93-80
93
80
+13
91avg 71
A27/11
Lega A
Baskonia
#8
L
62-78
62
78
-16
no box
A01/12
Euroleague
Sassari
#5
W
92-63
92
63
+29
no box
A04/12
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#15
L
77-90 OT
77
90
-13
no box
A08/12
Euroleague
Reggiana
#14
W
81-63
81
63
+18
74avg 71
H11/12
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
L
71-77
71
77
-6
63avg 71
H13/12
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#11
W
71-67
71
67
+4
64avg 71
A15/12
Euroleague
Trento
#7
L
75-77
75
77
-2
66avg 71
A18/12
Lega A
Monaco
#4
W
79-71
79
71
+8
71avg 71
H23/12
Euroleague
Varese
#4
W
96-84
96
84
+12
101avg 71
H26/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-16
19-20
23-23
25-21
9-24
18-14
18-16
17-24
22-20
28-6
32-20
10-17
22-13
20-20
17-19
13-20
21-13
22-20
25-17
13-13
21-21
19-11
19-27
12-18
26-16
17-13
14-20
14-18
16-21
12-18
19-18
28-20
24-21
10-26
17-15
28-9
36-21
21-11
25-28
14-24
154.7Avg total
79.7Scored
75.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)69.575.7145.2-6.133%
Season at home (7)69.076.7145.7-7.714%
Season away (8)70.074.8144.8-4.850%
Last 10 (10)79.775.0154.7+4.760%
Last 5 (5)78.475.2153.6+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)67.078.4145.4-11.414%
vs Similar ◀ (9)73.874.7148.4-0.944%
vs Weaker (13)82.572.1154.5+10.485%
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#4
L
67-83
67
83
-16
55avg 77
H27/11
ACB
Partizan
#6
W
100-96 OT
100
96
+4
no box
A01/12
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#3
L
62-79
62
79
-17
no box
A04/12
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
L
68-84
68
84
-16
68avg 77
A08/12
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#15
W
104-69
104
69
+35
110avg 77
H11/12
ACB
Panathinaikos
#15
W
94-91 OT
94
91
+3
no box
H13/12
Euroleague
Bayern
#16
L
92-97
92
97
-5
89avg 77
A15/12
Euroleague
Granada
#16
W
110-81
110
81
+29
113avg 77
A18/12
ACB
Barcelona
#3
W
84-83
84
83
+1
76avg 77
H23/12
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#7
L
89-95
89
95
-6
87avg 77
A27/12
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-14
21-31
21-16
10-22
21-21
16-22
23-21
24-20
7-19
20-13
16-26
19-21
10-15
17-20
20-18
21-31
22-14
23-22
34-9
25-24
20-26
24-15
26-22
14-21
26-23
13-20
26-26
27-28
27-18
20-18
33-17
30-28
20-20
21-18
21-21
22-24
25-22
26-24
18-25
20-24
172.8Avg total
87.0Scored
85.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)81.484.5165.9-3.147%
Season at home (8)81.281.1162.4+0.150%
Season away (7)81.688.3169.9-6.743%
Last 10 (10)87.085.8172.8+1.250%
Last 5 (5)93.889.4183.2+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)78.885.2164.0-6.538%
vs Similar ◀ (14)82.384.6166.9-2.343%
vs Weaker (3)99.076.0175.0+23.0100%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -3.1-3.1
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -3.1-3.1
Olimpia MilanoValencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Treviso
#13
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A27/11
Lega A
Baskonia
#8
L
27-38
27
38
-11
A01/12
Euroleague
Sassari
#5
W
50-26
50
26
+24
A04/12
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#15
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A08/12
Euroleague
Reggiana
#14
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H11/12
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H13/12
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#11
W
43-29
43
29
+14
A15/12
Euroleague
Trento
#7
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A18/12
Lega A
Monaco
#4
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H23/12
Euroleague
Varese
#4
W
57-32
57
32
+25
H26/12
Lega A
75.4Avg total
40.9Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.936.975.7+2.050%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.335.674.9+3.760%-
Last 30 away (15)38.438.176.5+0.340%-
Last 10 (10)40.934.575.4+6.470%-
Last 5 (5)40.435.876.2+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)36.939.376.1-2.443%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)36.137.974.0-1.833%-
vs Weaker (13)42.836.078.8+6.862%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#4
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H27/11
ACB
Partizan
#6
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A01/12
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#3
L
27-32
27
32
-5
A04/12
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A08/12
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#15
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H11/12
ACB
Panathinaikos
#15
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H13/12
Euroleague
Bayern
#16
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A15/12
Euroleague
Granada
#16
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A18/12
ACB
Barcelona
#3
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H23/12
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#7
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A27/12
ACB
78.9Avg total
39.4Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.940.180.0-0.257%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.640.380.9+0.364%-
Last 30 away (16)39.339.979.2-0.650%-
Last 10 (10)39.439.578.9-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)44.440.885.2+3.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)36.241.878.1-5.623%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)42.339.681.9+2.779%-
vs Weaker (3)44.735.079.7+9.7100%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 78.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.8 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.915.9
51.5%
53.5%31.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.610.4
37.7%
36.2%31.2
🏀 Free throws19.615.2
77.6%
78.5%15.2
They take 58.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 81.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.2 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.316.6
51.4%
53.5%33.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.311.0
38.9%
36.2%33.0
🏀 Free throws19.515.5
79.5%
78.5%15.5
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Dec 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
WWLWLWLWLW
Valencia
LWWLWWLLWL
#12
League position
#13
+7.4
Net rating
-0.8
110.6
Offensive rating
111.0
103.2
Defensive rating
111.8
53.8%
Effective FG%
54.6%
49.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
18.5%
Turnover %
19.2%
28.2%
Off. rebound %
29.5%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.32
37.7%
3-point %
38.9%
65.8%
Assist %
68.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence110.6 · 111.0Defence103.2 · 111.8Shooting53.8% · 54.6%3-point %37.7% · 38.9%Ball care18.5% · 19.2%Off. rebounds28.2% · 29.5%Free throws0.34 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ Valencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Olimpia Milano wins
3
Valencia wins
DateGameScore
12/01/21Olimpia Milano v Valencia95-80
06/11/20Valencia v Olimpia Milano86-81
22/03/18Olimpia Milano v Valencia89-93
15/11/17Valencia v Olimpia Milano98-103 OT
16/12/10Olimpia Milano v Valencia60-75
11/11/10Valencia v Olimpia Milano69-80
Olimpia Milanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/12/22HVarese96-84
23/12/22HMonaco79-71
18/12/22ATrento75-77
15/12/22ACrvena zvezda71-67
13/12/22HMaccabi Tel Aviv71-77
11/12/22HReggiana81-63
08/12/22APanathinaikos77-90 OT
04/12/22ASassari92-63
01/12/22ABaskonia62-78
27/11/22ATreviso93-80
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/12/22AGran Canaria89-95
23/12/22HBarcelona84-83
18/12/22AGranada110-81
15/12/22ABayern92-97
13/12/22HPanathinaikos94-91 OT
11/12/22HBasquet Girona104-69
08/12/22AMaccabi Tel Aviv68-84
04/12/22AReal Madrid62-79
01/12/22APartizan100-96 OT
27/11/22HUnicaja67-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW33%
HomeLLLLW14%
AwayLLLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %33%14%50%
Points / game69.569.070.0
Allowed / game75.776.774.8
Point differential-6.1-7.7-4.8
Avg total145.2145.7144.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)0% (1)100% (3)
Overtime %13%14%12%
Valencia
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW47%
HomeWLLWW50%
AwayWLWLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %47%50%43%
Points / game81.481.281.6
Allowed / game84.581.188.3
Point differential-3.1+0.1-6.7
Avg total165.9162.4169.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)60% (5)60% (5)
Overtime %13%12%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Baskonia1611569%86.080.4+5.6
2 Fenerbahce1510567%83.577.1+6.4
3 Barcelona1510567%79.475.9+3.5
4 Monaco1510567%82.580.9+1.7
5 Real Madrid1610662%83.978.9+5.0
6 Olympiacos159660%86.478.3+8.1
7 Maccabi Tel Aviv169756%81.580.6+0.9
8 Zalgiris Kaunas158753%76.177.9-1.9
9 Crvena zvezda158753%74.777.3-2.6
10 Anadolu Efes168850%82.677.8+4.8
11 Valencia157847%81.484.5-3.1
12 Partizan156940%83.585.8-2.3
13 Panathinaikos156940%79.582.1-2.7
14 Virtus Bologna156940%75.980.6-4.7
15 Lyon-Villeurbanne156940%73.979.0-5.1
16 Bayern1551033%74.378.5-4.2
17 Olimpia Milano1551033%69.575.7-6.1
18 Alba Berlin1531220%80.584.7-4.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olimpia Milano2921211990
Valencia2221171979
← all games of the day
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