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Olimpia Milano vs Valencia Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 09 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 83-52
23-12 21-19 20-8 19-13
Position#12
Record1-5
FormLLLLW
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game80.2
Olimpia Milano 🏆
vs
Valencia
Position#14
Record5-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game76.8
Allowed / game70.8
EuropeEuroleagueRound 7· Unipol Forum
European cup2023
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Valencia
05 Nov 2026
MIL73
VAL84
23 Oct 2025
MIL100
VAL103
09 Nov 2023
MIL83
VAL52
29 Dec 2022
MIL90
VAL79
12 Jan 2021
MIL95
VAL80
22 Mar 2018
MIL89
VAL93
16 Dec 2010
MIL60
VAL75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valencia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Basket Napoli
#7
L
68-77
68
77
-9
61avg 77
A08/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
W
79-68
79
68
+11
86avg 77
H14/10
Lega A
Olympiacos
#4
W
65-53
65
53
+12
61avg 77
H17/10
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#1
L
71-88
71
88
-17
59avg 77
A19/10
Euroleague
Tortona
#9
W
79-75
79
75
+4
80avg 77
A22/10
Lega A
Alba Berlin
#18
L
82-85
82
85
-3
75avg 77
A26/10
Euroleague
Pesaro
#16
L
82-90
82
90
-8
76avg 77
H29/10
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
90-98
90
98
-8
86avg 77
H31/10
Euroleague
Monaco
#3
L
66-72
66
72
-6
63avg 77
H02/11
Euroleague
Brindisi
#15
W
87-57
87
57
+30
83avg 77
A05/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-23
22-12
12-23
21-19
9-18
25-9
26-18
19-23
19-17
12-15
13-9
21-12
25-19
17-23
19-25
10-21
22-19
19-12
13-24
25-20
18-12
19-23
24-22
21-28
17-27
28-15
19-23
18-25
32-25
20-25
20-25
18-23
18-13
19-22
11-17
18-20
15-8
21-20
28-11
23-18
153.2Avg total
76.9Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)76.080.2156.2-4.217%
Season at home (3)73.774.3148.0-0.733%
Season away (3)78.386.0164.3-7.70%
Last 10 (10)76.976.3153.2+0.640%
Last 5 (5)81.480.4161.8+1.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)71.088.0159.0-17.00%
vs Similar ◀ (11)76.076.4152.4-0.445%
vs Weaker (17)84.573.7158.2+10.876%
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
85-79
85
79
+6
81avg 74
H08/10
ACB
Fenerbahce
#7
W
77-74
77
74
+3
72avg 74
H13/10
Euroleague
Breogan
#16
W
61-59
61
59
+2
56avg 74
A15/10
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
W
75-66
75
66
+9
75avg 74
H18/10
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
73-77
73
77
-4
69avg 74
A20/10
Euroleague
Manresa
#9
W
84-79
84
79
+5
80avg 74
H22/10
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
87-72
87
72
+15
82avg 74
A27/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#3
W
71-68
71
68
+3
58avg 74
H29/10
ACB
Alba Berlin
#18
W
79-71
79
71
+8
71avg 74
H02/11
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#10
L
76-80
76
80
-4
67avg 74
A05/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
14-16
23-18
27-25
22-9
17-24
19-20
19-21
11-15
13-6
16-20
21-18
18-17
15-12
17-15
25-22
15-18
25-20
13-19
20-20
22-15
19-23
22-20
21-21
20-12
32-18
20-23
15-19
18-19
27-14
13-16
13-19
15-14
26-25
15-15
23-17
15-21
25-15
15-24
21-20
149.3Avg total
76.8Scored
72.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)76.870.8147.7+6.083%
Season at home (4)75.269.0144.2+6.2100%
Season away (2)80.074.5154.5+5.550%
Last 10 (10)76.872.5149.3+4.380%
Last 5 (5)79.474.0153.4+5.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)73.677.9151.4-4.344%
vs Similar ◀ (13)80.581.4161.8-0.954%
vs Weaker (8)81.077.6158.6+3.462%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +0.3+0.3
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +0.3+0.3
Olimpia MilanoValencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Napoli
#7
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A08/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H14/10
Lega A
Olympiacos
#4
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H17/10
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#1
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A19/10
Euroleague
Tortona
#9
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A22/10
Lega A
Alba Berlin
#18
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A26/10
Euroleague
Pesaro
#16
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H29/10
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
W
52-50
52
50
+2
H31/10
Euroleague
Monaco
#3
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H02/11
Euroleague
Brindisi
#15
W
36-28
36
28
+8
A05/11
Lega A
74.7Avg total
39.0Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.536.375.8+3.357%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.835.275.0+4.665%-
Last 30 away (13)39.237.776.8+1.546%-
Last 10 (10)39.035.774.7+3.370%-
Last 5 (5)41.438.079.4+3.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)42.042.084.0+0.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)37.538.575.9-1.045%-
vs Weaker (17)41.234.675.8+6.571%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Obradoiro CAB
#15
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H08/10
ACB
Fenerbahce
#7
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H13/10
Euroleague
Breogan
#16
W
24-21
24
21
+3
A15/10
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H18/10
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A20/10
Euroleague
Manresa
#9
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H22/10
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
52-30
52
30
+22
A27/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#3
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H29/10
ACB
Alba Berlin
#18
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H02/11
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#10
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A05/11
ACB
72.3Avg total
39.0Scored
33.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.638.878.4+0.850%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.838.377.1+0.556%-
Last 30 away (14)40.439.479.8+1.143%-
Last 10 (10)39.033.372.3+5.790%-
Last 5 (5)43.835.279.0+8.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)36.338.775.0-2.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)42.840.483.2+2.562%-
vs Weaker (8)37.936.474.2+1.550%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 76.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.018.2
55.2%
53.4%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.58.7
34.1%
36.6%26.1
🏀 Free throws18.513.8
74.6%
77.4%13.8
They take 58.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 76.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.420.5
50.7%
53.4%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.06.8
35.8%
36.6%20.4
🏀 Free throws19.614.6
74.5%
77.4%14.6
They take 59.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
WLLLLWLWWL
Valencia
LWWWWLWWWW
#12
League position
#14
+1.4
Net rating
+6.3
108.1
Offensive rating
106.5
106.7
Defensive rating
100.2
53.4%
Effective FG%
51.7%
52.9%
Opp. effective FG%
47.1%
20.5%
Turnover %
18.6%
33.0%
Off. rebound %
30.2%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.33
34.1%
3-point %
35.8%
65.1%
Assist %
58.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence108.1 · 106.5Defence106.7 · 100.2Shooting53.4% · 51.7%3-point %34.1% · 35.8%Ball care20.5% · 18.6%Off. rebounds33.0% · 30.2%Free throws0.32 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ Valencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Olimpia Milano wins
3
Valencia wins
DateGameScore
07/03/23Valencia v Olimpia Milano84-88
29/12/22Olimpia Milano v Valencia90-79
12/01/21Olimpia Milano v Valencia95-80
06/11/20Valencia v Olimpia Milano86-81
22/03/18Olimpia Milano v Valencia89-93
15/11/17Valencia v Olimpia Milano98-103 OT
16/12/10Olimpia Milano v Valencia60-75
11/11/10Valencia v Olimpia Milano69-80
Olimpia Milanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/23ABrindisi87-57
02/11/23HMonaco66-72
31/10/23HMaccabi Tel Aviv90-98
29/10/23HPesaro82-90
26/10/23AAlba Berlin82-85
22/10/23ATortona79-75
19/10/23AReal Madrid71-88
17/10/23HOlympiacos65-53
14/10/23HReggiana79-68
08/10/23ABasket Napoli68-77
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/23AJoventut Badalona76-80
02/11/23HAlba Berlin79-71
29/10/23HBarcelona71-68
27/10/23AZalgiris Kaunas87-72
22/10/23HManresa84-79
20/10/23AAnadolu Efes73-77
18/10/23HMaccabi Tel Aviv75-66
15/10/23ABreogan61-59
13/10/23HFenerbahce77-74
08/10/23HObradoiro CAB85-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL17%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %17%33%0%
Points / game76.073.778.3
Allowed / game80.274.386.0
Point differential-4.2-0.7-7.7
Avg total156.2148.0164.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %17%0%33%
Valencia
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW83%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %83%100%50%
Points / game76.875.280.0
Allowed / game70.869.074.5
Point differential+6.0+6.2+5.5
Avg total147.7144.2154.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid550100%85.674.2+11.4
2 Barcelona65183%83.770.2+13.5
3 Virtus Bologna65183%85.776.8+8.8
4 Fenerbahce65183%83.076.3+6.7
5 Valencia65183%76.870.8+6.0
6 Monaco64267%78.574.8+3.7
7 Maccabi Tel Aviv64267%86.387.3-1.0
8 Olympiacos73443%76.175.0+1.1
9 Zalgiris Kaunas73443%83.084.6-1.6
10 Baskonia73443%79.784.6-4.9
11 Anadolu Efes73443%77.785.9-8.1
12 Crvena zvezda62433%80.579.2+1.3
13 Partizan62433%86.286.3-0.2
14 Panathinaikos62433%78.881.5-2.7
15 Bayern72529%73.079.3-6.3
16 Olimpia Milano61517%76.080.2-4.2
17 Alba Berlin61517%76.884.2-7.3
18 Lyon-Villeurbanne61517%80.091.2-11.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olimpia Milano2321201983
Valencia121981352
← all games of the day
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