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Olympiacos vs Aris Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 18 Apr 2027
Tip-off: 14:00
Scheduled
Position#2
Record4-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game66.0
vs
Position#4
Record3-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game65.2
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 26· Peace and Friendship Stadium
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Olympiacos v Aris
18 Apr 2027
OLY v ARI
upcoming
19 Apr 2026
OLY92
ARI81
13 Oct 2024
OLY102
ARI72
31 Mar 2024
OLY85
ARI77
31 Dec 2023
OLY85
ARI71
20 Apr 2023
OLY97
ARI73
17 Feb 2023
OLY82
ARI51
29 Jan 2023
OLY89
ARI75
07 Apr 2022
OLY89
ARI67
04 Mar 2019
OLY76
ARI67
05 Mar 2018
OLY86
ARI66
25 May 2017
OLY79
ARI65
10 May 2017
OLY84
ARI54
15 Feb 2017
OLY69
ARI55
29 May 2015
OLY92
ARI57
27 May 2015
OLY98
ARI53
12 Jan 2015
OLY84
ARI68
06 May 2014
OLY77
ARI44
30 Nov 2013
OLY93
ARI61
03 Dec 2012
OLY100
ARI65
25 Feb 2012
OLY85
ARI66
23 May 2011
OLY87
ARI64
19 May 2011
OLY95
ARI63
23 Jan 2011
OLY97
ARI70
01 May 2010
OLY75
ARI63
31 Jan 2010
OLY82
ARI77
18 Oct 2008
OLY74
ARI57
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olympiacos win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Aris win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OlympiacosGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iraklis
#9
W
78-68
78
68
+10
A04/10
Basket League
Anadolu Efes
#14
W
89-66
89
66
+23
H09/10
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#6
W
99-83
99
83
+16
H11/10
Basket League
Valencia
#5
W
102-97 OT
102
97
+5
A13/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#9
W
105-100 OT
105
100
+5
A16/10
Euroleague
Vikos
#14
W
79-68
79
68
+11
A18/10
Basket League
Fenerbahce
#7
L
61-64
61
64
-3
H23/10
Euroleague
Promitheas
#12
W
85-45
85
45
+40
A25/10
Basket League
Besiktas
#11
W
81-73
81
73
+8
A28/10
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
84-78
84
78
+6
H30/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-25
31-11
18-14
14-18
26-16
9-15
27-18
27-17
27-22
27-19
23-26
22-16
17-31
17-28
25-12
31-19
26-30
31-17
20-19
15-26
21-23
18-13
25-15
15-17
20-8
14-16
15-21
12-19
16-12
25-17
21-8
23-8
25-23
17-13
19-22
20-15
25-19
19-25
25-17
15-17
160.5Avg total
86.3Scored
74.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)85.266.0151.2+19.2100%
Season at home (1)99.083.0182.0+16.0100%
Season away (3)80.760.3141.0+20.3100%
Last 10 (10)86.374.2160.5+12.190%
Last 5 (5)78.065.6143.6+12.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)85.082.0167.0+3.067%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)90.976.6167.4+14.389%
This opponent (Aris) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArisGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AEK Athens
#4
L
99-102
99
102
-3
A25/05
Basket League
Le Mans
#19
W
87-74
87
74
+13
A29/09
Eurocup
AS Karditsas
#8
L
68-74
68
74
-6
A03/10
Basket League
San Pablo Burgos
#26
W
93-80
93
80
+13
H07/10
Eurocup
AEK Athens
#7
W
88-58
88
58
+30
H10/10
Basket League
Tortona
#12
W
88-68
88
68
+20
H14/10
Eurocup
Maroussi
#13
W
74-57
74
57
+17
H17/10
Basket League
Rostock
#30
W
110-79
110
79
+31
A20/10
Eurocup
Mykonos
#10
W
88-72
88
72
+16
A24/10
Basket League
Cedevita Olimpija
#31
W
78-73
78
73
+5
H28/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-32
21-20
22-24
31-26
15-26
24-14
24-15
24-19
20-12
15-23
20-22
13-17
28-14
25-16
16-25
24-25
23-10
19-11
22-14
24-23
31-21
14-23
17-11
26-13
15-13
22-15
23-15
14-14
29-20
29-17
25-14
27-28
28-21
21-15
15-20
24-16
21-19
17-20
19-18
21-16
161.0Avg total
87.3Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)79.565.2144.8+14.275%
Season at home (2)81.057.5138.5+23.5100%
Season away (2)78.073.0151.0+5.050%
Last 10 (10)87.373.7161.0+13.680%
Last 5 (5)87.669.8157.4+17.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)88.398.0186.3-9.717%
vs Similar (7)83.982.6166.4+1.343%
vs Weaker (17)88.475.1163.5+13.294%
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +4.7+4.7Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: +4.6+4.6Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +3.1+3.1
OlympiacosAris
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OlympiacosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iraklis
#9
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A04/10
Basket League
Anadolu Efes
#14
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H09/10
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#6
W
54-41
54
41
+13
H11/10
Basket League
Valencia
#5
L
34-59
34
59
-25
A13/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#9
W
57-47
57
47
+10
A16/10
Euroleague
Vikos
#14
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A18/10
Basket League
Fenerbahce
#7
W
34-24
34
24
+10
H23/10
Euroleague
Promitheas
#12
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A25/10
Basket League
Besiktas
#11
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A28/10
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#19
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H30/10
Euroleague
80.9Avg total
42.6Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.637.783.3+7.983%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.936.282.1+9.787%-
Last 30 away (15)45.339.284.5+6.180%-
Last 10 (10)42.638.380.9+4.380%-
Last 5 (5)40.033.873.8+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)38.042.380.3-4.367%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)46.437.283.6+9.385%-
This opponent (Aris) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AEK Athens
#4
L
46-52
46
52
-6
A25/05
Basket League
Le Mans
#19
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A29/09
Eurocup
AS Karditsas
#8
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A03/10
Basket League
San Pablo Burgos
#26
W
53-30
53
30
+23
H07/10
Eurocup
AEK Athens
#7
W
42-21
42
21
+21
H10/10
Basket League
Tortona
#12
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H14/10
Eurocup
Maroussi
#13
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H17/10
Basket League
Rostock
#30
W
58-37
58
37
+21
A20/10
Eurocup
Mykonos
#10
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A24/10
Basket League
Cedevita Olimpija
#31
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H28/10
Eurocup
80.4Avg total
44.2Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.741.885.5+2.047%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.936.879.6+6.171%-
Last 30 away (16)44.546.190.6-1.625%-
Last 10 (10)44.236.280.4+8.060%-
Last 5 (5)45.436.882.2+8.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)40.347.587.8-7.217%-
vs Similar (7)43.644.988.4-1.343%-
vs Weaker (17)45.038.583.5+6.559%-
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olympiacostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olympiacos: 85.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.522.0
58.7%
51.0%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.08.7
33.5%
34.2%26.1
🏀 Free throws20.915.3
73.2%
70.8%15.3
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Aristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aris: 87.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.1 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.718.8
51.2%
51.0%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.510.2
35.8%
34.2%30.6
🏀 Free throws24.419.1
78.3%
70.8%19.1
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Apr 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olympiacos
WWWLWWWWWW
Aris
WWWWWWWLWL
#2
League position
#4
+15.7
Net rating
+15.1
101.3
Offensive rating
96.8
85.7
Defensive rating
81.7
55.2%
Effective FG%
52.3%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
44.5%
15.3%
Turnover %
15.6%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.37
33.5%
3-point %
35.8%
67.8%
Assist %
72.1%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence101.3 · 96.8Defence85.7 · 81.7Shooting55.2% · 52.3%3-point %33.5% · 35.8%Ball care15.3% · 15.6%Free throws0.33 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)90% · 80%
■ Olympiacos   ■ Aris
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Olympiacos wins
0
Aris wins
DateGameScore
19/04/26Olympiacos v Aris92-81
04/01/26Aris v Olympiacos84-95
04/01/25Aris v Olympiacos77-88
13/10/24Olympiacos v Aris102-72
31/03/24Olympiacos v Aris85-77
31/12/23Olympiacos v Aris85-71
08/10/23Aris v Olympiacos72-81
22/04/23Aris v Olympiacos58-82
20/04/23Olympiacos v Aris97-73
17/02/23Olympiacos v Aris82-51
Olympiacoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26HOlimpia Milano84-78
28/10/26ABesiktas81-73
25/10/26APromitheas85-45
23/10/26HFenerbahce61-64
18/10/26AVikos79-68
16/10/26ABarcelona105-100 OT
13/10/26AValencia102-97 OT
11/10/26HKolossos Rhodes99-83
09/10/26HAnadolu Efes89-66
04/10/26AIraklis78-68
Arislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/26HCedevita Olimpija78-73
24/10/26AMykonos88-72
20/10/26ARostock110-79
17/10/26HMaroussi74-57
14/10/26HTortona88-68
10/10/26HAEK Athens88-58
07/10/26HSan Pablo Burgos93-80
03/10/26AAS Karditsas68-74
29/09/26ALe Mans87-74
25/05/26AAEK Athens99-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olympiacos
Basket League 2026-27
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game85.299.080.7
Allowed / game66.083.060.3
Point differential+19.2+16.0+20.3
Avg total151.2182.0141.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Aris
Basket League 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWW75%
HomeWW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game79.581.078.0
Allowed / game65.257.573.0
Point differential+14.2+23.5+5.0
Avg total144.8138.5151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos440100%90.068.0+22.0
2 Olympiacos440100%85.266.0+19.2
3 PAOK440100%81.876.0+5.8
4 Aris43175%79.565.2+14.2
5 Peristeri43175%85.888.2-2.5
6 Kolossos Rhodes42250%84.583.0+1.5
7 AEK Athens42250%73.875.5-1.8
8 AS Karditsas42250%69.072.8-3.8
9 Iraklis41325%78.579.0-0.5
10 Mykonos41325%79.584.8-5.2
11 Lefkadas41325%80.285.8-5.5
12 Promitheas41325%68.085.5-17.5
13 Maroussi4040%71.882.5-10.8
14 Vikos4040%71.586.8-15.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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