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Real Madrid vs Panathinaikos Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 19 Dec 2018
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 89-68
23-10 20-21 20-24 26-13
Position#3
Record10-2
FormLWWWL
Points / game89.8
Allowed / game77.9
vs
Position#7
Record6-6
FormLLWWW
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game78.6
EuropeEuroleagueRound 13
European cup2018
Meetings · Real Madrid v Panathinaikos
04 Nov 2026
MAD112
PAO115
13 Nov 2025
MAD77
PAO87
17 Oct 2024
MAD90
PAO86
26 May 2024
MAD80
PAO95
29 Feb 2024
MAD86
PAO97
01 Feb 2023
MAD83
PAO68
15 Oct 2021
MAD88
PAO65
27 Jan 2021
MAD76
PAO66
19 Apr 2019
MAD78
PAO63
17 Apr 2019
MAD75
PAO72
19 Dec 2018
MAD89
PAO68
27 Apr 2018
MAD89
PAO82
25 Apr 2018
MAD81
PAO74
08 Mar 2018
MAD92
PAO75
16 Nov 2016
MAD87
PAO84
22 Jan 2015
MAD83
PAO65
21 Mar 2013
MAD73
PAO74
12 Oct 2012
MAD85
PAO78
05 Nov 2009
MAD80
PAO70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Panathinaikos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Khimki M.
#13
W
79-74
79
74
+5
106avg 119
H15/11
Euroleague
Gipuzkoa
#17
W
104-71
104
71
+33
136avg 119
H18/11
ACB
Gran Canaria
#14
W
89-76
89
76
+13
122avg 119
H20/11
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#6
L
83-88
83
88
-5
117avg 119
A22/11
Euroleague
Barcelona
#2
L
69-86
69
86
-17
97avg 119
A25/11
ACB
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
88-93
88
93
-5
109avg 119
H29/11
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#4
W
84-82
84
82
+2
118avg 119
A07/12
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#11
W
87-63
87
63
+24
119avg 119
H09/12
ACB
Barcelona
#5
W
92-65
92
65
+27
120avg 119
H13/12
Euroleague
Breogan
#18
L
71-84
71
84
-13
100avg 119
A16/12
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-12
22-23
15-20
23-19
28-18
28-13
23-16
25-24
22-28
25-15
15-14
27-19
22-29
19-23
24-13
18-23
19-20
17-19
23-24
10-23
20-24
21-14
20-29
27-26
23-23
22-29
15-22
24-8
17-20
23-11
25-15
22-17
22-17
31-13
16-20
23-15
21-20
13-25
13-25
24-14
162.8Avg total
84.6Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)89.877.9167.8+11.983%
Season at home (7)91.976.4168.3+15.486%
Season away (5)87.080.0167.0+7.080%
Last 10 (10)84.678.2162.8+6.460%
Last 5 (5)84.477.4161.8+7.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)86.987.0173.9-0.157%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)90.076.5166.5+13.686%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Panionios
#12
W
88-67
88
67
+21
no box
A12/11
Basket League
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
62-78
62
78
-16
89avg 104
A16/11
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
W
79-70
79
70
+9
no box
H18/11
Basket League
Barcelona
#5
W
76-70
76
70
+6
105avg 104
H21/11
Euroleague
Baskonia
#8
L
77-86
77
86
-9
93avg 104
A23/11
Euroleague
Khimki M.
#13
L
68-76
68
76
-8
92avg 104
A30/11
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#2
L
69-81
69
81
-12
92avg 104
H07/12
Euroleague
Peristeri
#4
W
80-75
80
75
+5
no box
H10/12
Basket League
Darussafaka
#16
W
75-67
75
67
+8
101avg 104
H14/12
Euroleague
PAOK
#6
W
93-83
93
83
+10
no box
A16/12
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-20
20-17
18-14
22-16
11-19
17-25
18-16
16-18
15-14
17-15
23-22
24-19
13-10
21-15
21-25
21-20
12-20
20-24
23-29
22-13
25-29
19-19
7-11
17-17
12-18
21-17
19-21
17-25
21-18
22-21
26-17
11-19
22-16
21-16
14-21
18-14
19-11
29-20
21-25
24-27
152.0Avg total
76.7Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)78.878.6157.3+0.250%
Season at home (7)83.979.4163.3+4.471%
Season away (5)71.677.4149.0-5.820%
Last 10 (10)76.775.3152.0+1.460%
Last 5 (5)77.076.4153.4+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)65.579.5145.0-14.00%
vs Similar (7)80.780.4161.1+0.343%
vs Weaker (21)84.371.0155.3+13.390%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: +0.4+0.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: +0.4+0.4
Real MadridPanathinaikos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Khimki M.
#13
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H15/11
Euroleague
Gipuzkoa
#17
W
56-31
56
31
+25
H18/11
ACB
Gran Canaria
#14
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H20/11
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#6
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A22/11
Euroleague
Barcelona
#2
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A25/11
ACB
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H29/11
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
45-52
45
52
-7
A07/12
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#11
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H09/12
ACB
Barcelona
#5
W
53-30
53
30
+23
H13/12
Euroleague
Breogan
#18
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A16/12
ACB
83.0Avg total
43.4Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.640.084.6+4.663%-
Last 30 at home (17)46.638.985.5+7.776%-
Last 30 away (13)42.141.583.5+0.646%-
Last 10 (10)43.439.683.0+3.860%-
Last 5 (5)42.639.281.8+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)42.142.985.0-0.729%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)45.639.485.0+6.373%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panionios
#12
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A12/11
Basket League
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
28-44
28
44
-16
A16/11
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H18/11
Basket League
Barcelona
#5
W
34-25
34
25
+9
H21/11
Euroleague
Baskonia
#8
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A23/11
Euroleague
Khimki M.
#13
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A30/11
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#2
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H07/12
Euroleague
Peristeri
#4
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H10/12
Basket League
Darussafaka
#16
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H14/12
Euroleague
PAOK
#6
W
48-31
48
31
+17
A16/12
Basket League
74.9Avg total
38.5Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.336.577.8+4.860%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.833.875.6+7.971%-
Last 30 away (13)40.740.180.8+0.646%-
Last 10 (10)38.536.474.9+2.160%-
Last 5 (5)42.237.079.2+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)30.539.570.0-9.00%-
vs Similar (7)38.742.080.7-3.343%-
vs Weaker (21)43.234.477.6+8.871%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 84.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.219.7
56.0%
52.7%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.19.8
36.2%
37.0%29.4
🏀 Free throws18.815.2
80.9%
76.7%15.2
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 76.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.3 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.221.5
53.5%
52.7%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.96.1
29.2%
37.0%18.3
🏀 Free throws20.415.2
74.5%
76.7%15.2
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Dec 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
LWWWLLLWWW
Panathinaikos
WWWLLLWWLW
#3
League position
#7
+9.2
Net rating
+0.4
113.9
Offensive rating
106.7
104.7
Defensive rating
106.3
55.2%
Effective FG%
50.2%
50.7%
Opp. effective FG%
54.0%
16.0%
Turnover %
15.7%
27.6%
Off. rebound %
30.9%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.33
36.2%
3-point %
29.2%
65.8%
Assist %
56.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence113.9 · 106.7Defence104.7 · 106.3Shooting55.2% · 50.2%3-point %36.2% · 29.2%Ball care16.0% · 15.7%Off. rebounds27.6% · 30.9%Free throws0.30 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Panathinaikos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Real Madrid wins
4
Panathinaikos wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/18ABreogan71-84
13/12/18HBarcelona92-65
09/12/18HGran Canaria87-63
07/12/18AAnadolu Efes84-82
29/11/18HCSKA Moscow88-93
25/11/18ABarcelona69-86
22/11/18AOlympiacos83-88
20/11/18HGran Canaria89-76
18/11/18HGipuzkoa104-71
15/11/18HKhimki M.79-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/18APAOK93-83
14/12/18HDarussafaka75-67
10/12/18HPeristeri80-75
07/12/18HFenerbahce69-81
30/11/18AKhimki M.68-76
23/11/18ABaskonia77-86
21/11/18HBarcelona76-70
18/11/18HOlympiacos79-70
16/11/18AAnadolu Efes62-78
12/11/18APanionios88-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW83%
HomeWWWLW86%
AwayWWWLW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %83%86%80%
Points / game89.891.987.0
Allowed / game77.976.480.0
Point differential+11.9+15.4+7.0
Avg total167.8168.3167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%71%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Panathinaikos
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW50%
HomeLWWLW71%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %50%71%20%
Points / game78.883.971.6
Allowed / game78.679.477.4
Point differential+0.2+4.4-5.8
Avg total157.3163.3149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %8%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce1312192%84.676.3+8.3
2 Real Madrid1210283%89.877.9+11.9
3 CSKA Moscow1310377%87.881.8+6.0
4 Anadolu Efes139469%87.981.1+6.8
5 Olympiacos138562%79.776.8+2.8
6 Bayern137654%80.280.2+0.0
7 Panathinaikos126650%78.878.6+0.2
8 Zalgiris Kaunas136746%82.781.8+0.8
9 Olimpia Milano136746%85.585.2+0.2
10 Baskonia136746%81.381.2+0.1
11 Barcelona136746%75.878.2-2.4
12 Gran Canaria135838%82.288.8-6.6
13 Maccabi Tel Aviv134931%77.279.2-2.0
14 Khimki M.134931%77.280.2-3.1
15 Buducnost1331023%71.983.2-11.3
16 Darussafaka131128%75.085.9-10.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid2320202689
Panathinaikos1021241368
← all games of the day
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