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Real Madrid vs Olympiacos Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 25 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 90-85
30-13 22-17 16-25 22-30
Position#1
Record19-3
FormWWLLW
Points / game89.0
Allowed / game78.7
vs
Position#4
Record12-10
FormLLWWL
Points / game77.5
Allowed / game74.6
EuropeEuroleagueRound 23· WiZink Center
European cup2023
Meetings · Real Madrid v Olympiacos
07 Jan 2027
MAD v OLY
upcoming
02 Oct 2025
MAD89
OLY77
01 May 2025
MAD84
OLY86
29 Apr 2025
MAD80
OLY72
16 Jan 2025
MAD86
OLY96
24 May 2024
MAD87
OLY76
25 Jan 2024
MAD90
OLY85
19 Oct 2022
MAD87
OLY89
02 Feb 2022
MAD75
OLY67
02 Apr 2021
MAD72
OLY63
10 Jan 2019
MAD94
OLY78
09 Feb 2018
MAD79
OLY80
12 Oct 2016
MAD83
OLY65
28 Jan 2016
MAD84
OLY72
17 May 2015
MAD78
OLY59
25 Apr 2014
MAD83
OLY69
17 Apr 2014
MAD82
OLY77
15 Apr 2014
MAD88
OLY71
25 Nov 2010
MAD82
OLY68
02 Apr 2009
MAD75
OLY78
31 Mar 2009
MAD71
OLY63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olympiacos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
77-76
77
76
+1
71avg 76
A28/12
Euroleague
Valencia
#4
W
83-74
83
74
+9
81avg 76
H31/12
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
78-83
78
83
-5
70avg 76
A03/01
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
130-126 OT
130
126
+4
117avg 76
H05/01
Euroleague
Baskonia
#8
W
99-85
99
85
+14
100avg 76
A07/01
ACB
Bayern
#15
W
92-71
92
71
+21
90avg 76
A09/01
Euroleague
Valencia
#14
W
96-86 OT
96
86
+10
91avg 76
H11/01
Euroleague
Murcia
#6
L
61-73
61
73
-12
58avg 76
A14/01
ACB
Monaco
#3
L
74-98
74
98
-24
61avg 76
A19/01
Euroleague
Bilbao
#13
W
95-80
95
80
+15
99avg 76
H21/01
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-19
15-20
18-18
26-19
20-15
21-19
26-19
16-21
25-21
22-24
15-15
16-23
25-18
13-18
26-25
17-20
35-20
16-23
22-23
26-19
24-18
21-18
19-17
28-18
16-24
19-16
23-15
24-27
16-19
10-17
25-16
10-21
20-33
20-23
14-24
20-18
30-22
18-16
28-14
19-28
173.7Avg total
88.5Scored
85.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)89.078.7167.6+10.386%
Season at home (10)94.179.6173.7+14.5100%
Season away (12)84.777.9162.6+6.875%
Last 10 (10)88.585.2173.7+3.370%
Last 5 (5)83.681.6165.2+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (3)86.782.7169.3+4.067%
vs Weaker (27)89.677.9167.5+11.785%
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OlympiacosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOlympiacos
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#18
W
94-67
94
67
+27
103avg 81
A29/12
Euroleague
Aris
#8
W
85-71
85
71
+14
90avg 81
H31/12
Basket League
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
79-74
79
74
+5
83avg 81
H02/01
Euroleague
Monaco
#3
W
75-73
75
73
+2
72avg 81
H04/01
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#9
W
92-80
92
80
+12
98avg 81
A07/01
Basket League
Barcelona
#5
L
78-86
78
86
-8
66avg 81
A10/01
Euroleague
Baskonia
#9
L
69-80
69
80
-11
68avg 81
A12/01
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#15
W
71-52
71
52
+19
72avg 81
H15/01
Basket League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
W
89-72
89
72
+17
85avg 81
H18/01
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#2
L
80-85
80
85
-5
78avg 81
A22/01
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-25
21-18
27-8
27-16
20-11
21-16
18-27
26-17
18-19
22-16
23-15
16-24
17-21
17-15
22-22
19-15
23-16
26-23
22-18
21-23
20-27
21-17
22-31
15-11
17-14
15-19
17-26
20-21
14-11
13-21
23-12
21-8
26-18
16-18
27-21
20-15
18-23
24-21
12-19
26-22
155.2Avg total
81.2Scored
74.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)77.574.6152.2+2.955%
Season at home (12)78.273.8152.1+4.467%
Season away (10)76.775.6152.3+1.140%
Last 10 (10)81.274.0155.2+7.270%
Last 5 (5)77.475.0152.4+2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (12)76.975.0151.9+1.950%
vs Weaker (18)82.769.4152.1+13.278%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +3.9+3.9
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +3.9+3.9
Real MadridOlympiacos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A28/12
Euroleague
Valencia
#4
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H31/12
ACB
Barcelona
#5
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A03/01
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H05/01
Euroleague
Baskonia
#8
W
51-43
51
43
+8
A07/01
ACB
Bayern
#15
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A09/01
Euroleague
Valencia
#14
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H11/01
Euroleague
Murcia
#6
L
26-36
26
36
-10
A14/01
ACB
Monaco
#3
L
40-56
40
56
-16
A19/01
Euroleague
Bilbao
#13
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H21/01
ACB
80.7Avg total
40.4Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.137.581.6+6.683%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.135.181.3+11.093%-
Last 30 away (16)42.339.681.9+2.875%-
Last 10 (10)40.440.380.7+0.160%-
Last 5 (5)38.841.280.0-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (3)45.740.085.7+5.7100%-
vs Weaker (27)43.937.281.1+6.781%-
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OlympiacosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#18
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A29/12
Euroleague
Aris
#8
W
41-27
41
27
+14
H31/12
Basket League
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H02/01
Euroleague
Monaco
#3
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H04/01
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#9
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A07/01
Basket League
Barcelona
#5
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A10/01
Euroleague
Baskonia
#9
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A12/01
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#15
L
27-32
27
32
-5
H15/01
Basket League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H18/01
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#2
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A22/01
Basket League
75.7Avg total
38.8Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.635.275.8+5.567%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.734.172.8+4.669%-
Last 30 away (14)42.936.479.3+6.464%-
Last 10 (10)38.836.975.7+1.940%-
Last 5 (5)36.837.874.6-1.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (12)38.836.375.1+2.458%-
vs Weaker (18)41.934.476.3+7.572%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 87.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.919.1
53.2%
53.4%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.911.2
37.5%
36.6%33.6
🏀 Free throws20.015.5
77.5%
77.4%15.5
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olympiacostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olympiacos: 80.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.919.4
55.6%
53.4%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.49.0
38.5%
36.6%27.0
🏀 Free throws19.114.6
76.4%
77.4%14.6
They take 58.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
WLLWWWWLWW
Olympiacos
LWWLLWWWWW
#1
League position
#4
+3.6
Net rating
+10.7
109.6
Offensive rating
115.7
106.0
Defensive rating
105.1
54.6%
Effective FG%
56.4%
52.0%
Opp. effective FG%
49.2%
17.9%
Turnover %
18.8%
24.9%
Off. rebound %
33.7%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.33
37.5%
3-point %
38.5%
64.0%
Assist %
74.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence109.6 · 115.7Defence106.0 · 105.1Shooting54.6% · 56.4%3-point %37.5% · 38.5%Ball care17.9% · 18.8%Off. rebounds24.9% · 33.7%Free throws0.30 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Olympiacos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Real Madrid wins
4
Olympiacos wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/24HBilbao95-80
19/01/24AMonaco74-98
14/01/24AMurcia61-73
11/01/24HValencia96-86 OT
09/01/24ABayern92-71
07/01/24ABaskonia99-85
05/01/24HAnadolu Efes130-126 OT
03/01/24ABarcelona78-83
31/12/23HValencia83-74
28/12/23ALyon-Villeurbanne77-76
Olympiacoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/01/24APanathinaikos80-85
18/01/24HMaccabi Tel Aviv89-72
15/01/24HKolossos Rhodes71-52
12/01/24ABaskonia69-80
10/01/24ABarcelona78-86
07/01/24AAEK Athens92-80
04/01/24HMonaco75-73
02/01/24HOlimpia Milano79-74
31/12/23HAris85-71
29/12/23AAlba Berlin94-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL86%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221012
Win %86%100%75%
Points / game89.094.184.7
Allowed / game78.779.677.9
Point differential+10.3+14.5+6.8
Avg total167.6173.7162.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+59%80%42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)100% (2)60% (5)
Overtime %14%20%8%
Olympiacos
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW55%
HomeWLWWW67%
AwayLWWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221210
Win %55%67%40%
Points / game77.578.276.7
Allowed / game74.673.875.6
Point differential+2.9+4.4+1.1
Avg total152.2152.1152.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%25%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)80% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %9%8%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid2219386%89.078.7+10.3
2 Barcelona2215768%83.079.8+3.1
3 Virtus Bologna2315865%81.381.0+0.3
4 Panathinaikos2314961%81.878.6+3.2
5 Fenerbahce2314961%84.081.7+2.3
6 Maccabi Tel Aviv23131057%85.886.8-1.0
7 Olympiacos22121055%77.574.6+2.9
8 Monaco22121055%81.580.0+1.5
9 Baskonia22121055%82.382.7-0.4
10 Valencia22111150%76.976.7+0.2
11 Partizan22111150%83.984.1-0.2
12 Olimpia Milano2291341%77.776.8+1.0
13 Anadolu Efes2291341%84.988.0-3.0
14 Crvena zvezda2391439%81.980.9+1.0
15 Bayern2391439%78.581.6-3.1
16 Zalgiris Kaunas2281436%79.481.3-2.0
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne2351822%78.586.0-7.5
18 Alba Berlin2351822%76.084.0-8.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid3022162290
Olympiacos1317253085
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