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Olympiacos vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 23 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 84-72
27-14 20-15 17-22 20-21
Position#2
Record24-10
FormLWWWW
Points / game86.9
Allowed / game81.8
vs
Position#8
Record21-15
FormWWLWW
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game82.4
EuropeEuroleagueEuroleague - Quarter-finals· Peace and Friendship Stadium
European cup2024
Meetings · Olympiacos v Real Madrid
20 Nov 2026
OLY v MAD
upcoming
24 May 2026
OLY92
MAD85
07 Apr 2026
OLY102
MAD88
25 Apr 2025
OLY77
MAD71
23 Apr 2025
OLY84
MAD72
29 Oct 2024
OLY79
MAD69
05 Dec 2023
OLY71
MAD77
21 May 2023
OLY78
MAD79
20 Jan 2023
OLY73
MAD60
08 Oct 2021
OLY74
MAD68
18 Dec 2020
OLY82
MAD86
22 Nov 2018
OLY88
MAD83
08 Dec 2017
OLY92
MAD83
24 Mar 2017
OLY73
MAD79
25 Mar 2016
OLY99
MAD84
23 Apr 2014
OLY71
MAD62
21 Apr 2014
OLY78
MAD76
12 May 2013
OLY100
MAD88
18 Oct 2010
OLY82
MAD66
26 Mar 2009
OLY79
MAD73
24 Mar 2009
OLY88
MAD79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olympiacos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OlympiacosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOlympiacos
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#3
W
76-74
76
74
+2
75avg 85
H14/03
Euroleague
Maroussi
#11
W
104-88
104
88
+16
104avg 85
A17/03
Basket League
Crvena zvezda
#10
L
73-81
73
81
-8
70avg 85
H20/03
Euroleague
Panionios
#8
W
95-64
95
64
+31
94avg 85
H23/03
Basket League
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
L
70-81
70
81
-11
60avg 85
A25/03
Euroleague
Monaco
#4
L
77-80
77
80
-3
70avg 85
H27/03
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#18
W
100-92
100
92
+8
103avg 85
A04/04
Euroleague
Panionios
#8
W
106-67
106
67
+39
108avg 85
H06/04
Basket League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
W
99-93
99
93
+6
99avg 85
H10/04
Euroleague
Panionios
#8
W
91-85
91
85
+6
86avg 85
A13/04
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-9
18-18
24-23
14-24
24-19
31-21
21-26
28-22
8-20
19-23
28-15
18-23
22-9
26-16
20-20
27-19
16-14
23-23
13-21
18-23
15-23
22-12
23-23
17-22
36-17
25-29
19-27
20-19
22-17
20-28
32-8
32-14
31-28
20-20
19-22
29-23
28-18
16-22
28-17
19-28
169.6Avg total
89.1Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)86.981.8168.7+5.171%
Season at home (17)86.978.9165.8+8.176%
Season away (17)86.884.8171.6+2.165%
Last 10 (10)89.180.5169.6+8.670%
Last 5 (5)94.683.4178.0+11.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)75.079.0154.0-4.00%
vs Similar ◀ (9)81.781.4163.1+0.256%
vs Weaker (19)92.976.6169.5+16.395%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
96-89
96
89
+7
96avg 83
H25/03
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#10
W
78-72
78
72
+6
75avg 83
A28/03
Euroleague
Bilbao
#15
W
88-70
88
70
+18
88avg 83
H30/03
ACB
Paris
#9
W
105-104
105
104
+1
99avg 83
H03/04
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
W
91-89
91
89
+2
85avg 83
A06/04
ACB
Partizan
#12
W
91-89
91
89
+2
84avg 83
A10/04
Euroleague
Tenerife
#3
W
79-68
79
68
+11
68avg 83
A13/04
ACB
Paris
#9
L
73-81
73
81
-8
65avg 83
H15/04
Euroleague
Bayern
#7
W
93-71
93
71
+22
97avg 83
H18/04
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
98-97
98
97
+1
95avg 83
H20/04
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-16
23-25
24-22
18-26
22-9
20-18
13-18
23-27
22-17
12-17
29-18
25-18
23-28
30-25
21-27
31-24
20-24
22-15
26-22
23-28
22-24
26-22
17-28
26-15
23-15
22-19
21-15
13-19
22-27
14-19
22-16
15-19
33-17
19-16
21-22
20-16
29-29
17-15
30-25
22-28
172.2Avg total
89.2Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)85.082.4167.3+2.658%
Season at home (19)89.984.9174.9+5.074%
Season away (17)79.479.5158.9-0.141%
Last 10 (10)89.283.0172.2+6.290%
Last 5 (5)86.881.2168.0+5.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (14)83.685.3168.9-1.750%
vs Weaker (15)87.176.7163.9+10.4100%
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -0.4-0.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -0.4-0.4
OlympiacosReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OlympiacosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#3
W
38-27
38
27
+11
H14/03
Euroleague
Maroussi
#11
W
55-40
55
40
+15
A17/03
Basket League
Crvena zvezda
#10
L
27-43
27
43
-16
H20/03
Euroleague
Panionios
#8
W
48-25
48
25
+23
H23/03
Basket League
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A25/03
Euroleague
Monaco
#4
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H27/03
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#18
W
61-46
61
46
+15
A04/04
Euroleague
Panionios
#8
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H06/04
Basket League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
W
51-48
51
48
+3
H10/04
Euroleague
Panionios
#8
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A13/04
Basket League
82.8Avg total
44.2Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.937.580.4+5.470%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.736.578.3+5.273%-
Last 30 away (15)44.138.582.6+5.767%-
Last 10 (10)44.238.682.8+5.680%-
Last 5 (5)47.042.889.8+4.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)34.030.064.0+4.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)39.738.177.8+1.656%-
vs Weaker (19)45.438.283.5+7.274%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
54-41
54
41
+13
H25/03
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#10
W
42-27
42
27
+15
A28/03
Euroleague
Bilbao
#15
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H30/03
ACB
Paris
#9
D
53-53
53
53
+0
H03/04
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A06/04
ACB
Partizan
#12
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A10/04
Euroleague
Tenerife
#3
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A13/04
ACB
Paris
#9
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H15/04
Euroleague
Bayern
#7
W
52-33
52
33
+19
H18/04
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H20/04
ACB
84.9Avg total
45.2Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.138.380.4+3.853%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.540.183.6+3.347%-
Last 30 away (15)40.736.577.1+4.260%-
Last 10 (10)45.239.784.9+5.570%-
Last 5 (5)45.440.686.0+4.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (14)41.441.082.4+0.436%-
vs Weaker (15)42.736.379.0+6.367%-
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olympiacostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olympiacos: 88.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.420.6
59.9%
54.5%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.710.5
36.6%
36.2%31.5
🏀 Free throws21.315.6
73.2%
78.0%15.6
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 88.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.122.4
60.4%
54.5%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.69.6
36.1%
36.2%28.8
🏀 Free throws20.815.0
72.1%
78.0%15.0
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olympiacos
WWWWLLWLWW
Real Madrid
WWLWWWWWWW
#2
League position
#8
+11.7
Net rating
+8.6
119.2
Offensive rating
119.0
107.5
Defensive rating
110.4
57.6%
Effective FG%
57.8%
52.9%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
16.7%
Turnover %
16.2%
31.2%
Off. rebound %
32.3%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.33
36.6%
3-point %
36.1%
72.0%
Assist %
58.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence119.2 · 119.0Defence107.5 · 110.4Shooting57.6% · 57.8%3-point %36.6% · 36.1%Ball care16.7% · 16.2%Off. rebounds31.2% · 32.3%Free throws0.34 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)70% · 90%
■ Olympiacos   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Olympiacos wins
5
Real Madrid wins
Olympiacoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/04/25APanionios91-85
10/04/25HMaccabi Tel Aviv99-93
06/04/25HPanionios106-67
04/04/25AAlba Berlin100-92
27/03/25HMonaco77-80
25/03/25ALyon-Villeurbanne70-81
23/03/25HPanionios95-64
20/03/25HCrvena zvezda73-81
17/03/25AMaroussi104-88
14/03/25HPanathinaikos76-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/04/25HMoraBanc Andorra98-97
18/04/25HBayern93-71
15/04/25HParis73-81
13/04/25ATenerife79-68
10/04/25APartizan91-89
06/04/25ABarcelona91-89
03/04/25HParis105-104
30/03/25HBilbao88-70
28/03/25ACrvena zvezda78-72
25/03/25HOlimpia Milano96-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olympiacos
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW71%
HomeWWLLW76%
AwayWWWLW65%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341717
Win %71%76%65%
Points / game86.986.986.8
Allowed / game81.878.984.8
Point differential+5.1+8.1+2.1
Avg total168.7165.8171.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%41%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (12)80% (5)71% (7)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Real Madrid
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW58%
HomeWWWLW74%
AwayLLWWW41%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361917
Win %58%74%41%
Points / game85.089.979.4
Allowed / game82.484.979.5
Point differential+2.6+5.0-0.1
Avg total167.3174.9158.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%37%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)100% (5)20% (5)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos34241071%86.981.8+5.1
2 Fenerbahce35241169%83.281.1+2.1
3 Panathinaikos35231266%88.383.8+4.5
4 Monaco35221363%86.682.8+3.8
5 Real Madrid36211558%85.082.4+2.6
6 Anadolu Efes35201557%86.782.4+4.3
7 Barcelona35201557%87.984.8+3.1
8 Paris36201656%86.185.2+0.9
9 Bayern36201656%87.088.1-1.0
10 Crvena zvezda35181751%83.181.6+1.5
11 Olimpia Milano34171750%85.486.7-1.2
12 Partizan34161847%81.880.1+1.6
13 Zalgiris Kaunas34151944%77.479.0-1.6
14 Baskonia34142041%82.683.6-1.1
15 Lyon-Villeurbanne34132138%80.985.3-4.4
16 Maccabi Tel Aviv34112332%85.989.8-3.9
17 Virtus Bologna3492526%79.283.7-4.5
18 Alba Berlin3452915%78.791.3-12.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olympiacos2720172084
Real Madrid1415222172
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