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Olympiacos vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 18 Dec 2020
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 82-86 (OT)
12-12 18-19 21-18 18-20 13-17
Position#12
Record7-6
FormLLWWL
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game78.8
vs
Position#7
Record9-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game79.3
EuropeEuroleagueRound 15
European cup2020
Meetings · Olympiacos v Real Madrid
20 Nov 2026
OLY v MAD
upcoming
24 May 2026
OLY92
MAD85
07 Apr 2026
OLY102
MAD88
25 Apr 2025
OLY77
MAD71
23 Apr 2025
OLY84
MAD72
29 Oct 2024
OLY79
MAD69
05 Dec 2023
OLY71
MAD77
21 May 2023
OLY78
MAD79
20 Jan 2023
OLY73
MAD60
08 Oct 2021
OLY74
MAD68
18 Dec 2020
OLY82
MAD86
22 Nov 2018
OLY88
MAD83
08 Dec 2017
OLY92
MAD83
24 Mar 2017
OLY73
MAD79
25 Mar 2016
OLY99
MAD84
23 Apr 2014
OLY71
MAD62
21 Apr 2014
OLY78
MAD76
12 May 2013
OLY100
MAD88
18 Oct 2010
OLY82
MAD66
26 Mar 2009
OLY79
MAD73
24 Mar 2009
OLY88
MAD79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olympiacos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OlympiacosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOlympiacos
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
W
85-82
85
82
+3
79avg 73
H16/10
Euroleague
Bayern
#5
L
68-74
68
74
-6
no box
A23/10
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#3
L
79-84
79
84
-5
77avg 73
H30/10
Euroleague
Zenit Petersburg
#6
W
75-66
75
66
+9
72avg 73
A05/11
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#15
W
75-71
75
71
+4
73avg 73
H12/11
Euroleague
Baskonia
#10
L
76-90
76
90
-14
65avg 73
H26/11
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
61-80
61
80
-19
54avg 73
A03/12
Euroleague
Barcelona
#2
W
96-88
96
88
+8
92avg 73
A08/12
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#17
W
81-79
81
79
+2
83avg 73
A10/12
Euroleague
Valencia
#8
L
85-96
85
96
-11
no box
H16/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-22
29-18
25-26
16-16
18-22
16-17
19-22
15-13
26-29
12-15
19-19
22-21
19-20
22-7
17-16
17-23
10-22
14-13
27-9
24-27
15-23
16-24
27-20
18-23
19-20
10-19
9-17
23-24
26-17
25-30
21-16
24-25
16-30
21-15
25-16
19-18
16-25
23-27
26-24
20-20
159.1Avg total
78.1Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)77.878.8156.6-0.954%
Season at home (7)79.080.9159.9-1.943%
Season away (6)76.576.3152.8+0.267%
Last 10 (10)78.181.0159.1-2.950%
Last 5 (5)79.886.6166.4-6.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)59.867.0126.8-7.238%
vs Similar ◀ (10)76.174.7150.8+1.450%
vs Weaker (11)84.970.4155.3+14.582%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
W
79-63
79
63
+16
78avg 80
H18/11
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#9
W
94-74
94
74
+20
97avg 80
H20/11
Euroleague
Manresa
#11
W
100-78
100
78
+22
98avg 80
H22/11
ACB
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
73-74
73
74
-1
64avg 80
A26/11
Euroleague
Baskonia
#5
W
92-83
92
83
+9
93avg 80
H02/12
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#14
W
91-84
91
84
+7
83avg 80
H04/12
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#6
W
74-60
74
60
+14
67avg 80
A06/12
ACB
Zenit Petersburg
#6
W
79-72
79
72
+7
74avg 80
H10/12
Euroleague
Unicaja
#9
W
91-84
91
84
+7
88avg 80
H13/12
ACB
Panathinaikos
#16
W
97-93 OT
97
93
+4
no box
A15/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-18
16-14
17-18
17-13
28-12
21-24
23-15
22-23
25-18
22-22
26-18
27-20
20-17
18-18
17-23
18-16
25-19
15-24
28-15
24-25
19-26
21-24
21-20
30-14
17-16
17-13
22-12
18-19
24-21
12-10
23-11
20-30
20-16
17-17
30-25
24-26
14-15
19-14
23-19
12-20
163.5Avg total
87.0Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)82.579.3161.8+3.264%
Season at home (7)87.779.0166.7+8.786%
Season away (7)77.379.6156.9-2.343%
Last 10 (10)87.076.5163.5+10.590%
Last 5 (5)86.478.6165.0+7.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)72.079.0151.0-7.00%
vs Similar ◀ (9)80.978.0158.9+2.956%
vs Weaker (19)87.475.3162.7+12.1100%
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -5.0-5.0Q1: +4.3+4.3Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: +5.4+5.4Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +0.6+0.6
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -5.0-5.0Q1: +4.3+4.3Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: +5.4+5.4Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +0.6+0.6
OlympiacosReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OlympiacosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H16/10
Euroleague
Bayern
#5
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A23/10
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#3
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H30/10
Euroleague
Zenit Petersburg
#6
W
41-27
41
27
+14
A05/11
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#15
L
24-35
24
35
-11
H12/11
Euroleague
Baskonia
#10
L
31-47
31
47
-16
H26/11
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A03/12
Euroleague
Barcelona
#2
W
51-47
51
47
+4
A08/12
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#17
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A10/12
Euroleague
Valencia
#8
L
39-52
39
52
-13
H16/12
Euroleague
78.3Avg total
36.8Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)38.937.976.8+1.057%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.638.677.1+0.057%-
Last 30 away (14)39.237.176.4+2.157%-
Last 10 (10)36.841.578.3-4.730%-
Last 5 (5)37.446.083.4-8.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)37.741.879.5-4.233%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)37.836.574.3+1.360%-
vs Weaker (11)40.636.777.4+3.973%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H18/11
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#9
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H20/11
Euroleague
Manresa
#11
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H22/11
ACB
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A26/11
Euroleague
Baskonia
#5
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H02/12
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#14
L
40-50
40
50
-10
H04/12
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#6
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A06/12
ACB
Zenit Petersburg
#6
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H10/12
Euroleague
Unicaja
#9
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H13/12
ACB
Panathinaikos
#16
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A15/12
Euroleague
75.7Avg total
39.9Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.437.177.5+3.460%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.739.180.8+2.760%-
Last 30 away (15)39.135.174.2+4.160%-
Last 10 (10)39.935.875.7+4.180%-
Last 5 (5)36.034.470.4+1.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)27.048.075.0-21.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)41.737.979.6+3.867%-
vs Weaker (19)40.235.876.0+4.358%-
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olympiacostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olympiacos: 77.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.518.4
54.9%
52.7%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.38.6
36.9%
38.1%25.8
🏀 Free throws18.514.5
78.4%
79.3%14.5
They take 56.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 84.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.519.6
60.3%
52.7%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.29.9
36.4%
38.1%29.7
🏀 Free throws18.515.1
81.6%
79.3%15.1
They take 59.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Dec 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olympiacos
LWWLLWWLLW
Real Madrid
WWWWWWLWWW
#12
League position
#7
-4.1
Net rating
+16.1
109.2
Offensive rating
117.3
113.3
Defensive rating
101.2
55.1%
Effective FG%
57.7%
57.4%
Opp. effective FG%
49.4%
20.0%
Turnover %
16.9%
29.4%
Off. rebound %
27.3%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.31
36.9%
3-point %
36.4%
63.0%
Assist %
60.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence109.2 · 117.3Defence113.3 · 101.2Shooting55.1% · 57.7%3-point %36.9% · 36.4%Ball care20.0% · 16.9%Off. rebounds29.4% · 27.3%Free throws0.33 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 90%
■ Olympiacos   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Olympiacos wins
6
Real Madrid wins
Olympiacoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/20HValencia85-96
10/12/20ACrvena zvezda81-79
08/12/20ABarcelona96-88
03/12/20ACSKA Moscow61-80
26/11/20HBaskonia76-90
12/11/20HAlba Berlin75-71
05/11/20AZenit Petersburg75-66
30/10/20HAnadolu Efes79-84
23/10/20ABayern68-74
16/10/20HMaccabi Tel Aviv85-82
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/20APanathinaikos97-93 OT
13/12/20HUnicaja91-84
10/12/20HZenit Petersburg79-72
06/12/20ASan Pablo Burgos74-60
04/12/20HLyon-Villeurbanne91-84
02/12/20HBaskonia92-83
26/11/20ACSKA Moscow73-74
22/11/20HManresa100-78
20/11/20HFenerbahce94-74
18/11/20HMaccabi Tel Aviv79-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olympiacos
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL54%
HomeWLWLL43%
AwayLWLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %54%43%67%
Points / game77.879.076.5
Allowed / game78.880.976.3
Point differential-0.9-1.9+0.2
Avg total156.6159.9152.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Real Madrid
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW64%
HomeWWWWW86%
AwayLWWLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %64%86%43%
Points / game82.587.777.3
Allowed / game79.379.079.6
Point differential+3.2+8.7-2.3
Avg total161.8166.7156.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%43%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %7%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSKA Moscow1512380%84.277.2+7.0
2 Barcelona1411379%81.772.0+9.7
3 Bayern1510567%79.275.9+3.3
4 Real Madrid149564%82.579.3+3.2
5 Olimpia Milano149564%81.579.5+2.0
6 Zenit Petersburg138562%73.972.9+1.0
7 Valencia159660%82.381.1+1.1
8 Olympiacos137654%77.878.8-0.9
9 Zalgiris Kaunas158753%80.578.0+2.5
10 Anadolu Efes157847%76.777.8-1.1
11 Baskonia146843%77.675.0+2.6
12 Alba Berlin146843%78.183.1-5.0
13 Maccabi Tel Aviv145936%78.678.5+0.1
14 Panathinaikos145936%80.483.8-3.4
15 Crvena zvezda1551033%75.477.5-2.1
16 Fenerbahce1551033%72.280.3-8.1
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne134931%74.577.9-3.4
18 Khimki M.1421214%79.188.2-9.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Olympiacos121821181382
Real Madrid121918201786
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