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Olimpia Milano vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 17:15
Final 73-82
22-24 20-29 11-13 20-16
Position#5
Record6-3
FormWWLWW
Points / game84.8
Allowed / game83.8
vs
Position#1
Record7-2
FormLLLLL
Points / game88.8
Allowed / game84.2
ItalyLega ARound 10· Unipol Forum
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Virtus Bologna
25 Oct 2026
MIL94
VIR98
29 Sep 2026
MIL87
VIR85
26 Mar 2026
MIL103
VIR87
14 Dec 2025
MIL74
VIR63
07 Jun 2025
MIL78
VIR84
05 Jun 2025
MIL68
VIR78
08 Dec 2024
MIL73
VIR82
31 Oct 2024
MIL99
VIR90
22 Sep 2024
MIL98
VIR96
13 Jun 2024
MIL85
VIR73
11 Jun 2024
MIL81
VIR78
05 Apr 2024
MIL90
VIR75
10 Dec 2023
MIL82
VIR80
23 Sep 2023
MIL73
VIR78
23 Jun 2023
MIL67
VIR55
19 Jun 2023
MIL79
VIR72
11 Jun 2023
MIL79
VIR76
09 Jun 2023
MIL92
VIR82
19 Mar 2023
MIL69
VIR75
09 Nov 2022
MIL59
VIR64
28 Sep 2022
MIL64
VIR72
18 Jun 2022
MIL81
VIR64
14 Jun 2022
MIL77
VIR62
12 Jun 2022
MIL94
VIR82
05 Jan 2022
MIL102
VIR99
21 Sep 2021
MIL84
VIR90
07 Jun 2021
MIL72
VIR83
05 Jun 2021
MIL77
VIR83
17 Apr 2021
MIL94
VIR84
20 Sep 2020
MIL75
VIR68
19 Apr 2020
MIL v VIR
upcoming
14 Feb 2019
MIL84
VIR86
27 Jan 2019
MIL94
VIR75
05 Nov 2017
MIL72
VIR64
08 Nov 2015
MIL87
VIR72
20 May 2015
MIL99
VIR72
18 May 2015
MIL90
VIR67
26 Apr 2015
MIL117
VIR92
23 Feb 2014
MIL89
VIR66
27 Jan 2013
MIL91
VIR68
23 Oct 2011
MIL79
VIR64
10 Apr 2011
MIL71
VIR64
07 Mar 2010
MIL73
VIR71
19 Oct 2008
MIL68
VIR70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Bologna winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#8
W
85-76
85
76
+9
80avg 76
H07/11
Euroleague
Venezia
#8
W
79-78
79
78
+1
76avg 76
H10/11
Lega A
Alba Berlin
#18
L
101-105 OT
101
105
-4
91avg 76
A12/11
Euroleague
Partizan
#12
W
88-81
88
81
+7
90avg 76
A15/11
Euroleague
Cremona
#13
W
95-83
95
83
+12
92avg 76
A18/11
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
W
98-86
98
86
+12
96avg 76
H21/11
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#1
W
91-85
91
85
+6
89avg 76
A29/11
Euroleague
Tortona
#9
L
94-98
94
98
-4
85avg 76
H01/12
Lega A
Crvena zvezda
#10
W
101-86
101
86
+15
94avg 76
H04/12
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
92-84
92
84
+8
87avg 76
H06/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-16
23-24
15-15
23-21
24-20
20-12
22-17
13-29
23-19
32-24
22-26
15-23
19-22
19-20
26-23
24-16
28-16
26-22
16-29
25-16
20-22
30-21
29-27
19-16
24-19
17-18
25-26
25-22
17-31
20-27
29-19
28-21
23-15
30-27
26-23
22-21
18-20
23-16
22-25
29-23
178.6Avg total
92.4Scored
86.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)84.883.8168.6+1.067%
Season at home (5)90.083.6173.6+6.480%
Season away (4)78.284.0162.2-5.850%
Last 10 (10)92.486.2178.6+6.280%
Last 5 (5)95.287.8183.0+7.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)80.890.8171.5-10.025%
vs Similar ◀ (19)85.282.5167.7+2.774%
vs Weaker (6)93.786.8180.5+6.867%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
W
84-77
84
77
+7
80avg 79
H08/11
Euroleague
Varese
#12
L
95-104
95
104
-9
99avg 79
A10/11
Lega A
Real Madrid
#8
L
86-98
86
98
-12
76avg 79
A12/11
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#3
L
77-82
77
82
-5
67avg 79
H15/11
Euroleague
Sassari
#10
W
95-85
95
85
+10
97avg 79
H17/11
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#1
L
82-86
82
86
-4
75avg 79
H20/11
Euroleague
Paris
#9
L
78-81
78
81
-3
69avg 79
A28/11
Euroleague
Brescia
#2
L
97-98
97
98
-1
90avg 79
A01/12
Lega A
Alba Berlin
#18
L
88-90 OT
88
90
-2
78avg 79
H04/12
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#10
L
87-94
87
94
-7
79avg 79
H06/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-17
20-22
15-16
24-22
22-24
22-27
30-25
21-28
25-28
24-25
18-27
19-18
18-19
25-27
15-14
19-22
21-18
16-23
37-23
21-21
22-23
16-14
23-19
21-30
24-21
14-23
23-25
17-12
19-27
32-19
21-18
25-34
18-26
20-22
23-20
17-10
19-18
19-26
25-13
24-37
176.4Avg total
86.9Scored
89.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)88.884.2173.0+4.678%
Season at home (4)92.082.8174.8+9.2100%
Season away (5)86.285.4171.6+0.860%
Last 10 (10)86.989.5176.4-2.620%
Last 5 (5)86.489.8176.2-3.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)79.085.9164.9-6.912%
vs Similar ◀ (12)82.685.1167.7-2.525%
vs Weaker (9)88.682.6171.1+6.078%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -2.6-2.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -2.6-2.6
Olimpia MilanoVirtus Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#8
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H07/11
Euroleague
Venezia
#8
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H10/11
Lega A
Alba Berlin
#18
W
55-43
55
43
+12
A12/11
Euroleague
Partizan
#12
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A15/11
Euroleague
Cremona
#13
W
54-38
54
38
+16
A18/11
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H21/11
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#1
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A29/11
Euroleague
Tortona
#9
L
37-58
37
58
-21
H01/12
Lega A
Crvena zvezda
#10
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H04/12
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H06/12
Euroleague
87.1Avg total
46.0Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.339.981.2+1.357%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.239.182.3+4.276%-
Last 30 away (13)38.741.179.8-2.431%-
Last 10 (10)46.041.187.1+4.980%-
Last 5 (5)44.443.287.6+1.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)29.842.272.0-12.525%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)42.240.282.4+2.158%-
vs Weaker (6)46.340.386.7+6.067%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H08/11
Euroleague
Varese
#12
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A10/11
Lega A
Real Madrid
#8
L
49-53
49
53
-4
A12/11
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#3
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H15/11
Euroleague
Sassari
#10
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H17/11
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#1
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H20/11
Euroleague
Paris
#9
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A28/11
Euroleague
Brescia
#2
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A01/12
Lega A
Alba Berlin
#18
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H04/12
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#10
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H06/12
Euroleague
87.0Avg total
42.1Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.741.983.7-0.243%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.040.379.3-1.343%-
Last 30 away (16)44.143.487.5+0.844%-
Last 10 (10)42.144.987.0-2.830%-
Last 5 (5)40.643.884.4-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)40.142.983.0-2.825%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)40.441.281.7-0.850%-
vs Weaker (9)43.842.986.7+0.944%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 91.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.119.3
58.3%
52.9%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.611.4
42.9%
35.8%34.2
🏀 Free throws21.018.6
88.6%
76.8%18.6
They take 59.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 86.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.122.8
56.9%
52.9%45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.68.2
33.3%
35.8%24.6
🏀 Free throws22.415.9
71.0%
76.8%15.9
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
WWLWWWWLWW
Virtus Bologna
LLLLLWLLLW
#5
League position
#1
+8.6
Net rating
-2.9
123.1
Offensive rating
114.3
114.5
Defensive rating
117.2
61.0%
Effective FG%
54.3%
54.1%
Opp. effective FG%
55.1%
16.4%
Turnover %
14.5%
26.6%
Off. rebound %
28.2%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.35
42.9%
3-point %
33.3%
58.0%
Assist %
65.8%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence123.1 · 114.3Defence114.5 · 117.2Shooting61.0% · 54.3%3-point %42.9% · 33.3%Ball care16.4% · 14.5%Off. rebounds26.6% · 28.2%Free throws0.35 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)80% · 20%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ Virtus Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Olimpia Milano wins
3
Virtus Bologna wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/24HLyon-Villeurbanne92-84
04/12/24HCrvena zvezda101-86
01/12/24HTortona94-98
29/11/24AFenerbahce91-85
21/11/24HMaccabi Tel Aviv98-86
18/11/24ACremona95-83
15/11/24APartizan88-81
12/11/24AAlba Berlin101-105 OT
10/11/24HVenezia79-78
07/11/24HReal Madrid85-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/24HCrvena zvezda87-94
04/12/24HAlba Berlin88-90 OT
01/12/24ABrescia97-98
28/11/24AParis78-81
20/11/24HFenerbahce82-86
17/11/24HSassari95-85
15/11/24HPanathinaikos77-82
12/11/24AReal Madrid86-98
10/11/24AVarese95-104
08/11/24HMaccabi Tel Aviv84-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL67%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %67%80%50%
Points / game84.890.078.2
Allowed / game83.883.684.0
Point differential+1.0+6.4-5.8
Avg total168.6173.6162.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%20%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Virtus Bologna
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL78%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWWLL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %78%100%60%
Points / game88.892.086.2
Allowed / game84.282.885.4
Point differential+4.6+9.2+0.8
Avg total173.0174.8171.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trento10100100%91.580.9+10.6
2 Trapani108280%92.484.4+8.0
3 Virtus Bologna97278%88.884.2+4.6
4 Brescia97278%92.187.7+4.4
5 Reggiana107370%79.874.2+5.6
6 Olimpia Milano96367%84.883.8+1.0
7 Trieste95456%88.987.6+1.3
8 Tortona105550%85.183.9+1.2
9 Treviso105550%85.585.9-0.4
10 Venezia104640%74.775.1-0.4
11 Sassari104640%83.585.6-2.1
12 Pistoia103730%79.383.4-4.1
13 Scafati103730%84.591.5-7.0
14 Varese92722%93.1101.7-8.6
15 Cremona91811%76.181.9-5.8
16 Basket Napoli100100%79.788.4-8.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olimpia Milano2220112073
Virtus Bologna2429131682
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