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Ovarense vs Esgueira Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 01 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 94-68
24-24 16-17 21-13 33-14
Position#3
Record1-0
FormWWLLW
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game60.0
Ovarense 🏆
Portugal
vs
Esgueira
Portugal
Position#12
Record0-1
FormLWLLW
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game96.0
PortugalTaca da Liga· Pavilhão Clube do Povo de Esgueira
Other2025
Meetings · Ovarense v Esgueira
05 Dec 2026
OVAR v ESGU
upcoming
04 Oct 2025
OVAR81
ESGU75
01 Mar 2025
OVAR94
ESGU68
04 Jan 2025
OVAR81
ESGU89
25 Nov 2023
OVAR75
ESGU71
15 Oct 2022
OVAR94
ESGU84
25 Apr 2021
OVAR73
ESGU63
23 Apr 2021
OVAR75
ESGU82
13 Dec 2020
OVAR71
ESGU99
27 Mar 2020
OVAR v ESGU
upcoming
10 Nov 2018
OVAR77
ESGU85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ovarense winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Esgueira winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OvarensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOvarense
Date
Competition
Oliveirense
#4
L
79-80
79
80
-1
73avg 74
A14/12
LPB
Imortal
#7
W
87-71
87
71
+16
84avg 74
H21/12
LPB
Esgueira
#8
L
81-89 OT
81
89
-8
71avg 74
H04/01
LPB
CA Queluz
#11
W
86-84
86
84
+2
80avg 74
H11/01
LPB
Esgueira
#10
W
92-81
92
81
+11
93avg 74
A19/01
Taca de Portugal
Galomar
#12
W
78-67
78
67
+11
72avg 74
A25/01
LPB
Galomar
#7
W
73-60
73
60
+13
61avg 74
A26/01
Taca da Liga
Galitos Barreiro
#6
L
75-82
75
82
-7
60avg 74
A02/02
LPB
FC Porto
#1
L
77-88
77
88
-11
65avg 74
A09/02
Taca de Portugal
CD Povoa
#10
W
83-71
83
71
+12
81avg 74
H15/02
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-29
20-11
17-17
20-23
16-12
22-15
24-18
25-26
8-15
21-24
19-18
19-10
23-22
27-18
12-19
24-25
27-23
27-13
16-26
22-19
14-19
25-12
15-16
24-20
12-23
26-17
22-12
13-8
19-26
21-18
8-20
27-18
25-18
21-26
17-25
14-19
17-20
19-21
21-24
26-6
158.4Avg total
81.1Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)73.060.0133.0+13.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)73.060.0133.0+13.0100%
Last 10 (10)81.177.3158.4+3.860%
Last 5 (5)77.273.6150.8+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)78.383.4161.7-5.136%
vs Similar (5)76.472.6149.0+3.860%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)83.775.8159.5+7.990%
This opponent (Esgueira) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EsgueiraPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEsgueira
Date
Competition
FC Porto
#2
L
83-94
83
94
-11
69avg 69
A14/12
LPB
Oliveirense
#2
L
88-96 OT
88
96
-8
78avg 69
H17/12
Taca da Liga
Galomar
#12
L
73-84
73
84
-11
57avg 69
A21/12
LPB
Ovarense
#5
W
89-81 OT
89
81
+8
76avg 69
A04/01
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#6
L
86-101
86
101
-15
75avg 69
A11/01
LPB
Ovarense
#7
L
81-92
81
92
-11
81avg 69
H19/01
Taca de Portugal
CD Povoa
#10
W
93-80
93
80
+13
83avg 69
H25/01
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
87-93 OT
87
93
-6
76avg 69
A02/02
LPB
Vitoria
#9
L
73-86
73
86
-13
45avg 69
H15/02
LPB
CA Queluz
#11
W
82-81
82
81
+1
77avg 69
H22/02
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-29
21-16
25-25
18-24
19-18
28-20
17-23
16-19
22-25
23-19
15-22
13-18
15-8
24-21
18-19
10-19
18-20
24-35
18-20
26-26
23-27
13-27
26-16
19-22
19-12
28-12
23-34
23-22
18-15
21-14
25-27
15-23
17-22
25-23
19-19
12-22
26-24
19-14
22-22
15-21
172.3Avg total
83.5Scored
88.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)88.096.0184.0-8.00%
Season at home (1)88.096.0184.0-8.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)83.588.8172.3-5.330%
Last 5 (5)83.286.4169.6-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)75.387.5162.8-12.127%
vs Similar (12)82.783.8166.5-1.258%
vs Weaker (2)85.071.5156.5+13.550%
This opponent (Ovarense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +5.4+5.4Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: +4.0+4.0Q4: -4.9-4.9
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +5.4+5.4Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: +4.0+4.0Q4: -4.9-4.9
OvarenseEsgueira
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OvarenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oliveirense
#4
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A14/12
LPB
Imortal
#7
W
38-27
38
27
+11
H21/12
LPB
Esgueira
#8
L
29-39
29
39
-10
H04/01
LPB
CA Queluz
#11
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H11/01
LPB
Esgueira
#10
W
54-36
54
36
+18
A19/01
Taca de Portugal
Galomar
#12
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A25/01
LPB
Galomar
#7
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A26/01
Taca da Liga
Galitos Barreiro
#6
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A02/02
LPB
FC Porto
#1
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A09/02
Taca de Portugal
CD Povoa
#10
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H15/02
LPB
79.4Avg total
41.2Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.938.779.6+2.257%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.438.477.9+1.050%-
Last 30 away (16)42.138.981.1+3.262%-
Last 10 (10)41.238.279.4+3.060%-
Last 5 (5)39.840.079.8-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)41.240.681.9+0.650%-
vs Similar (5)33.434.067.4-0.640%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)42.838.681.4+4.270%-
This opponent (Esgueira) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EsgueiraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
FC Porto
#2
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A14/12
LPB
Oliveirense
#2
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H17/12
Taca da Liga
Galomar
#12
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A21/12
LPB
Ovarense
#5
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A04/01
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#6
L
42-55
42
55
-13
A11/01
LPB
Ovarense
#7
L
36-54
36
54
-18
H19/01
Taca de Portugal
CD Povoa
#10
W
47-24
47
24
+23
H25/01
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A02/02
LPB
Vitoria
#9
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H15/02
LPB
CA Queluz
#11
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H22/02
LPB
82.3Avg total
42.2Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.840.379.2-1.550%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.340.880.1-1.550%-
Last 30 away (14)38.339.878.1-1.550%-
Last 10 (10)42.240.182.3+2.160%-
Last 5 (5)41.838.079.8+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)36.941.778.5-4.833%-
vs Similar (12)41.039.180.1+1.967%-
vs Weaker (2)42.031.073.0+11.0100%-
This opponent (Ovarense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ovarensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ovarense: 80.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.019.7
50.5%
51.0%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.98.8
34.0%
34.2%26.4
🏀 Free throws21.714.6
67.3%
68.1%14.6
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Esgueiratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Esgueira: 82.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.720.1
49.4%
51.0%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.49.1
32.0%
34.2%27.3
🏀 Free throws20.815.2
73.1%
68.1%15.2
They take 69.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ovarense
WLLWWWWLWL
Esgueira
WLLWLLWLLL
#3
League position
#12
+5.3
Net rating
-6.8
109.9
Offensive rating
105.7
104.6
Defensive rating
112.5
50.7%
Effective FG%
48.8%
45.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.4%
15.5%
Turnover %
13.8%
32.0%
Off. rebound %
24.2%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.30
34.0%
3-point %
32.0%
61.1%
Assist %
60.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence109.9 · 105.7Defence104.6 · 112.5Shooting50.7% · 48.8%3-point %34.0% · 32.0%Ball care15.5% · 13.8%Off. rebounds32.0% · 24.2%Free throws0.33 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Ovarense   ■ Esgueira
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Ovarense wins
2
Esgueira wins
DateGameScore
19/01/25Esgueira v Ovarense81-92
04/01/25Ovarense v Esgueira81-89 OT
06/04/24Esgueira v Ovarense85-82
30/03/24Esgueira v Ovarense81-82
25/11/23Ovarense v Esgueira75-71
04/01/23Esgueira v Ovarense70-87
15/10/22Ovarense v Esgueira94-84
02/05/21Esgueira v Ovarense85-92 OT
30/04/21Esgueira v Ovarense92-103
25/04/21Ovarense v Esgueira73-63
Ovarenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/25HCD Povoa83-71
09/02/25AFC Porto77-88
02/02/25AGalitos Barreiro75-82
26/01/25AGalomar73-60
25/01/25AGalomar78-67
19/01/25AEsgueira92-81
11/01/25HCA Queluz86-84
04/01/25HEsgueira81-89 OT
21/12/24HImortal87-71
14/12/24AOliveirense79-80
Esgueiralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/25HCA Queluz82-81
15/02/25HVitoria73-86
02/02/25ASporting CP87-93 OT
25/01/25HCD Povoa93-80
19/01/25HOvarense81-92
11/01/25AGalitos Barreiro86-101
04/01/25AOvarense89-81 OT
21/12/24AGalomar73-84
17/12/24HOliveirense88-96 OT
14/12/24AFC Porto83-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ovarense
Taca da Liga 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game73.0-73.0
Allowed / game60.0-60.0
Point differential+13.0-+13.0
Avg total133.0-133.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Esgueira
Taca da Liga 2025
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game88.088.0-
Allowed / game96.096.0-
Point differential-8.0-8.0-
Avg total184.0184.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %100%100%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Vitoria110100%94.072.0+22.0
2 Oliveirense220100%92.574.5+18.0
3 Sporting CP110100%86.068.0+18.0
4 Ovarense110100%73.060.0+13.0
5 FC Porto220100%91.579.5+12.0
6 Benfica110100%96.090.0+6.0
7 Galitos Barreiro1010%90.096.0-6.0
8 Esgueira1010%88.096.0-8.0
9 CA Queluz1010%75.089.0-14.0
10 Imortal2020%76.090.0-14.0
11 Galomar2020%60.581.0-20.5
12 CD Povoa1010%72.094.0-22.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ovarense2416213394
Esgueira2417131468
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