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Ovarense vs Vitoria Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 09 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 18:00
Scheduled
Position#4
Record3-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game73.5
vs
Position#8
Record2-2
FormWWLLW
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game82.0
PortugalLPBRound 13· Arena de Ovar
Other2026-27
Meetings · Ovarense v Vitoria
09 Jan 2027
OVAR v VITO
upcoming
21 Mar 2026
OVAR75
VITO91
15 Mar 2025
OVAR81
VITO76
06 Jan 2024
OVAR91
VITO90
05 Oct 2022
OVAR97
VITO88
16 Apr 2022
OVAR101
VITO93
02 Feb 2022
OVAR81
VITO63
17 Apr 2021
OVAR108
VITO118
29 Mar 2020
OVAR v VITO
upcoming
16 Feb 2019
OVAR82
VITO60
26 Jan 2018
OVAR85
VITO84
17 Feb 2017
OVAR95
VITO102
21 Feb 2016
OVAR73
VITO62
24 Jan 2015
OVAR72
VITO70
27 Apr 2014
OVAR79
VITO85
26 Apr 2014
OVAR83
VITO82
07 Dec 2013
OVAR81
VITO74
01 May 2013
OVAR73
VITO71
21 Apr 2013
OVAR62
VITO75
20 Apr 2013
OVAR77
VITO68
02 Mar 2013
OVAR77
VITO84
24 Mar 2012
OVAR82
VITO74
26 Feb 2011
OVAR72
VITO54
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ovarense win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Vitoria win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

🔥 Form · Ovarense
3.9out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Below their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 82.8
79.2▼ 3.6
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 78.2
72.6▼ 5.6
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 57%
59%▲ 2%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 18.1
18.0▼ 0.1
🔥 Form · Vitoria
4.5out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Below their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 81.6
76.8▼ 4.8
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 89.3
80.4▼ 8.9
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 51%
49%▼ 2%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 14.0
15.0▲ 1.0
OvarensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CA Queluz
#9
L
73-74
73
74
-1
H11/04
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#12
W
83-82
83
82
+1
A18/04
LPB
Braga
#7
L
67-74
67
74
-7
H25/04
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
W
93-79
93
79
+14
H09/05
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
L
72-90
72
90
-18
A13/05
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
L
65-69
65
69
-4
H16/05
LPB
Braga
#2
W
96-83
96
83
+13
H03/10
LPB
Vitoria
#8
W
87-71
87
71
+16
A10/10
LPB
CD Povoa
#7
W
78-69
78
69
+9
H17/10
LPB
Sporting CP
#6
L
70-71
70
71
-1
A24/10
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-25
16-13
24-14
17-22
17-24
26-20
18-24
22-14
21-28
14-16
19-18
13-12
25-18
21-19
18-15
29-27
23-27
24-25
13-19
12-19
16-10
18-17
18-18
13-24
26-19
26-9
23-20
21-35
17-21
20-17
30-9
20-24
17-12
20-17
25-23
16-17
24-16
12-22
16-14
18-19
154.6Avg total
78.4Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)82.873.5156.2+9.275%
Season at home (2)87.076.0163.0+11.0100%
Season away (2)78.571.0149.5+7.550%
Last 10 (10)78.476.2154.6+2.250%
Last 5 (5)79.272.6151.8+6.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)73.081.6154.6-8.614%
vs Similar (6)85.080.8165.8+4.267%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)83.476.0159.4+7.476%
This opponent (Vitoria) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VitoriaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ovarense
#4
W
91-75
91
75
+16
A21/03
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#12
L
84-86
84
86
-2
H28/03
LPB
Braga
#7
L
84-101
84
101
-17
A04/04
LPB
Esgueira
#8
W
93-87
93
87
+6
H11/04
LPB
Vasco Da Gama
#11
L
89-96
89
96
-7
A18/04
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
W
84-74
84
74
+10
H25/04
LPB
CAB Madeira
#10
W
83-78
83
78
+5
A03/10
LPB
Ovarense
#4
L
71-87
71
87
-16
H10/10
LPB
Braga
#2
L
72-91
72
91
-19
A18/10
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
74-72
74
72
+2
H24/10
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-23
23-19
24-16
22-17
19-16
17-23
24-25
24-22
19-11
22-40
22-29
21-21
21-17
23-15
29-30
20-25
14-28
17-20
24-18
34-30
29-18
15-12
22-17
18-27
14-18
17-24
25-21
27-15
21-17
17-20
9-30
24-20
12-20
18-23
22-26
20-22
24-21
19-13
15-20
16-18
167.2Avg total
82.5Scored
84.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)75.082.0157.0-7.050%
Season at home (2)72.579.5152.0-7.050%
Season away (2)77.584.5162.0-7.050%
Last 10 (10)82.584.7167.2-2.250%
Last 5 (5)76.880.4157.2-3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)77.990.9168.8-13.022%
vs Similar (7)88.985.3174.1+3.671%
vs Weaker (5)85.686.4172.0-0.840%
This opponent (Ovarense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: +0.9+0.9
OvarenseVitoria
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OvarenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CA Queluz
#9
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H11/04
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#12
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A18/04
LPB
Braga
#7
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H25/04
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H09/05
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
L
47-52
47
52
-5
A13/05
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H16/05
LPB
Braga
#2
W
52-28
52
28
+24
H03/10
LPB
Vitoria
#8
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A10/10
LPB
CD Povoa
#7
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H17/10
LPB
Sporting CP
#6
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A24/10
LPB
77.4Avg total
39.9Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.740.180.8+0.640%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.438.778.1+0.750%-
Last 30 away (14)42.341.784.0+0.629%-
Last 10 (10)39.937.577.4+2.440%-
Last 5 (5)39.232.071.2+7.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)34.442.376.7-7.914%-
vs Similar (6)45.539.785.2+5.867%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)41.639.481.0+2.341%-
This opponent (Vitoria) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VitoriaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ovarense
#4
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A21/03
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#12
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H28/03
LPB
Braga
#7
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A04/04
LPB
Esgueira
#8
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H11/04
LPB
Vasco Da Gama
#11
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A18/04
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H25/04
LPB
CAB Madeira
#10
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A03/10
LPB
Ovarense
#4
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H10/10
LPB
Braga
#2
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A18/10
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H24/10
LPB
78.1Avg total
38.3Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.043.684.6-2.637%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.539.380.9+2.260%-
Last 30 away (15)40.547.888.3-7.313%-
Last 10 (10)38.339.878.1-1.550%-
Last 5 (5)37.237.274.4+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)39.244.583.7-5.328%-
vs Similar (7)44.442.787.1+1.743%-
vs Weaker (5)42.841.484.2+1.460%-
This opponent (Ovarense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ovarensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ovarense: 70.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.618.4
48.9%
50.9%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.86.8
27.4%
31.4%20.4
🏀 Free throws18.513.3
71.9%
70.6%13.3
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vitoriatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vitoria: 81.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.920.0
46.6%
50.9%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.88.1
30.2%
31.4%24.3
🏀 Free throws26.917.1
63.6%
70.6%17.1
They take 69.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ovarense
LWWWLLWLWL
Vitoria
WLLWWLWLLW
#4
League position
#8
-5.7
Net rating
-2.8
83.5
Offensive rating
85.6
89.2
Defensive rating
88.5
45.8%
Effective FG%
46.1%
48.8%
Opp. effective FG%
50.7%
15.4%
Turnover %
14.7%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.39
27.4%
3-point %
30.2%
69.4%
Assist %
53.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence83.5 · 85.6Defence89.2 · 88.5Shooting45.8% · 46.1%3-point %27.4% · 30.2%Ball care15.4% · 14.7%Free throws0.30 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Ovarense   ■ Vitoria
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Ovarense wins
3
Vitoria wins
DateGameScore
10/10/26Vitoria v Ovarense71-87
21/03/26Ovarense v Vitoria75-91
15/11/25Vitoria v Ovarense77-94
15/03/25Ovarense v Vitoria81-76
16/11/24Vitoria v Ovarense62-67
06/01/24Ovarense v Vitoria91-90
23/09/23Vitoria v Ovarense79-76
22/12/22Vitoria v Ovarense97-76
05/10/22Ovarense v Vitoria97-88
16/04/22Ovarense v Vitoria101-93
Ovarenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26ASporting CP70-71
17/10/26HCD Povoa78-69
10/10/26AVitoria87-71
03/10/26HBraga96-83
16/05/26HOliveirense65-69
13/05/26AOliveirense72-90
09/05/26HOliveirense93-79
25/04/26HBraga67-74
18/04/26AGalitos Barreiro83-82
11/04/26HCA Queluz73-74
Vitorialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26HPortimonense74-72
18/10/26ABraga72-91
10/10/26HOvarense71-87
03/10/26ACAB Madeira83-78
25/04/26HOliveirense84-74
18/04/26AVasco Da Gama89-96
11/04/26HEsgueira93-87
04/04/26ABraga84-101
28/03/26HGalitos Barreiro84-86
21/03/26AOvarense91-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ovarense
LPB 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWL75%
HomeWW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game82.887.078.5
Allowed / game73.576.071.0
Point differential+9.2+11.0+7.5
Avg total156.2163.0149.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Vitoria
LPB 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLW50%
HomeLW50%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game75.072.577.5
Allowed / game82.079.584.5
Point differential-7.0-7.0-7.0
Avg total157.0152.0162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 FC Porto440100%97.888.0+9.8
2 Braga43175%89.877.5+12.2
3 Benfica43175%87.875.8+12.0
4 Ovarense43175%82.873.5+9.2
5 Oliveirense32167%87.384.7+2.7
6 Sporting CP42250%78.576.8+1.8
7 CD Povoa42250%74.272.8+1.5
8 Vitoria42250%75.082.0-7.0
9 CA Queluz31233%84.094.0-10.0
10 CAB Madeira41325%80.583.2-2.8
11 Portimonense4040%77.089.2-12.2
12 Esgueira4040%73.892.8-19.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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