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Valencia vs Baskonia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 111-101
31-14 31-20 25-31 24-36
Position#4
Record16-11
FormLWLLL
Points / game81.9
Allowed / game80.3
vs
Position#8
Record15-12
FormLLLWW
Points / game87.1
Allowed / game87.0
SpainACBRound 28· Font de Sant Lluis
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Valencia v Baskonia
25 Oct 2026
VAL84
BAS75
29 Sep 2026
VAL111
BAS88
10 May 2026
VAL86
BAS88
23 Dec 2025
VAL91
BAS81
27 Apr 2025
VAL125
BAS128
07 Apr 2024
VAL111
BAS101
01 Dec 2023
VAL84
BAS98
02 Apr 2023
VAL81
BAS85
06 Oct 2022
VAL71
BAS81
30 May 2022
VAL59
BAS76
24 May 2022
VAL79
BAS80
18 Sep 2021
VAL67
BAS72
04 Jun 2021
VAL78
BAS73
31 May 2021
VAL87
BAS86
08 Apr 2021
VAL86
BAS81
24 Jan 2021
VAL83
BAS61
26 May 2019
VAL v BAS
upcoming
12 Apr 2018
VAL81
BAS77
08 Mar 2018
VAL71
BAS81
05 Jun 2017
VAL85
BAS77
03 Jun 2017
VAL75
BAS69
13 Nov 2016
VAL99
BAS91
08 Nov 2015
VAL85
BAS78
07 Dec 2014
VAL85
BAS70
07 Nov 2014
VAL79
BAS69
02 Mar 2014
VAL67
BAS55
07 Feb 2014
VAL74
BAS73
11 Nov 2012
VAL75
BAS79
03 Mar 2012
VAL63
BAS68
07 Nov 2010
VAL67
BAS81
01 Nov 2009
VAL81
BAS74
30 Nov 2008
VAL73
BAS91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Baskonia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#5
L
78-88
78
88
-10
66avg 71
H07/03
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
97-75
97
75
+22
97avg 71
A10/03
ACB
Fenerbahce
#7
L
88-118
88
118
-30
86avg 71
A14/03
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#14
L
88-92
88
92
-4
71avg 71
A17/03
ACB
Bayern
#15
W
70-68
70
68
+2
62avg 71
H20/03
Euroleague
Monaco
#3
L
78-79
78
79
-1
74avg 71
A22/03
Euroleague
Murcia
#6
W
83-82
83
82
+1
80avg 71
H24/03
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
80-95
80
95
-15
71avg 71
A27/03
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#7
L
71-79
71
79
-8
66avg 71
A31/03
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
L
69-98
69
98
-29
49avg 71
H04/04
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-18
24-19
15-22
21-29
27-20
22-20
20-18
28-17
19-22
18-35
24-28
27-33
20-23
29-25
16-21
23-23
28-15
17-22
12-19
13-12
15-25
19-13
20-19
24-22
23-16
26-15
7-27
27-24
20-21
18-27
20-23
22-24
26-18
11-20
19-13
15-28
19-27
19-25
7-27
24-19
167.6Avg total
80.2Scored
87.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)81.980.3162.1+1.659%
Season at home (13)81.981.2163.2+0.762%
Season away (14)81.879.4161.1+2.457%
Last 10 (10)80.287.4167.6-7.230%
Last 5 (5)76.286.6162.8-10.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)76.989.7166.6-12.80%
vs Similar ◀ (12)76.880.3157.2-3.550%
vs Weaker (7)89.782.0171.7+7.771%
This opponent (Baskonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaskoniaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBaskonia
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#18
W
88-71
88
71
+17
88avg 67
H08/03
Euroleague
Barcelona
#3
W
103-96
103
96
+7
94avg 67
H10/03
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
88-73
88
73
+15
84avg 67
H14/03
Euroleague
Granada
#17
W
104-88
104
88
+16
106avg 67
H16/03
ACB
Partizan
#11
L
83-87
83
87
-4
76avg 67
A19/03
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
76-94
76
94
-18
66avg 67
A21/03
Euroleague
Bilbao
#13
L
80-82
80
82
-2
70avg 67
A24/03
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
76-97
76
97
-21
66avg 67
H28/03
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
102-94
102
94
+8
99avg 67
H30/03
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
W
95-91
95
91
+4
92avg 67
A05/04
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-10
19-24
21-13
25-24
23-19
27-23
32-28
21-26
19-18
29-16
21-21
19-18
27-21
25-23
25-16
27-28
16-23
26-21
18-25
23-18
17-25
17-23
23-23
19-23
22-28
19-15
22-16
17-23
22-32
23-17
8-28
23-20
30-18
28-22
23-26
21-28
17-27
25-21
23-16
30-27
176.8Avg total
89.5Scored
87.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)87.187.0174.1+0.156%
Season at home (14)92.687.6180.2+4.971%
Season away (13)81.386.3167.6-5.038%
Last 10 (10)89.587.3176.8+2.260%
Last 5 (5)85.891.6177.4-5.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)88.489.7178.1-1.357%
vs Similar ◀ (18)85.688.1173.7-2.544%
vs Weaker (5)91.481.0172.4+10.480%
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: -5.7-5.7Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -1.0-1.0
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: -5.7-5.7Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -1.0-1.0
ValenciaBaskonia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#5
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H07/03
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
49-40
49
40
+9
A10/03
ACB
Fenerbahce
#7
L
37-57
37
57
-20
A14/03
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#14
W
49-48
49
48
+1
A17/03
ACB
Bayern
#15
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H20/03
Euroleague
Monaco
#3
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A22/03
Euroleague
Murcia
#6
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H24/03
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A27/03
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#7
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A31/03
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
L
38-52
38
52
-14
H04/04
Euroleague
84.4Avg total
41.8Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.441.681.0-2.230%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.342.984.2-1.631%-
Last 30 away (17)37.940.678.6-2.729%-
Last 10 (10)41.842.684.4-0.850%-
Last 5 (5)39.241.480.6-2.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)37.543.280.7-5.720%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)39.240.079.2-0.833%-
vs Weaker (7)43.443.186.6+0.343%-
This opponent (Baskonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#18
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H08/03
Euroleague
Barcelona
#3
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H10/03
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H14/03
Euroleague
Granada
#17
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H16/03
ACB
Partizan
#11
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A19/03
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A21/03
Euroleague
Bilbao
#13
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A24/03
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H28/03
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
58-40
58
40
+18
H30/03
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A05/04
Euroleague
88.0Avg total
45.4Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.743.786.4-0.940%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.141.585.5+2.667%-
Last 30 away (15)41.445.987.3-4.513%-
Last 10 (10)45.442.688.0+2.850%-
Last 5 (5)44.045.689.6-1.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)41.444.686.0-3.129%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)42.344.386.7-2.033%-
vs Weaker (5)46.040.086.0+6.080%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.519.3
52.9%
53.0%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.39.1
36.0%
34.9%27.3
🏀 Free throws17.413.3
76.4%
75.6%13.3
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Baskoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baskonia: 88.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.522.1
62.3%
53.0%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.29.8
34.8%
34.9%29.4
🏀 Free throws19.815.1
76.3%
75.6%15.1
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
LLLWLWLLWL
Baskonia
WWLLLLWWWW
#4
League position
#8
-10.1
Net rating
+3.5
108.1
Offensive rating
119.5
118.1
Defensive rating
116.0
53.3%
Effective FG%
57.8%
58.1%
Opp. effective FG%
53.7%
17.5%
Turnover %
16.1%
27.2%
Off. rebound %
30.1%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.31
36.0%
3-point %
34.8%
60.9%
Assist %
58.0%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence108.1 · 119.5Defence118.1 · 116.0Shooting53.3% · 57.8%3-point %36.0% · 34.8%Ball care17.5% · 16.1%Off. rebounds27.2% · 30.1%Free throws0.28 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Valencia   ■ Baskonia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Valencia wins
8
Baskonia wins
DateGameScore
26/01/24Baskonia v Valencia62-77
01/12/23Valencia v Baskonia84-98
19/11/23Baskonia v Valencia83-74
02/04/23Valencia v Baskonia81-85
03/03/23Baskonia v Valencia114-75
08/01/23Baskonia v Valencia85-79
06/10/22Valencia v Baskonia71-81
30/05/22Valencia v Baskonia59-76
28/05/22Baskonia v Valencia82-89
24/05/22Valencia v Baskonia79-80
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/04/24HLyon-Villeurbanne69-98
31/03/24AGran Canaria71-79
27/03/24AMaccabi Tel Aviv80-95
24/03/24HMurcia83-82
22/03/24AMonaco78-79
20/03/24HBayern70-68
17/03/24ABasquet Girona88-92
14/03/24AFenerbahce88-118
10/03/24AObradoiro CAB97-75
07/03/24HBarcelona78-88
Baskonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/04/24AReal Madrid95-91
30/03/24HBasket Zaragoza102-94
28/03/24HAnadolu Efes76-97
24/03/24ABilbao80-82
21/03/24AZalgiris Kaunas76-94
19/03/24APartizan83-87
16/03/24HGranada104-88
14/03/24HOlimpia Milano88-73
10/03/24HBarcelona103-96
08/03/24HAlba Berlin88-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL59%
HomeLWLWW62%
AwayWLWLL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %59%62%57%
Points / game81.981.981.8
Allowed / game80.381.279.4
Point differential+1.6+0.7+2.4
Avg total162.1163.2161.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%8%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)80% (5)50% (4)
Overtime %4%0%7%
Baskonia
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW56%
HomeWLWWW71%
AwayWWLLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %56%71%38%
Points / game87.192.681.3
Allowed / game87.087.686.3
Point differential+0.1+4.9-5.0
Avg total174.1180.2167.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%36%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid2723485%88.078.2+9.8
2 Unicaja2823582%88.276.6+11.6
3 Barcelona2718967%87.980.4+7.4
4 Murcia28181064%84.079.8+4.3
5 Tenerife28181064%84.280.0+4.2
6 Gran Canaria28171161%84.181.2+2.8
7 Valencia27161159%81.980.3+1.6
8 Manresa28161257%83.883.6+0.2
9 Baskonia27151256%87.187.0+0.1
10 Joventut Badalona28141450%80.985.3-4.4
11 Bilbao28131546%79.480.8-1.3
12 Basket Zaragoza28111739%83.085.9-2.9
13 Basquet Girona28101836%80.286.1-5.8
14 MoraBanc Andorra2791833%82.284.6-2.4
15 Granada2781930%81.387.0-5.6
16 Breogan2882029%73.879.4-5.6
17 Obradoiro CAB2872125%80.485.3-4.9
18 Palencia2852318%78.186.8-8.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valencia31312524111
Baskonia14203136101
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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