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Virtus Bologna vs Baskonia Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 12 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 91-95
22-21 31-23 21-31 17-20
Position#8
Record17-16
FormWLLLW
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game82.1
vs
Position#9
Record17-16
FormLLWWL
Points / game83.9
Allowed / game84.7
EuropeEuroleagueRound 34· Segafredo Arena
European cup2023
Meetings · Virtus Bologna v Baskonia
16 Oct 2026
VIR86
BAS78
10 Apr 2026
VIR72
BAS82
10 Jan 2025
VIR76
BAS74
12 Apr 2024
VIR91
BAS95
24 Feb 2023
VIR88
BAS83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Bologna winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Baskonia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus BolognaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
84-75
84
75
+9
81avg 81
H10/03
Lega A
Real Madrid
#1
L
74-89
74
89
-15
63avg 81
H15/03
Euroleague
Pesaro
#16
L
86-87 OT
86
87
-1
no box
A17/03
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
81-96
81
96
-15
75avg 81
A19/03
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#16
L
79-94
79
94
-15
66avg 81
A22/03
Euroleague
Brescia
#3
W
87-73
87
73
+14
84avg 81
A25/03
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#2
L
79-81
79
81
-2
79avg 81
H29/03
Euroleague
Pistoia
#10
L
93-100
93
100
-7
86avg 81
H01/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
75-90
75
90
-15
67avg 81
A05/04
Euroleague
Venezia
#4
W
89-70
89
70
+19
90avg 81
A07/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-19
23-18
17-17
20-21
15-23
16-21
21-17
22-28
19-18
17-15
17-17
19-22
22-22
27-21
14-25
18-28
23-21
19-27
23-26
14-20
20-22
24-17
29-22
14-12
16-28
23-23
20-14
20-16
26-14
29-27
28-27
10-32
18-22
16-24
19-27
22-17
24-20
30-11
20-16
15-23
168.2Avg total
82.7Scored
85.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)79.982.1162.0-2.252%
Season at home (16)83.178.9162.1+4.275%
Season away (17)76.985.1161.9-8.229%
Last 10 (10)82.785.5168.2-2.830%
Last 5 (5)84.682.8167.4+1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)72.082.8154.8-10.80%
vs Similar ◀ (11)81.184.2165.3-3.155%
vs Weaker (12)88.976.5165.4+12.467%
This opponent (Baskonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaskoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBaskonia
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#3
W
103-96
103
96
+7
94avg 67
H10/03
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
88-73
88
73
+15
84avg 67
H14/03
Euroleague
Granada
#17
W
104-88
104
88
+16
106avg 67
H16/03
ACB
Partizan
#11
L
83-87
83
87
-4
76avg 67
A19/03
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
76-94
76
94
-18
66avg 67
A21/03
Euroleague
Bilbao
#13
L
80-82
80
82
-2
70avg 67
A24/03
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
76-97
76
97
-21
66avg 67
H28/03
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
102-94
102
94
+8
99avg 67
H30/03
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
W
95-91
95
91
+4
92avg 67
A05/04
Euroleague
Valencia
#4
L
101-111
101
111
-10
95avg 67
A07/04
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-19
27-23
32-28
21-26
19-18
29-16
21-21
19-18
27-21
25-23
25-16
27-28
16-23
26-21
18-25
23-18
17-25
17-23
23-23
19-23
22-28
19-15
22-16
17-23
22-32
23-17
8-28
23-20
30-18
28-22
23-26
21-28
17-27
25-21
23-16
30-27
14-31
20-31
31-25
36-24
182.1Avg total
90.8Scored
91.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)83.984.7168.6-0.852%
Season at home (17)81.480.1161.5+1.259%
Season away (16)86.689.5176.1-2.944%
Last 10 (10)90.891.3182.1-0.550%
Last 5 (5)90.895.0185.8-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)88.489.7178.1-1.357%
vs Similar ◀ (18)86.489.8176.2-3.439%
vs Weaker (5)91.481.0172.4+10.480%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -4.5-4.5Q4: +0.1+0.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -4.5-4.5Q4: +0.1+0.1
Virtus BolognaBaskonia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H10/03
Lega A
Real Madrid
#1
L
31-44
31
44
-13
H15/03
Euroleague
Pesaro
#16
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A17/03
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
49-43
49
43
+6
A19/03
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#16
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A22/03
Euroleague
Brescia
#3
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A25/03
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#2
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H29/03
Euroleague
Pistoia
#10
W
55-41
55
41
+14
H01/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A05/04
Euroleague
Venezia
#4
W
54-31
54
31
+23
A07/04
Lega A
84.4Avg total
43.1Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.139.982.0+2.257%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.539.381.8+3.264%-
Last 30 away (16)41.840.482.1+1.450%-
Last 10 (10)43.141.384.4+1.860%-
Last 5 (5)45.241.686.8+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)37.545.082.5-7.517%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)39.840.980.7-1.145%-
vs Weaker (12)46.936.883.8+10.183%-
This opponent (Baskonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#3
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H10/03
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H14/03
Euroleague
Granada
#17
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H16/03
ACB
Partizan
#11
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A19/03
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A21/03
Euroleague
Bilbao
#13
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A24/03
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H28/03
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
58-40
58
40
+18
H30/03
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A05/04
Euroleague
Valencia
#4
L
34-62
34
62
-28
A07/04
ACB
90.0Avg total
44.6Scored
45.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.744.587.2-1.940%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.141.585.5+2.667%-
Last 30 away (15)41.347.688.9-6.313%-
Last 10 (10)44.645.490.0-0.840%-
Last 5 (5)44.048.492.4-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)41.444.686.0-3.129%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)42.245.888.0-3.633%-
vs Weaker (5)46.040.086.0+6.080%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.518.2
51.3%
53.4%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.710.5
36.6%
36.6%31.5
🏀 Free throws15.212.1
79.6%
77.4%12.1
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Baskoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baskonia: 89.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.421.5
60.7%
53.4%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.110.3
36.7%
36.6%30.9
🏀 Free throws21.015.9
75.7%
77.4%15.9
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Virtus Bologna
WLLLWLLLLW
Baskonia
LWWLLLLWWW
#8
League position
#9
-4.8
Net rating
-0.7
113.5
Offensive rating
119.0
118.4
Defensive rating
119.6
52.9%
Effective FG%
58.2%
56.8%
Opp. effective FG%
55.4%
15.7%
Turnover %
16.5%
31.9%
Off. rebound %
29.2%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.33
36.6%
3-point %
36.7%
65.2%
Assist %
56.3%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence113.5 · 119.0Defence118.4 · 119.6Shooting52.9% · 58.2%3-point %36.6% · 36.7%Ball care15.7% · 16.5%Off. rebounds31.9% · 29.2%Free throws0.24 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Virtus Bologna   ■ Baskonia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Virtus Bologna wins
1
Baskonia wins
DateGameScore
14/12/23Baskonia v Virtus Bologna81-91
24/02/23Virtus Bologna v Baskonia88-83
22/12/22Baskonia v Virtus Bologna90-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/04/24AVenezia89-70
05/04/24AOlimpia Milano75-90
01/04/24HPistoia93-100
29/03/24HPanathinaikos79-81
25/03/24ABrescia87-73
22/03/24ACrvena zvezda79-94
19/03/24AZalgiris Kaunas81-96
17/03/24APesaro86-87 OT
15/03/24HReal Madrid74-89
10/03/24HOlimpia Milano84-75
Baskonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/04/24AValencia101-111
05/04/24AReal Madrid95-91
30/03/24HBasket Zaragoza102-94
28/03/24HAnadolu Efes76-97
24/03/24ABilbao80-82
21/03/24AZalgiris Kaunas76-94
19/03/24APartizan83-87
16/03/24HGranada104-88
14/03/24HOlimpia Milano88-73
10/03/24HBarcelona103-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Bologna
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL52%
HomeWLWLL75%
AwayLLLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331617
Win %52%75%29%
Points / game79.983.176.9
Allowed / game82.178.985.1
Point differential-2.2+4.2-8.2
Avg total162.0162.1161.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%31%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)57% (7)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Baskonia
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW52%
HomeWWWWL59%
AwayLLLLW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331716
Win %52%59%44%
Points / game83.981.486.6
Allowed / game84.780.189.5
Point differential-0.8+1.2-2.9
Avg total168.6161.5176.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%35%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (13)67% (6)57% (7)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid3427779%88.280.7+7.5
2 Panathinaikos34231168%81.677.1+4.5
3 Monaco34231168%81.979.1+2.8
4 Barcelona33221167%83.079.3+3.8
5 Olympiacos34221265%79.075.0+3.9
6 Fenerbahce34201459%85.180.9+4.2
7 Maccabi Tel Aviv34201459%87.786.7+1.0
8 Baskonia33171652%83.984.7-0.8
9 Virtus Bologna33171652%79.982.1-2.2
10 Anadolu Efes34171750%86.185.6+0.5
11 Partizan33151845%83.184.0-0.8
12 Olimpia Milano34151944%78.278.1+0.1
13 Valencia33141942%76.279.1-2.8
14 Zalgiris Kaunas34142041%79.579.5-0.1
15 Bayern34132138%78.682.1-3.4
16 Crvena zvezda34112332%81.382.8-1.5
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne3382524%78.785.3-6.6
18 Alba Berlin3452915%76.286.6-10.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Virtus Bologna2231211791
Baskonia2123312095
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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