PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Palencia vs Manresa Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 88-95
17-17 24-22 25-22 22-34
Position#18
Record3-15
FormLLWLW
Points / game76.1
Allowed / game86.3
vs
Manresa 🏆
Spain
Position#9
Record9-9
FormWLWLL
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game84.6
SpainACBRound 19· Pabellon Municipal de Deportes
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Palencia v Manresa
20 Jan 2024
PAL88
MAN95
25 May 2018
PAL76
MAN83
15 Oct 2017
PAL72
MAN76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Palencia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Manresa winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PalenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPalencia
Date
Competition
Murcia
#6
L
66-76
66
76
-10
58avg 70
H11/11
ACB
Tenerife
#5
L
71-92
71
92
-21
66avg 70
A18/11
ACB
Valencia
#4
L
77-101
77
101
-24
67avg 70
H25/11
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
L
73-100
73
100
-27
63avg 70
A03/12
ACB
Granada
#17
L
85-109
85
109
-24
76avg 70
A09/12
ACB
Baskonia
#8
L
82-94
82
94
-12
71avg 70
A12/12
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#12
L
80-88
80
88
-8
67avg 70
H17/12
ACB
Bilbao
#13
W
78-72
78
72
+6
129avg 70
H30/12
ACB
Unicaja
#2
L
72-86
72
86
-14
66avg 70
H06/01
ACB
Basquet Girona
#14
W
86-84
86
84
+2
83avg 70
A13/01
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
18-19
18-19
10-17
16-30
19-19
18-19
18-24
20-25
27-31
17-26
13-19
13-22
23-24
19-32
18-22
20-26
17-29
27-35
21-19
20-14
23-23
25-25
14-32
18-20
22-26
21-20
19-22
24-12
18-19
13-21
23-20
21-21
10-20
18-30
23-15
17-21
17-23
24-19
28-21
167.2Avg total
77.0Scored
90.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)76.186.3162.4-10.317%
Season at home (9)75.080.1155.1-5.122%
Season away (9)77.192.6169.7-15.411%
Last 10 (10)77.090.2167.2-13.220%
Last 5 (5)79.684.8164.4-5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)75.286.1161.4-10.914%
vs Similar (6)79.386.7166.0-7.333%
vs Weaker (10)84.470.9155.3+13.580%
This opponent (Manresa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ManresaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormManresa
Date
Competition
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
90-86
90
86
+4
83avg 75
A11/11
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
76-56
76
56
+20
72avg 75
H19/11
ACB
Baskonia
#8
L
86-94
86
94
-8
73avg 75
A26/11
ACB
Unicaja
#2
L
77-91
77
91
-14
66avg 75
A02/12
ACB
Basquet Girona
#14
W
101-87
101
87
+14
97avg 75
H09/12
ACB
Barcelona
#3
W
83-82
83
82
+1
82avg 75
A13/12
ACB
Tenerife
#5
L
73-76
73
76
-3
56avg 75
H16/12
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#10
W
102-89
102
89
+13
98avg 75
H29/12
ACB
Bilbao
#13
L
54-74
54
74
-20
44avg 75
A07/01
ACB
Baskonia
#8
L
82-90
82
90
-8
76avg 75
H14/01
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-23
24-12
15-24
26-27
17-13
20-12
13-14
26-17
12-29
29-22
19-18
26-25
25-31
21-18
14-21
17-21
29-17
23-25
27-27
22-18
24-14
15-22
26-24
18-22
9-13
18-18
20-26
26-19
21-23
24-20
34-18
23-28
13-22
21-24
12-19
8-9
23-14
13-23
30-26
16-27
164.9Avg total
82.4Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)83.884.6168.4-0.750%
Season at home (9)87.282.4169.7+4.867%
Season away (9)80.486.7167.1-6.233%
Last 10 (10)82.482.5164.9-0.150%
Last 5 (5)78.882.2161.0-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)86.188.6174.7-2.540%
vs Similar (16)82.283.4165.6-1.144%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)92.585.2177.8+7.2100%
This opponent (Palencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -4.6-4.6Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: -0.5-0.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -4.6-4.6Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: -0.5-0.5
PalenciaManresa
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PalenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murcia
#6
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H11/11
ACB
Tenerife
#5
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A18/11
ACB
Valencia
#4
L
47-56
47
56
-9
H25/11
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A03/12
ACB
Granada
#17
L
37-55
37
55
-18
A09/12
ACB
Baskonia
#8
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A12/12
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#12
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H17/12
ACB
Bilbao
#13
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H30/12
ACB
Unicaja
#2
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H06/01
ACB
Basquet Girona
#14
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A13/01
ACB
82.8Avg total
38.3Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.139.777.9-1.640%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.235.976.1+4.259%-
Last 30 away (13)35.544.780.2-9.215%-
Last 10 (10)38.344.582.8-6.220%-
Last 5 (5)38.039.877.8-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)37.042.679.6-5.621%-
vs Similar (6)36.043.279.2-7.233%-
vs Weaker (10)41.033.674.6+7.470%-
This opponent (Manresa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ManresaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
49-35
49
35
+14
A11/11
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H19/11
ACB
Baskonia
#8
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A26/11
ACB
Unicaja
#2
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A02/12
ACB
Basquet Girona
#14
W
52-42
52
42
+10
H09/12
ACB
Barcelona
#3
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A13/12
ACB
Tenerife
#5
L
27-31
27
31
-4
H16/12
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#10
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H29/12
ACB
Bilbao
#13
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A07/01
ACB
Baskonia
#8
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H14/01
ACB
80.1Avg total
40.6Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.040.782.7+1.347%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.237.680.9+5.664%-
Last 30 away (16)40.943.384.2-2.431%-
Last 10 (10)40.639.580.1+1.150%-
Last 5 (5)36.238.674.8-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)42.641.884.4+0.840%-
vs Similar (16)40.240.180.3+0.138%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)47.840.087.8+7.8100%-
This opponent (Palencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Palenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Palencia: 76.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.116.1
47.2%
53.0%32.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.69.1
35.5%
34.9%27.3
🏀 Free throws21.916.7
76.3%
75.6%16.7
They take 59.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Manresatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Manresa: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.018.7
51.9%
53.0%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.011.0
33.3%
34.9%33.0
🏀 Free throws16.111.5
71.4%
75.6%11.5
They take 69.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Palencia
WLWLLLLLLL
Manresa
LLWLWWLLWW
#18
League position
#9
-17.8
Net rating
+0.3
103.0
Offensive rating
105.4
120.9
Defensive rating
105.1
49.8%
Effective FG%
51.0%
59.1%
Opp. effective FG%
51.3%
20.5%
Turnover %
18.2%
30.6%
Off. rebound %
32.2%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.23
35.5%
3-point %
33.3%
60.7%
Assist %
64.0%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence103.0 · 105.4Defence120.9 · 105.1Shooting49.8% · 51.0%3-point %35.5% · 33.3%Ball care20.5% · 18.2%Off. rebounds30.6% · 32.2%Free throws0.37 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ Palencia   ■ Manresa
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Palencia wins
6
Manresa wins
DateGameScore
15/10/23Manresa v Palencia92-91
25/05/18Palencia v Manresa76-83
20/05/18Manresa v Palencia82-80
18/05/18Manresa v Palencia86-85
28/01/18Manresa v Palencia78-73
15/10/17Palencia v Manresa72-76
Palencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/24ABasquet Girona86-84
06/01/24HUnicaja72-86
30/12/23HBilbao78-72
17/12/23HBasket Zaragoza80-88
12/12/23ABaskonia82-94
09/12/23AGranada85-109
03/12/23AGran Canaria73-100
25/11/23HValencia77-101
18/11/23ATenerife71-92
11/11/23HMurcia66-76
Manresalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/24HBaskonia82-90
07/01/24ABilbao54-74
29/12/23HJoventut Badalona102-89
16/12/23HTenerife73-76
13/12/23ABarcelona83-82
09/12/23HBasquet Girona101-87
02/12/23AUnicaja77-91
26/11/23ABaskonia86-94
19/11/23HObradoiro CAB76-56
11/11/23AMoraBanc Andorra90-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Palencia
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW17%
HomeLLLWL22%
AwayLLLLW11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %17%22%11%
Points / game76.175.077.1
Allowed / game86.380.192.6
Point differential-10.3-5.1-15.4
Avg total162.4155.1169.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%11%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %6%11%0%
Manresa
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL50%
HomeWWLWL67%
AwayWLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game83.887.280.4
Allowed / game84.682.486.7
Point differential-0.7+4.8-6.2
Avg total168.4169.7167.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)50% (2)60% (5)
Overtime %6%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid1816289%89.977.2+12.7
2 Unicaja1815383%87.776.6+11.1
3 Barcelona1812667%85.680.2+5.4
4 Gran Canaria1912763%83.881.9+1.9
5 Valencia1811761%80.878.8+2.0
6 Murcia1911858%82.580.2+2.3
7 Baskonia1810856%85.185.6-0.6
8 Tenerife1910953%83.281.1+2.1
9 Manresa189950%83.884.6-0.7
10 Joventut Badalona189950%81.287.1-5.9
11 Basket Zaragoza1881044%81.982.6-0.6
12 MoraBanc Andorra1871139%82.783.8-1.1
13 Bilbao1871139%77.379.5-2.2
14 Basquet Girona1871139%82.386.4-4.2
15 Granada1861233%83.285.8-2.6
16 Obradoiro CAB1961332%81.284.2-3.0
17 Breogan1851328%74.280.8-6.6
18 Palencia1831517%76.186.3-10.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Palencia1724252288
Manresa1722223495
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.