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Palencia vs Unicaja Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 72-86
21-21 10-20 18-30 23-15
Position#18
Record2-14
FormLLLLW
Points / game75.7
Allowed / game86.5
Palencia
Spain
vs
Unicaja 🏆
Spain
Position#2
Record13-3
FormWWLWW
Points / game88.2
Allowed / game76.9
SpainACBRound 17· Pabellon Municipal de Deportes
Domestic2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Palencia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Unicaja winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PalenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPalencia
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#1
L
68-91
68
91
-23
46avg 69
A29/10
ACB
Basquet Girona
#14
L
76-80
76
80
-4
65avg 69
H04/11
ACB
Murcia
#6
L
66-76
66
76
-10
58avg 69
H11/11
ACB
Tenerife
#5
L
71-92
71
92
-21
66avg 69
A18/11
ACB
Valencia
#4
L
77-101
77
101
-24
67avg 69
H25/11
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
L
73-100
73
100
-27
63avg 69
A03/12
ACB
Granada
#17
L
85-109
85
109
-24
76avg 69
A09/12
ACB
Baskonia
#8
L
82-94
82
94
-12
71avg 69
A12/12
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#12
L
80-88
80
88
-8
67avg 69
H17/12
ACB
Bilbao
#13
W
78-72
78
72
+6
129avg 69
H30/12
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-30
14-22
18-15
25-24
23-23
17-15
21-24
15-18
20-21
18-19
18-19
10-17
16-30
19-19
18-19
18-24
20-25
27-31
17-26
13-19
13-22
23-24
19-32
18-22
20-26
17-29
27-35
21-19
20-14
23-23
25-25
14-32
18-20
22-26
21-20
19-22
24-12
18-19
13-21
23-20
165.9Avg total
75.6Scored
90.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)75.786.5162.2-10.812%
Season at home (8)75.479.4154.8-4.025%
Season away (8)76.093.6169.6-17.60%
Last 10 (10)75.690.3165.9-14.710%
Last 5 (5)79.692.6172.2-13.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)75.586.2161.6-10.715%
vs Similar (5)78.087.2165.2-9.220%
vs Weaker (12)84.070.8154.8+13.283%
This opponent (Unicaja) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UnicajaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUnicaja
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#1
W
99-93
99
93
+6
101avg 78
A19/11
ACB
Le Mans
#35
L
78-85
78
85
-7
74avg 78
A22/11
Champions League
Bilbao
#13
W
67-43
67
43
+24
65avg 78
A25/11
ACB
Manresa
#9
W
91-77
91
77
+14
81avg 78
H02/12
ACB
Szombathely
#40
W
88-65
88
65
+23
88avg 78
H06/12
Champions League
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
87-81
87
81
+6
83avg 78
A09/12
ACB
Granada
#17
W
92-70
92
70
+22
88avg 78
H16/12
ACB
Peristeri
#15
L
73-76
73
76
-3
62avg 78
A19/12
Champions League
Murcia
#6
W
88-65
88
65
+23
85avg 78
A22/12
ACB
Barcelona
#3
W
91-71
91
71
+20
82avg 78
H27/12
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-25
13-29
27-18
33-21
24-24
13-20
17-21
24-20
19-13
27-13
5-11
16-6
31-25
18-21
21-14
21-17
22-14
23-13
17-14
26-24
18-24
16-15
25-18
28-24
18-9
32-21
20-23
22-17
21-26
26-20
15-14
11-16
20-11
24-16
25-18
19-20
19-26
29-11
21-23
22-11
158.0Avg total
85.4Scored
72.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)88.276.9165.1+11.481%
Season at home (8)91.976.2168.1+15.688%
Season away (8)84.677.5162.1+7.175%
Last 10 (10)85.472.6158.0+12.880%
Last 5 (5)86.272.6158.8+13.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)81.088.0169.0-7.00%
vs Similar (7)84.480.9165.3+3.657%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)85.975.2161.0+10.776%
This opponent (Palencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.8-3.8Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -4.1-4.1Q4: +4.6+4.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.8-3.8Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -4.1-4.1Q4: +4.6+4.6
PalenciaUnicaja
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PalenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#1
L
25-52
25
52
-27
A29/10
ACB
Basquet Girona
#14
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H04/11
ACB
Murcia
#6
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H11/11
ACB
Tenerife
#5
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A18/11
ACB
Valencia
#4
L
47-56
47
56
-9
H25/11
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A03/12
ACB
Granada
#17
L
37-55
37
55
-18
A09/12
ACB
Baskonia
#8
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A12/12
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#12
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H17/12
ACB
Bilbao
#13
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H30/12
ACB
83.3Avg total
38.3Scored
45.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.539.377.8-0.847%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.235.375.5+4.965%-
Last 30 away (13)36.244.580.8-8.323%-
Last 10 (10)38.345.083.3-6.730%-
Last 5 (5)39.643.082.6-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)37.542.880.2-5.323%-
vs Similar (5)36.443.079.4-6.640%-
vs Weaker (12)40.534.074.5+6.575%-
This opponent (Unicaja) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UnicajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#1
L
39-54
39
54
-15
A19/11
ACB
Le Mans
#35
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A22/11
Champions League
Bilbao
#13
W
46-26
46
26
+20
A25/11
ACB
Manresa
#9
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H02/12
ACB
Szombathely
#40
W
45-27
45
27
+18
H06/12
Champions League
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A09/12
ACB
Granada
#17
W
50-30
50
30
+20
H16/12
ACB
Peristeri
#15
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A19/12
Champions League
Murcia
#6
W
44-27
44
27
+17
A22/12
ACB
Barcelona
#3
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H27/12
ACB
81.5Avg total
43.9Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.238.680.7+3.670%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.337.081.3+7.387%-
Last 30 away (15)40.140.180.2-0.153%-
Last 10 (10)43.937.681.5+6.370%-
Last 5 (5)44.635.880.4+8.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)31.044.075.0-13.00%-
vs Similar (7)38.939.678.4-0.757%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)43.938.081.9+5.876%-
This opponent (Palencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Palenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Palencia: 74.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.016.0
48.5%
53.0%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.49.0
34.1%
34.9%27.0
🏀 Free throws21.115.8
74.9%
75.6%15.8
They take 59.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Unicajatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Unicaja: 84.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.521.6
53.3%
53.0%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.98.5
34.1%
34.9%25.5
🏀 Free throws20.115.5
77.1%
75.6%15.5
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Palencia
WLLLLLLLLL
Unicaja
WWLWWWWWLW
#18
League position
#2
-19.9
Net rating
+16.3
101.3
Offensive rating
110.6
121.2
Defensive rating
94.3
49.7%
Effective FG%
52.5%
58.3%
Opp. effective FG%
47.2%
20.1%
Turnover %
16.0%
28.1%
Off. rebound %
29.4%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.31
34.1%
3-point %
34.1%
54.8%
Assist %
67.1%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence101.3 · 110.6Defence121.2 · 94.3Shooting49.7% · 52.5%3-point %34.1% · 34.1%Ball care20.1% · 16.0%Off. rebounds28.1% · 29.4%Free throws0.36 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)10% · 80%
■ Palencia   ■ Unicaja
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Palencia wins
0
Unicaja wins
No previous meetings.
Palencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/23HBilbao78-72
17/12/23HBasket Zaragoza80-88
12/12/23ABaskonia82-94
09/12/23AGranada85-109
03/12/23AGran Canaria73-100
25/11/23HValencia77-101
18/11/23ATenerife71-92
11/11/23HMurcia66-76
04/11/23HBasquet Girona76-80
29/10/23AReal Madrid68-91
Unicajalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/12/23HBarcelona91-71
22/12/23AMurcia88-65
19/12/23APeristeri73-76
16/12/23HGranada92-70
09/12/23AMoraBanc Andorra87-81
06/12/23HSzombathely88-65
02/12/23HManresa91-77
25/11/23ABilbao67-43
22/11/23ALe Mans78-85
19/11/23AReal Madrid99-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Palencia
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW12%
HomeLLLLW25%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %12%25%0%
Points / game75.775.476.0
Allowed / game86.579.493.6
Point differential-10.8-4.0-17.6
Avg total162.2154.8169.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %6%12%0%
Unicaja
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW81%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayWWWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %81%88%75%
Points / game88.291.984.6
Allowed / game76.976.277.5
Point differential+11.4+15.6+7.1
Avg total165.1168.1162.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%88%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid1615194%91.177.0+14.1
2 Unicaja1613381%88.276.9+11.4
3 Barcelona1610662%85.479.6+5.8
4 Valencia1610662%80.578.3+2.2
5 Gran Canaria1610662%83.782.3+1.4
6 Murcia1710759%83.280.6+2.5
7 Manresa169756%85.884.9+0.9
8 Baskonia169756%84.885.0-0.2
9 Tenerife168850%82.181.3+0.8
10 Joventut Badalona168850%81.187.1-6.1
11 Basket Zaragoza178947%81.881.8+0.0
12 Basquet Girona1771041%82.286.5-4.3
13 Obradoiro CAB1661038%80.883.4-2.6
14 Bilbao1661038%77.480.6-3.2
15 MoraBanc Andorra1761135%82.584.1-1.6
16 Granada1651131%83.886.6-2.8
17 Breogan1641225%73.280.5-7.3
18 Palencia1621412%75.786.5-10.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Palencia2110182372
Unicaja2120301586
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