PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Panathinaikos vs Crvena zvezda Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 20 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 82-74
20-27 21-21 14-14 27-12
Position#7
Record17-14
FormLLLWW
Points / game85.7
Allowed / game84.5
vs
Position#9
Record18-13
FormWLWWL
Points / game86.9
Allowed / game85.1
EuropeEuroleagueRound 32· Telekom Center Athens
European cup2025
Meetings · Panathinaikos v Crvena zvezda
16 Dec 2026
PAO v CZV
upcoming
20 Mar 2026
PAO82
CZV74
11 Apr 2025
PAO111
CZV104
28 Dec 2023
PAO82
CZV65
10 Mar 2023
PAO75
CZV66
25 Feb 2022
PAO79
CZV73
19 Mar 2021
PAO82
CZV86
20 Mar 2018
PAO91
CZV71
28 Oct 2016
PAO70
CZV59
14 Jan 2016
PAO63
CZV74
13 Feb 2015
PAO74
CZV69
06 Dec 2013
PAO69
CZV63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Panathinaikos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Crvena zvezda winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PanathinaikosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#2
W
82-81
82
81
+1
68avg 84
H03/02
Euroleague
Partizan
#15
L
62-78
62
78
-16
54avg 84
A05/02
Euroleague
AS Karditsas
#11
W
78-53
78
53
+25
72avg 84
A08/02
Basket League
Fenerbahce
#4
L
83-85
83
85
-2
74avg 84
H13/02
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
L
97-102
97
102
-5
92avg 84
H15/02
Basket League
Paris
#16
L
99-104
99
104
-5
95avg 84
H26/02
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
L
80-86
80
86
-6
75avg 84
A06/03
Euroleague
Iraklis
#8
L
74-76
74
76
-2
69avg 84
A08/03
Basket League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
W
92-88
92
88
+4
87avg 84
H12/03
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#4
W
103-78
103
78
+25
96avg 84
H15/03
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-26
20-18
24-17
22-20
19-20
14-25
9-21
20-12
16-12
16-10
31-13
15-18
19-25
23-16
20-15
21-29
23-31
26-25
19-22
29-24
29-29
16-29
25-22
29-24
13-20
16-20
27-18
24-28
20-18
23-10
16-22
15-26
24-27
20-13
21-19
27-29
18-31
37-21
24-15
24-11
168.1Avg total
85.0Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)85.784.5170.1+1.255%
Season at home (16)89.284.4173.7+4.862%
Season away (15)81.984.5166.3-2.647%
Last 10 (10)85.083.1168.1+1.940%
Last 5 (5)89.686.4176.0+3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)81.086.5167.5-5.50%
vs Similar ◀ (9)87.287.2174.4+0.056%
vs Weaker (19)88.178.6166.6+9.568%
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Formzvezda
Date
Competition
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
W
87-75
87
75
+12
84avg 84
H03/02
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
L
82-83
82
83
-1
77avg 84
H06/02
Euroleague
Buducnost
#3
W
93-80
93
80
+13
87avg 84
A09/02
ABA League
Olympiacos
#1
L
86-92
86
92
-6
78avg 84
A12/02
Euroleague
Igokea
#14
W
94-84
94
84
+10
97avg 84
H15/02
ABA League
Anadolu Efes
#19
W
91-81
91
81
+10
90avg 84
H25/02
Euroleague
Bayern
#14
L
80-85
80
85
-5
74avg 84
H06/03
Euroleague
Cluj-Napoca
#7
W
97-85
97
85
+12
96avg 84
A08/03
ABA League
Fenerbahce
#4
W
79-73
79
73
+6
77avg 84
H13/03
Euroleague
Dubai
#1
L
91-114
91
114
-23
79avg 84
A15/03
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-21
24-24
13-24
25-6
21-23
19-26
27-16
15-18
22-29
23-9
22-26
26-16
20-24
25-25
23-23
18-20
27-21
20-27
26-22
21-14
19-23
25-14
21-25
26-19
17-23
26-27
27-22
10-13
26-30
15-16
37-19
19-20
17-20
16-22
28-14
18-17
25-37
18-26
24-27
24-24
173.2Avg total
88.0Scored
85.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)86.985.1171.9+1.858%
Season at home (17)86.481.4167.8+5.171%
Season away (14)87.489.6177.0-2.143%
Last 10 (10)88.085.2173.2+2.860%
Last 5 (5)87.687.6175.2+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)88.5103.0191.5-14.50%
vs Similar ◀ (14)87.388.4175.6-1.150%
vs Weaker (14)92.483.5175.9+8.986%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -4.2-4.2Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +3.5+3.5
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -4.2-4.2Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +3.5+3.5
PanathinaikosCrvena zvezda
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#2
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H03/02
Euroleague
Partizan
#15
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A05/02
Euroleague
AS Karditsas
#11
W
32-22
32
22
+10
A08/02
Basket League
Fenerbahce
#4
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H13/02
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
L
49-56
49
56
-7
H15/02
Basket League
Paris
#16
L
45-58
45
58
-13
H26/02
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A06/03
Euroleague
Iraklis
#8
W
43-28
43
28
+15
A08/03
Basket League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H12/03
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#4
W
55-52
55
52
+3
H15/03
Basket League
83.4Avg total
40.8Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.241.285.4+3.057%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.344.290.5+2.156%-
Last 30 away (14)41.737.879.5+3.957%-
Last 10 (10)40.842.683.4-1.850%-
Last 5 (5)43.243.686.8-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)36.041.577.5-5.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)42.245.387.6-3.144%-
vs Weaker (19)45.939.285.2+6.768%-
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H03/02
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
L
40-49
40
49
-9
H06/02
Euroleague
Buducnost
#3
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A09/02
ABA League
Olympiacos
#1
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A12/02
Euroleague
Igokea
#14
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H15/02
ABA League
Anadolu Efes
#19
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H25/02
Euroleague
Bayern
#14
L
43-50
43
50
-7
H06/03
Euroleague
Cluj-Napoca
#7
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A08/03
ABA League
Fenerbahce
#4
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H13/03
Euroleague
Dubai
#1
L
43-63
43
63
-20
A15/03
ABA League
89.7Avg total
43.0Scored
46.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.944.789.7+0.250%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.444.690.0+0.950%-
Last 30 away (16)44.544.989.4-0.450%-
Last 10 (10)43.046.789.7-3.730%-
Last 5 (5)40.847.688.4-6.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)44.056.0100.0-12.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)42.445.688.0-3.336%-
vs Weaker (14)47.642.289.9+5.471%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 74.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.220.2
60.8%
60.4%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.47.5
33.5%
35.9%22.5
🏀 Free throws14.111.2
79.4%
78.2%11.2
They take 55.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 77.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.3 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.919.6
63.4%
60.4%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.49.3
35.2%
35.9%27.9
🏀 Free throws12.910.3
79.8%
78.2%10.3
They take 57.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Panathinaikos
WWLLLLLWLW
Crvena zvezda
LWWLWWLWLW
#7
League position
#9
+3.6
Net rating
+2.2
79.6
Offensive rating
84.0
76.0
Defensive rating
81.8
56.6%
Effective FG%
58.6%
57.1%
Opp. effective FG%
59.5%
15.0%
Turnover %
16.8%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.23
33.5%
3-point %
35.2%
61.4%
Assist %
69.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence79.6 · 84.0Defence76.0 · 81.8Shooting56.6% · 58.6%3-point %33.5% · 35.2%Ball care15.0% · 16.8%Free throws0.25 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Panathinaikos   ■ Crvena zvezda
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Panathinaikos wins
3
Crvena zvezda wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/26HAEK Athens103-78
12/03/26HZalgiris Kaunas92-88
08/03/26AIraklis74-76
06/03/26AOlympiacos80-86
26/02/26HParis99-104
15/02/26HKolossos Rhodes97-102
13/02/26HFenerbahce83-85
08/02/26AAS Karditsas78-53
05/02/26APartizan62-78
03/02/26HReal Madrid82-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/26ADubai91-114
13/03/26HFenerbahce79-73
08/03/26ACluj-Napoca97-85
06/03/26HBayern80-85
25/02/26HAnadolu Efes91-81
15/02/26HIgokea94-84
12/02/26AOlympiacos86-92
09/02/26ABuducnost93-80
06/02/26HMaccabi Tel Aviv82-83
03/02/26HHapoel Tel-Aviv87-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Panathinaikos
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW55%
HomeWWLLW62%
AwayLLWLL47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %55%62%47%
Points / game85.789.281.9
Allowed / game84.584.484.5
Point differential+1.2+4.8-2.6
Avg total170.1173.7166.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%38%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)40% (5)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Crvena zvezda
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW58%
HomeWLWLW71%
AwayLWWWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311714
Win %58%71%43%
Points / game86.986.487.4
Allowed / game85.181.489.6
Point differential+1.8+5.1-2.1
Avg total171.9167.8177.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%47%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)50% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %3%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce3223972%82.479.5+2.9
2 Olympiacos33221167%90.584.1+6.5
3 Hapoel Tel-Aviv31201165%87.383.3+3.9
4 Real Madrid32201262%87.782.8+4.9
5 Valencia32201262%89.885.6+4.1
6 Crvena zvezda31181358%86.985.1+1.8
7 Zalgiris Kaunas32181456%88.984.1+4.8
8 Monaco32181456%90.186.3+3.7
9 Barcelona32181456%85.084.1+0.9
10 Panathinaikos31171455%85.784.5+1.2
11 Dubai32171553%87.987.4+0.5
12 Olimpia Milano32161650%85.486.0-0.6
13 Maccabi Tel Aviv30141647%89.591.9-2.4
14 Bayern32131941%80.483.9-3.5
15 Virtus Bologna32131941%81.885.4-3.6
16 Partizan32122038%80.887.0-6.2
17 Paris33122136%89.291.6-2.4
18 Anadolu Efes32102231%80.884.5-3.7
19 Baskonia3292328%86.892.6-5.8
20 Lyon-Villeurbanne3182326%78.986.4-7.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Panathinaikos2021142782
Crvena zvezda2721141274
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.