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Real Madrid vs Panathinaikos Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 01 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 83-68
26-14 22-16 20-27 15-11
Position#2
Record14-7
FormWLWWW
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game77.3
vs
Position#15
Record8-13
FormWLWWW
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game82.4
EuropeEuroleagueRound 22
European cup2022
Meetings · Real Madrid v Panathinaikos
04 Nov 2026
MAD112
PAO115
13 Nov 2025
MAD77
PAO87
17 Oct 2024
MAD90
PAO86
26 May 2024
MAD80
PAO95
29 Feb 2024
MAD86
PAO97
01 Feb 2023
MAD83
PAO68
15 Oct 2021
MAD88
PAO65
27 Jan 2021
MAD76
PAO66
19 Apr 2019
MAD78
PAO63
17 Apr 2019
MAD75
PAO72
19 Dec 2018
MAD89
PAO68
27 Apr 2018
MAD89
PAO82
25 Apr 2018
MAD81
PAO74
08 Mar 2018
MAD92
PAO75
16 Nov 2016
MAD87
PAO84
22 Jan 2015
MAD83
PAO65
21 Mar 2013
MAD73
PAO74
12 Oct 2012
MAD85
PAO78
05 Nov 2009
MAD80
PAO70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Panathinaikos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#1
L
78-87
78
87
-9
69avg 79
H02/01
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
W
98-65
98
65
+33
107avg 79
H06/01
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#7
W
105-85
105
85
+20
109avg 79
H08/01
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#11
W
79-59
79
59
+20
78avg 79
A10/01
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#17
W
84-77
84
77
+7
80avg 79
A12/01
Euroleague
Granada
#16
W
82-62
82
62
+20
76avg 79
A15/01
ACB
Olympiacos
#1
L
60-73
60
73
-13
53avg 79
A20/01
Euroleague
Breogan
#10
W
91-73
91
73
+18
87avg 79
H22/01
ACB
Barcelona
#3
W
91-86 OT
91
86
+5
no box
H26/01
Euroleague
Manresa
#14
W
94-69
94
69
+25
96avg 79
A29/01
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-28
18-14
13-20
21-25
22-7
29-27
27-15
20-16
25-23
25-13
26-24
29-25
25-16
13-18
19-17
22-8
25-12
21-23
20-24
18-18
19-14
13-10
25-22
25-16
15-19
13-17
16-18
16-19
24-11
22-26
28-9
17-27
16-20
16-19
18-20
23-14
32-22
25-14
19-13
18-20
159.8Avg total
86.2Scored
73.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)83.677.3160.9+6.367%
Season at home (10)91.481.3172.7+10.170%
Season away (11)76.573.6150.1+2.864%
Last 10 (10)86.273.6159.8+12.680%
Last 5 (5)83.672.6156.2+11.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)86.380.3166.7+6.067%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)86.674.3160.9+12.281%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Promitheas
#4
W
75-44
75
44
+31
75avg 74
A02/01
Basket League
Bayern
#16
L
68-84
68
84
-16
48avg 74
A05/01
Euroleague
Peristeri
#3
W
72-71
72
71
+1
68avg 74
H07/01
Basket League
Fenerbahce
#7
L
88-94 OT
88
94
-6
no box
H10/01
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
W
88-86
88
86
+2
76avg 74
H13/01
Euroleague
Aris
#7
W
96-79
96
79
+17
110avg 74
H15/01
Basket League
Virtus Bologna
#14
L
64-74
64
74
-10
52avg 74
A19/01
Euroleague
Lavrio
#9
W
86-84
86
84
+2
75avg 74
A22/01
Basket League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
W
89-65
89
65
+24
82avg 74
H26/01
Euroleague
Ionikos
#12
W
102-70
102
70
+32
98avg 74
H28/01
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-8
21-17
19-15
10-4
11-21
17-22
16-18
24-23
23-8
23-20
19-16
7-27
19-18
20-18
20-15
19-27
24-17
21-20
20-21
23-28
24-7
21-17
29-25
22-30
11-18
19-25
21-12
13-19
18-25
21-17
28-25
19-17
19-24
8-18
37-16
25-7
28-10
27-20
30-15
17-25
157.9Avg total
82.8Scored
75.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)79.082.4161.4-3.338%
Season at home (11)84.280.7164.9+3.555%
Season away (10)73.484.2157.6-10.820%
Last 10 (10)82.875.1157.9+7.770%
Last 5 (5)87.474.4161.8+13.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)78.986.7165.6-7.818%
vs Similar (7)81.678.0159.6+3.657%
vs Weaker (12)85.366.8152.2+18.5100%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +5.7+5.7Q1: +4.6+4.6Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: +6.1+6.1Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -2.8-2.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +5.7+5.7Q1: +4.6+4.6Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: +6.1+6.1Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -2.8-2.8
Real MadridPanathinaikos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#1
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H02/01
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
W
51-34
51
34
+17
H06/01
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#7
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H08/01
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#11
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A10/01
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#17
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A12/01
Euroleague
Granada
#16
W
32-24
32
24
+8
A15/01
ACB
Olympiacos
#1
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A20/01
Euroleague
Breogan
#10
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H22/01
ACB
Barcelona
#3
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H26/01
Euroleague
Manresa
#14
W
57-36
57
36
+21
A29/01
ACB
77.7Avg total
42.4Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.837.281.0+6.677%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.936.983.8+10.193%-
Last 30 away (15)40.737.578.1+3.260%-
Last 10 (10)42.435.377.7+7.180%-
Last 5 (5)39.034.473.4+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)43.341.084.3+2.367%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)44.035.579.5+8.581%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Promitheas
#4
W
46-25
46
25
+21
A02/01
Basket League
Bayern
#16
L
28-43
28
43
-15
A05/01
Euroleague
Peristeri
#3
W
46-28
46
28
+18
H07/01
Basket League
Fenerbahce
#7
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H10/01
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H13/01
Euroleague
Aris
#7
W
45-24
45
24
+21
H15/01
Basket League
Virtus Bologna
#14
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A19/01
Euroleague
Lavrio
#9
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A22/01
Basket League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
L
27-42
27
42
-15
H26/01
Euroleague
Ionikos
#12
W
55-30
55
30
+25
H28/01
Basket League
75.0Avg total
40.0Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.037.277.2+2.850%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.436.176.5+4.256%-
Last 30 away (14)39.638.477.9+1.243%-
Last 10 (10)40.035.075.0+5.060%-
Last 5 (5)39.236.275.4+3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)37.244.181.3-6.927%-
vs Similar (7)34.440.474.9-6.014%-
vs Weaker (12)45.828.974.8+16.992%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 84.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.520.7
55.2%
53.5%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.39.0
35.6%
36.2%27.0
🏀 Free throws21.416.1
75.2%
78.5%16.1
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 80.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.018.8
57.0%
53.5%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.89.7
36.2%
36.2%29.1
🏀 Free throws20.814.0
67.3%
78.5%14.0
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Feb 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
WWWLWWWWWL
Panathinaikos
WWWLWWLWLW
#2
League position
#15
+14.9
Net rating
+8.9
115.5
Offensive rating
110.6
100.6
Defensive rating
101.7
54.5%
Effective FG%
55.8%
47.5%
Opp. effective FG%
50.0%
18.2%
Turnover %
16.5%
35.3%
Off. rebound %
24.1%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.35
35.6%
3-point %
36.2%
66.3%
Assist %
54.4%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence115.5 · 110.6Defence100.6 · 101.7Shooting54.5% · 55.8%3-point %35.6% · 36.2%Ball care18.2% · 16.5%Off. rebounds35.3% · 24.1%Free throws0.34 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Panathinaikos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Real Madrid wins
1
Panathinaikos wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/01/23AManresa94-69
26/01/23HBarcelona91-86 OT
22/01/23HBreogan91-73
20/01/23AOlympiacos60-73
15/01/23AGranada82-62
12/01/23AAlba Berlin84-77
10/01/23ACrvena zvezda79-59
08/01/23HGran Canaria105-85
06/01/23HMaccabi Tel Aviv98-65
02/01/23HBarcelona78-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/23HIonikos102-70
26/01/23HZalgiris Kaunas89-65
22/01/23ALavrio86-84
19/01/23AVirtus Bologna64-74
15/01/23HAris96-79
13/01/23HMaccabi Tel Aviv88-86
10/01/23HFenerbahce88-94 OT
07/01/23HPeristeri72-71
05/01/23ABayern68-84
02/01/23APromitheas75-44

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW67%
HomeWLWWW70%
AwayLLWWL64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %67%70%64%
Points / game83.691.476.5
Allowed / game77.381.373.6
Point differential+6.3+10.1+2.8
Avg total160.9172.7150.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%40%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)25% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %10%20%0%
Panathinaikos
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW38%
HomeWLLWW55%
AwayLLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %38%55%20%
Points / game79.084.273.4
Allowed / game82.480.784.2
Point differential-3.3+3.5-10.8
Avg total161.4164.9157.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%36%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)40% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %19%27%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos2215768%85.476.4+9.0
2 Real Madrid2114767%83.677.3+6.3
3 Barcelona2214864%80.778.0+2.7
4 Monaco2214864%83.282.6+0.6
5 Fenerbahce2213959%83.180.5+2.5
6 Baskonia22121055%85.483.3+2.1
7 Valencia22121055%82.083.0-1.0
8 Zalgiris Kaunas22121055%75.876.9-1.1
9 Anadolu Efes22111150%82.879.4+3.5
10 Partizan22111150%84.283.5+0.7
11 Maccabi Tel Aviv22111150%81.882.2-0.5
12 Crvena zvezda22101245%75.477.9-2.5
13 Virtus Bologna22101245%78.080.5-2.5
14 Bayern2291341%76.978.8-1.9
15 Panathinaikos2181338%79.082.4-3.3
16 Lyon-Villeurbanne2281436%75.280.0-4.9
17 Olimpia Milano2271532%71.577.6-6.1
18 Alba Berlin2261627%81.384.7-3.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid2622201583
Panathinaikos1416271168
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