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Panathinaikos vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 17 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 90-76
21-15 24-27 17-21 28-13
Position#2
Record4-4
FormLWWWW
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game80.6
vs
Position#8
Record6-2
FormWLLWW
Points / game84.2
Allowed / game80.0
EuropeEuroleagueRound 9· O.A.C.A. Olympic Indoor Hall
European cup2023
Meetings · Panathinaikos v Virtus Bologna
08 Apr 2027
PAO v VIR
upcoming
08 Jan 2026
PAO84
VIR71
03 Jan 2025
PAO111
VIR90
17 Nov 2023
PAO90
VIR76
23 Nov 2022
PAO88
VIR85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Panathinaikos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Bologna winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PanathinaikosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#7
L
69-83
69
83
-14
57avg 74
A17/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
81-86 OT
81
86
-5
73avg 74
H20/10
Euroleague
Lavrio
#13
W
111-75
111
75
+36
113avg 74
H23/10
Basket League
Baskonia
#9
W
95-81
95
81
+14
88avg 74
H27/10
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#3
W
66-54
66
54
+12
57avg 74
A30/10
Basket League
Barcelona
#5
L
72-80
72
80
-8
63avg 74
A03/11
Euroleague
Apollon Patras
#17
W
112-60
112
60
+52
112avg 74
H06/11
Basket League
Alba Berlin
#18
W
99-85
99
85
+14
102avg 74
A10/11
Euroleague
Aris
#8
W
75-65
75
65
+10
71avg 74
A12/11
Basket League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
73-71
73
71
+2
63avg 74
H15/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-27
19-16
17-24
24-16
15-20
9-19
25-18
23-15
31-20
25-25
30-9
25-21
24-22
24-21
22-23
25-15
11-12
17-19
17-12
21-11
20-21
13-24
14-26
25-9
33-12
29-15
27-15
23-18
27-26
33-21
22-23
17-15
14-15
18-18
23-11
20-21
13-15
23-24
17-13
20-19
159.3Avg total
85.3Scored
74.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)80.680.6161.2+0.050%
Season at home (5)81.079.4160.4+1.660%
Season away (3)80.082.7162.7-2.733%
Last 10 (10)85.374.0159.3+11.370%
Last 5 (5)86.272.2158.4+14.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)59.372.3131.7-13.017%
vs Similar (5)73.878.6152.4-4.820%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)84.871.8156.7+13.079%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#18
W
87-76
87
76
+11
81avg 81
H18/10
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#16
W
85-79
85
79
+6
88avg 81
H20/10
Euroleague
Sassari
#8
W
80-66
80
66
+14
87avg 81
H22/10
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
87-84
87
84
+3
86avg 81
A27/10
Euroleague
Basket Napoli
#7
W
88-75
88
75
+13
83avg 81
A30/10
Lega A
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
93-81
93
81
+12
88avg 81
H03/11
Euroleague
Cremona
#11
L
83-93
83
93
-10
73avg 81
A05/11
Lega A
Real Madrid
#1
L
74-100
74
100
-26
68avg 81
A09/11
Euroleague
Treviso
#13
W
91-77
91
77
+14
89avg 81
H11/11
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
86-79
86
79
+7
81avg 81
H14/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-11
17-15
23-25
20-25
26-15
18-18
18-22
23-24
18-20
27-15
19-15
16-16
21-18
18-24
26-21
22-21
23-22
23-6
21-20
21-27
20-18
21-27
28-17
24-19
23-21
14-25
15-25
31-22
27-26
10-27
14-15
23-32
23-16
22-19
27-12
19-30
21-26
24-14
20-23
21-16
166.4Avg total
85.4Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)84.280.0164.2+4.275%
Season at home (5)86.079.4165.4+6.680%
Season away (3)81.381.0162.3+0.367%
Last 10 (10)85.481.0166.4+4.480%
Last 5 (5)85.486.0171.4-0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)78.579.5158.0-1.050%
vs Similar (12)80.278.2158.3+2.058%
vs Weaker (15)93.777.3171.1+16.493%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +6.3+6.3Q4: -1.2-1.2
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +6.3+6.3Q4: -1.2-1.2
PanathinaikosVirtus Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#7
L
28-43
28
43
-15
A17/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
24-39
24
39
-15
H20/10
Euroleague
Lavrio
#13
W
56-45
56
45
+11
H23/10
Basket League
Baskonia
#9
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H27/10
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#3
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A30/10
Basket League
Barcelona
#5
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A03/11
Euroleague
Apollon Patras
#17
W
62-27
62
27
+35
H06/11
Basket League
Alba Berlin
#18
W
60-47
60
47
+13
A10/11
Euroleague
Aris
#8
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A12/11
Basket League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H15/11
Euroleague
79.9Avg total
40.7Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.637.875.4-0.243%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.738.180.7+4.660%-
Last 30 away (15)32.537.670.1-5.127%-
Last 10 (10)40.739.279.9+1.540%-
Last 5 (5)44.638.282.8+6.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)29.339.368.7-10.017%-
vs Similar (5)34.840.875.6-6.020%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)40.936.677.5+4.458%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#18
W
44-26
44
26
+18
H18/10
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#16
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H20/10
Euroleague
Sassari
#8
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H22/10
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A27/10
Euroleague
Basket Napoli
#7
W
46-28
46
28
+18
A30/10
Lega A
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H03/11
Euroleague
Cremona
#11
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A05/11
Lega A
Real Madrid
#1
L
37-53
37
53
-16
A09/11
Euroleague
Treviso
#13
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H11/11
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H14/11
Euroleague
80.6Avg total
42.3Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.838.382.1+5.570%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.936.082.9+10.994%-
Last 30 away (14)40.240.981.1-0.643%-
Last 10 (10)42.338.380.6+4.060%-
Last 5 (5)41.043.884.8-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)42.543.085.5-0.550%-
vs Similar (12)39.937.877.8+2.158%-
vs Weaker (15)47.738.486.1+9.380%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 84.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.019.7
54.7%
53.4%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.010.1
38.8%
36.6%30.3
🏀 Free throws21.415.0
70.1%
77.4%15.0
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 85.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.921.0
58.5%
53.4%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.79.5
37.0%
36.6%28.5
🏀 Free throws18.814.5
77.1%
77.4%14.5
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Panathinaikos
WWWWLWWWLL
Virtus Bologna
WWLLWWWWWW
#2
League position
#8
+15.3
Net rating
+7.1
116.8
Offensive rating
115.8
101.5
Defensive rating
108.7
56.2%
Effective FG%
57.2%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
54.8%
17.3%
Turnover %
18.3%
32.8%
Off. rebound %
30.6%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.31
38.8%
3-point %
37.0%
60.4%
Assist %
68.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence116.8 · 115.8Defence101.5 · 108.7Shooting56.2% · 57.2%3-point %38.8% · 37.0%Ball care17.3% · 18.3%Off. rebounds32.8% · 30.6%Free throws0.35 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Panathinaikos   ■ Virtus Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Panathinaikos wins
1
Virtus Bologna wins
DateGameScore
19/01/23Virtus Bologna v Panathinaikos74-64
23/11/22Panathinaikos v Virtus Bologna88-85 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/23HZalgiris Kaunas73-71
12/11/23AAris75-65
10/11/23AAlba Berlin99-85
06/11/23HApollon Patras112-60
03/11/23ABarcelona72-80
30/10/23AOlympiacos66-54
27/10/23HBaskonia95-81
23/10/23HLavrio111-75
20/10/23HMaccabi Tel Aviv81-86 OT
17/10/23AFenerbahce69-83
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/23HOlimpia Milano86-79
11/11/23HTreviso91-77
09/11/23AReal Madrid74-100
05/11/23ACremona83-93
03/11/23HAnadolu Efes93-81
30/10/23ABasket Napoli88-75
27/10/23ALyon-Villeurbanne87-84
22/10/23HSassari80-66
20/10/23HCrvena zvezda85-79
18/10/23HAlba Berlin87-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Panathinaikos
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW50%
HomeLWLWW60%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %50%60%33%
Points / game80.681.080.0
Allowed / game80.679.482.7
Point differential+0.0+1.6-2.7
Avg total161.2160.4162.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%20%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %25%40%0%
Virtus Bologna
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW75%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %75%80%67%
Points / game84.286.081.3
Allowed / game80.079.481.0
Point differential+4.2+6.6+0.3
Avg total164.2165.4162.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%40%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid880100%86.973.9+13.0
2 Barcelona86275%82.474.5+7.9
3 Virtus Bologna86275%84.280.0+4.2
4 Valencia85362%73.273.0+0.2
5 Maccabi Tel Aviv85362%83.884.5-0.8
6 Olympiacos95456%77.875.8+2.0
7 Monaco95456%78.477.7+0.8
8 Fenerbahce95456%79.078.7+0.3
9 Baskonia95456%82.282.7-0.4
10 Panathinaikos84450%80.680.6+0.0
11 Zalgiris Kaunas94544%80.782.0-1.3
12 Anadolu Efes94544%78.886.1-7.3
13 Partizan83538%85.987.0-1.1
14 Crvena zvezda93633%81.678.3+3.2
15 Olimpia Milano93633%78.977.2+1.7
16 Bayern93633%75.379.3-4.0
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne92722%78.287.0-8.8
18 Alba Berlin81712%76.884.6-7.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Panathinaikos2124172890
Virtus Bologna1527211376
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