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Panathinaikos vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 03 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 111-90
30-23 24-19 25-24 32-24
Position#3
Record11-7
FormWWWWW
Points / game85.9
Allowed / game81.6
vs
Position#17
Record5-13
FormLWLWW
Points / game81.1
Allowed / game84.2
EuropeEuroleagueRound 19· O.A.C.A. Olympic Indoor Hall
European cup2024
Meetings · Panathinaikos v Virtus Bologna
08 Apr 2027
PAO v VIR
upcoming
08 Jan 2026
PAO84
VIR71
03 Jan 2025
PAO111
VIR90
17 Nov 2023
PAO90
VIR76
23 Nov 2022
PAO88
VIR85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Panathinaikos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Bologna winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PanathinaikosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#6
W
90-89
90
89
+1
83avg 82
H03/12
Euroleague
Partizan
#12
L
73-91
73
91
-18
66avg 82
A05/12
Euroleague
Panionios
#8
W
85-83
85
83
+2
85avg 82
A08/12
Basket League
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
67-93
67
93
-26
50avg 82
A13/12
Euroleague
Lavrio
#12
W
85-68
85
68
+17
89avg 82
A15/12
Basket League
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
103-74
103
74
+29
107avg 82
H17/12
Euroleague
Baskonia
#14
W
104-69
104
69
+35
104avg 82
H19/12
Euroleague
Aris
#7
W
126-74
126
74
+52
136avg 82
H22/12
Basket League
Bayern
#7
W
80-69
80
69
+11
71avg 82
A27/12
Euroleague
AS Karditsas
#4
W
96-72
96
72
+24
96avg 82
H29/12
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-19
20-26
18-24
27-20
20-20
17-24
12-20
24-27
17-23
27-19
18-21
23-20
15-20
19-25
12-23
21-25
20-20
25-17
18-15
22-16
38-15
24-25
17-20
24-14
33-12
20-23
23-20
28-14
33-24
24-15
36-18
33-17
13-16
19-20
23-17
25-16
27-20
29-9
22-25
18-18
169.1Avg total
90.9Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)85.981.6167.6+4.361%
Season at home (8)94.181.4175.5+12.875%
Season away (10)79.481.8161.2-2.450%
Last 10 (10)90.978.2169.1+12.780%
Last 5 (5)101.871.6173.4+30.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)81.385.6166.9-4.340%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)93.075.3168.4+17.795%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#18
L
88-90 OT
88
90
-2
78avg 79
H04/12
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#10
L
87-94
87
94
-7
79avg 79
H06/12
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#5
W
82-73
82
73
+9
76avg 79
A08/12
Lega A
Baskonia
#14
W
82-81
82
81
+1
76avg 79
A12/12
Euroleague
Trieste
#6
L
70-78
70
78
-8
64avg 79
H15/12
Lega A
Olympiacos
#2
L
77-87
77
87
-10
72avg 79
A18/12
Euroleague
Barcelona
#6
W
86-81
86
81
+5
83avg 79
H20/12
Euroleague
Trento
#4
L
79-87
79
87
-8
74avg 79
A22/12
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
83-69
83
69
+14
79avg 79
H27/12
Euroleague
Scafati
#15
W
97-71
97
71
+26
104avg 79
H29/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-26
20-22
23-20
17-10
19-18
19-26
25-13
24-37
24-22
29-20
13-11
16-20
21-21
17-17
18-19
26-24
17-14
15-26
23-14
15-24
17-29
29-14
10-21
21-23
23-15
12-19
30-31
21-16
23-20
29-21
5-25
22-21
17-7
29-22
20-16
17-24
21-14
22-22
31-16
23-19
164.2Avg total
83.1Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)81.184.2165.3-3.228%
Season at home (10)80.681.3161.9-0.730%
Season away (8)81.687.9169.5-6.225%
Last 10 (10)83.181.1164.2+2.050%
Last 5 (5)84.479.0163.4+5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)79.585.5165.0-6.020%
vs Similar (10)83.482.9166.3+0.540%
vs Weaker (10)86.881.1167.9+5.770%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.2+5.2Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +5.8+5.8Q4: -1.6-1.6
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.2+5.2Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +5.8+5.8Q4: -1.6-1.6
PanathinaikosVirtus Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#6
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H03/12
Euroleague
Partizan
#12
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A05/12
Euroleague
Panionios
#8
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A08/12
Basket League
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A13/12
Euroleague
Lavrio
#12
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A15/12
Basket League
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
62-40
62
40
+22
H17/12
Euroleague
Baskonia
#14
W
53-35
53
35
+18
H19/12
Euroleague
Aris
#7
W
57-39
57
39
+18
H22/12
Basket League
Bayern
#7
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A27/12
Euroleague
AS Karditsas
#4
W
56-29
56
29
+27
H29/12
Basket League
85.7Avg total
46.5Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.039.083.0+5.060%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.136.683.6+10.571%-
Last 30 away (16)41.341.282.5+0.150%-
Last 10 (10)46.539.285.7+7.360%-
Last 5 (5)52.035.887.8+16.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)40.643.283.8-2.620%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)45.737.082.7+8.880%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#18
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H04/12
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#10
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H06/12
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#5
W
53-42
53
42
+11
A08/12
Lega A
Baskonia
#14
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A12/12
Euroleague
Trieste
#6
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H15/12
Lega A
Olympiacos
#2
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A18/12
Euroleague
Barcelona
#6
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H20/12
Euroleague
Trento
#4
W
52-41
52
41
+11
A22/12
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H27/12
Euroleague
Scafati
#15
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H29/12
Lega A
81.6Avg total
42.1Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.541.983.4-0.443%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.840.480.2-0.644%-
Last 30 away (14)43.543.687.1-0.143%-
Last 10 (10)42.139.581.6+2.660%-
Last 5 (5)44.436.681.0+7.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)40.242.082.2-1.840%-
vs Similar (10)43.242.085.2+1.250%-
vs Weaker (10)41.241.782.9-0.540%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 90.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.221.0
58.0%
54.5%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.410.4
38.0%
36.2%31.2
🏀 Free throws22.617.0
75.2%
78.0%17.0
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 82.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.422.0
57.3%
54.5%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.07.1
29.6%
36.2%21.3
🏀 Free throws22.517.2
76.4%
78.0%17.2
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Panathinaikos
WWWWWWLWLW
Virtus Bologna
WWLWLLWWLL
#3
League position
#17
+18.1
Net rating
+3.6
125.3
Offensive rating
114.0
107.2
Defensive rating
110.4
57.5%
Effective FG%
52.3%
51.1%
Opp. effective FG%
50.4%
14.0%
Turnover %
15.0%
35.2%
Off. rebound %
30.5%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.36
38.0%
3-point %
29.6%
69.7%
Assist %
69.1%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence125.3 · 114.0Defence107.2 · 110.4Shooting57.5% · 52.3%3-point %38.0% · 29.6%Ball care14.0% · 15.0%Off. rebounds35.2% · 30.5%Free throws0.36 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Panathinaikos   ■ Virtus Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Panathinaikos wins
1
Virtus Bologna wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/24HAS Karditsas96-72
27/12/24ABayern80-69
22/12/24HAris126-74
19/12/24HBaskonia104-69
17/12/24HOlimpia Milano103-74
15/12/24ALavrio85-68
13/12/24AAnadolu Efes67-93
08/12/24APanionios85-83
05/12/24APartizan73-91
03/12/24HBarcelona90-89
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/24HScafati97-71
27/12/24HLyon-Villeurbanne83-69
22/12/24ATrento79-87
20/12/24HBarcelona86-81
18/12/24AOlympiacos77-87
15/12/24HTrieste70-78
12/12/24ABaskonia82-81
08/12/24AOlimpia Milano82-73
06/12/24HCrvena zvezda87-94
04/12/24HAlba Berlin88-90 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Panathinaikos
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW61%
HomeWLWWW75%
AwayWLLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %61%75%50%
Points / game85.994.179.4
Allowed / game81.681.481.8
Point differential+4.3+12.8-2.4
Avg total167.6175.5161.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)33% (3)60% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Virtus Bologna
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW28%
HomeLLLWW30%
AwayLLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %28%30%25%
Points / game81.180.681.6
Allowed / game84.281.387.9
Point differential-3.2-0.7-6.2
Avg total165.3161.9169.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%10%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won30% (10)17% (6)50% (4)
Overtime %6%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Monaco1913668%87.781.4+6.3
2 Olympiacos1913668%85.681.5+4.1
3 Paris1711665%86.584.2+2.2
4 Panathinaikos1811761%85.981.6+4.3
5 Bayern1811761%87.186.9+0.2
6 Fenerbahce1811761%78.479.5-1.1
7 Crvena zvezda1911858%82.781.0+1.7
8 Anadolu Efes1910953%84.082.4+1.6
9 Zalgiris Kaunas1910953%77.476.9+0.5
10 Olimpia Milano1910953%86.185.8+0.2
11 Real Madrid189950%84.481.9+2.6
12 Barcelona189950%85.384.6+0.8
13 Partizan1881044%81.781.2+0.4
14 Baskonia1981142%78.781.1-2.4
15 Lyon-Villeurbanne1981142%80.783.9-3.2
16 Maccabi Tel Aviv1851328%84.587.6-3.1
17 Virtus Bologna1851328%81.184.2-3.2
18 Alba Berlin1931616%79.991.5-11.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Panathinaikos30242532111
Virtus Bologna2319242490
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