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Virtus Bologna vs Valencia Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 17 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 89-59
24-8 18-17 24-17 23-17
Position#14
Record3-4
FormWWLWW
Points / game71.0
Allowed / game76.9
vs
Position#13
Record4-3
FormWLWWW
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game81.0
EuropeEuroleagueRound 8
European cup2022
Meetings · Virtus Bologna v Valencia
06 Apr 2027
VIR v VAL
upcoming
03 Apr 2026
VIR81
VAL94
29 Feb 2024
VIR87
VAL74
17 Nov 2022
VIR89
VAL59
10 Nov 2021
VIR96
VAL97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Bologna winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valencia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus BolognaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Bayern
#16
W
66-63
66
63
+3
63avg 81
H13/10
Euroleague
Verona
#16
W
85-60
85
60
+25
86avg 81
A15/10
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
L
65-68
65
68
-3
59avg 81
A18/10
Euroleague
Partizan
#6
L
62-90
62
90
-28
52avg 81
A20/10
Euroleague
Treviso
#13
W
97-71
97
71
+26
102avg 81
H23/10
Lega A
Real Madrid
#2
W
95-91
95
91
+4
89avg 81
A27/10
Euroleague
Sassari
#5
W
74-69
74
69
+5
68avg 81
A29/10
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
L
79-84
79
84
-5
77avg 81
H04/11
Euroleague
Reggiana
#14
W
79-65
79
65
+14
74avg 81
H06/11
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
64-59
64
59
+5
57avg 81
A09/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-16
10-16
22-19
10-12
21-12
20-23
28-5
16-20
24-16
14-15
15-21
12-16
11-27
21-24
15-18
15-21
24-11
20-22
29-21
24-17
18-24
23-21
27-19
27-27
18-20
14-20
23-11
19-18
22-18
28-18
14-27
15-21
18-21
21-20
23-16
17-8
12-23
27-12
14-6
11-18
148.6Avg total
76.6Scored
72.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)71.076.9147.9-5.943%
Season at home (3)70.376.7147.0-6.333%
Season away (4)71.577.0148.5-5.550%
Last 10 (10)76.672.0148.6+4.670%
Last 5 (5)78.273.6151.8+4.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)74.388.0162.3-13.733%
vs Similar ◀ (11)71.172.3143.4-1.245%
vs Weaker (15)80.470.7151.1+9.793%
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
L
76-77
76
77
-1
71avg 79
H14/10
Euroleague
Murcia
#9
L
74-75
74
75
-1
66avg 79
H16/10
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
92-91
92
91
+1
87avg 79
A18/10
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
L
77-79
77
79
-2
68avg 79
A20/10
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#11
W
103-98 OT
103
98
+5
no box
A23/10
ACB
Alba Berlin
#17
W
87-73
87
73
+14
79avg 79
H27/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#1
L
80-92
80
92
-12
72avg 79
H30/10
ACB
Olympiacos
#1
W
83-82
83
82
+1
78avg 79
A04/11
Euroleague
Breogan
#10
W
88-83
88
83
+5
82avg 79
A06/11
ACB
Monaco
#4
W
89-84
89
84
+5
86avg 79
H11/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-16
11-26
21-20
17-15
22-26
23-14
15-15
14-20
20-21
25-24
21-23
26-23
25-20
18-14
15-26
19-19
27-27
21-14
18-18
18-25
23-20
27-19
22-16
15-18
18-23
22-32
20-22
20-15
22-28
12-19
24-24
25-11
18-24
30-17
17-27
23-15
20-20
21-20
23-14
25-30
168.3Avg total
84.9Scored
83.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)82.181.0163.1+1.157%
Season at home (4)80.878.8159.5+2.050%
Season away (3)84.084.0168.0+0.067%
Last 10 (10)84.983.4168.3+1.560%
Last 5 (5)85.482.8168.2+2.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)82.084.8166.8-2.850%
vs Similar ◀ (14)82.980.4163.3+2.457%
vs Weaker (10)86.478.7165.1+7.770%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +1.1+1.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +1.1+1.1
Virtus BolognaValencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#16
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H13/10
Euroleague
Verona
#16
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A15/10
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A18/10
Euroleague
Partizan
#6
L
32-51
32
51
-19
A20/10
Euroleague
Treviso
#13
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H23/10
Lega A
Real Madrid
#2
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A27/10
Euroleague
Sassari
#5
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A29/10
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H04/11
Euroleague
Reggiana
#14
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H06/11
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A09/11
Euroleague
76.9Avg total
39.0Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.537.676.1+0.950%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.434.273.6+5.273%-
Last 30 away (15)37.541.078.5-3.527%-
Last 10 (10)39.037.976.9+1.160%-
Last 5 (5)40.239.479.6+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)35.745.381.0-9.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)38.735.674.4+3.164%-
vs Weaker (15)39.938.378.2+1.753%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H14/10
Euroleague
Murcia
#9
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H16/10
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#10
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A18/10
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A20/10
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#11
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A23/10
ACB
Alba Berlin
#17
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H27/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#1
L
40-55
40
55
-15
H30/10
ACB
Olympiacos
#1
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A04/11
Euroleague
Breogan
#10
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A06/11
ACB
Monaco
#4
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H11/11
Euroleague
85.6Avg total
43.2Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.039.981.9+2.167%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.439.982.2+2.571%-
Last 30 away (13)41.539.981.5+1.662%-
Last 10 (10)43.242.485.6+0.860%-
Last 5 (5)42.644.487.0-1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)39.343.382.7-4.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)43.139.983.0+3.379%-
vs Weaker (10)42.037.979.9+4.170%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 75.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.519.0
52.1%
53.5%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.27.7
38.1%
36.2%23.1
🏀 Free throws19.414.5
74.7%
78.5%14.5
They take 56.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 80.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.418.2
52.9%
53.5%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.310.8
36.9%
36.2%32.4
🏀 Free throws14.211.3
79.6%
78.5%11.3
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Nov 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Virtus Bologna
WWLWWWLLWW
Valencia
WWWLWWLWLL
#14
League position
#13
+5.8
Net rating
+0.5
106.4
Offensive rating
109.6
100.6
Defensive rating
109.0
53.9%
Effective FG%
54.0%
49.6%
Opp. effective FG%
54.8%
20.3%
Turnover %
18.2%
28.0%
Off. rebound %
29.6%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.22
38.1%
3-point %
36.9%
61.8%
Assist %
61.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence106.4 · 109.6Defence100.6 · 109.0Shooting53.9% · 54.0%3-point %38.1% · 36.9%Ball care20.3% · 18.2%Off. rebounds28.0% · 29.6%Free throws0.34 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Virtus Bologna   ■ Valencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Virtus Bologna wins
2
Valencia wins
DateGameScore
04/05/22Valencia v Virtus Bologna73-83
09/02/22Valencia v Virtus Bologna83-77
10/11/21Virtus Bologna v Valencia96-97
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/22AOlimpia Milano64-59
06/11/22HReggiana79-65
04/11/22HLyon-Villeurbanne79-84
29/10/22ASassari74-69
27/10/22AReal Madrid95-91
23/10/22HTreviso97-71
20/10/22APartizan62-90
18/10/22AZalgiris Kaunas65-68
15/10/22AVerona85-60
13/10/22HBayern66-63
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/22HMonaco89-84
06/11/22ABreogan88-83
04/11/22AOlympiacos83-82
30/10/22HBarcelona80-92
27/10/22HAlba Berlin87-73
23/10/22AObradoiro CAB103-98 OT
20/10/22AFenerbahce77-79
18/10/22AAnadolu Efes92-91
16/10/22HMurcia74-75
14/10/22HLyon-Villeurbanne76-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Bologna
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW43%
HomeLWL33%
AwayLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %43%33%50%
Points / game71.070.371.5
Allowed / game76.976.777.0
Point differential-5.9-6.3-5.5
Avg total147.9147.0148.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Valencia
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW57%
HomeLLWW50%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%50%67%
Points / game82.180.884.0
Allowed / game81.078.884.0
Point differential+1.1+2.0+0.0
Avg total163.1159.5168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce76186%83.473.1+10.3
2 Olympiacos75271%85.978.7+7.1
3 Monaco75271%83.079.7+3.3
4 Barcelona85362%78.576.2+2.2
5 Real Madrid74357%81.677.9+3.7
6 Baskonia74357%89.787.3+2.4
7 Valencia74357%82.181.0+1.1
8 Zalgiris Kaunas74357%80.179.3+0.9
9 Maccabi Tel Aviv74357%81.783.4-1.7
10 Alba Berlin73443%82.779.3+3.4
11 Partizan73443%83.085.3-2.3
12 Olimpia Milano73443%71.174.1-3.0
13 Virtus Bologna73443%71.076.9-5.9
14 Anadolu Efes83538%83.983.6+0.2
15 Lyon-Villeurbanne83538%73.177.6-4.5
16 Bayern72529%73.077.1-4.1
17 Panathinaikos72529%78.783.1-4.4
18 Crvena zvezda82625%71.278.8-7.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Virtus Bologna2418242389
Valencia817171759
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