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Panathinaikos vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 08 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 84-71
23-15 16-18 17-15 28-23
Position#7
Record12-8
FormWWLWL
Points / game87.7
Allowed / game85.7
vs
Position#17
Record10-10
FormLWWWW
Points / game83.1
Allowed / game83.0
EuropeEuroleagueRound 21· Telekom Center Athens
European cup2025
Meetings · Panathinaikos v Virtus Bologna
08 Apr 2027
PAO v VIR
upcoming
08 Jan 2026
PAO84
VIR71
03 Jan 2025
PAO111
VIR90
17 Nov 2023
PAO90
VIR76
23 Nov 2022
PAO88
VIR85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Panathinaikos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Bologna winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PanathinaikosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#13
L
89-96
89
96
-7
83avg 85
A11/12
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#4
W
101-63
101
63
+38
107avg 85
A13/12
Basket League
Fenerbahce
#4
W
81-77
81
77
+4
70avg 85
A16/12
Euroleague
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
W
93-82
93
82
+11
82avg 85
H18/12
Euroleague
Iraklis
#8
W
97-82
97
82
+15
96avg 85
H20/12
Basket League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
W
92-85
92
85
+7
93avg 85
A23/12
Euroleague
Maroussi
#12
W
99-89
99
89
+10
100avg 85
A30/12
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
82-87
82
87
-5
72avg 85
H02/01
Euroleague
AS Karditsas
#11
W
92-85
92
85
+7
95avg 85
H04/01
Basket League
Olimpia Milano
#13
L
74-87
74
87
-13
70avg 85
H06/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-21
18-33
15-26
30-16
33-14
32-14
18-22
18-13
17-16
24-21
9-20
31-20
22-17
23-29
20-16
28-20
27-26
24-26
24-15
22-15
19-28
21-22
23-14
29-21
33-22
22-23
28-23
16-21
13-28
30-15
18-18
21-26
22-21
32-28
26-21
12-15
20-15
23-23
15-23
16-26
173.3Avg total
90.0Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)87.785.7173.3+2.060%
Season at home (10)89.584.8174.3+4.760%
Season away (10)85.886.5172.3-0.760%
Last 10 (10)90.083.3173.3+6.770%
Last 5 (5)87.886.6174.4+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)84.088.5172.5-4.50%
vs Similar (11)86.586.2172.6+0.355%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)91.777.4169.1+14.494%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
74-79
74
79
-5
73avg 79
H12/12
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
63-74
63
74
-11
51avg 79
A14/12
Lega A
Partizan
#15
W
86-68
86
68
+18
80avg 79
A17/12
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#9
L
89-90
89
90
-1
91avg 79
A19/12
Euroleague
Brescia
#4
W
86-76
86
76
+10
85avg 79
H22/12
Lega A
Olympiacos
#1
L
94-97
94
97
-3
85avg 79
H26/12
Euroleague
Trieste
#10
W
74-66
74
66
+8
69avg 79
A29/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#13
W
97-85
97
85
+12
94avg 79
H02/01
Euroleague
Trapani
#3
W
20-0
20
0
+20
no box
H04/01
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
W
83-79
83
79
+4
76avg 79
H06/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-21
18-15
15-14
17-29
11-21
24-14
14-23
14-16
24-19
16-18
23-15
23-16
15-23
31-22
24-25
19-20
18-21
23-17
25-15
20-23
25-23
16-27
19-27
34-20
25-22
19-17
11-13
19-14
14-27
33-20
30-19
20-19
–
–
–
–
25-22
18-12
20-22
20-23
148.0Avg total
76.6Scored
71.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)83.183.0166.1+0.150%
Season at home (10)86.881.2168.0+5.680%
Season away (10)79.484.7164.1-5.320%
Last 10 (10)76.671.4148.0+5.260%
Last 5 (5)73.665.4139.0+8.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)79.881.1160.9-1.340%
vs Similar (9)85.181.9167.0+3.267%
vs Weaker (11)80.270.4150.5+9.891%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: +0.7+0.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: +0.7+0.7
PanathinaikosVirtus Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#13
L
44-54
44
54
-10
A11/12
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#4
W
65-28
65
28
+37
A13/12
Basket League
Fenerbahce
#4
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A16/12
Euroleague
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H18/12
Euroleague
Iraklis
#8
L
51-52
51
52
-1
H20/12
Basket League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A23/12
Euroleague
Maroussi
#12
W
55-45
55
45
+10
A30/12
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H02/01
Euroleague
AS Karditsas
#11
W
54-49
54
49
+5
H04/01
Basket League
Olimpia Milano
#13
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H06/01
Euroleague
92.3Avg total
48.1Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.442.689.0+3.760%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.542.990.4+4.657%-
Last 30 away (16)45.442.487.8+3.062%-
Last 10 (10)48.144.292.3+3.950%-
Last 5 (5)47.045.092.0+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)45.543.088.5+2.550%-
vs Similar (11)43.544.487.9-0.845%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)48.341.589.8+6.871%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H12/12
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#2
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A14/12
Lega A
Partizan
#15
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A17/12
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#9
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A19/12
Euroleague
Brescia
#4
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H22/12
Lega A
Olympiacos
#1
L
41-50
41
50
-9
H26/12
Euroleague
Trieste
#10
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A29/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#13
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H02/01
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H06/01
Euroleague
82.2Avg total
42.1Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)42.039.481.4+2.766%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.139.482.5+3.871%-
Last 30 away (15)41.039.480.4+1.660%-
Last 10 (9)42.140.182.2+2.067%-
Last 5 (5)43.241.684.8+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)40.339.579.8+0.860%-
vs Similar (9)42.141.883.9+0.344%-
vs Weaker (10)43.737.180.8+6.690%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 89.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.322.8
55.2%
60.4%45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.19.5
41.1%
35.9%28.5
🏀 Free throws17.515.1
86.3%
78.2%15.1
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 83.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.519.2
55.7%
60.4%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.510.7
38.9%
35.9%32.1
🏀 Free throws16.512.7
77.0%
78.2%12.7
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Panathinaikos
LWLWWWWWWL
Virtus Bologna
WWWWLWLWLL
#7
League position
#17
+8.8
Net rating
+7.3
121.0
Offensive rating
114.5
112.2
Defensive rating
107.2
57.5%
Effective FG%
56.9%
56.9%
Opp. effective FG%
51.1%
15.7%
Turnover %
19.6%
30.4%
Off. rebound %
33.0%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.27
41.1%
3-point %
38.9%
65.6%
Assist %
68.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence121.0 · 114.5Defence112.2 · 107.2Shooting57.5% · 56.9%3-point %41.1% · 38.9%Ball care15.7% · 19.6%Off. rebounds30.4% · 33.0%Free throws0.27 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Panathinaikos   ■ Virtus Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Panathinaikos wins
2
Virtus Bologna wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/26HOlimpia Milano74-87
04/01/26HAS Karditsas92-85
02/01/26HOlympiacos82-87
30/12/25AMaroussi99-89
23/12/25AZalgiris Kaunas92-85
20/12/25HIraklis97-82
18/12/25HHapoel Tel-Aviv93-82
16/12/25AFenerbahce81-77
13/12/25AAEK Athens101-63
11/12/25AOlimpia Milano89-96
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/26HZalgiris Kaunas83-79
04/01/26HTrapani20-0
02/01/26HOlimpia Milano97-85
29/12/25ATrieste74-66
26/12/25HOlympiacos94-97
22/12/25HBrescia86-76
19/12/25ACrvena zvezda89-90
17/12/25APartizan86-68
14/12/25AOlimpia Milano63-74
12/12/25HHapoel Tel-Aviv74-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Panathinaikos
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL60%
HomeWLWLL60%
AwayWWLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %60%60%60%
Points / game87.789.585.8
Allowed / game85.784.886.5
Point differential+2.0+4.7-0.7
Avg total173.3174.3172.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%40%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)0% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Virtus Bologna
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW50%
HomeWLLWW80%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %50%80%20%
Points / game83.186.879.4
Allowed / game83.081.284.7
Point differential+0.1+5.6-5.3
Avg total166.1168.0164.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%40%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)60% (5)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hapoel Tel-Aviv2014670%87.982.2+5.8
2 Valencia2014670%90.284.8+5.4
3 Monaco2013765%91.283.5+7.7
4 Barcelona2013765%87.785.0+2.6
5 Fenerbahce2013765%82.079.8+2.2
6 Real Madrid2012860%86.684.2+2.5
7 Panathinaikos2012860%87.785.7+2.0
8 Olympiacos1911858%87.984.6+3.3
9 Zalgiris Kaunas2011955%86.882.0+4.7
10 Crvena zvezda2011955%86.083.6+2.4
11 Virtus Bologna20101050%83.183.0+0.1
12 Olimpia Milano20101050%84.985.0-0.1
13 Dubai21101148%86.088.1-2.0
14 Maccabi Tel Aviv2081240%89.091.7-2.6
15 Paris2071335%90.292.2-1.9
16 Bayern2071335%79.384.1-4.8
17 Baskonia2061430%88.092.2-4.2
18 Anadolu Efes2061430%80.585.6-5.2
19 Lyon-Villeurbanne2061430%78.887.2-8.4
20 Partizan2061430%80.689.5-8.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Panathinaikos2316172884
Virtus Bologna1518152371
← all games of the day
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