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Panionios vs Chemnitz Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 01 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 89-86 (OT)
30-13 19-32 8-21 20-11 12-9
Position#19
Record-
FormWLLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#12
Record-
FormLLWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeEurocupRound 1· DAK Glyfada M. Liugas
European cup2025
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Panionios winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Chemnitz winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PanioniosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanionios
Date
Competition
Aris
#7
L
72-80
72
80
-8
61avg 71
A08/02
Basket League
AEK Athens
#3
L
75-80
75
80
-5
60avg 71
H01/03
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#1
L
66-97
66
97
-31
58avg 71
A09/03
Basket League
Promitheas
#5
L
93-101 OT
93
101
-8
84avg 71
H16/03
Basket League
Olympiacos
#2
L
64-95
64
95
-31
57avg 71
A23/03
Basket League
Aris
#7
W
92-78
92
78
+14
85avg 71
H29/03
Basket League
Olympiacos
#2
L
67-106
67
106
-39
54avg 71
A06/04
Basket League
Olympiacos
#2
L
85-91
85
91
-6
80avg 71
H13/04
Basket League
Peristeri
#9
W
102-93
102
93
+9
101avg 71
H03/05
Basket League
PAOK
#6
L
78-94
78
94
-16
63avg 71
A07/05
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-24
18-13
11-24
23-19
16-28
13-23
20-14
26-15
16-27
12-23
21-25
17-22
25-31
20-18
23-22
19-16
9-22
16-26
20-20
19-27
17-11
26-18
28-27
21-22
17-22
28-20
8-32
14-32
18-28
22-16
17-28
28-19
30-22
17-22
32-24
23-25
23-22
20-23
14-28
21-21
170.9Avg total
79.4Scored
91.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)79.491.5170.9-12.120%
Last 5 (5)84.892.4177.2-7.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)73.689.1162.8-15.50%
vs Similar (18)80.278.4158.6+1.856%
vs Weaker (4)79.076.8155.8+2.275%
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChemnitzLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChemnitz
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#6
L
81-103
81
103
-22
71avg 74
H27/04
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#8
W
104-100 OT
104
100
+4
102avg 74
H01/05
BBL
Rostock
#12
W
108-102 OT
108
102
+6
98avg 74
H04/05
BBL
Hamburg
#13
W
93-88
93
88
+5
87avg 74
A07/05
BBL
Oldenburg
#9
L
94-104
94
104
-10
86avg 74
A11/05
BBL
Heidelberg
#4
L
90-93
90
93
-3
74avg 74
H17/05
BBL
Heidelberg
#4
L
70-74
70
74
-4
62avg 74
A20/05
BBL
Heidelberg
#4
W
97-88
97
88
+9
96avg 74
H25/05
BBL
Heidelberg
#4
L
64-92
64
92
-28
48avg 74
A27/05
BBL
Ulm
#6
L
81-94
81
94
-13
67avg 74
A28/09
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-27
4-35
28-21
26-20
19-21
13-25
26-25
32-19
18-21
29-25
23-16
24-32
12-29
23-21
24-22
34-16
21-34
30-27
22-20
21-23
20-29
24-17
24-27
22-20
15-19
18-17
18-20
19-18
23-21
36-19
14-24
24-24
23-26
18-22
7-19
16-25
27-27
11-15
26-26
17-26
182.0Avg total
88.2Scored
93.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)88.293.8182.0-5.640%
Last 5 (5)80.488.2168.6-7.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)85.395.6180.9-10.222%
vs Similar (18)82.587.0169.5-4.544%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)83.073.7156.7+9.3100%
This opponent (Panionios) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -4.6-4.6Q1: -5.3-5.3Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -5.0-5.0Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +1.2+1.2
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -4.6-4.6Q1: -5.3-5.3Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -5.0-5.0Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +1.2+1.2
PanioniosChemnitz
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PanioniosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aris
#7
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A08/02
Basket League
AEK Athens
#3
L
29-51
29
51
-22
H01/03
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#1
L
28-50
28
50
-22
A09/03
Basket League
Promitheas
#5
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H16/03
Basket League
Olympiacos
#2
L
25-48
25
48
-23
A23/03
Basket League
Aris
#7
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H29/03
Basket League
Olympiacos
#2
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A06/04
Basket League
Olympiacos
#2
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H13/04
Basket League
Peristeri
#9
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H03/05
Basket League
PAOK
#6
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A07/05
Basket League
82.2Avg total
38.3Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.939.978.8-0.947%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.337.978.3+2.453%-
Last 30 away (15)37.541.879.3-4.340%-
Last 10 (10)38.343.982.2-5.640%-
Last 5 (5)43.640.884.4+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)34.643.578.1-8.925%-
vs Similar (18)40.238.578.7+1.750%-
vs Weaker (4)42.038.880.8+3.275%-
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChemnitzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#6
L
27-62
27
62
-35
H27/04
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#8
L
32-46
32
46
-14
H01/05
BBL
Rostock
#12
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H04/05
BBL
Hamburg
#13
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A07/05
BBL
Oldenburg
#9
L
51-61
51
61
-10
A11/05
BBL
Heidelberg
#4
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H17/05
BBL
Heidelberg
#4
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A20/05
BBL
Heidelberg
#4
W
59-40
59
40
+19
H25/05
BBL
Heidelberg
#4
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A27/05
BBL
Ulm
#6
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A28/09
BBL
88.4Avg total
40.7Scored
47.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.144.185.1-3.043%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.343.585.8-1.257%-
Last 30 away (16)40.044.684.6-4.631%-
Last 10 (10)40.747.788.4-7.020%-
Last 5 (5)43.042.485.4+0.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)38.646.184.7-7.633%-
vs Similar (18)42.144.286.3-2.150%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)42.337.079.3+5.333%-
This opponent (Panionios) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Panioniostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panionios: 78.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.220.6
51.2%
54.5%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.87.7
31.0%
34.4%23.1
🏀 Free throws20.614.3
69.4%
75.2%14.3
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Chemnitztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chemnitz: 87.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.418.6
55.7%
54.5%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.411.2
35.7%
34.4%33.6
🏀 Free throws21.816.6
76.1%
75.2%16.6
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Panionios
LWLLWLLLLL
Chemnitz
LLWLLLWWWL
#19
League position
#12
-15.9
Net rating
-6.7
103.0
Offensive rating
108.6
118.9
Defensive rating
115.3
49.5%
Effective FG%
54.6%
57.8%
Opp. effective FG%
52.9%
17.3%
Turnover %
18.9%
28.1%
Off. rebound %
26.1%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.34
31.0%
3-point %
35.7%
58.7%
Assist %
61.7%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence103.0 · 108.6Defence118.9 · 115.3Shooting49.5% · 54.6%3-point %31.0% · 35.7%Ball care17.3% · 18.9%Off. rebounds28.1% · 26.1%Free throws0.32 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ Panionios   ■ Chemnitz
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Panionios wins
0
Chemnitz wins
No previous meetings.
Panionioslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/05/25APAOK78-94
03/05/25HPeristeri102-93
13/04/25HOlympiacos85-91
06/04/25AOlympiacos67-106
29/03/25HAris92-78
23/03/25AOlympiacos64-95
16/03/25HPromitheas93-101 OT
09/03/25APanathinaikos66-97
01/03/25HAEK Athens75-80
08/02/25AAris72-80
Chemnitzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/09/25AUlm81-94
27/05/25AHeidelberg64-92
25/05/25HHeidelberg97-88
20/05/25AHeidelberg70-74
17/05/25HHeidelberg90-93
11/05/25AOldenburg94-104
07/05/25AHamburg93-88
04/05/25HRostock108-102 OT
01/05/25HLudwigsburg104-100 OT
27/04/25HAlba Berlin81-103

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Panionios
Eurocup 2025
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Chemnitz
Eurocup 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hapoel Jerusalem110100%100.085.0+15.0
2 Slask Wroclaw110100%95.085.0+10.0
3 Bahcesehir Kol.110100%98.090.0+8.0
4 Lietkabelis110100%85.079.0+6.0
5 Aris110100%85.081.0+4.0
6 Ulm110100%96.093.0+3.0
7 Turk Telekom1010%93.096.0-3.0
8 Venezia1010%81.085.0-4.0
9 Besiktas1010%79.085.0-6.0
10 Cluj-Napoca1010%90.098.0-8.0
11 Neptunas1010%85.095.0-10.0
12 Hamburg1010%85.0100.0-15.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Panionios30198201289
Chemnitz13322111986
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