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PAOK vs Galatasaray Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 20 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 79-85
22-30 22-19 20-27 15-9
Position#32
Record3-2
FormLWWLL
Points / game75.2
Allowed / game78.6
vs
Position#20
Record2-3
FormLLLWL
Points / game85.6
Allowed / game82.6
EuropeChampions LeagueRound 6· P.A.O.K. Sports Arena
European cup2023
Meetings · PAOK v Galatasaray
20 Dec 2023
PAK79
GAL85
25 Oct 2021
PAK81
GAL74
30 Sep 2011
PAK64
GAL77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

PAOK winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Galatasaray winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PAOKLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPAOK
Date
Competition
Benfica
#28
L
72-94
72
94
-22
61avg 68
A01/11
Champions League
Olympiacos
#3
L
63-77
63
77
-14
53avg 68
H05/11
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#17
W
67-54
67
54
+13
64avg 68
A11/11
Basket League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#4
W
79-77
79
77
+2
77avg 68
H15/11
Champions League
Aris
#8
W
82-76
82
76
+6
79avg 68
H18/11
Basket League
AEK Athens
#9
L
70-90
70
90
-20
57avg 68
A25/11
Basket League
Benfica
#28
W
76-74
76
74
+2
74avg 68
H29/11
Champions League
Kolossos Rhodes
#15
W
93-81
93
81
+12
90avg 68
H04/12
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
85-97
85
97
-12
84avg 68
A10/12
Basket League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#4
L
61-71
61
71
-10
53avg 68
A13/12
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-17
26-23
19-28
12-26
16-17
12-20
13-16
22-24
17-16
15-10
15-18
20-10
17-19
22-16
24-17
16-25
30-22
24-12
14-25
14-17
25-17
20-19
8-28
17-26
14-22
25-15
16-15
21-22
23-28
15-19
23-19
32-15
22-17
23-28
17-29
23-23
16-16
14-17
10-21
21-17
153.9Avg total
74.8Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)75.278.6153.8-3.460%
Season at home (2)77.575.5153.0+2.0100%
Season away (3)73.780.7154.3-7.033%
Last 10 (10)74.879.1153.9-4.350%
Last 5 (5)77.082.6159.6-5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)68.580.9149.4-12.421%
vs Similar (8)78.977.5156.4+1.475%
vs Weaker (3)80.766.0146.7+14.7100%
This opponent (Galatasaray) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GalatasarayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGalatasaray
Date
Competition
Turk Telekom
#9
L
75-76
75
76
-1
61avg 74
H05/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#13
L
72-75
72
75
-3
52avg 74
A11/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Benfica
#28
W
98-78
98
78
+20
99avg 74
H14/11
Champions League
Bursaspor
#8
L
80-82
80
82
-2
74avg 74
H17/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#10
W
70-61
70
61
+9
64avg 74
A25/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Hapoel Jerusalem
#4
L
70-85
70
85
-15
60avg 74
H30/11
Champions League
Çağdaş Bodrum Spor
#15
L
77-87
77
87
-10
69avg 74
H03/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#4
L
76-98
76
98
-22
no box
A09/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Benfica
#28
W
87-63
87
63
+24
74avg 74
A13/12
Champions League
Bahcesehir Kol.
#12
L
86-92
86
92
-6
88avg 74
H17/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-23
20-19
20-20
16-14
29-18
9-28
20-8
14-21
11-20
31-19
27-19
29-20
11-11
24-19
17-26
28-26
15-16
9-12
21-20
25-13
17-22
13-23
17-18
23-22
14-24
12-11
18-28
33-24
24-22
16-26
19-25
17-25
13-16
18-18
30-19
26-10
21-25
32-18
20-27
13-22
158.8Avg total
79.1Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)85.682.6168.2+3.040%
Season at home (3)81.783.7165.3-2.033%
Season away (2)91.581.0172.5+10.550%
Last 10 (10)79.179.7158.8-0.630%
Last 5 (5)79.285.0164.2-5.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)80.786.9167.6-6.222%
vs Similar (14)81.181.0162.1+0.143%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)83.078.1161.1+4.957%
This opponent (PAOK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -5.7-5.7Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +2.7+2.7
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -5.7-5.7Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +2.7+2.7
PAOKGalatasaray
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PAOKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Benfica
#28
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A01/11
Champions League
Olympiacos
#3
L
28-37
28
37
-9
H05/11
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#17
W
32-26
32
26
+6
A11/11
Basket League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#4
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H15/11
Champions League
Aris
#8
W
54-34
54
34
+20
H18/11
Basket League
AEK Athens
#9
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A25/11
Basket League
Benfica
#28
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H29/11
Champions League
Kolossos Rhodes
#15
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H04/12
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A10/12
Basket League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#4
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A13/12
Champions League
76.1Avg total
39.1Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.939.977.8-2.043%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.240.079.2-0.850%-
Last 30 away (16)36.839.876.6-3.138%-
Last 10 (10)39.137.076.1+2.160%-
Last 5 (5)39.439.679.0-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)36.540.877.3-4.332%-
vs Similar (8)40.040.980.9-0.950%-
vs Weaker (3)41.331.773.0+9.7100%-
This opponent (Galatasaray) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GalatasarayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Turk Telekom
#9
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H05/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#13
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A11/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Benfica
#28
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H14/11
Champions League
Bursaspor
#8
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H17/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#10
L
24-28
24
28
-4
A25/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Hapoel Jerusalem
#4
L
30-45
30
45
-15
H30/11
Champions League
Çağdaş Bodrum Spor
#15
L
26-35
26
35
-9
H03/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#4
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A09/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Benfica
#28
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A13/12
Champions League
Bahcesehir Kol.
#12
W
53-43
53
43
+10
H17/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
74.8Avg total
35.8Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.340.478.7-2.140%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.040.480.4-0.447%-
Last 30 away (15)36.540.476.9-3.933%-
Last 10 (10)35.839.074.8-3.230%-
Last 5 (5)36.041.077.0-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)37.843.481.2-5.722%-
vs Similar (14)37.938.476.3-0.650%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)39.740.480.1-0.743%-
This opponent (PAOK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
PAOKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

PAOK: 74.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.318.0
51.0%
51.4%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.47.8
34.8%
34.9%23.4
🏀 Free throws20.814.8
71.2%
74.5%14.8
They take 57.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Galatasaraytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Galatasaray: 78.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.316.5
49.5%
51.4%33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.49.9
31.5%
34.9%29.7
🏀 Free throws20.615.6
75.7%
74.5%15.6
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
PAOK
LLWWLWWWLL
Galatasaray
LWLLLWLWLL
#32
League position
#20
-6.1
Net rating
-0.5
104.9
Offensive rating
106.1
111.0
Defensive rating
106.6
51.5%
Effective FG%
48.5%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
18.9%
Turnover %
18.1%
29.0%
Off. rebound %
33.2%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.32
34.8%
3-point %
31.5%
63.6%
Assist %
77.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence104.9 · 106.1Defence111.0 · 106.6Shooting51.5% · 48.5%3-point %34.8% · 31.5%Ball care18.9% · 18.1%Off. rebounds29.0% · 33.2%Free throws0.36 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ PAOK   ■ Galatasaray
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
PAOK wins
2
Galatasaray wins
DateGameScore
18/10/23Galatasaray v PAOK77-88
08/12/21Galatasaray v PAOK87-75
25/10/21PAOK v Galatasaray81-74
30/09/11PAOK v Galatasaray64-77
PAOKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/23AHapoel Jerusalem61-71
10/12/23APanathinaikos85-97
04/12/23HKolossos Rhodes93-81
29/11/23HBenfica76-74
25/11/23AAEK Athens70-90
18/11/23HAris82-76
15/11/23HHapoel Jerusalem79-77
11/11/23AApollon Patras67-54
05/11/23HOlympiacos63-77
01/11/23ABenfica72-94
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/23HBahcesehir Kol.86-92
13/12/23ABenfica87-63
09/12/23AKarsiyaka76-98
03/12/23HÇağdaş Bodrum Spor77-87
30/11/23HHapoel Jerusalem70-85
25/11/23ABuyukcekmece70-61
17/11/23HBursaspor80-82
14/11/23HBenfica98-78
11/11/23ADarussafaka72-75
05/11/23HTurk Telekom75-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

PAOK
Champions League 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL60%
HomeWW100%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %60%100%33%
Points / game75.277.573.7
Allowed / game78.675.580.7
Point differential-3.4+2.0-7.0
Avg total153.8153.0154.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Galatasaray
Champions League 2023
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW40%
HomeLWL33%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %40%33%50%
Points / game85.681.791.5
Allowed / game82.683.781.0
Point differential+3.0-2.0+10.5
Avg total168.2165.3172.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %20%0%50%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 AEK Athens550100%89.875.6+14.2
2 Murcia65183%86.271.2+15.0
3 Dijon65183%87.773.5+14.2
4 Hapoel Jerusalem65183%85.573.3+12.2
5 Tortona65183%83.380.7+2.7
6 Strasbourg97278%81.277.4+3.8
7 Obradoiro CAB32167%80.768.0+12.7
8 Rytas64267%84.875.8+9.0
9 Unicaja64267%81.773.7+8.0
10 Tenerife64267%81.773.8+7.8
11 Brindisi32167%74.772.3+2.3
12 Cholet96367%81.980.4+1.4
13 Norrkoping32167%77.776.3+1.3
14 Bonn53260%81.075.2+5.8
15 Hapoel Holon53260%77.876.2+1.6
16 PAOK53260%75.278.6-3.4
17 Nes Ziona21150%83.067.5+15.5
18 Bakken Bears21150%85.578.5+7.0
19 Promitheas63350%86.079.2+6.8
20 Le Mans63350%79.577.2+2.3
21 Legia21150%68.066.5+1.5
22 Karsiyaka63350%82.581.2+1.3
23 Den Bosch21150%79.581.0-1.5
24 Darussafaka63350%81.383.3-2.0
25 Fribourg Olympic21150%58.060.5-2.5
26 Varese21150%80.583.5-3.0
27 Peristeri63350%77.282.2-5.0
28 Oostende63350%77.083.2-6.2
29 AEK Larnaca21150%66.576.5-10.0
30 Benfica94544%81.778.7+3.0
31 Galatasaray52340%85.682.6+3.0
32 Breogan52340%73.073.4-0.4
33 Szczecin52340%78.479.8-1.4
34 Ludwigsburg52340%79.482.2-2.8
35 Bursaspor52340%72.879.8-7.0
36 Oldenburg62433%84.082.5+1.5
37 Tofas62433%88.791.8-3.2
38 VEF Riga62433%71.876.0-4.2
39 Szombathely62433%76.081.3-5.3
40 Sassari51420%82.492.4-10.0
41 FMP Beograd1010%71.073.0-2.0
42 CSM Oradea1010%74.077.0-3.0
43 Antwerp Giants1010%72.076.0-4.0
44 BC Kalev/Cramo1010%78.082.0-4.0
45 Jonava1010%78.083.0-5.0
46 Caledonia Gladiators1010%51.057.0-6.0
47 Levice1010%66.074.0-8.0
48 Gottingen1010%84.096.0-12.0
49 Igokea6060%72.587.0-14.5
50 Peja1010%79.0103.0-24.0
51 Opava6060%72.0102.0-30.0
52 Mornar Bar1010%56.090.0-34.0
53 Karhu Basket1010%56.092.0-36.0
54 TSU1010%62.0122.0-60.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 54 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
PAOK2222201579
Galatasaray301927985
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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