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Panathinaikos vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 01 Apr 2021
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 86-83 (OT)
15-26 14-20 20-13 21-11 16-13
Position#16
Record10-20
FormLWLWL
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game82.2
vs
Position#4
Record20-12
FormLWLLW
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game77.8
EuropeEuroleagueRound 33
European cup2020
Meetings · Panathinaikos v Olimpia Milano
27 Oct 2026
PAO80
MIL75
06 Jan 2026
PAO74
MIL87
17 Dec 2024
PAO103
MIL74
31 Jan 2024
PAO79
MIL62
08 Dec 2022
PAO90
MIL77
04 Mar 2022
PAO75
MIL76
01 Apr 2021
PAO86
MIL83
21 Dec 2018
PAO83
MIL86
15 Dec 2017
PAO80
MIL72
21 Mar 2017
PAO74
MIL61
07 Nov 2014
PAO90
MIL63
02 Jan 2014
PAO73
MIL57
23 Feb 2012
PAO58
MIL67
22 Dec 2010
PAO93
MIL62
03 Dec 2009
PAO80
MIL68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Panathinaikos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PanathinaikosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#2
L
77-85
77
85
-8
no box
H02/03
Euroleague
Bayern
#5
L
71-76
71
76
-5
66avg 79
A04/03
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#7
W
95-82
95
82
+13
103avg 79
A07/03
Basket League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
W
81-63
81
63
+18
82avg 79
H11/03
Euroleague
Ionikos
#8
W
98-74
98
74
+24
96avg 79
H13/03
Basket League
Crvena zvezda
#17
L
82-86
82
86
-4
73avg 79
H19/03
Euroleague
Peristeri
#6
W
74-68
74
68
+6
69avg 79
A22/03
Basket League
Anadolu Efes
#3
L
65-85
65
85
-20
no box
A25/03
Euroleague
Harilaos Trikoupis
#12
W
102-68
102
68
+34
106avg 79
H27/03
Basket League
Baskonia
#10
L
82-97
82
97
-15
75avg 79
H30/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-26
22-21
11-12
27-26
21-14
15-23
19-20
16-19
20-22
34-14
17-22
24-24
25-9
18-21
15-25
23-8
20-21
21-18
27-25
30-10
23-17
17-23
19-20
23-26
21-24
16-21
11-10
26-13
21-24
12-19
16-17
16-25
29-21
19-18
26-11
28-18
21-25
20-24
18-23
23-25
161.1Avg total
82.7Scored
78.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)79.382.2161.4-2.933%
Season at home (16)82.679.9162.6+2.744%
Season away (14)75.484.7160.1-9.321%
Last 10 (10)82.778.4161.1+4.350%
Last 5 (5)81.080.8161.8+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)77.884.6162.4-6.912%
vs Similar (9)80.278.1158.3+2.144%
vs Weaker (13)89.876.4166.2+13.485%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#9
L
92-100
92
100
-8
85avg 78
H03/03
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#11
W
69-64
69
64
+5
no box
A05/03
Euroleague
Trento
#8
L
60-61
60
61
-1
48avg 78
A07/03
Lega A
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
84-76
84
76
+8
81avg 78
A11/03
Euroleague
Brescia
#11
W
99-92
99
92
+7
94avg 78
A14/03
Lega A
Barcelona
#2
L
56-72
56
72
-16
44avg 78
H19/03
Euroleague
Cantu
#15
W
70-57
70
57
+13
64avg 78
H21/03
Lega A
Baskonia
#10
L
69-86
69
86
-17
55avg 78
A26/03
Euroleague
Venezia
#4
L
63-69
63
69
-6
57avg 78
A28/03
Lega A
Crvena zvezda
#17
W
93-72
93
72
+21
95avg 78
A30/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-24
24-26
17-28
23-22
19-13
15-19
16-13
19-19
14-14
14-16
18-19
14-12
30-10
17-24
23-21
14-21
24-13
23-27
28-25
24-27
12-15
17-23
15-17
12-17
26-14
12-14
15-12
17-17
16-10
16-23
13-27
24-26
16-13
18-24
16-17
13-15
22-12
25-24
28-15
18-21
150.4Avg total
75.5Scored
74.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)80.877.8158.6+3.062%
Season at home (16)82.677.0159.6+5.662%
Season away (16)79.178.6157.6+0.562%
Last 10 (10)75.574.9150.4+0.650%
Last 5 (5)70.271.2141.4-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)76.775.1151.8+1.660%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)85.175.8160.9+9.374%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +6.9+6.9Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: -3.9-3.9Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: -1.9-1.9
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +6.9+6.9Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: -3.9-3.9Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: -1.9-1.9
PanathinaikosOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#2
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H02/03
Euroleague
Bayern
#5
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A04/03
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#7
W
54-36
54
36
+18
A07/03
Basket League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H11/03
Euroleague
Ionikos
#8
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H13/03
Basket League
Crvena zvezda
#17
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H19/03
Euroleague
Peristeri
#6
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A22/03
Basket League
Anadolu Efes
#3
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A25/03
Euroleague
Harilaos Trikoupis
#12
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H27/03
Basket League
Baskonia
#10
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H30/03
Euroleague
81.7Avg total
41.2Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.339.479.7+0.957%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.839.281.0+2.562%-
Last 30 away (14)38.739.678.3-0.950%-
Last 10 (10)41.240.581.7+0.740%-
Last 5 (5)39.843.283.0-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)36.042.478.4-6.412%-
vs Similar (9)37.838.276.0-0.456%-
vs Weaker (13)44.838.483.2+6.485%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#9
W
52-50
52
50
+2
H03/03
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#11
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A05/03
Euroleague
Trento
#8
L
28-30
28
30
-2
A07/03
Lega A
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
47-34
47
34
+13
A11/03
Euroleague
Brescia
#11
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A14/03
Lega A
Barcelona
#2
L
29-38
29
38
-9
H19/03
Euroleague
Cantu
#15
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H21/03
Lega A
Baskonia
#10
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A26/03
Euroleague
Venezia
#4
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A28/03
Lega A
Crvena zvezda
#17
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A30/03
Euroleague
74.6Avg total
38.8Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.435.878.2+6.667%-
Last 30 at home (17)44.435.680.0+8.871%-
Last 30 away (13)39.836.175.8+3.762%-
Last 10 (10)38.835.874.6+3.060%-
Last 5 (5)36.034.470.4+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)38.335.573.8+2.840%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)44.636.781.3+7.979%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 86.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.820.3
55.2%
52.7%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.610.7
43.5%
38.1%32.1
🏀 Free throws18.313.6
74.3%
79.3%13.6
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 74.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.817.3
47.0%
52.7%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.08.8
38.3%
38.1%26.4
🏀 Free throws16.213.5
83.3%
79.3%13.5
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Apr 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Panathinaikos
LWLWLWWWLL
Olimpia Milano
WLLWLWWLWL
#16
League position
#4
+7.4
Net rating
+0.3
116.2
Offensive rating
104.7
108.8
Defensive rating
104.5
59.2%
Effective FG%
51.0%
56.4%
Opp. effective FG%
51.3%
18.8%
Turnover %
17.4%
28.7%
Off. rebound %
24.4%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.27
43.5%
3-point %
38.3%
61.6%
Assist %
56.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence116.2 · 104.7Defence108.8 · 104.5Shooting59.2% · 51.0%3-point %43.5% · 38.3%Ball care18.8% · 17.4%Off. rebounds28.7% · 24.4%Free throws0.30 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Panathinaikos   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Panathinaikos wins
3
Olimpia Milano wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/03/21HBaskonia82-97
27/03/21HHarilaos Trikoupis102-68
25/03/21AAnadolu Efes65-85
22/03/21APeristeri74-68
19/03/21HCrvena zvezda82-86
13/03/21HIonikos98-74
11/03/21HMaccabi Tel Aviv81-63
07/03/21AKolossos Rhodes95-82
04/03/21ABayern71-76
02/03/21HBarcelona77-85
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/03/21ACrvena zvezda93-72
28/03/21AVenezia63-69
26/03/21ABaskonia69-86
21/03/21HCantu70-57
19/03/21HBarcelona56-72
14/03/21ABrescia99-92
11/03/21ACSKA Moscow84-76
07/03/21ATrento60-61
05/03/21AZalgiris Kaunas69-64
03/03/21HFenerbahce92-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Panathinaikos
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL33%
HomeWLWLL44%
AwayLWLLL21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301614
Win %33%44%21%
Points / game79.382.675.4
Allowed / game82.279.984.7
Point differential-2.9+2.7-9.3
Avg total161.4162.6160.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%38%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)0% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %7%6%7%
Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW62%
HomeWWWLL62%
AwayLWWLW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %62%62%62%
Points / game80.882.679.1
Allowed / game77.877.078.6
Point differential+3.0+5.6+0.5
Avg total158.6159.6157.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%44%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)0% (3)83% (6)
Overtime %9%6%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Barcelona3223972%80.973.3+7.5
2 CSKA Moscow31211068%83.580.1+3.4
3 Anadolu Efes33221167%84.376.2+8.1
4 Olimpia Milano32201262%80.877.8+3.0
5 Fenerbahce32201262%79.078.5+0.5
6 Bayern32191359%78.377.7+0.7
7 Real Madrid32181456%79.978.3+1.6
8 Zenit Petersburg31171455%76.975.5+1.4
9 Baskonia33181555%80.977.3+3.6
10 Valencia32171553%81.581.1+0.4
11 Zalgiris Kaunas32161650%77.178.0-0.9
12 Olympiacos32151747%79.080.2-1.2
13 Maccabi Tel Aviv30131743%79.179.9-0.8
14 Lyon-Villeurbanne31121939%77.780.6-2.9
15 Alba Berlin32112134%78.383.2-4.9
16 Panathinaikos30102033%79.382.2-2.9
17 Crvena zvezda3292328%74.680.1-5.6
18 Khimki M.3142713%78.290.2-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Panathinaikos151420211686
Olimpia Milano262013111383
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