Panathinaikos vs PAOK Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 24 May 2018

Tip-off: 17:00

Final 92-79

20-15 31-16 21-19 20-29

Position#1

Record28-0

FormWWWWW

Points / game92.4

Allowed / game68.2

Panathinaikos 🏆

PAOK

Position#3

Record19-9

FormLWWWW

Points / game79.8

Allowed / game76.3

Basket LeagueBasket League - Semi-finals

Domestic2017-18

Meetings · Panathinaikos v PAOK

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Panathinaikos winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

PAOK winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Panathinaikos Greece

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kolossos Rhodes

87-63

+24

H13/04

Basket League

Real Madrid

95-67

+28

H17/04

Euroleague

Real Madrid

82-89

-7

H19/04

Euroleague

Real Madrid

74-81

-7

A25/04

Euroleague

Real Madrid

82-89

-7

A27/04

Euroleague

Koroivos

#13

86-49

+37

A05/05

Basket League

AEK Athens

115-85

115

+30

H11/05

Basket League

Lavrio

111-57

111

+54

A13/05

Basket League

Kolossos Rhodes

96-65

+31

H16/05

Basket League

Kolossos Rhodes

87-69

+18

A19/05

Basket League

24-24

25-12

21-12

17-15

26-13

20-17

31-14

18-23

21-16

19-20

21-32

21-21

17-17

17-23

19-17

21-24

14-19

21-32

25-27

22-11

26-14

21-19

19-10

20-6

30-19

21-19

32-21

32-26

22-10

37-16

28-16

24-15

24-12

27-11

29-16

16-26

20-16

22-23

25-13

20-17

162.9Avg total

91.5Scored

71.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (28)	92.4	68.2	160.6	+24.1	100%
Season at home (14)	93.7	68.7	162.4	+25.0	100%
Season away (14)	91.1	67.8	158.9	+23.3	100%
Last 10 (10)	91.5	71.4	162.9	+20.1	70%
Last 5 (5)	99.0	65.0	164.0	+34.0	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	81.6	83.6	165.2	-2.0	20%
vs Similar (4)	80.0	83.5	163.5	-3.5	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	91.5	70.0	161.5	+21.5	95%

This opponent (PAOK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PAOK

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Aris

#10

66-65

A21/03

Basket League

Kolossos Rhodes

79-76

A24/03

Basket League

Koroivos

#13

92-63

+29

H31/03

Basket League

AEK Athens

81-72

A11/04

Basket League

Lavrio

92-87

H15/04

Basket League

Olympiacos

77-96

-19

A05/05

Basket League

Panionios

#12

81-67

+14

A09/05

Basket League

Ifaistos Limnou

#11

91-51

+40

H13/05

Basket League

AEK Athens

78-74

H16/05

Basket League

AEK Athens

93-88

A19/05

Basket League

21-13

16-23

13-16

16-13

17-20

22-16

17-21

23-19

26-15

22-12

26-17

18-19

25-21

13-12

24-20

19-19

27-16

17-27

18-15

30-29

20-25

17-28

18-20

22-23

10-18

29-16

19-11

23-22

27-12

31-18

22-11

11-10

17-20

20-21

21-21

20-12

28-23

18-18

24-23

23-24

156.9Avg total

83.0Scored

73.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (28)	79.8	76.3	156.1	+3.5	68%
Season at home (14)	80.1	69.8	149.9	+10.3	86%
Season away (14)	79.5	82.9	162.4	-3.4	50%
Last 10 (10)	83.0	73.9	156.9	+9.1	90%
Last 5 (5)	84.0	75.2	159.2	+8.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	74.2	86.8	161.0	-12.6	20%
vs Similar (11)	82.2	75.7	157.9	+6.5	82%
vs Weaker (14)	80.6	71.8	152.4	+8.8	79%

This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

PanathinaikosPAOK

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	18.4	40.1	+3.3	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.3	16.7	40.0	+6.5	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.1	20.0	40.1	+0.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	16.0	38.4	+6.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	14.2	38.6	+10.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	19.6	16.8	36.4	+2.8	60%	-
vs Similar (4)	21.5	19.8	41.2	+1.8	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	22.2	18.5	40.7	+3.8	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	19.0	40.2	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.7	18.2	40.9	+4.5	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.7	19.9	39.5	-0.2	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	18.3	40.1	+3.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	19.6	40.0	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	22.4	20.4	42.8	+2.0	40%	-
vs Similar (11)	21.8	19.2	41.0	+2.6	73%	-
vs Weaker (14)	20.3	18.4	38.7	+1.9	57%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	18.9	40.0	+2.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.1	17.2	38.3	+3.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.1	20.5	41.7	+0.6	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.0	19.2	42.2	+3.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.6	17.6	43.2	+8.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	18.8	22.2	41.0	-3.4	20%	-
vs Similar (4)	18.0	21.8	39.8	-3.8	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	22.3	17.5	39.8	+4.8	62%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	19.9	40.9	+1.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.8	18.8	41.6	+4.0	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	20.9	40.2	-1.7	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	19.1	39.6	+1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	20.2	43.2	+2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	18.8	23.8	42.6	-5.0	20%	-
vs Similar (11)	20.8	20.1	40.9	+0.7	36%	-
vs Weaker (14)	22.0	18.3	40.3	+3.7	64%	-

PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kolossos Rhodes

49-36

+13

H13/04

Basket League

Real Madrid

46-30

+16

H17/04

Euroleague

Real Madrid

40-36

H19/04

Euroleague

Real Madrid

34-40

-6

A25/04

Euroleague

Real Madrid

35-51

-16

A27/04

Euroleague

Koroivos

#13

47-33

+14

A05/05

Basket League

AEK Athens

51-38

+13

H11/05

Basket League

Lavrio

59-26

+33

A13/05

Basket League

Kolossos Rhodes

51-23

+28

H16/05

Basket League

Kolossos Rhodes

42-39

A19/05

Basket League

80.6Avg total

45.4Scored

35.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.8	37.2	80.1	+5.6	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	44.4	33.9	78.3	+10.5	87%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.3	40.5	81.8	+0.7	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.4	35.2	80.6	+10.2	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	50.0	31.8	81.8	+18.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	38.4	39.0	77.4	-0.6	40%	-
vs Similar (4)	39.5	41.5	81.0	-2.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	44.5	36.0	80.5	+8.5	76%	-

This opponent (PAOK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PAOKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Aris

#10

37-36

A21/03

Basket League

Kolossos Rhodes

39-36

A24/03

Basket League

Koroivos

#13

48-27

+21

H31/03

Basket League

AEK Athens

38-33

A11/04

Basket League

Lavrio

44-43

H15/04

Basket League

Olympiacos

37-53

-16

A05/05

Basket League

Panionios

#12

39-34

A09/05

Basket League

Ifaistos Limnou

#11

58-30

+28

H13/05

Basket League

AEK Athens

37-41

-4

H16/05

Basket League

AEK Athens

46-41

A19/05

Basket League

79.7Avg total

42.3Scored

37.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.2	38.9	81.1	+3.3	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	45.5	37.0	82.5	+8.5	87%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.9	40.8	79.7	-1.9	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.3	37.4	79.7	+4.9	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.4	39.8	83.2	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	41.2	44.2	85.4	-3.0	40%	-
vs Similar (11)	42.6	39.3	81.9	+3.4	73%	-
vs Weaker (14)	42.3	36.7	79.0	+5.6	79%	-

This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.9	17.4	40.3	+5.4	77%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.1	17.7	40.9	+5.4	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.6	17.1	39.7	+5.5	80%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.0	17.8	42.8	+7.2	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.6	15.2	41.8	+11.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	22.8	23.2	46.0	-0.4	40%	-
vs Similar (4)	16.0	17.5	33.5	-1.5	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	24.2	16.0	40.2	+8.1	95%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	17.2	35.8	+1.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.7	15.3	32.9	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.6	19.1	38.7	+0.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	17.5	37.7	+2.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	17.2	38.0	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	16.2	18.8	35.0	-2.6	20%	-
vs Similar (11)	19.0	17.4	36.4	+1.6	64%	-
vs Weaker (14)	19.2	16.5	35.7	+2.7	64%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	18.3	39.7	+3.2	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	17.5	37.5	+2.6	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.9	19.1	41.9	+3.8	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	18.4	39.5	+2.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	18.0	40.4	+4.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	20.4	21.4	41.8	-1.0	20%	-
vs Similar (4)	18.2	18.0	36.2	+0.2	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	22.3	17.6	39.9	+4.8	81%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.1	19.0	37.1	-0.9	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.0	18.7	36.7	-0.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.2	19.3	37.5	-1.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	19.0	39.5	+1.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	18.2	38.0	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	16.8	23.8	40.6	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar (11)	20.5	19.1	39.6	+1.5	55%	-
vs Weaker (14)	16.6	17.3	33.9	-0.6	57%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.3	35.7	80.0	+8.6	77%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.2	35.2	78.4	+8.0	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	45.5	36.2	81.7	+9.3	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.1	36.2	82.3	+9.9	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	49.0	33.2	82.2	+15.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	43.2	44.6	87.8	-1.4	40%	-
vs Similar (4)	34.2	35.5	69.8	-1.2	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	46.5	33.6	80.1	+12.9	95%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.7	36.2	73.0	+0.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	35.7	34.0	69.7	+1.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.8	38.5	76.3	-0.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.7	36.5	77.2	+4.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.6	35.4	76.0	+5.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	33.0	42.6	75.6	-9.6	0%	-
vs Similar (11)	39.5	36.5	76.0	+3.1	64%	-
vs Weaker (14)	35.9	33.8	69.6	+2.1	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 78.9 points a game scored

🏀🏀54%

🏀🏀🏀31%

🏀15%

🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 54% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 31% of the points

🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 15% of the points

League average for comparison: 82.5 points a game

48%

33%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.2	21.3	54.3%	53.7%	42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.7	8.2	31.9%	34.8%	24.6
🏀 Free throws	18.6	11.7	62.9%	73.9%	11.7

They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

PAOKtheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.5	18.6	49.6%	53.7%	37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.4	7.4	33.0%	34.8%	22.2
🏀 Free throws	23.7	17.5	73.8%	73.9%	17.5

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.8	19.1	53.2%	53.7%	38.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.3	9.2	36.4%	34.8%	27.6
🏀 Free throws	17.7	11.9	67.2%	73.9%	11.9

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.8	19.5	50.3%	53.7%	39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	19.9	7.1	35.8%	34.8%	21.4
🏀 Free throws	20.1	14.8	73.6%	73.9%	14.8

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Panathinaikos wins

PAOK wins

Date	Game	Score
04/02/18	PAOK v Panathinaikos	74-91
15/10/17	Panathinaikos v PAOK	89-74
13/04/17	Panathinaikos v PAOK	102-58
08/01/17	PAOK v Panathinaikos	68-72
05/10/16	Panathinaikos v PAOK	88-69
02/06/15	PAOK v Panathinaikos	65-83
28/05/15	Panathinaikos v PAOK	75-61
26/05/15	Panathinaikos v PAOK	83-58
08/03/15	Panathinaikos v PAOK	83-69
22/02/15	PAOK v Panathinaikos	68-71

Panathinaikoslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
19/05/18	A	Kolossos Rhodes	87-69
16/05/18	H	Kolossos Rhodes	96-65
13/05/18	A	Lavrio	111-57
11/05/18	H	AEK Athens	115-85
05/05/18	A	Koroivos	86-49
27/04/18	A	Real Madrid	82-89
25/04/18	A	Real Madrid	74-81
19/04/18	H	Real Madrid	82-89
17/04/18	H	Real Madrid	95-67
13/04/18	H	Kolossos Rhodes	87-63

PAOKlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
19/05/18	A	AEK Athens	93-88
16/05/18	H	AEK Athens	78-74
13/05/18	H	Ifaistos Limnou	91-51
09/05/18	A	Panionios	81-67
05/05/18	A	Olympiacos	77-96
15/04/18	H	Lavrio	92-87
11/04/18	A	AEK Athens	81-72
31/03/18	H	Koroivos	92-63
24/03/18	A	Kolossos Rhodes	79-76
21/03/18	A	Aris	66-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Panathinaikos

Basket League 2017-18

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	100%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WWWWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	28	14	14
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Points / game	92.4	93.7	91.1
Allowed / game	68.2	68.7	67.8
Point differential	+24.1	+25.0	+23.3
Avg total	160.6	162.4	158.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	86%	86%	86%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (3)	100% (1)	100% (2)
Overtime %	4%	7%	0%

PAOK

Basket League 2017-18

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	68%
Home	WWWWW	86%
Away	WWLWW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	28	14	14
Win %	68%	86%	50%
Points / game	79.8	80.1	79.5
Allowed / game	76.3	69.8	82.9
Point differential	+3.5	+10.3	-3.4
Avg total	156.1	149.9	162.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	25%	43%	7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	88% (8)	100% (3)	80% (5)
Overtime %	4%	0%	7%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Panathinaikos	28	28	0	100%	92.4	68.2	+24.1
2	Olympiacos	29	25	4	86%	86.9	68.8	+18.1
3	PAOK	28	19	9	68%	79.8	76.3	+3.5
4	Promitheas	29	19	10	66%	79.5	78.2	+1.3
5	AEK Athens	28	15	13	54%	80.1	78.6	+1.5
6	Lavrio	28	14	14	50%	82.0	80.9	+1.1
7	G.S. Kymis	28	14	14	50%	77.4	78.5	-1.1
8	Kolossos Rhodes	28	11	17	39%	73.9	77.1	-3.3
9	Rethymno	26	10	16	38%	78.7	82.2	-3.4
10	Aris	26	10	16	38%	67.5	71.9	-4.4
11	Ifaistos Limnou	26	8	18	31%	74.1	84.2	-10.1
12	Panionios	26	7	19	27%	72.2	79.9	-7.8
13	Koroivos	26	7	19	27%	70.2	80.1	-9.9
14	Trikala	26	4	22	15%	69.3	83.2	-13.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Panathinaikos	20	31	21	20	92
PAOK	15	16	19	29	79

← all games of the day

Panathinaikos vs PAOK Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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