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PAOK vs Tofas Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 16 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 71-84
19-22 15-18 15-22 22-22
Position#32
Record4-4
FormLLLWL
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game82.5
vs
Tofas 🏆
Position#34
Record3-5
FormWWLLL
Points / game89.2
Allowed / game87.8
EuropeChampions LeagueChampions League - Final· P.A.O.K. Sports Arena
European cup2023
Meetings · PAOK v Tofas
16 Jan 2024
PAK71
TOF84
02 Jan 2024
PAK63
TOF95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

PAOK winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tofas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PAOKLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPAOK
Date
Competition
Kolossos Rhodes
#15
W
93-81
93
81
+12
90avg 67
H04/12
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
85-97
85
97
-12
84avg 67
A10/12
Basket League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#4
L
61-71
61
71
-10
53avg 67
A13/12
Champions League
Galatasaray
#20
L
79-85
79
85
-6
75avg 67
H20/12
Champions League
AS Karditsas
#12
W
72-69
72
69
+3
66avg 67
H23/12
Basket League
Promitheas
#7
L
73-80
73
80
-7
70avg 67
A30/12
Basket League
Tofas
#34
L
63-95
63
95
-32
45avg 67
H02/01
Champions League
Maroussi
#11
L
79-85
79
85
-6
68avg 67
H06/01
Basket League
Tofas
#34
W
88-87 OT
88
87
+1
86avg 67
A09/01
Champions League
Peristeri
#6
L
35-71
35
71
-36
19avg 67
A13/01
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-28
15-19
23-19
32-15
22-17
23-28
17-29
23-23
16-16
14-17
10-21
21-17
22-30
22-19
20-27
15-9
28-17
21-12
10-21
13-19
16-20
17-20
18-20
22-20
12-27
14-26
16-24
21-18
21-14
21-24
18-21
19-26
16-23
15-9
23-12
16-26
11-22
13-24
4-11
7-14
154.9Avg total
72.8Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)75.882.5158.2-6.850%
Season at home (4)74.282.8157.0-8.550%
Season away (4)77.282.2159.5-5.050%
Last 10 (10)72.882.1154.9-9.330%
Last 5 (5)67.683.6151.2-16.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)68.380.7148.9-12.422%
vs Similar (6)80.378.7159.0+1.767%
vs Weaker (1)67.054.0121.0+13.0100%
This opponent (Tofas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TofasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTofas
Date
Competition
Buyukcekmece
#10
L
82-84
82
84
-2
74avg 81
A09/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Igokea
#49
W
99-65
99
65
+34
107avg 81
H12/12
Champions League
Çağdaş Bodrum Spor
#15
W
102-82
102
82
+20
102avg 81
H16/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Murcia
#2
L
75-90
75
90
-15
71avg 81
H20/12
Champions League
Karsiyaka
#4
L
71-98
71
98
-27
57avg 81
A24/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#12
W
88-86
88
86
+2
86avg 81
H29/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
PAOK
#32
W
95-63
95
63
+32
98avg 81
A02/01
Champions League
Galatasaray
#5
L
76-95
76
95
-19
64avg 81
A06/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
PAOK
#32
L
87-88 OT
87
88
-1
71avg 81
H09/01
Champions League
Samsunspor
#16
L
86-87
86
87
-1
90avg 81
A13/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-14
26-30
21-21
23-19
18-11
28-19
27-17
26-18
18-30
33-17
30-7
21-28
17-23
28-25
11-26
19-16
19-26
14-17
17-22
21-33
24-26
24-20
19-17
21-23
27-12
26-14
24-16
18-21
21-24
14-32
22-18
19-21
23-16
9-15
12-23
26-16
21-13
25-34
25-19
15-21
169.9Avg total
86.1Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)89.287.8177.0+1.538%
Season at home (4)85.282.8168.0+2.525%
Season away (4)93.292.8186.0+0.550%
Last 10 (10)86.183.8169.9+2.340%
Last 5 (5)86.483.8170.2+2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)76.992.9169.8-16.00%
vs Similar (14)86.886.1172.9+0.757%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)96.582.9179.4+13.675%
This opponent (PAOK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -4.6-4.6Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -0.7-0.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -4.6-4.6Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -0.7-0.7
PAOKTofas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PAOKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kolossos Rhodes
#15
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H04/12
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A10/12
Basket League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#4
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A13/12
Champions League
Galatasaray
#20
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H20/12
Champions League
AS Karditsas
#12
W
49-29
49
29
+20
H23/12
Basket League
Promitheas
#7
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A30/12
Basket League
Tofas
#34
L
26-53
26
53
-27
H02/01
Champions League
Maroussi
#11
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H06/01
Basket League
Tofas
#34
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A09/01
Champions League
Peristeri
#6
L
24-46
24
46
-22
A13/01
Basket League
77.4Avg total
36.2Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.040.477.4-3.433%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.441.579.9-3.136%-
Last 30 away (16)35.839.475.2-3.731%-
Last 10 (10)36.241.277.4-5.020%-
Last 5 (5)31.241.873.0-10.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)35.741.176.8-5.426%-
vs Similar (6)42.840.082.8+2.850%-
vs Weaker (1)32.026.058.0+6.0100%-
This opponent (Tofas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TofasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buyukcekmece
#10
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A09/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Igokea
#49
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H12/12
Champions League
Çağdaş Bodrum Spor
#15
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H16/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Murcia
#2
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H20/12
Champions League
Karsiyaka
#4
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A24/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#12
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H29/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
PAOK
#32
W
53-26
53
26
+27
A02/01
Champions League
Galatasaray
#5
L
35-56
35
56
-21
A06/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
PAOK
#32
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H09/01
Champions League
Samsunspor
#16
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A13/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
84.5Avg total
42.7Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.441.984.3+0.547%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.142.186.1+2.064%-
Last 30 away (16)41.041.882.8-0.831%-
Last 10 (10)42.741.884.5+0.950%-
Last 5 (5)42.841.284.0+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)37.946.184.0-8.20%-
vs Similar (14)44.941.786.6+3.264%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)42.638.080.6+4.662%-
This opponent (PAOK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
PAOKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

PAOK: 72.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.016.0
47.1%
51.4%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.58.0
34.0%
34.9%24.0
🏀 Free throws22.716.0
70.5%
74.5%16.0
They take 57.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tofastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tofas: 85.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.419.2
50.0%
51.4%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.59.8
38.4%
34.9%29.4
🏀 Free throws22.717.5
77.1%
74.5%17.5
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
PAOK
LWLLLWLLLW
Tofas
LLLWWLLWWL
#32
League position
#34
-13.0
Net rating
+3.3
98.2
Offensive rating
114.1
111.2
Defensive rating
110.8
48.7%
Effective FG%
53.1%
53.7%
Opp. effective FG%
54.1%
18.2%
Turnover %
16.6%
21.9%
Off. rebound %
31.9%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.36
34.0%
3-point %
38.4%
72.9%
Assist %
67.9%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence98.2 · 114.1Defence111.2 · 110.8Shooting48.7% · 53.1%3-point %34.0% · 38.4%Ball care18.2% · 16.6%Off. rebounds21.9% · 31.9%Free throws0.39 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ PAOK   ■ Tofas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
PAOK wins
1
Tofas wins
DateGameScore
09/01/24Tofas v PAOK87-88 OT
02/01/24PAOK v Tofas63-95
PAOKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/24APeristeri35-71
09/01/24ATofas88-87 OT
06/01/24HMaroussi79-85
02/01/24HTofas63-95
30/12/23APromitheas73-80
23/12/23HAS Karditsas72-69
20/12/23HGalatasaray79-85
13/12/23AHapoel Jerusalem61-71
10/12/23APanathinaikos85-97
04/12/23HKolossos Rhodes93-81
Tofaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/24ASamsunspor86-87
09/01/24HPAOK87-88 OT
06/01/24AGalatasaray76-95
02/01/24APAOK95-63
29/12/23HBahcesehir Kol.88-86
24/12/23AKarsiyaka71-98
20/12/23HMurcia75-90
16/12/23HÇağdaş Bodrum Spor102-82
12/12/23HIgokea99-65
09/12/23ABuyukcekmece82-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

PAOK
Champions League 2023
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW50%
HomeWWLL50%
AwayWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game75.874.277.2
Allowed / game82.582.882.2
Point differential-6.8-8.5-5.0
Avg total158.2157.0159.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %12%0%25%
Tofas
Champions League 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL38%
HomeLWLL25%
AwayWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %38%25%50%
Points / game89.285.293.2
Allowed / game87.882.892.8
Point differential+1.5+2.5+0.5
Avg total177.0168.0186.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%25%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %38%25%50%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Murcia65183%86.271.2+15.0
2 Dijon65183%87.773.5+14.2
3 Hapoel Jerusalem65183%85.573.3+12.2
4 AEK Athens65183%88.076.8+11.2
5 Strasbourg97278%81.277.4+3.8
6 Obradoiro CAB32167%80.768.0+12.7
7 Unicaja64267%81.773.7+8.0
8 Tenerife64267%81.773.8+7.8
9 Brindisi32167%74.772.3+2.3
10 Norrkoping32167%77.776.3+1.3
11 Cholet117464%82.282.5-0.4
12 Promitheas85362%85.677.6+8.0
13 Galatasaray85362%84.981.4+3.5
14 Tortona85362%82.481.2+1.1
15 Peristeri85362%82.083.1-1.1
16 Nes Ziona21150%83.067.5+15.5
17 Bakken Bears21150%85.578.5+7.0
18 Rytas84450%85.181.0+4.1
19 Bonn63350%82.878.8+4.0
20 Legia21150%68.066.5+1.5
21 Hapoel Holon84450%75.574.6+0.9
22 Breogan84450%78.477.6+0.8
23 Karsiyaka84450%82.181.5+0.6
24 Ludwigsburg84450%79.279.5-0.2
25 Den Bosch21150%79.581.0-1.5
26 Darussafaka84450%79.281.8-2.5
27 Fribourg Olympic21150%58.060.5-2.5
28 Varese21150%80.583.5-3.0
29 Oostende84450%75.480.0-4.6
30 Bursaspor63350%73.278.8-5.7
31 PAOK84450%75.882.5-6.8
32 AEK Larnaca21150%66.576.5-10.0
33 Benfica94544%81.778.7+3.0
34 Tofas83538%89.287.8+1.5
35 Le Mans83538%77.979.0-1.1
36 Sassari83538%86.688.8-2.1
37 Oldenburg62433%84.082.5+1.5
38 Szczecin62433%78.882.7-3.8
39 VEF Riga62433%71.876.0-4.2
40 Szombathely62433%76.081.3-5.3
41 FMP Beograd1010%71.073.0-2.0
42 CSM Oradea1010%74.077.0-3.0
43 Antwerp Giants1010%72.076.0-4.0
44 BC Kalev/Cramo1010%78.082.0-4.0
45 Jonava1010%78.083.0-5.0
46 Caledonia Gladiators1010%51.057.0-6.0
47 Levice1010%66.074.0-8.0
48 Gottingen1010%84.096.0-12.0
49 Igokea6060%72.587.0-14.5
50 Peja1010%79.0103.0-24.0
51 Opava6060%72.0102.0-30.0
52 Mornar Bar1010%56.090.0-34.0
53 Karhu Basket1010%56.092.0-36.0
54 TSU1010%62.0122.0-60.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 54 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
PAOK1915152271
Tofas2218222284
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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