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Baskonia vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 105-100
18-34 31-24 28-23 28-19
Position#3
Record0-1
FormLLLLL
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game107.0
vs
Position#2
Record1-0
FormLLWWW
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game71.0
SpainACBRound 2· Fernando Buesa Arena
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Baskonia v Real Madrid
15 Nov 2026
BAS v MAD
upcoming
27 Oct 2026
BAS86
MAD104
03 Apr 2026
BAS98
MAD96
12 Oct 2025
BAS105
MAD100
06 Jun 2025
BAS103
MAD112
06 Jan 2025
BAS82
MAD89
15 Oct 2024
BAS76
MAD72
01 May 2024
BAS98
MAD102
07 Jan 2024
BAS85
MAD99
06 Oct 2023
BAS77
MAD79
29 Dec 2022
BAS92
MAD86
23 Oct 2022
BAS88
MAD82
07 Jun 2022
BAS77
MAD85
25 Nov 2021
BAS60
MAD88
31 Oct 2021
BAS65
MAD83
14 Mar 2021
BAS74
MAD85
02 Oct 2020
BAS76
MAD63
22 Mar 2019
BAS86
MAD76
30 Dec 2018
BAS74
MAD91
19 Jun 2018
BAS85
MAD96
17 Jun 2018
BAS78
MAD83
03 Jan 2018
BAS69
MAD81
14 Nov 2017
BAS105
MAD75
18 Feb 2017
BAS99
MAD103
03 Feb 2017
BAS71
MAD79
03 Jan 2017
BAS77
MAD62
01 Apr 2016
BAS89
MAD88
20 Feb 2016
BAS80
MAD86
03 Jan 2016
BAS86
MAD80
20 May 2015
BAS94
MAD81
15 Feb 2014
BAS74
MAD90
10 Mar 2013
BAS92
MAD100
31 May 2012
BAS66
MAD76
29 May 2012
BAS82
MAD79
09 Apr 2012
BAS67
MAD66
18 Dec 2010
BAS67
MAD72
06 Jun 2010
BAS64
MAD56
30 May 2010
BAS85
MAD80
28 May 2010
BAS62
MAD60
20 Feb 2010
BAS50
MAD78
19 Dec 2009
BAS80
MAD62
06 Jun 2009
BAS89
MAD80
30 May 2009
BAS91
MAD80
01 Nov 2008
BAS91
MAD81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Baskonia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BaskoniaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBaskonia
Date
Competition
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
71-90
71
90
-19
58avg 79
A10/05
ACB
Barcelona
#5
W
110-98
110
98
+12
105avg 79
H18/05
ACB
Bilbao
#15
W
100-97
100
97
+3
99avg 79
H24/05
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#18
W
105-101
105
101
+4
104avg 79
A30/05
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
76-82
76
82
-6
70avg 79
A03/06
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
103-112
103
112
-9
91avg 79
H06/06
ACB
Olympiacos
#1
L
96-102
96
102
-6
90avg 79
H30/09
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
L
95-102
95
102
-7
95avg 79
A03/10
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#17
L
88-107
88
107
-19
79avg 79
A05/10
ACB
Panathinaikos
#7
L
84-86
84
86
-2
72avg 79
H09/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-27
18-21
14-17
26-25
19-23
38-21
26-31
27-23
26-20
23-23
22-33
29-21
29-25
23-25
27-25
26-26
14-15
24-22
13-22
25-23
33-27
23-27
25-34
22-24
20-27
28-22
22-24
26-29
33-26
12-22
21-29
29-25
20-23
14-25
26-24
28-35
14-20
22-22
20-29
28-15
190.5Avg total
92.8Scored
97.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)88.0107.0195.0-19.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)88.0107.0195.0-19.00%
Last 10 (10)92.897.7190.5-4.930%
Last 5 (5)93.2101.8195.0-8.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)92.095.8187.8-3.822%
vs Similar ◀ (15)89.287.5176.7+1.760%
vs Weaker (6)93.391.8185.2+1.550%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#4
W
86-79
86
79
+7
78avg 81
A17/06
ACB
Valencia
#2
W
89-75
89
75
+14
69avg 81
H20/06
ACB
Valencia
#2
W
102-96 OT
102
96
+6
89avg 81
H22/06
ACB
Valencia
#2
W
81-70
81
70
+11
80avg 81
A25/06
ACB
Tenerife
#3
W
72-71
72
71
+1
61avg 81
H27/09
Supercopa ACB
Valencia
#1
L
94-98
94
98
-4
86avg 81
H28/09
Supercopa ACB
Virtus Bologna
#17
L
68-74
68
74
-6
57avg 81
A30/09
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
W
89-77
89
77
+12
83avg 81
H02/10
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#15
W
81-71
81
71
+10
77avg 81
H05/10
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
85-72
85
72
+13
88avg 81
H09/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-22
23-21
22-20
25-16
19-15
16-17
29-28
25-15
22-25
26-20
21-23
20-21
23-19
16-21
21-9
21-21
18-17
17-28
20-15
17-11
27-24
17-27
25-18
25-29
19-14
16-24
15-17
18-19
19-29
28-24
17-16
25-8
22-18
22-15
27-23
10-15
27-19
21-18
18-16
19-19
163.0Avg total
84.7Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)81.071.0152.0+10.0100%
Season at home (1)81.071.0152.0+10.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)84.778.3163.0+6.480%
Last 5 (5)83.478.4161.8+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)94.098.0192.0-4.00%
vs Similar ◀ (12)85.180.6165.7+4.567%
vs Weaker (16)85.877.7163.4+8.188%
This opponent (Baskonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -5.2-5.2Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +3.1+3.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -5.2-5.2Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +3.1+3.1
BaskoniaReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A10/05
ACB
Barcelona
#5
W
57-44
57
44
+13
H18/05
ACB
Bilbao
#15
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H24/05
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#18
W
52-50
52
50
+2
A30/05
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A03/06
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
W
56-54
56
54
+2
H06/06
ACB
Olympiacos
#1
L
48-49
48
49
-1
H30/09
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A03/10
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#17
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A05/10
ACB
Panathinaikos
#7
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H09/10
Euroleague
90.9Avg total
44.6Scored
46.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.745.088.7-1.253%-
Last 30 at home (15)48.143.091.1+5.173%-
Last 30 away (15)39.446.986.3-7.533%-
Last 10 (10)44.646.390.9-1.750%-
Last 5 (5)43.848.292.0-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)44.744.989.6-0.256%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)42.644.587.1-1.953%-
vs Weaker (6)45.246.391.5-1.250%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#4
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A17/06
ACB
Valencia
#2
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H20/06
ACB
Valencia
#2
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H22/06
ACB
Valencia
#2
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A25/06
ACB
Tenerife
#3
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H27/09
Supercopa ACB
Valencia
#1
L
44-51
44
51
-7
H28/09
Supercopa ACB
Virtus Bologna
#17
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A30/09
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
L
47-53
47
53
-6
H02/10
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#15
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H05/10
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H09/10
Euroleague
83.1Avg total
41.4Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.139.982.1+2.257%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.340.483.6+2.965%-
Last 30 away (13)40.639.480.0+1.246%-
Last 10 (10)41.441.783.1-0.340%-
Last 5 (5)43.642.486.0+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)44.051.095.0-7.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)41.942.584.4-0.650%-
vs Weaker (16)42.637.079.6+5.669%-
This opponent (Baskonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Baskoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baskonia: 92.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
42%
39%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.421.3
61.9%
50.0%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.810.6
35.6%
42.2%31.8
🏀 Free throws23.617.6
74.6%
74.7%17.6
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 84.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
42%
39%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.321.7
56.7%
50.0%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.68.8
31.9%
42.2%26.4
🏀 Free throws19.914.7
73.9%
74.7%14.7
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Baskonia
LLLLLLWWWL
Real Madrid
WWWLLWWWWW
#3
League position
#2
-7.0
Net rating
+10.4
120.7
Offensive rating
115.1
127.7
Defensive rating
104.8
57.9%
Effective FG%
53.0%
58.5%
Opp. effective FG%
47.7%
15.6%
Turnover %
13.6%
30.0%
Off. rebound %
31.5%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.30
35.6%
3-point %
31.9%
59.9%
Assist %
54.1%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence120.7 · 115.1Defence127.7 · 104.8Shooting57.9% · 53.0%3-point %35.6% · 31.9%Ball care15.6% · 13.6%Off. rebounds30.0% · 31.5%Free throws0.37 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)30% · 80%
■ Baskonia   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Baskonia wins
9
Real Madrid wins
DateGameScore
06/06/25Baskonia v Real Madrid103-112
03/06/25Real Madrid v Baskonia82-76
16/03/25Real Madrid v Baskonia83-78
23/01/25Real Madrid v Baskonia90-89
06/01/25Baskonia v Real Madrid82-89
15/10/24Baskonia v Real Madrid76-72
12/05/24Real Madrid v Baskonia106-100
01/05/24Baskonia v Real Madrid98-102
25/04/24Real Madrid v Baskonia101-90
23/04/24Real Madrid v Baskonia90-74
Baskonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/10/25HPanathinaikos84-86
05/10/25ABasket Zaragoza88-107
03/10/25ALyon-Villeurbanne95-102
30/09/25HOlympiacos96-102
06/06/25HReal Madrid103-112
03/06/25AReal Madrid76-82
30/05/25ALeyma Coruna105-101
24/05/25HBilbao100-97
18/05/25HBarcelona110-98
10/05/25AJoventut Badalona71-90
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/10/25HLyon-Villeurbanne85-72
05/10/25HGran Canaria81-71
02/10/25HOlympiacos89-77
30/09/25AVirtus Bologna68-74
28/09/25HValencia94-98
27/09/25HTenerife72-71
25/06/25AValencia81-70
22/06/25HValencia102-96 OT
20/06/25HValencia89-75
17/06/25AUnicaja86-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Baskonia
ACB 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game88.0-88.0
Allowed / game107.0-107.0
Point differential-19.0--19.0
Avg total195.0-195.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Real Madrid
ACB 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game81.081.0-
Allowed / game71.071.0-
Point differential+10.0+10.0-
Avg total152.0152.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Murcia220100%94.067.5+26.5
2 Tenerife220100%100.078.5+21.5
3 Valencia220100%103.085.5+17.5
4 Unicaja220100%83.570.0+13.5
5 Forca Lleida220100%89.077.0+12.0
6 Real Madrid110100%81.071.0+10.0
7 Joventut Badalona220100%88.080.5+7.5
8 Basket Zaragoza21150%96.588.5+8.0
9 San Pablo Burgos21150%91.087.0+4.0
10 Manresa21150%88.086.0+2.0
11 Bilbao21150%81.585.5-4.0
12 Barcelona2020%83.592.0-8.5
13 Gran Canaria2020%71.581.0-9.5
14 Granada2020%71.585.0-13.5
15 Baskonia1010%88.0107.0-19.0
16 Basquet Girona2020%75.095.0-20.0
17 Breogan2020%79.0100.0-21.0
18 MoraBanc Andorra2020%64.095.5-31.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Baskonia18312828105
Real Madrid34242319100
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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