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Barcelona vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 28 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 90-97 (OT)
17-22 21-12 14-20 22-20 16-23
Position#6
Record7-4
FormLWLWL
Points / game85.7
Allowed / game84.4
vs
Position#8
Record5-6
FormWWLWW
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game82.2
EuropeEuroleagueRound 12· Palau Blaugrana
European cup2024
Meetings · Barcelona v Real Madrid
05 Mar 2027
BAR v MAD
upcoming
27 Dec 2026
BAR v MAD
upcoming
22 Mar 2026
BAR76
MAD95
07 Nov 2025
BAR92
MAD101
06 Apr 2025
BAR89
MAD91
28 Nov 2024
BAR90
MAD97
02 Jun 2024
BAR92
MAD95
07 Apr 2024
BAR85
MAD79
03 Jan 2024
BAR83
MAD78
16 Sep 2023
BAR80
MAD90
18 Jun 2023
BAR86
MAD85
16 Jun 2023
BAR97
MAD88
19 May 2023
BAR66
MAD78
16 Apr 2023
BAR97
MAD82
13 Oct 2022
BAR75
MAD73
15 Jun 2022
BAR71
MAD69
13 Jun 2022
BAR75
MAD88
19 May 2022
BAR83
MAD86
10 Apr 2022
BAR108
MAD97
10 Dec 2021
BAR93
MAD80
12 Sep 2021
BAR83
MAD88
15 Jun 2021
BAR92
MAD73
11 Apr 2021
BAR85
MAD87
23 Oct 2020
BAR79
MAD72
01 Mar 2019
BAR77
MAD70
25 Nov 2018
BAR86
MAD69
11 Mar 2018
BAR94
MAD72
23 Feb 2018
BAR74
MAD101
18 Nov 2016
BAR63
MAD102
06 Nov 2016
BAR85
MAD75
17 Jun 2016
BAR70
MAD90
15 Jun 2016
BAR100
MAD99
24 Apr 2016
BAR86
MAD91
17 Mar 2016
BAR72
MAD65
24 Jun 2015
BAR85
MAD90
02 Apr 2015
BAR85
MAD80
22 Feb 2015
BAR71
MAD77
28 Dec 2014
BAR76
MAD68
26 Jun 2014
BAR83
MAD81
24 Jun 2014
BAR94
MAD79
16 May 2014
BAR62
MAD100
10 May 2014
BAR86
MAD75
16 Jun 2013
BAR73
MAD62
14 Jun 2013
BAR72
MAD84
10 May 2013
BAR67
MAD74
30 Dec 2012
BAR96
MAD89
23 Sep 2012
BAR84
MAD95
16 Jun 2012
BAR73
MAD69
08 Jun 2012
BAR69
MAD75
06 Jun 2012
BAR81
MAD80
03 May 2012
BAR86
MAD83
19 Feb 2012
BAR74
MAD91
30 Sep 2011
BAR74
MAD70
30 Dec 2010
BAR95
MAD75
24 Sep 2010
BAR89
MAD55
10 Apr 2010
BAR78
MAD73
25 Mar 2010
BAR63
MAD70
23 Mar 2010
BAR68
MAD61
21 Feb 2010
BAR80
MAD61
04 Mar 2009
BAR90
MAD79
20 Dec 2008
BAR87
MAD67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Barcelona winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BarcelonaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBarcelona
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#4
L
96-103
96
103
-7
91avg 81
A27/10
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#5
W
97-88
97
88
+9
91avg 81
A29/10
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
L
74-95
74
95
-21
64avg 81
A31/10
Euroleague
Leyma Coruna
#18
W
106-80
106
80
+26
100avg 81
H03/11
ACB
Baskonia
#14
W
91-68
91
68
+23
85avg 81
H08/11
Euroleague
Breogan
#13
L
70-77
70
77
-7
64avg 81
A10/11
ACB
Partizan
#12
W
87-79
87
79
+8
88avg 81
A13/11
Euroleague
Paris
#9
L
87-103
87
103
-16
84avg 81
H15/11
Euroleague
Valencia
#2
W
102-99
102
99
+3
100avg 81
H17/11
ACB
Bayern
#7
L
78-100
78
100
-22
74avg 81
A22/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-24
29-25
23-25
25-29
29-26
26-25
21-15
21-22
17-21
19-23
14-21
24-30
19-26
29-16
28-18
30-20
26-17
18-16
18-18
29-17
17-27
19-11
20-18
14-21
19-23
30-12
21-23
17-21
18-31
30-14
22-28
17-30
29-19
21-19
21-29
31-32
21-28
17-20
20-29
20-23
178.0Avg total
88.8Scored
89.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)85.784.4170.1+1.464%
Season at home (5)88.479.6168.0+8.880%
Season away (6)83.588.3171.8-4.850%
Last 10 (10)88.889.2178.0-0.450%
Last 5 (5)84.891.6176.4-6.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)92.297.4189.6-5.220%
vs Similar ◀ (15)86.387.6173.9-1.360%
vs Weaker (9)83.476.3159.8+7.167%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Manresa
#9
W
86-61
86
61
+25
83avg 84
H27/10
ACB
Olympiacos
#2
L
69-79
69
79
-10
67avg 84
A29/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
L
78-79
78
79
-1
62avg 84
A31/10
Euroleague
Murcia
#10
W
85-64
85
64
+21
82avg 84
A03/11
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#11
L
76-85
76
85
-9
69avg 84
A07/11
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#8
W
83-77
83
77
+6
74avg 84
H10/11
ACB
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
98-86
98
86
+12
97avg 84
H12/11
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
64-74
64
74
-10
58avg 84
H14/11
Euroleague
Forca Lleida
#16
W
85-78
85
78
+7
81avg 84
H17/11
ACB
Alba Berlin
#18
W
98-84
98
84
+14
102avg 84
H21/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-13
25-8
16-19
23-21
21-17
13-19
25-20
10-23
23-21
20-15
21-19
14-24
22-11
18-20
26-17
19-16
16-24
24-23
15-15
21-23
17-16
22-20
20-18
24-23
28-25
25-24
27-18
18-19
6-19
19-28
24-11
15-16
28-13
23-12
15-34
19-19
23-22
32-33
24-13
19-16
158.9Avg total
82.2Scored
76.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)83.882.2166.0+1.645%
Season at home (6)89.781.3171.0+8.383%
Season away (5)76.883.2160.0-6.40%
Last 10 (10)82.276.7158.9+5.560%
Last 5 (5)85.679.8165.4+5.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)80.090.0170.0-10.00%
vs Similar ◀ (10)81.582.6164.1-1.140%
vs Weaker (18)88.378.4166.7+9.983%
This opponent (Barcelona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: +5.7+5.7Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: -1.8-1.8
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: +5.7+5.7Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: -1.8-1.8
BarcelonaReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BarcelonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#4
L
48-49
48
49
-1
A27/10
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#5
W
55-51
55
51
+4
A29/10
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A31/10
Euroleague
Leyma Coruna
#18
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H03/11
ACB
Baskonia
#14
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H08/11
Euroleague
Breogan
#13
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A10/11
ACB
Partizan
#12
W
49-35
49
35
+14
A13/11
Euroleague
Paris
#9
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H15/11
Euroleague
Valencia
#2
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H17/11
ACB
Bayern
#7
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A22/11
Euroleague
87.5Avg total
45.2Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.941.183.0+0.750%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.338.681.9+4.671%-
Last 30 away (16)40.643.383.9-2.731%-
Last 10 (10)45.242.387.5+2.960%-
Last 5 (5)44.240.885.0+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)43.643.887.4-0.240%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)42.642.785.3-0.147%-
vs Weaker (9)39.737.076.7+2.756%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manresa
#9
W
47-21
47
21
+26
H27/10
ACB
Olympiacos
#2
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A29/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A31/10
Euroleague
Murcia
#10
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A03/11
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#11
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A07/11
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#8
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H10/11
ACB
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
53-49
53
49
+4
H12/11
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
25-47
25
47
-22
H14/11
Euroleague
Forca Lleida
#16
W
51-25
51
25
+26
H17/11
ACB
Alba Berlin
#18
D
55-55
55
55
+0
H21/11
Euroleague
81.0Avg total
42.7Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.639.483.0+4.267%-
Last 30 at home (19)45.439.184.5+6.379%-
Last 30 away (11)40.539.980.4+0.545%-
Last 10 (10)42.738.381.0+4.460%-
Last 5 (5)44.642.487.0+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)45.049.094.0-4.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)43.441.885.2+1.650%-
vs Weaker (18)43.737.481.1+6.383%-
This opponent (Barcelona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Barcelonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Barcelona: 88.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.323.1
57.3%
54.5%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.58.9
37.9%
36.2%26.7
🏀 Free throws19.215.1
78.6%
78.0%15.1
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 81.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.319.3
59.8%
54.5%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.79.6
33.4%
36.2%28.8
🏀 Free throws17.114.0
81.9%
78.0%14.0
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Barcelona
LWLWLWWLWL
Real Madrid
WWLWWLWLLW
#6
League position
#8
-0.5
Net rating
+8.0
115.0
Offensive rating
110.3
115.6
Defensive rating
102.3
57.1%
Effective FG%
55.2%
56.2%
Opp. effective FG%
48.7%
16.8%
Turnover %
19.1%
27.4%
Off. rebound %
27.4%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.28
37.9%
3-point %
33.4%
61.3%
Assist %
59.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence115.0 · 110.3Defence115.6 · 102.3Shooting57.1% · 55.2%3-point %37.9% · 33.4%Ball care16.8% · 19.1%Off. rebounds27.4% · 27.4%Free throws0.30 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Barcelona   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Barcelona wins
8
Real Madrid wins
Barcelonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/24ABayern78-100
17/11/24HValencia102-99
15/11/24HParis87-103
13/11/24APartizan87-79
10/11/24ABreogan70-77
08/11/24HBaskonia91-68
03/11/24HLeyma Coruna106-80
31/10/24AOlympiacos74-95
29/10/24AAnadolu Efes97-88
27/10/24AUnicaja96-103
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/11/24HAlba Berlin98-84
17/11/24HForca Lleida85-78
14/11/24HAnadolu Efes64-74
12/11/24HVirtus Bologna98-86
10/11/24HGran Canaria83-77
07/11/24AOlimpia Milano76-85
03/11/24AMurcia85-64
31/10/24AMaccabi Tel Aviv78-79
29/10/24AOlympiacos69-79
27/10/24HManresa86-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Barcelona
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL64%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayWWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %64%80%50%
Points / game85.788.483.5
Allowed / game84.479.688.3
Point differential+1.4+8.8-4.8
Avg total170.1168.0171.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %9%0%17%
Real Madrid
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW45%
HomeWWWLW83%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %45%83%0%
Points / game83.889.776.8
Allowed / game82.281.383.2
Point differential+1.6+8.3-6.4
Avg total166.0171.0160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce119282%79.275.2+4.0
2 Paris129375%85.281.1+4.1
3 Bayern118373%89.685.3+4.4
4 Olympiacos128467%85.179.6+5.5
5 Panathinaikos117464%85.681.2+4.5
6 Monaco117464%84.780.7+4.0
7 Barcelona117464%85.784.4+1.4
8 Zalgiris Kaunas127558%74.674.3+0.2
9 Anadolu Efes116555%83.882.3+1.5
10 Real Madrid115645%83.882.2+1.6
11 Crvena zvezda115645%82.081.1+0.9
12 Olimpia Milano115645%86.187.5-1.5
13 Baskonia125742%76.378.7-2.3
14 Partizan124833%79.881.0-1.2
15 Maccabi Tel Aviv124833%84.086.9-2.9
16 Lyon-Villeurbanne113827%80.085.5-5.5
17 Virtus Bologna1221017%79.784.5-4.8
18 Alba Berlin1221017%79.091.6-12.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Barcelona172114221690
Real Madrid221220202397
← all games of the day
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