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Real Madrid vs Forca Lleida Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 17 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 11:30
Final 85-78
28-13 23-12 15-34 19-19
Position#1
Record5-2
FormWLWWL
Points / game87.7
Allowed / game76.1
vs
Position#16
Record3-4
FormLWWWL
Points / game81.6
Allowed / game86.9
SpainACBRound 8· WiZink Center
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Real Madrid v Forca Lleida
25 Apr 2027
MAD v FLL
upcoming
15 Mar 2026
MAD95
FLL78
17 Nov 2024
MAD85
FLL78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Forca Lleida winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Basquet Girona
#14
W
95-67
95
67
+28
95avg 84
H20/10
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#10
W
95-72
95
72
+23
104avg 84
H24/10
Euroleague
Manresa
#9
W
86-61
86
61
+25
83avg 84
H27/10
ACB
Olympiacos
#2
L
69-79
69
79
-10
67avg 84
A29/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
L
78-79
78
79
-1
62avg 84
A31/10
Euroleague
Murcia
#10
W
85-64
85
64
+21
82avg 84
A03/11
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#11
L
76-85
76
85
-9
69avg 84
A07/11
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#8
W
83-77
83
77
+6
74avg 84
H10/11
ACB
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
98-86
98
86
+12
97avg 84
H12/11
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
64-74
64
74
-10
58avg 84
H14/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-18
22-16
31-15
19-18
22-10
24-19
25-25
24-18
22-13
25-8
16-19
23-21
21-17
13-19
25-20
10-23
23-21
20-15
21-19
14-24
22-11
18-20
26-17
19-16
16-24
24-23
15-15
21-23
17-16
22-20
20-18
24-23
28-25
25-24
27-18
18-19
6-19
19-28
24-11
15-16
157.3Avg total
82.9Scored
74.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)87.776.1163.9+11.671%
Season at home (4)91.275.0166.2+16.2100%
Season away (3)83.077.7160.7+5.333%
Last 10 (10)82.974.4157.3+8.560%
Last 5 (5)81.277.2158.4+4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)80.090.0170.0-10.00%
vs Similar (10)81.582.6164.1-1.140%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)89.878.8168.7+11.083%
This opponent (Forca Lleida) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Forca LleidaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLleida
Date
Competition
Alicante
#7
W
73-58
73
58
+15
63avg 76
A24/05
Primera FEB
San Pablo Burgos
#3
W
80-77
80
77
+3
74avg 76
A08/06
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
W
85-70
85
70
+15
88avg 76
A09/06
Primera FEB
Basket Zaragoza
#12
L
91-101 OT
91
101
-10
80avg 76
A29/09
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
74-78
74
78
-4
59avg 76
H06/10
ACB
Unicaja
#4
L
63-101
63
101
-38
50avg 76
A12/10
ACB
Manresa
#9
W
83-81
83
81
+2
75avg 76
H20/10
ACB
Breogan
#13
W
81-77
81
77
+4
77avg 76
A27/10
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
80-70
80
70
+10
68avg 76
H03/11
ACB
Baskonia
#7
L
99-100
99
100
-1
92avg 76
A10/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-10
16-18
16-13
15-17
18-20
17-17
25-23
20-17
25-10
27-11
20-27
13-22
19-21
20-17
30-27
18-22
12-17
18-20
16-20
28-21
21-24
10-30
24-21
8-26
23-27
23-19
14-15
23-20
29-22
16-20
16-15
20-20
19-18
20-28
15-14
26-10
21-19
27-28
22-35
29-18
162.2Avg total
80.9Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)81.686.9168.4-5.343%
Season at home (3)79.076.3155.3+2.767%
Season away (4)83.594.8178.2-11.225%
Last 10 (10)80.981.3162.2-0.460%
Last 5 (5)81.285.8167.0-4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)79.890.0169.8-10.225%
vs Similar (10)82.179.0161.1+3.170%
vs Weaker (16)85.971.6157.5+14.2100%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +5.3+5.3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +0.7+0.7
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +5.3+5.3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +0.7+0.7
Real MadridForca Lleida
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basquet Girona
#14
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H20/10
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#10
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H24/10
Euroleague
Manresa
#9
W
47-21
47
21
+26
H27/10
ACB
Olympiacos
#2
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A29/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A31/10
Euroleague
Murcia
#10
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A03/11
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#11
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A07/11
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#8
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H10/11
ACB
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
53-49
53
49
+4
H12/11
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
25-47
25
47
-22
H14/11
Euroleague
77.8Avg total
41.2Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.439.683.0+3.970%-
Last 30 at home (19)45.239.484.5+5.884%-
Last 30 away (11)40.539.980.4+0.545%-
Last 10 (10)41.236.677.8+4.670%-
Last 5 (5)39.442.081.4-2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)45.049.094.0-4.00%-
vs Similar (10)43.441.885.2+1.650%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)43.537.781.2+5.889%-
This opponent (Forca Lleida) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Forca LleidaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alicante
#7
W
42-28
42
28
+14
A24/05
Primera FEB
San Pablo Burgos
#3
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A08/06
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
W
52-21
52
21
+31
A09/06
Primera FEB
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A29/09
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H06/10
ACB
Unicaja
#4
L
31-54
31
54
-23
A12/10
ACB
Manresa
#9
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H20/10
ACB
Breogan
#13
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A27/10
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H03/11
ACB
Baskonia
#7
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A10/11
ACB
80.3Avg total
40.7Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.937.479.3+4.563%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.637.580.1+5.157%-
Last 30 away (16)41.237.378.6+3.969%-
Last 10 (10)40.739.680.3+1.150%-
Last 5 (5)41.847.088.8-5.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)38.846.084.8-7.225%-
vs Similar (10)40.138.478.5+1.740%-
vs Weaker (16)43.834.678.4+9.288%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 82.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.419.4
59.9%
54.0%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.69.3
32.5%
35.6%27.9
🏀 Free throws18.215.4
84.6%
76.4%15.4
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Forca Lleidatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Forca Lleida: 81.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.3 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.317.1
50.0%
54.0%34.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.610.3
32.6%
35.6%30.9
🏀 Free throws21.916.1
73.9%
76.4%16.1
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/7 games with a box score before 17 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
LWWLWLLWWW
Forca Lleida
LWWWLLLWWW
#1
League position
#16
+12.1
Net rating
-6.2
112.0
Offensive rating
100.6
99.8
Defensive rating
106.8
54.7%
Effective FG%
49.5%
46.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.6%
17.1%
Turnover %
20.7%
26.1%
Off. rebound %
30.0%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.33
32.5%
3-point %
32.6%
59.9%
Assist %
63.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence112.0 · 100.6Defence99.8 · 106.8Shooting54.7% · 49.5%3-point %32.5% · 32.6%Ball care17.1% · 20.7%Off. rebounds26.1% · 30.0%Free throws0.30 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Forca Lleida
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Real Madrid wins
0
Forca Lleida wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/24HAnadolu Efes64-74
12/11/24HVirtus Bologna98-86
10/11/24HGran Canaria83-77
07/11/24AOlimpia Milano76-85
03/11/24AMurcia85-64
31/10/24AMaccabi Tel Aviv78-79
29/10/24AOlympiacos69-79
27/10/24HManresa86-61
24/10/24HCrvena zvezda95-72
20/10/24HBasquet Girona95-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/24ABaskonia99-100
03/11/24HMoraBanc Andorra80-70
27/10/24ABreogan81-77
20/10/24HManresa83-81
12/10/24AUnicaja63-101
06/10/24HBarcelona74-78
29/09/24ABasket Zaragoza91-101 OT
09/06/24AEstudiantes85-70
08/06/24ASan Pablo Burgos80-77
24/05/24AAlicante73-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
ACB 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW71%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %71%100%33%
Points / game87.791.283.0
Allowed / game76.175.077.7
Point differential+11.6+16.2+5.3
Avg total163.9166.2160.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Forca Lleida
ACB 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL43%
HomeLWW67%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %43%67%25%
Points / game81.679.083.5
Allowed / game86.976.394.8
Point differential-5.3+2.7-11.2
Avg total168.4155.3178.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %14%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tenerife76186%87.078.6+8.4
2 Unicaja76186%88.081.0+7.0
3 Valencia65183%91.280.0+11.2
4 Real Madrid75271%87.776.1+11.6
5 Murcia85362%81.679.6+2.0
6 Barcelona74357%89.383.3+6.0
7 Gran Canaria74357%78.977.4+1.4
8 Manresa84450%83.279.1+4.1
9 Bilbao73443%85.685.0+0.6
10 MoraBanc Andorra73443%84.984.6+0.3
11 Joventut Badalona73443%79.479.7-0.3
12 Basket Zaragoza73443%92.192.7-0.6
13 Baskonia73443%89.191.0-1.9
14 Forca Lleida73443%81.686.9-5.3
15 Basquet Girona72529%74.186.6-12.4
16 Granada82625%74.981.8-6.9
17 Leyma Coruna82625%82.190.8-8.6
18 Breogan82625%71.483.4-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid2823151985
Forca Lleida1312341978
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