PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Paris vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 27 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 98-92
24-18 26-24 25-24 23-26
Position#16
Record7-16
FormLWLLW
Points / game89.3
Allowed / game92.8
Paris 🏆
vs
Position#2
Record16-8
FormWWWWW
Points / game87.8
Allowed / game82.7
EuropeEuroleagueRound 25· Adidas Arena
European cup2025
Meetings · Paris v Real Madrid
10 Dec 2026
PRS v MAD
upcoming
27 Jan 2026
PRS98
MAD92
17 Dec 2024
PRS85
MAD96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Paris winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ParisLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParis
Date
Competition
Nanterre
#3
L
83-99
83
99
-16
77avg 91
A26/12
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
L
89-94
89
94
-5
84avg 91
A30/12
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#19
W
84-79
84
79
+5
78avg 91
A07/01
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#4
W
98-93 OT
98
93
+5
87avg 91
A11/01
LNB
Strasbourg
#8
W
96-67
96
67
+29
88avg 91
H13/01
LNB
Monaco
#10
L
87-95
87
95
-8
no box
H15/01
Euroleague
Le Mans
#6
W
110-92
110
92
+18
110avg 91
H18/01
LNB
Valencia
#3
L
84-98
84
98
-14
76avg 91
A20/01
Euroleague
Dubai
#11
L
79-99
79
99
-20
64avg 91
H22/01
Euroleague
Le Portel
#16
W
120-57
120
57
+63
122avg 91
A24/01
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-20
24-27
19-23
23-29
23-20
23-21
18-20
25-33
19-21
21-18
25-25
19-15
14-28
18-24
25-11
24-18
21-18
25-16
22-13
28-20
23-27
20-25
21-24
23-19
20-17
28-26
30-30
32-19
16-27
26-23
11-20
31-28
18-27
14-25
23-22
24-25
32-17
33-4
31-15
24-21
180.3Avg total
93.0Scored
87.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)89.392.8182.1-3.530%
Season at home (12)89.391.4180.8-2.133%
Season away (11)89.394.4183.6-5.127%
Last 10 (10)93.087.3180.3+5.750%
Last 5 (5)96.088.2184.2+7.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)91.097.0188.0-6.020%
vs Similar (11)86.293.5179.6-7.318%
vs Weaker (13)100.282.5182.7+17.677%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Dubai
#11
W
107-93
107
93
+14
106avg 82
H02/01
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
L
100-105
100
105
-5
93avg 82
H04/01
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
80-69
80
69
+11
76avg 82
A06/01
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
W
98-86
98
86
+12
98avg 82
H08/01
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
W
90-85
90
85
+5
74avg 82
A11/01
ACB
Barcelona
#8
W
80-61
80
61
+19
no box
H16/01
Euroleague
Valencia
#1
W
94-79
94
79
+15
no box
H18/01
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#13
W
106-77
106
77
+29
114avg 82
H20/01
Euroleague
Monaco
#10
W
90-78
90
78
+12
93avg 82
H22/01
Euroleague
Breogan
#11
W
103-85
103
85
+18
103avg 82
A24/01
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-24
17-34
29-16
34-19
24-28
20-20
31-29
25-28
17-18
19-23
20-20
24-8
21-25
27-22
28-18
22-21
13-21
27-20
21-17
29-27
21-14
22-17
20-16
17-14
9-24
34-19
33-17
18-19
30-23
24-13
24-19
28-22
23-13
31-18
17-22
19-25
19-19
24-24
27-22
33-20
176.6Avg total
94.8Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)87.882.7170.5+5.067%
Season at home (13)92.280.8173.0+11.392%
Season away (11)82.584.9167.5-2.436%
Last 10 (10)94.881.8176.6+13.090%
Last 5 (5)94.676.0170.6+18.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)94.079.0173.0+15.0100%
vs Similar (9)87.685.6173.1+2.056%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)92.381.3173.6+11.095%
This opponent (Paris) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +5.4+5.4Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: +4.6+4.6
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +5.4+5.4Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: +4.6+4.6
ParisReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ParisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nanterre
#3
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A26/12
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A30/12
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#19
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A07/01
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#4
L
32-52
32
52
-20
A11/01
LNB
Strasbourg
#8
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H13/01
LNB
Monaco
#10
L
43-52
43
52
-9
H15/01
Euroleague
Le Mans
#6
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H18/01
LNB
Valencia
#3
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A20/01
Euroleague
Dubai
#11
L
32-52
32
52
-20
H22/01
Euroleague
Le Portel
#16
W
65-21
65
21
+44
A24/01
LNB
86.6Avg total
43.5Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.346.992.1-1.647%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.647.292.8-1.653%-
Last 30 away (15)44.946.591.5-1.640%-
Last 10 (10)43.543.186.6+0.450%-
Last 5 (5)46.043.689.6+2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)46.850.897.6-4.040%-
vs Similar (11)39.749.489.1-9.618%-
vs Weaker (13)48.441.890.2+6.577%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dubai
#11
L
44-58
44
58
-14
H02/01
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H04/01
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A06/01
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H08/01
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A11/01
ACB
Barcelona
#8
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H16/01
Euroleague
Valencia
#1
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H18/01
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#13
W
54-36
54
36
+18
H20/01
Euroleague
Monaco
#10
W
54-31
54
31
+23
H22/01
Euroleague
Breogan
#11
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A24/01
ACB
86.8Avg total
44.9Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.342.086.3+2.353%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.342.789.0+3.753%-
Last 30 away (15)42.341.383.6+0.953%-
Last 10 (10)44.941.986.8+3.040%-
Last 5 (5)47.436.884.2+10.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)43.043.086.0+0.00%-
vs Similar (9)43.238.982.1+4.356%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)44.943.488.2+1.555%-
This opponent (Paris) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Paristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paris: 93.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.5 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.718.4
53.0%
60.4%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.012.5
35.7%
35.9%37.5
🏀 Free throws23.218.9
81.5%
78.2%18.9
They take 69.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 94.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.823.1
61.1%
60.4%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.99.6
41.9%
35.9%28.8
🏀 Free throws25.719.4
75.5%
78.2%19.4
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Paris
WLLWLWWWLL
Real Madrid
WWWWWWWWLW
#16
League position
#2
+7.9
Net rating
+15.1
105.7
Offensive rating
120.8
97.8
Defensive rating
105.7
53.3%
Effective FG%
61.8%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
51.3%
17.4%
Turnover %
13.8%
34.7%
Off. rebound %
33.1%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.42
35.7%
3-point %
41.9%
64.4%
Assist %
62.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence105.7 · 120.8Defence97.8 · 105.7Shooting53.3% · 61.8%3-point %35.7% · 41.9%Ball care17.4% · 13.8%Off. rebounds34.7% · 33.1%Free throws0.33 · 0.42Form (last 10/10)50% · 90%
■ Paris   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Paris wins
3
Real Madrid wins
DateGameScore
18/12/25Real Madrid v Paris95-90
15/04/25Real Madrid v Paris73-81
03/04/25Real Madrid v Paris105-104
17/12/24Paris v Real Madrid85-96
Parislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/26ALe Portel120-57
22/01/26HDubai79-99
20/01/26AValencia84-98
18/01/26HLe Mans110-92
15/01/26HMonaco87-95
13/01/26HStrasbourg96-67
11/01/26ALyon-Villeurbanne98-93 OT
07/01/26AAnadolu Efes84-79
30/12/25ALyon-Villeurbanne89-94
26/12/25ANanterre83-99
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/26ABreogan103-85
22/01/26HMonaco90-78
20/01/26HOlimpia Milano106-77
18/01/26HValencia94-79
16/01/26HBarcelona80-61
11/01/26AMoraBanc Andorra90-85
08/01/26HMaccabi Tel Aviv98-86
06/01/26ALyon-Villeurbanne80-69
04/01/26HBarcelona100-105
02/01/26HDubai107-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Paris
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL30%
HomeLLWLL33%
AwayLLLWL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %30%33%27%
Points / game89.389.389.3
Allowed / game92.891.494.4
Point differential-3.5-2.1-5.1
Avg total182.1180.8183.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%25%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)25% (4)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Real Madrid
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW67%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayWWLLW36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241311
Win %67%92%36%
Points / game87.892.282.5
Allowed / game82.780.884.9
Point differential+5.0+11.3-2.4
Avg total170.5173.0167.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%62%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hapoel Tel-Aviv2316770%87.482.0+5.4
2 Fenerbahce2316770%82.279.4+2.8
3 Real Madrid2416867%87.882.7+5.0
4 Barcelona2416867%87.184.6+2.5
5 Olympiacos2315865%88.983.3+5.6
6 Monaco2415962%91.485.0+6.4
7 Valencia2415962%90.185.7+4.4
8 Zalgiris Kaunas24141058%88.082.0+6.1
9 Panathinaikos24141058%86.684.1+2.5
10 Crvena zvezda24141058%87.285.7+1.5
11 Virtus Bologna24111346%82.883.4-0.7
12 Olimpia Milano24111346%85.086.3-1.3
13 Dubai24111346%86.187.5-1.4
14 Maccabi Tel Aviv24101442%88.991.6-2.7
15 Bayern2491538%79.583.8-4.3
16 Baskonia2481633%86.390.4-4.1
17 Partizan2481633%80.089.5-9.5
18 Paris2371630%89.392.8-3.5
19 Anadolu Efes2461825%78.884.7-5.9
20 Lyon-Villeurbanne2461825%78.787.3-8.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Paris2426252398
Real Madrid1824242692
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.