Pato vs Flamengo Result & Analysis

The NBB clash on 7 November 2026 pits Pato against Flamengo, with the model pointing to Flamengo as the clear favourite thanks to their 4-1 record, 82.6 points per game and 72.8 allowed, placing them fourth in the league, versus Pato's 1-3 record, 74.0 points per game and 82.5 allowed, positioned sixteenth. Pato has gone 1-1 in their two home games, scoring 81.5 and conceding 84.0, while Flamengo has won their sole away outing, 91.0 to 87.0. In the last five games Pato won once and lost four, with a recent 89-88 home win over Botafogo, whereas Flamengo won four of five, highlighted by a 91-87 win over Brasilia. Historically, Flamengo leads the 10 meetings 8-2, though Pato's last encounter saw an 84-53 victory. Pythia assigns an 80% chance to Flamengo and a 20% chance to Pato, projecting a 75-84 score and 158.7 total points. The home line of 14.0 gives Flamengo a 66% probability of covering, while the 160.5 total offers a 45% chance of the over, and a 4% chance of overtime.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pato winLost

19.7%fair 5.08

Best odds7.75

Implied13.3%

Edge+6.4pp

Flamengo winWon

80.3%fair 1.25

Best odds1.09

Implied86.7%

Edge-6.4pp

Pythia's frozen forecast of 06 Nov 07:38 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Pato

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormPato

Date

Competition

Brasilia

58-67

-9

52avg 61

H02/04

NBB

Rio Claro

#15

70-78

-8

62avg 61

H06/04

NBB

Franca

64-100

100

-36

58avg 61

A09/04

NBB

Osasco

#18

68-77

-9

69avg 61

A11/04

NBB

Pinheiros

55-88

-33

50avg 61

A16/04

NBB

Paulistano

71-92

-21

58avg 61

A18/04

NBB

Paulistano

74-80

-6

58avg 61

H21/10

NBB

Botafogo

#10

89-88

36avg 61

H24/10

NBB

Minas

65-86

-21

52avg 61

A27/10

NBB

Cruzeiro

68-76

-8

48avg 61

A29/10

NBB

13-16

13-14

20-20

12-17

17-13

21-16

20-20

12-29

16-30

12-23

11-23

25-24

19-14

20-21

14-23

15-19

12-25

16-19

16-27

11-17

15-24

18-27

18-28

20-13

10-13

18-20

13-30

33-17

22-26

16-22

27-13

24-27

14-24

18-24

16-23

17-15

17-17

18-21

10-19

23-19

151.4Avg total

68.2Scored

83.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (4)	74.0	82.5	156.5	-8.5	25%
Season at home (2)	81.5	84.0	165.5	-2.5	50%
Season away (2)	66.5	81.0	147.5	-14.5	0%
Last 10 (10)	68.2	83.2	151.4	-15.0	10%
Last 5 (5)	73.4	84.4	157.8	-11.0	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	70.3	81.9	152.2	-11.5	14%
vs Similar (8)	79.6	78.4	158.0	+1.2	38%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Flamengo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Flamengo

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormFlamengo

Date

Competition

Brasilia

80-85

-5

68avg 78

A05/05

NBB

Brasilia

83-66

+17

74avg 78

H08/05

NBB

Brasilia

90-98

-8

78avg 78

H10/05

NBB

Brasilia

96-88

84avg 78

A13/05

NBB

Brasilia

69-72

-3

60avg 78

A15/05

NBB

Bauru

#13

81-82

-1

78avg 78

H18/10

NBB

Botafogo

#10

81-71

+10

80avg 78

H20/10

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#18

77-59

+18

no box

H30/10

NBB

Uniao Corinthians

#11

83-65

+18

35avg 78

H01/11

NBB

Brasilia

91-87

no box

A04/11

NBB

18-21

14-18

18-19

30-27

19-15

28-18

23-19

13-14

24-20

26-24

23-31

17-23

23-23

26-19

25-27

22-19

12-21

22-22

19-14

16-15

19-20

17-23

22-18

23-21

22-14

27-22

20-21

12-14

17-15

18-12

28-9

14-23

19-19

20-13

18-21

26-12

33-25

26-21

14-27

18-14

160.4Avg total

83.1Scored

77.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (5)	82.6	72.8	155.4	+9.8	80%
Season at home (4)	80.5	69.2	149.8	+11.2	75%
Season away (1)	91.0	87.0	178.0	+4.0	100%
Last 10 (10)	83.1	77.3	160.4	+5.8	60%
Last 5 (5)	82.6	72.8	155.4	+9.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	75.2	87.2	162.5	-12.0	50%
vs Similar (9)	84.7	83.9	168.6	+0.8	44%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	88.7	78.6	167.3	+10.1	71%

This opponent (Pato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Over/Under 155.5Actual: Under 155.5

Over 155.5

57.3%

@ 1.62+0.1pp

Under 155.5

42.7%

@ 2.15-0.1pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.62

Betano

1.60

Marathon Be

1.58

Under

Betano

2.15

Bet365

2.15

Over/Under 160.75 · main lineActual: Under 160.75

Over 160.75

no forecast

@ 1.80

Under 160.75

no forecast

@ 1.79

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.80

Under

1xBet

1.79

Over/Under 165.5Actual: Under 165.5

Over 165.5

33.5%

@ 2.72-0.8pp

Under 165.5

66.5%

@ 1.40+0.8pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.72

Betano

2.65

Under

Betano

1.40

Bet365

1.40

📊 3. Team Totals

Pato total 67.5Actual: Pato under 67.5

Over 67.5

75.1%

@ 1.38+8.3pp

Under 67.5

24.9%

@ 2.80-8.3pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.38

1xBet

1.32

Under

Bet365

2.80

1xBet

2.65

Pato total 71.5 · main lineActual: Pato under 71.5

Over 71.5

61.1%

@ 1.83+8.7pp

Under 71.5

38.9%

@ 1.93-8.7pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.83

Betano

1.75

1xBet

1.63

Under

Betano

1.93

1xBet

1.83

Bet365

1.83

Pato total 75.5Actual: Pato under 75.5

Over 75.5

45.6%

@ 2.50+7.8pp

Under 75.5

54.4%

@ 1.50-7.8pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.50

Betano

2.42

1xBet

2.22

Under

Bet365

1.50

Betano

1.47

1xBet

1.43

Flamengo total 81.5Actual: Flamengo under 81.5

Over 81.5

60.7%

@ 1.41-5.5pp

Under 81.5

39.3%

@ 2.70+5.5pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.41

1xBet

1.32

Under

Bet365

2.70

1xBet

2.64

Flamengo total 85.5 · main lineActual: Flamengo under 85.5

Over 85.5

44.9%

@ 1.83-8.5pp

Under 85.5

55.1%

@ 1.98+8.5pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.83

Betano

1.70

1xBet

1.62

Under

Betano

1.98

1xBet

1.85

Bet365

1.83

Flamengo total 89.5Actual: Flamengo under 89.5

Over 89.5

29.8%

@ 2.40-9.2pp

Under 89.5

70.2%

@ 1.52+9.2pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.40

Betano

2.35

1xBet

2.19

Under

Bet365

1.52

Betano

1.50

1xBet

1.44

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Pato +11Actual: Flamengo -11

PATO +11

55.0%

@ 2.35+15.4pp

FLAM -11

45.0%

@ 1.54-15.4pp

Best 5 market prices

PATO

Bet365

2.35

FLAM

Bet365

1.54

Marathon Be

1.53

Spread Pato +14 · main linePush

PATO +14

65.7%

@ 1.86+15.2pp

FLAM -14

34.3%

@ 1.89-15.2pp

Best 5 market prices

PATO

Bet365

1.86

Pinnacle

1.85

Marathon Be

1.83

1xBet

1.83

SBO

1.83

FLAM

Pinnacle

1.89

Marathon Be

1.83

1xBet

1.83

SBO

1.83

Bet365

1.80

Spread Pato +17Actual: Pato +17

PATO +17

75.1%

@ 1.62+18.0pp

FLAM -17

24.9%

@ 2.15-18.0pp

Best 5 market prices

PATO

Bet365

1.62

FLAM

Bet365

2.15

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

PatoFlamengo

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 40.5
Last 30 (30)	17.5	20.6	38.1	-3.1	27%	40%
Last 30 at home (17)	17.8	19.8	37.5	-2.0	35%	47%
Last 30 away (13)	17.2	21.7	38.8	-4.5	15%	31%
Last 10 (10)	15.5	20.2	35.7	-4.7	20%	20%
Last 5 (5)	15.6	20.8	36.4	-5.2	0%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	16.5	21.0	37.5	-4.6	14%	32%
vs Similar (8)	20.4	19.4	39.8	+1.0	62%	62%
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 40.5
Last 30 (30)	22.0	19.8	41.9	+2.2	53%	53%
Last 30 at home (17)	22.8	19.4	42.2	+3.5	71%	53%
Last 30 away (13)	21.0	20.5	41.5	+0.5	31%	54%
Last 10 (10)	20.6	19.3	39.9	+1.3	50%	30%
Last 5 (5)	22.0	18.6	40.6	+3.4	60%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	20.8	19.2	40.0	+1.5	50%	50%
vs Similar (9)	21.4	22.0	43.4	-0.6	44%	67%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	22.6	18.8	41.5	+3.8	59%	47%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39.5
Last 30 (30)	18.7	19.2	37.9	-0.5	40%	33%
Last 30 at home (17)	18.9	17.5	36.4	+1.4	59%	24%
Last 30 away (13)	18.5	21.4	39.8	-2.9	15%	46%
Last 10 (10)	17.0	20.7	37.7	-3.7	10%	30%
Last 5 (5)	17.6	22.8	40.4	-5.2	0%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	17.8	20.0	37.8	-2.2	27%	32%
vs Similar (8)	21.1	17.0	38.1	+4.1	75%	38%
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39.5
Last 30 (30)	22.0	20.9	43.0	+1.1	60%	77%
Last 30 at home (17)	22.9	20.1	43.0	+2.8	71%	71%
Last 30 away (13)	20.9	22.0	42.9	-1.1	46%	85%
Last 10 (10)	22.4	19.2	41.6	+3.2	70%	70%
Last 5 (5)	21.6	18.2	39.8	+3.4	80%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	17.2	26.5	43.8	-9.2	0%	100%
vs Similar (9)	22.3	19.8	42.1	+2.6	67%	67%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	23.0	20.2	43.2	+2.8	71%	76%

PatoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Brasilia

26-30

-4

H02/04

NBB

Rio Claro

#15

38-29

H06/04

NBB

Franca

28-53

-25

A09/04

NBB

Osasco

#18

39-35

A11/04

NBB

Pinheiros

28-44

-16

A16/04

NBB

Paulistano

33-51

-18

A18/04

NBB

Paulistano

28-33

-5

H21/10

NBB

Botafogo

#10

38-48

-10

H24/10

NBB

Minas

32-48

-16

A27/10

NBB

Cruzeiro

35-38

-3

A29/10

NBB

73.4Avg total

32.5Scored

40.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 80.75
Last 30 (30)	36.2	39.8	76.0	-3.6	37%	33%
Last 30 at home (17)	36.6	37.3	73.9	-0.6	41%	29%
Last 30 away (13)	35.6	43.1	78.7	-7.5	31%	38%
Last 10 (10)	32.5	40.9	73.4	-8.4	20%	30%
Last 5 (5)	33.2	43.6	76.8	-10.4	0%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	34.3	41.0	75.3	-6.8	18%	32%
vs Similar (8)	41.5	36.4	77.9	+5.1	88%	38%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Flamengo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

FlamengoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Brasilia

32-39

-7

A05/05

NBB

Brasilia

47-33

+14

H08/05

NBB

Brasilia

50-44

H10/05

NBB

Brasilia

49-42

A13/05

NBB

Brasilia

34-43

-9

A15/05

NBB

Bauru

#13

36-43

-7

H18/10

NBB

Botafogo

#10

49-36

+13

H20/10

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#18

35-27

H30/10

NBB

Uniao Corinthians

#11

39-32

H01/11

NBB

Brasilia

59-46

+13

A04/11

NBB

81.5Avg total

43.0Scored

38.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 80.75
Last 30 (30)	44.1	40.8	84.8	+3.3	67%	67%
Last 30 at home (17)	45.7	39.5	85.2	+6.2	71%	71%
Last 30 away (13)	41.9	42.5	84.4	-0.5	62%	62%
Last 10 (10)	43.0	38.5	81.5	+4.5	70%	40%
Last 5 (5)	43.6	36.8	80.4	+6.8	80%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	38.0	45.8	83.8	-7.8	50%	50%
vs Similar (9)	43.8	41.8	85.6	+2.0	56%	67%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	45.6	39.1	84.7	+6.6	76%	71%

This opponent (Pato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

1st half winnerActual: Flamengo win

PATO win

no forecast

@ 5.04

FLAM win

no forecast

@ 1.23

1st half Spread Pato +8 · main lineActual: Pato +8

PATO +8

no forecast

@ 1.85

FLAM -8

no forecast

@ 1.88

1st half Over/Under 80.75 · main lineActual: Under 80.75

Over

no forecast

@ 1.82

Under

no forecast

@ 1.80

Pato 1st half total 36.5 · main lineActual: Pato over 36.5

Over

no forecast

@ 2.02

Under

no forecast

@ 1.84

Flamengo 1st half total 44 · main lineActual: Flamengo under 44

Over

no forecast

@ 1.77

Under

no forecast

@ 1.89

1st half: PATO + total 80.5

PATO & over

no forecast

@ 7.25

PATO & under

no forecast

@ 7.50

1st half: Draw + total 80.5

Draw & over

no forecast

@ 34.00

Draw & under

no forecast

@ 34.00

1st half: FLAM + total 80.5

FLAM & over

no forecast

@ 2.45

FLAM & under

no forecast

@ 2.45

1st half Over/Under 79.5Actual: Under 79.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.85

Under

no forecast

@ 1.98

1st half Spread Pato +7Actual: Pato +7

PATO +7

no forecast

@ 2.04

FLAM -7

no forecast

@ 1.74

1st half Spread Pato +9Actual: Pato +9

PATO +9

no forecast

@ 1.69

FLAM -9

no forecast

@ 2.07

1st half Over/Under 82.5Actual: Under 82.5

Over

no forecast

@ 2.15

Under

no forecast

@ 1.62

1st half Over/Under 77.5Actual: Under 77.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.62

Under

no forecast

@ 2.20

1st half Over/Under 84.5Actual: Under 84.5

Over

no forecast

@ 2.60

Under

no forecast

@ 1.45

1st half Spread Pato +5.5Actual: Pato +5.5

PATO +5.5

no forecast

@ 2.32

FLAM -5.5

no forecast

@ 1.62

1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Flamengo (regulation)

PATO

no forecast

@ 4.65

Draw

no forecast

@ 19.50

FLAM

no forecast

@ 1.27

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 37.75
Last 30 (30)	17.3	20.1	37.4	-2.8	20%	53%
Last 30 at home (17)	18.8	19.4	38.1	-0.6	24%	53%
Last 30 away (13)	15.3	21.1	36.4	-5.8	15%	54%
Last 10 (10)	16.5	22.6	39.1	-6.1	10%	70%
Last 5 (5)	16.8	22.6	39.4	-5.8	20%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	16.6	20.9	37.5	-4.3	14%	50%
vs Similar (8)	19.0	17.9	36.9	+1.1	38%	62%
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 37.75
Last 30 (30)	20.2	19.8	40.0	+0.5	47%	63%
Last 30 at home (17)	21.5	19.1	40.6	+2.4	59%	71%
Last 30 away (13)	18.6	20.6	39.2	-2.0	31%	54%
Last 10 (10)	21.0	20.6	41.6	+0.4	40%	70%
Last 5 (5)	20.4	19.2	39.6	+1.2	40%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	16.2	19.2	35.5	-3.0	25%	50%
vs Similar (9)	20.3	21.6	41.9	-1.2	44%	56%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	21.1	18.9	40.1	+2.2	53%	71%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39
Last 30 (30)	17.9	19.7	37.6	-1.8	33%	33%
Last 30 at home (17)	18.5	19.8	38.2	-1.3	35%	35%
Last 30 away (13)	17.2	19.5	36.7	-2.4	31%	31%
Last 10 (10)	19.2	19.7	38.9	-0.5	50%	50%
Last 5 (5)	23.4	18.2	41.6	+5.2	80%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	18.7	19.0	37.7	-0.2	36%	32%
vs Similar (8)	15.6	21.6	37.2	-6.0	25%	38%
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39
Last 30 (30)	21.4	20.8	42.2	+0.6	47%	63%
Last 30 at home (17)	21.5	20.6	42.2	+0.9	47%	65%
Last 30 away (13)	21.2	21.0	42.2	+0.2	46%	62%
Last 10 (10)	19.1	18.2	37.3	+0.9	60%	40%
Last 5 (5)	18.6	16.8	35.4	+1.8	60%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	21.0	22.2	43.2	-1.2	50%	75%
vs Similar (9)	20.6	20.6	41.1	+0.0	56%	67%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	21.9	20.6	42.5	+1.4	41%	59%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 77
Last 30 (30)	35.2	39.8	74.9	-4.6	23%	40%
Last 30 at home (17)	37.2	39.1	76.4	-1.9	35%	41%
Last 30 away (13)	32.5	40.6	73.1	-8.2	8%	38%
Last 10 (10)	35.7	42.3	78.0	-6.6	10%	50%
Last 5 (5)	40.2	40.8	81.0	-0.6	20%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	35.4	39.9	75.2	-4.5	18%	32%
vs Similar (8)	34.6	39.5	74.1	-4.9	38%	62%
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 77
Last 30 (30)	41.6	40.6	82.2	+1.1	50%	63%
Last 30 at home (17)	43.0	39.8	82.8	+3.2	59%	59%
Last 30 away (13)	39.8	41.6	81.5	-1.8	38%	69%
Last 10 (10)	40.1	38.8	78.9	+1.3	70%	40%
Last 5 (5)	39.0	36.0	75.0	+3.0	60%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	37.2	41.5	78.8	-4.2	0%	50%
vs Similar (9)	40.9	42.1	83.0	-1.2	67%	67%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	43.1	39.5	82.6	+3.5	53%	65%

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.

PATO win + total 159.5

🔒 Pro

FLAM win + total 159.5

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: PATO leads at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: level at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: FLAM leads at half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half

🔒 Pro

Quarters won (PATO:FLAM): split

🔒 Pro

Team with the highest-scoring quarter

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring half

🔒 Pro

Double chance (regulation)

🔒 Pro

Quarters won (PATO:FLAM): PATO wins more

🔒 Pro

🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Pato +17	75.1%	1.62	Bet365 1.62	-	-	-	-	+18.0pp	Won
Pato +18	77.8%	1.54	Bet365 1.54	-	-	-	-	+17.4pp	Won
Pato +19	80.3%	1.47	Bet365 1.47	-	-	-	-	+16.9pp	Won
Pato +20	82.7%	1.40	Bet365 1.40	-	-	-	-	+16.6pp	Won
Pato +21	84.8%	1.35	Bet365 1.35	-	-	-	-	+15.8pp	Won
Pato +17.5	75.8%	1.51	Bet365 1.58	Betano 1.52	1xBet 1.42	-	-	+15.4pp	Won
Pato +22	86.7%	1.30	Bet365 1.30	-	-	-	-	+15.3pp	Won
Pato +20.5	83.0%	1.35	Bet365 1.38	Betano 1.32	-	-	-	+14.8pp	Won
Pato +18.5	78.4%	1.44	Bet365 1.52	Betano 1.44	1xBet 1.35	-	-	+14.8pp	Won
Pato +22.5	86.9%	1.28	Bet365 1.28	-	-	-	-	+14.6pp	Won
Pato +19.5	80.8%	1.37	Bet365 1.45	Betano 1.38	1xBet 1.29	-	-	+14.2pp	Won
Pato +21.5	85.1%	1.31	Bet365 1.33	Betano 1.28	-	-	-	+14.2pp	Won
Pato +16	72.1%	1.64	Bet365 1.71	Marathon Bet 1.62	Pinnacle 1.59	-	-	+13.9pp	Won
Pato +16.5	73.0%	1.58	Bet365 1.66	Betano 1.60	Marathon Bet 1.58	Pinnacle 1.55	1xBet 1.50	+13.2pp	Won
Pato +24.5	90.1%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+12.3pp	Won
Flamengo under 91.5	76.8%	1.35	Bet365 1.38	1xBet 1.32	-	-	-	+9.9pp	Won
Flamengo under 92.5	79.7%	1.27	1xBet 1.27	-	-	-	-	+9.9pp	Won
Flamengo under 90.5	73.6%	1.40	Betano 1.42	1xBet 1.38	-	-	-	+9.6pp	Won
Flamengo under 89.5	70.2%	1.49	Bet365 1.52	Betano 1.50	1xBet 1.44	-	-	+9.2pp	Won
Pato over 68.5	71.9%	1.41	Betano 1.44	1xBet 1.38	-	-	-	+8.4pp	Lost
Pato over 66.5	78.2%	1.27	1xBet 1.27	-	-	-	-	+8.3pp	Lost
Pato over 67.5	75.1%	1.35	Bet365 1.38	1xBet 1.32	-	-	-	+8.3pp	Lost
Flamengo over 64.5	97.4%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+5.1pp	Won
Flamengo over 65.5	96.7%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.5pp	Won
Flamengo over 66.5	96.0%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+4.5pp	Won
Flamengo over 68.5	94.0%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+4.4pp	Won
Over 132.5	94.6%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+4.1pp	Won
Flamengo over 67.5	95.1%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+3.9pp	Won
Over 133.5	93.9%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+3.4pp	Won
Flamengo over 70.5	91.3%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+3.3pp	Won
Over 142.5	83.8%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+3.3pp	Won
Flamengo over 69.5	92.7%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+3.1pp	Won
Under 183.5	93.1%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+2.9pp	Won
Flamengo over 74.5	83.3%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+2.8pp	Won
Flamengo over 72.5	87.8%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+2.7pp	Won
Over 137.5	90.2%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+2.7pp	Won
Over 147.5	75.0%	1.28	Bet365 1.28	-	-	-	-	+2.7pp	Lost
Pato under 91.5	94.5%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+2.3pp	Won
Under 182.5	92.3%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+2.1pp	Won
Over 138.5	89.1%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+2.0pp	Won
Pato under 92.5	95.4%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+1.7pp	Won
Over 143.5	82.2%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+1.7pp	Won
Flamengo over 71.5	89.7%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+1.7pp	Won
Flamengo +10.5	95.3%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+1.6pp	Won
Under 178.5	88.5%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+1.3pp	Won
Under 173.5	81.7%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+1.2pp	Won
Pato under 89.5	92.3%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+1.1pp	Won
Over 148.5	73.0%	1.28	Bet365 1.28	-	-	-	-	+0.7pp	Lost
Flamengo over 73.5	85.7%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+0.6pp	Won
Under 168.5	72.8%	1.28	Bet365 1.28	-	-	-	-	+0.4pp	Won
Flamengo over 75.5	80.7%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+0.2pp	Won
Under 177.5	87.3%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+0.2pp	Won
Flamengo +6.5	91.2%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+0.1pp	Won
Pato under 87.5	89.3%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	-0.0pp	Won
Under 172.5	80.1%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	-0.4pp	Won
Flamengo over 76.5	77.9%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	-0.9pp	Won
Flamengo over 77.5	74.9%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	-1.3pp	Won
Under 167.5	70.8%	1.28	Bet365 1.28	-	-	-	-	-1.6pp	Won
Pato under 85.5	85.6%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	-1.9pp	Won
Pato under 82.5	78.3%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	-3.1pp	Won
Pato under 83.5	81.0%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	-3.4pp	Won
Flamengo (regulation)	78.1%	1.09	1xBet 1.09	Betano 1.09	Marathon Bet 1.09	-	-	-3.7pp	Won
Pato under 81.5	75.4%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	-4.1pp	Won
Flamengo win	80.3%	1.07	1xBet 1.09	Marathon Bet 1.09	Betano 1.08	WilliamHill 1.08	Betfair 1.06	-6.4pp	Won

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Patotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pato: 61.1 points a game scored

🏀🏀51%

🏀🏀🏀37%

🏀12%

🏀🏀 2-pointers31.2 pts a game · 51% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 37% of the points

🏀 Free throws7.1 pts a game · 12% of the points

League average for comparison: 69.9 points a game

50%

34%

16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.0	15.6	47.3%	49.8%	31.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.6	7.6	25.7%	31.6%	22.8
🏀 Free throws	11.3	7.1	62.8%	71.3%	7.1

They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Flamengotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Flamengo: 81.3 points a game scored

🏀🏀47%

🏀🏀🏀39%

🏀14%

🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 47% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 39% of the points

🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 14% of the points

League average for comparison: 69.9 points a game

50%

34%

16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.7	19.0	56.4%	49.8%	38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	32.5	10.6	32.6%	31.6%	31.8
🏀 Free throws	16.8	11.5	68.5%	71.3%	11.5

They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.5	16.7	47.0%	49.8%	33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.4	11.4	37.5%	31.6%	34.2
🏀 Free throws	19.9	13.9	69.8%	71.3%	13.9

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.3	18.5	52.4%	49.8%	37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.4	7.9	28.8%	31.6%	23.7
🏀 Free throws	19.0	13.2	69.5%	71.3%	13.2

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.9	16.8	49.5%	49.8%	33.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.6	8.8	28.6%	31.6%	26.3
🏀 Free throws	16.0	10.6	66.2%	71.3%	10.6

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.0	18.2	55.1%	49.8%	36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	32.3	11.5	35.5%	31.6%	34.4
🏀 Free throws	19.1	13.5	70.9%	71.3%	13.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.2	18.0	51.2%	49.8%	36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.7	9.5	33.0%	31.6%	28.4
🏀 Free throws	21.8	15.5	71.1%	71.3%	15.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.2	18.9	52.3%	49.8%	37.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.8	8.6	30.8%	31.6%	25.7
🏀 Free throws	22.3	15.7	70.7%	71.3%	15.7

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Pato

LLWLLLLLLL

Flamengo

WWWWLLWLWL

#16

League position

-23.7

Net rating

+8.7

70.9

Offensive rating

95.1

94.5

Defensive rating

86.5

43.1%

Effective FG%

52.7%

51.3%

Opp. effective FG%

48.4%

20.2%

Turnover %

14.3%

0.18

Free-throw rate

0.25

25.7%

3-point %

32.6%

75.4%

Assist %

63.9%

10%

Form (last 10/10)

60%

Profile

■ Pato ■ Flamengo

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Pato wins

Flamengo wins

Date	Game	Score
05/02/26	Pato v Flamengo	84-53
09/11/25	Flamengo v Pato	101-63
28/02/25	Flamengo v Pato	91-81
03/12/24	Pato v Flamengo	103-110 OT
13/01/24	Pato v Flamengo	97-91 OT
15/10/23	Flamengo v Pato	84-71
08/01/23	Flamengo v Pato	89-75
22/10/22	Pato v Flamengo	64-91
03/02/22	Pato v Flamengo	87-93
03/11/21	Flamengo v Pato	94-62

Patolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
29/10/26	A	Cruzeiro	68-76
27/10/26	A	Minas	65-86
24/10/26	H	Botafogo	89-88
21/10/26	H	Paulistano	74-80
18/04/26	A	Paulistano	71-92
16/04/26	A	Pinheiros	55-88
11/04/26	A	Osasco	68-77
09/04/26	A	Franca	64-100
06/04/26	H	Rio Claro	70-78
02/04/26	H	Brasilia	58-67

Flamengolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
04/11/26	A	Brasilia	91-87
01/11/26	H	Uniao Corinthians	83-65
30/10/26	H	Caxias do Sul	77-59
20/10/26	H	Botafogo	81-71
18/10/26	H	Bauru	81-82
15/05/26	A	Brasilia	69-72
13/05/26	A	Brasilia	96-88
10/05/26	H	Brasilia	90-98
08/05/26	H	Brasilia	83-66
05/05/26	A	Brasilia	80-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pato

NBB 2026-27

Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLL	25%
Home	LW	50%
Away	LL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	4	2	2
Win %	25%	50%	0%
Points / game	74.0	81.5	66.5
Allowed / game	82.5	84.0	81.0
Point differential	-8.5	-2.5	-14.5
Avg total	156.5	165.5	147.5
Over 160.75	25%	50%	0%
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Flamengo

NBB 2026-27

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	80%
Home	LWWW	75%
Away	W	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	5	4	1
Win %	80%	75%	100%
Points / game	82.6	80.5	91.0
Allowed / game	72.8	69.2	87.0
Point differential	+9.8	+11.2	+4.0
Avg total	155.4	149.8	178.0
Over 160.75	40%	25%	100%
Win by 10+	60%	75%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	0% (1)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Minas	6	6	0	100%	86.0	67.2	+18.8
2	Pinheiros	6	5	1	83%	86.8	70.2	+16.7
3	Unifacisa	6	5	1	83%	83.2	73.0	+10.2
4	Flamengo	5	4	1	80%	82.6	72.8	+9.8
5	Mogi	5	4	1	80%	80.8	74.4	+6.4
6	Brasilia	7	4	3	57%	83.4	81.1	+2.3
7	Franca	6	3	3	50%	77.3	73.3	+4.0
8	Cruzeiro	6	3	3	50%	76.2	78.8	-2.7
9	Paulistano	6	3	3	50%	70.3	73.0	-2.7
10	Botafogo	5	2	3	40%	80.0	83.0	-3.0
11	Uniao Corinthians	5	2	3	40%	73.8	80.0	-6.2
12	Sao Jose	6	2	4	33%	80.5	84.5	-4.0
13	Bauru	6	2	4	33%	73.2	77.7	-4.5
14	Corinthians Paulista	4	1	3	25%	80.5	80.0	+0.5
15	Osasco	4	1	3	25%	79.5	86.0	-6.5
16	Pato	4	1	3	25%	74.0	82.5	-8.5
17	Cearense	5	1	4	20%	65.6	86.8	-21.2
18	Caxias do Sul	6	0	6	0%	62.7	79.7	-17.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Pato	18	19	13	16	66
Flamengo	24	16	24	16	80

← all games of the day

Pato vs Flamengo Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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