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Pato vs Botafogo Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 28 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 98-78
27-20 20-11 25-14 26-33
Position#14
Record4-6
FormLLLLW
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game78.3
Pato 🏆
Brazil
vs
Botafogo
Brazil
Position#18
Record4-7
FormLLLLW
Points / game69.8
Allowed / game75.4
BrazilNBB· Ginasio do Sesi
Other2024-25
Meetings · Pato v Botafogo
24 Oct 2026
PATO89
BOTA88
12 Feb 2026
PATO93
BOTA67
28 Nov 2024
PATO98
BOTA78
24 Jan 2024
PATO97
BOTA86
12 Feb 2020
PATO69
BOTA75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pato winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Botafogo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PatoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPato
Date
Competition
Pinheiros
#5
L
67-68
67
68
-1
60avg 70
A12/10
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
W
89-86
89
86
+3
89avg 70
A14/10
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
L
81-88
81
88
-7
70avg 70
H17/10
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
89-60
89
60
+29
86avg 70
H22/10
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
85-77
85
77
+8
77avg 70
H25/10
NBB
Franca
#2
L
70-93
70
93
-23
54avg 70
A28/10
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
L
80-81
80
81
-1
74avg 70
A31/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
70-81
70
81
-11
64avg 70
A02/11
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
76-84
76
84
-8
64avg 70
H12/11
NBB
Paulistano
#12
W
66-65
66
65
+1
62avg 70
H17/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-24
12-16
15-15
17-13
22-25
25-16
19-22
23-23
30-23
16-22
25-19
10-24
23-11
25-15
21-19
20-15
17-22
21-9
14-27
33-19
21-19
14-27
14-26
21-21
16-15
26-19
19-28
19-19
22-22
19-21
19-19
10-19
13-22
12-20
29-25
22-17
15-15
21-20
12-9
18-21
155.6Avg total
77.3Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)77.378.3155.6-1.040%
Season at home (5)79.474.8154.2+4.660%
Season away (5)75.281.8157.0-6.620%
Last 10 (10)77.378.3155.6-1.040%
Last 5 (5)72.480.8153.2-8.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)77.484.8162.1-7.438%
vs Similar (16)77.379.7157.0-2.438%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)86.074.7160.7+11.383%
This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BotafogoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBotafogo
Date
Competition
Mogi
#16
W
72-70 OT
72
70
+2
60avg 66
A14/10
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
58-73
58
73
-15
46avg 66
H22/10
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
L
67-80
67
80
-13
58avg 66
H24/10
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
77-52
77
52
+25
74avg 66
A27/10
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
74-90
74
90
-16
64avg 66
A30/10
NBB
Paulistano
#12
L
70-88
70
88
-18
51avg 66
A02/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
71-80
71
80
-9
61avg 66
H06/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
L
63-69
63
69
-6
58avg 66
H10/11
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
67-91
67
91
-24
58avg 66
A13/11
NBB
Vasco
#7
W
68-66
68
66
+2
54avg 66
H15/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-12
12-17
18-21
18-15
15-15
15-26
11-25
17-7
13-14
8-21
31-28
15-17
17-10
20-17
22-11
18-14
12-27
26-16
14-29
22-18
23-23
12-19
19-19
16-27
20-23
20-20
16-18
15-19
25-15
15-19
13-17
10-18
16-22
14-24
14-18
23-27
21-11
9-19
18-20
20-16
144.6Avg total
68.7Scored
75.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)69.875.4145.2-5.536%
Season at home (5)65.473.6139.0-8.220%
Season away (6)73.576.8150.3-3.350%
Last 10 (10)68.775.9144.6-7.230%
Last 5 (5)67.878.8146.6-11.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)76.087.7163.6-11.722%
vs Similar (6)74.873.0147.8+1.833%
vs Weaker (1)108.0106.0214.0+2.0100%
This opponent (Pato) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -4.7-4.7Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -0.4-0.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -4.7-4.7Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -0.4-0.4
PatoBotafogo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PatoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pinheiros
#5
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A12/10
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A14/10
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H17/10
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
48-26
48
26
+22
H22/10
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H25/10
NBB
Franca
#2
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A28/10
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A31/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A02/11
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
25-42
25
42
-17
H12/11
NBB
Paulistano
#12
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H17/11
NBB
77.6Avg total
39.3Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.139.579.6+0.557%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.138.679.8+2.569%-
Last 30 away (14)38.940.679.4-1.743%-
Last 10 (10)39.338.377.6+1.060%-
Last 5 (5)35.840.075.8-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)39.542.481.9-2.950%-
vs Similar (16)38.239.477.6-1.244%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)45.836.282.0+9.7100%-
This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BotafogoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mogi
#16
D
29-29
29
29
+0
A14/10
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H22/10
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
L
21-35
21
35
-14
H24/10
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
37-27
37
27
+10
A27/10
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A30/10
NBB
Paulistano
#12
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A02/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H06/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H10/11
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A13/11
NBB
Vasco
#7
D
30-30
30
30
+0
H15/11
NBB
70.0Avg total
33.0Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.042.980.9-4.933%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.942.380.2-4.533%-
Last 30 away (15)38.143.481.5-5.333%-
Last 10 (10)33.037.070.0-4.020%-
Last 5 (5)35.039.074.0-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)37.644.682.2-7.026%-
vs Similar (6)37.835.773.5+2.250%-
vs Weaker (1)48.047.095.0+1.0100%-
This opponent (Pato) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Patotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pato: 76.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.016.7
49.1%
50.9%33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.810.2
36.7%
33.0%30.6
🏀 Free throws17.412.5
71.8%
72.7%12.5
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Botafogotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Botafogo: 67.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.817.8
44.7%
50.9%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.27.4
29.4%
33.0%22.2
🏀 Free throws16.29.9
61.1%
72.7%9.9
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pato
WLLLLWWLWL
Botafogo
WLLLLLWLLW
#14
League position
#18
-1.4
Net rating
-10.1
105.2
Offensive rating
92.8
106.6
Defensive rating
102.9
51.8%
Effective FG%
44.5%
49.6%
Opp. effective FG%
49.0%
18.1%
Turnover %
17.7%
26.6%
Off. rebound %
29.1%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.25
36.7%
3-point %
29.4%
55.4%
Assist %
61.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence105.2 · 92.8Defence106.6 · 102.9Shooting51.8% · 44.5%3-point %36.7% · 29.4%Ball care18.1% · 17.7%Off. rebounds26.6% · 29.1%Free throws0.28 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Pato   ■ Botafogo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Pato wins
2
Botafogo wins
DateGameScore
24/01/24Pato v Botafogo97-86
24/10/23Botafogo v Pato71-79
12/02/20Pato v Botafogo69-75
15/11/19Botafogo v Pato85-79
Patolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/11/24HPaulistano66-65
12/11/24HVasco76-84
02/11/24AUniao Corinthians70-81
31/10/24ACaxias do Sul80-81
28/10/24AFranca70-93
25/10/24HUnifacisa85-77
22/10/24HCearense89-60
17/10/24HSao Paulo81-88
14/10/24ACorinthians Paulista89-86
12/10/24APinheiros67-68
Botafogolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/24HVasco68-66
13/11/24AFlamengo67-91
10/11/24HCaxias do Sul63-69
06/11/24HUniao Corinthians71-80
02/11/24APaulistano70-88
30/10/24AUnifacisa74-90
27/10/24ACearense77-52
24/10/24HPinheiros67-80
22/10/24HCorinthians Paulista58-73
14/10/24AMogi72-70 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pato
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW40%
HomeLWWLW60%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %40%60%20%
Points / game77.379.475.2
Allowed / game78.374.881.8
Point differential-1.0+4.6-6.6
Avg total155.6154.2157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Botafogo
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW36%
HomeLLLLW20%
AwayWWLLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %36%20%50%
Points / game69.865.473.5
Allowed / game75.473.676.8
Point differential-5.5-8.2-3.3
Avg total145.2139.0150.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %9%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas1110191%82.568.2+14.4
2 Flamengo1210283%81.566.4+15.1
3 Brasilia118373%81.578.8+2.6
4 Bauru107370%79.678.7+0.9
5 Sao Paulo117464%78.977.6+1.3
6 Uniao Corinthians106460%79.079.4-0.4
7 Vasco116555%72.369.9+2.4
8 Pinheiros116555%73.673.5+0.1
9 Franca116555%78.979.3-0.4
10 Pato104640%77.378.3-1.0
11 Paulistano114736%75.673.7+1.9
12 Corinthians Paulista114736%80.682.5-1.9
13 Sao Jose114736%73.075.5-2.5
14 Botafogo114736%69.875.4-5.5
15 Unifacisa103730%76.780.4-3.7
16 Caxias do Sul103730%69.777.7-8.0
17 Mogi113827%71.680.7-9.1
18 Cearense112918%66.775.4-8.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pato2720252698
Botafogo2011143378
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