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Pato vs Franca Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 05 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 21:00
Scheduled
Position#15
Record2-6
FormLLLWL
Points / game72.6
Allowed / game81.5
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.7/10
Above normal
3.5/10
Below normal
Position#6
Record5-3
FormLLWWW
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game71.6
BrazilNBB· Ginasio do Sesi
Other2026-27
Meetings · Pato v Franca
05 Dec 2026
PATO v FRAN
upcoming
18 Dec 2025
PATO71
FRAN93
24 Apr 2025
PATO91
FRAN96
05 Apr 2025
PATO67
FRAN76
16 Nov 2023
PATO87
FRAN83
05 Nov 2022
PATO70
FRAN94
11 Nov 2021
PATO66
FRAN88
03 Dec 2020
PATO64
FRAN86
05 Nov 2019
PATO47
FRAN82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pato win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Franca win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PatoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPato
Date
Competition
Pinheiros
#2
L
55-88
55
88
-33
50avg 63
A16/04
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
71-92
71
92
-21
58avg 63
A18/04
NBB
Paulistano
#13
L
74-80
74
80
-6
58avg 63
H21/10
NBB
Botafogo
#14
W
89-88
89
88
+1
36avg 63
H24/10
NBB
Minas
#1
L
65-86
65
86
-21
52avg 63
A27/10
NBB
Cruzeiro
#9
L
68-76
68
76
-8
48avg 63
A29/10
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
66-80
66
80
-14
no box
H07/11
NBB
Bauru
#11
L
78-98
78
98
-20
no box
H09/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
79-77
79
77
+2
no box
A12/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#7
L
62-67
62
67
-5
no box
A14/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-25
16-19
16-27
11-17
15-24
18-27
18-28
20-13
10-13
18-20
13-30
33-17
22-26
16-22
27-13
24-27
14-24
18-24
16-23
17-15
17-17
18-21
10-19
23-19
18-24
19-16
13-24
16-16
26-28
16-26
19-19
17-25
15-21
20-19
15-22
29-15
14-18
19-22
14-15
15-12
153.9Avg total
70.7Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)72.681.5154.1-8.925%
Season at home (4)76.886.5163.2-9.825%
Season away (4)68.576.5145.0-8.025%
Last 10 (10)70.783.2153.9-12.520%
Last 5 (5)70.679.6150.2-9.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)69.882.7152.5-13.05%
vs Similar (8)77.176.8153.9+0.438%
vs Weaker (1)79.077.0156.0+2.0100%
This opponent (Franca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FrancaBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFranca
Date
Competition
Pinheiros
#2
L
92-94
92
94
-2
92avg 82
A04/06
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
W
85-76
85
76
+9
79avg 82
H07/06
NBB
Sao Jose
#12
W
90-59
90
59
+31
70avg 82
H19/10
NBB
Mogi
#2
W
90-74
90
74
+16
81avg 82
H21/10
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#10
L
48-78
48
78
-30
30avg 82
A26/10
NBB
Paulistano
#13
L
62-65
62
65
-3
47avg 82
A28/10
NBB
Minas
#1
L
76-87
76
87
-11
no box
H03/11
NBB
Cruzeiro
#9
W
98-77
98
77
+21
no box
H05/11
NBB
Flamengo
#4
W
84-73
84
73
+11
no box
A10/11
NBB
Botafogo
#14
W
83-60
83
60
+23
no box
A12/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-19
19-28
32-27
17-20
18-24
32-22
10-8
25-22
17-15
25-17
23-12
25-15
24-18
24-31
19-9
23-16
14-29
9-13
10-19
15-17
14-20
12-16
21-22
15-7
25-19
15-25
21-24
15-19
23-14
22-21
27-17
26-25
19-17
28-21
17-12
20-23
21-16
14-19
24-9
24-16
155.1Avg total
80.8Scored
74.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)78.971.6150.5+7.262%
Season at home (4)88.574.2162.8+14.275%
Season away (4)69.269.0138.2+0.250%
Last 10 (10)80.874.3155.1+6.560%
Last 5 (5)80.672.4153.0+8.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)76.087.0163.0-11.00%
vs Similar (8)83.277.8161.0+5.575%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)82.073.4155.4+8.571%
This opponent (Pato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.7-5.7Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -5.9-5.9Q3: +4.5+4.5Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: +2.5+2.5
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.7-5.7Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -5.9-5.9Q3: +4.5+4.5Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: +2.5+2.5
PatoFranca
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PatoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pinheiros
#2
L
28-44
28
44
-16
A16/04
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A18/04
NBB
Paulistano
#13
L
28-33
28
33
-5
H21/10
NBB
Botafogo
#14
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H24/10
NBB
Minas
#1
L
32-48
32
48
-16
A27/10
NBB
Cruzeiro
#9
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A29/10
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H07/11
NBB
Bauru
#11
L
42-54
42
54
-12
H09/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A12/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#7
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A14/11
NBB
77.7Avg total
34.1Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.340.676.9-4.330%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.438.676.1-1.238%-
Last 30 away (14)34.942.977.8-7.921%-
Last 10 (10)34.143.677.7-9.50%-
Last 5 (5)36.442.478.8-6.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)34.541.976.4-7.314%-
vs Similar (8)41.037.478.4+3.675%-
vs Weaker (1)35.040.075.0-5.00%-
This opponent (Franca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FrancaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pinheiros
#2
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A04/06
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
W
50-46
50
46
+4
H07/06
NBB
Sao Jose
#12
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H19/10
NBB
Mogi
#2
L
48-49
48
49
-1
H21/10
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#10
L
23-42
23
42
-19
A26/10
NBB
Paulistano
#13
L
26-36
26
36
-10
A28/10
NBB
Minas
#1
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H03/11
NBB
Cruzeiro
#9
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H05/11
NBB
Flamengo
#4
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A10/11
NBB
Botafogo
#14
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A12/11
NBB
80.3Avg total
39.9Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.638.881.4+3.953%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.139.183.3+5.060%-
Last 30 away (15)41.138.479.5+2.747%-
Last 10 (10)39.940.480.3-0.540%-
Last 5 (5)38.637.676.2+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)40.044.084.0-4.00%-
vs Similar (8)45.042.287.2+2.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)41.937.279.0+4.757%-
This opponent (Pato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Patotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pato: 61.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws7.1 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.9 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.015.6
47.3%
49.8%31.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.67.6
25.7%
31.6%22.8
🏀 Free throws11.37.1
62.8%
71.3%7.1
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Francatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Franca: 73.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.9 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.518.2
56.0%
49.8%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.77.5
30.4%
31.6%22.5
🏀 Free throws19.315.0
77.7%
71.3%15.0
They take 57.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pato
LWLLLLWLLL
Franca
WWWLLLWWWL
#15
League position
#6
-23.7
Net rating
+2.2
70.9
Offensive rating
92.3
94.5
Defensive rating
90.1
43.1%
Effective FG%
51.5%
51.3%
Opp. effective FG%
48.9%
20.2%
Turnover %
15.1%
0.18
Free-throw rate
0.34
25.7%
3-point %
30.4%
75.4%
Assist %
58.0%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence70.9 · 92.3Defence94.5 · 90.1Shooting43.1% · 51.5%3-point %25.7% · 30.4%Ball care20.2% · 15.1%Free throws0.18 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ Pato   ■ Franca
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Pato wins
9
Franca wins
DateGameScore
09/04/26Franca v Pato100-64
18/12/25Pato v Franca71-93
01/05/25Franca v Pato101-82
29/04/25Franca v Pato84-65
24/04/25Pato v Franca91-96
05/04/25Pato v Franca67-76
28/10/24Franca v Pato93-70
17/02/24Franca v Pato97-65
16/11/23Pato v Franca87-83
31/01/23Franca v Pato88-82
Patolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AUniao Corinthians62-67
12/11/26ACaxias do Sul79-77
09/11/26HBauru78-98
07/11/26HFlamengo66-80
29/10/26ACruzeiro68-76
27/10/26AMinas65-86
24/10/26HBotafogo89-88
21/10/26HPaulistano74-80
18/04/26APaulistano71-92
16/04/26APinheiros55-88
Francalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26ABotafogo83-60
10/11/26AFlamengo84-73
05/11/26HCruzeiro98-77
03/11/26HMinas76-87
28/10/26APaulistano62-65
26/10/26ACorinthians Paulista48-78
21/10/26HMogi90-74
19/10/26HSao Jose90-59
07/06/26HPinheiros85-76
04/06/26APinheiros92-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pato
NBB 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL25%
HomeLWLL25%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %25%25%25%
Points / game72.676.868.5
Allowed / game81.586.576.5
Point differential-8.9-9.8-8.0
Avg total154.1163.2145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Franca
NBB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW62%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%75%50%
Points / game78.988.569.2
Allowed / game71.674.269.0
Point differential+7.2+14.2+0.2
Avg total150.5162.8138.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%75%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas880100%85.165.4+19.8
2 Mogi76186%83.173.9+9.3
3 Pinheiros86275%85.273.1+12.1
4 Flamengo75271%80.973.4+7.4
5 Unifacisa75271%79.475.1+4.3
6 Franca85362%78.971.6+7.2
7 Uniao Corinthians74357%72.374.7-2.4
8 Brasilia84450%80.679.8+0.9
9 Cruzeiro63350%76.278.8-2.7
10 Corinthians Paulista73443%80.079.0+1.0
11 Bauru73443%76.777.7-1.0
12 Sao Jose73443%80.381.7-1.4
13 Paulistano73443%69.673.9-4.3
14 Botafogo62433%76.783.0-6.3
15 Pato82625%72.681.5-8.9
16 Osasco61517%77.886.8-9.0
17 Cearense71614%65.683.7-18.1
18 Caxias do Sul7070%64.779.6-14.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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