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Paulistano vs Minas Prediction & Stats

Date: Mon 21 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 22:30
Scheduled
Position#13
Record3-4
FormWWLLL
Points / game69.6
Allowed / game73.9
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.7/10
Around normal
5.4/10
Around normal
Position#1
Record8-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game85.1
Allowed / game65.4
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Antonio Prado Jr
Other2026-27
Meetings · Paulistano v Minas
21 Dec 2026
PAUL v MINA
upcoming
22 Feb 2026
PAUL104
MINA83
14 Apr 2025
PAUL66
MINA76
25 Nov 2023
PAUL71
MINA86
02 May 2023
PAUL68
MINA77
30 Apr 2023
PAUL80
MINA76
03 Dec 2022
PAUL90
MINA73
13 Nov 2021
PAUL67
MINA96
01 Mar 2021
PAUL76
MINA74
04 Nov 2019
PAUL80
MINA76
24 Oct 2018
PAUL81
MINA76
16 Nov 2017
PAUL93
MINA86
26 Nov 2016
PAUL98
MINA86
08 Dec 2015
PAUL82
MINA50
28 Nov 2014
PAUL62
MINA83
16 Jan 2014
PAUL80
MINA66
13 Dec 2012
PAUL92
MINA78
15 Dec 2011
PAUL88
MINA83
25 Feb 2011
PAUL72
MINA70
28 Jan 2009
PAUL82
MINA76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Paulistano win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Minas win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PaulistanoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaulistano
Date
Competition
Pinheiros
#2
L
92-101 OT
92
101
-9
77avg 73
A04/05
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
68-76
68
76
-8
54avg 73
H07/05
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
74-84
74
84
-10
59avg 73
H09/05
NBB
Pato
#15
W
80-74
80
74
+6
70avg 73
A21/10
NBB
Brasilia
#8
L
73-91
73
91
-18
50avg 73
A24/10
NBB
Franca
#6
W
65-62
65
62
+3
48avg 73
H28/10
NBB
Bauru
#11
W
83-75
83
75
+8
no box
H30/10
NBB
Unifacisa
#5
L
63-71
63
71
-8
no box
A04/11
NBB
Cearense
#17
L
58-65
58
65
-7
no box
A07/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#12
L
65-79
65
79
-14
no box
A13/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-16
24-26
22-24
20-23
24-20
14-16
24-28
6-12
23-18
12-24
18-18
21-24
13-10
20-18
30-13
17-33
22-29
16-25
16-18
19-19
20-14
16-12
22-21
7-15
26-23
26-12
16-21
15-19
19-22
16-18
15-20
13-11
15-18
14-10
16-25
13-12
22-26
20-16
7-17
16-20
149.9Avg total
72.1Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)69.673.9143.4-4.343%
Season at home (2)74.068.5142.5+5.5100%
Season away (5)67.876.0143.8-8.220%
Last 10 (10)72.177.8149.9-5.730%
Last 5 (5)66.870.4137.2-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)74.882.0156.8-7.222%
vs Similar (10)83.681.0164.6+2.670%
vs Weaker (11)84.074.5158.5+9.573%
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinasBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMinas
Date
Competition
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
97-103
97
103
-6
95avg 86
A09/05
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
81-92
81
92
-11
76avg 86
H12/05
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
78-66
78
66
+12
69avg 86
A20/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#7
W
88-71
88
71
+17
88avg 86
A22/10
NBB
Pato
#15
W
86-65
86
65
+21
85avg 86
H27/10
NBB
Brasilia
#8
W
100-61
100
61
+39
100avg 86
H29/10
NBB
Franca
#6
W
87-76
87
76
+11
no box
A03/11
NBB
Bauru
#11
W
77-64
77
64
+13
no box
A05/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#5
W
88-57
88
57
+31
no box
H11/11
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
77-63
77
63
+14
no box
H14/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-31
20-21
27-27
19-24
22-20
22-25
12-24
25-23
25-20
18-13
18-10
17-23
15-15
20-21
36-13
17-22
24-14
24-18
23-16
15-17
26-12
17-21
24-19
33-9
19-25
25-15
24-21
19-15
18-16
21-20
17-12
21-16
24-17
20-11
23-11
21-18
17-18
23-11
14-16
23-18
157.7Avg total
85.9Scored
71.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)85.165.4150.5+19.8100%
Season at home (4)87.861.5149.2+26.2100%
Season away (4)82.569.2151.8+13.2100%
Last 10 (10)85.971.8157.7+14.180%
Last 5 (5)85.864.2150.0+21.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)97.0100.7197.7-3.733%
vs Similar (7)89.495.3184.7-5.929%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)89.874.3164.1+15.590%
This opponent (Paulistano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +4.9+4.9Q4Q4: -4.1-4.1Q4: +2.5+2.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +4.9+4.9Q4Q4: -4.1-4.1Q4: +2.5+2.5
PaulistanoMinas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PaulistanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pinheiros
#2
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A04/05
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H07/05
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H09/05
NBB
Pato
#15
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A21/10
NBB
Brasilia
#8
L
38-54
38
54
-16
A24/10
NBB
Franca
#6
W
36-26
36
26
+10
H28/10
NBB
Bauru
#11
W
52-35
52
35
+17
H30/10
NBB
Unifacisa
#5
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A04/11
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
29-28
29
28
+1
A07/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#12
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A13/11
NBB
75.8Avg total
38.5Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.138.679.8+2.557%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.237.882.1+6.477%-
Last 30 away (17)38.839.278.0-0.541%-
Last 10 (10)38.537.375.8+1.260%-
Last 5 (5)38.834.273.0+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)38.940.979.8-2.033%-
vs Similar (10)43.038.381.3+4.760%-
vs Weaker (11)41.337.178.4+4.273%-
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
51-52
51
52
-1
A09/05
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H12/05
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A20/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#7
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A22/10
NBB
Pato
#15
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H27/10
NBB
Brasilia
#8
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H29/10
NBB
Franca
#6
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A03/11
NBB
Bauru
#11
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A05/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#5
W
44-28
44
28
+16
H11/11
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H14/11
NBB
79.5Avg total
43.1Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.642.087.6+3.753%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.439.985.3+5.657%-
Last 30 away (16)45.843.889.6+2.050%-
Last 10 (10)43.136.479.5+6.770%-
Last 5 (5)42.033.275.2+8.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)42.751.394.0-8.70%-
vs Similar (7)45.349.795.0-4.40%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)46.237.984.1+8.480%-
This opponent (Paulistano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Paulistanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paulistano: 76.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.9 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.416.9
49.1%
49.8%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.310.2
33.7%
31.6%30.6
🏀 Free throws16.111.9
73.9%
71.3%11.9
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minas: 89.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.9 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.320.9
59.2%
49.8%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.210.1
34.6%
31.6%30.3
🏀 Free throws23.317.4
74.7%
71.3%17.4
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Paulistano
LLLWWLWLLL
Minas
WWWWWWWWLL
#13
League position
#1
+2.1
Net rating
+13.2
89.1
Offensive rating
100.9
87.0
Defensive rating
87.7
49.8%
Effective FG%
55.9%
49.4%
Opp. effective FG%
47.4%
17.5%
Turnover %
16.7%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.36
33.7%
3-point %
34.6%
49.4%
Assist %
71.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence89.1 · 100.9Defence87.0 · 87.7Shooting49.8% · 55.9%3-point %33.7% · 34.6%Ball care17.5% · 16.7%Free throws0.25 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)30% · 80%
■ Paulistano   ■ Minas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Paulistano wins
7
Minas wins
DateGameScore
22/02/26Paulistano v Minas104-83
18/11/25Minas v Paulistano94-63
14/04/25Paulistano v Minas66-76
20/12/24Minas v Paulistano86-82
11/03/24Minas v Paulistano72-70
25/11/23Paulistano v Minas71-86
09/05/23Minas v Paulistano71-67
07/05/23Minas v Paulistano68-83
02/05/23Paulistano v Minas68-77
30/04/23Paulistano v Minas80-76
Paulistanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26ASao Jose65-79
07/11/26ACearense58-65
04/11/26AUnifacisa63-71
30/10/26HBauru83-75
28/10/26HFranca65-62
24/10/26ABrasilia73-91
21/10/26APato80-74
09/05/26HPinheiros74-84
07/05/26HPinheiros68-76
04/05/26APinheiros92-101 OT
Minaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HCearense77-63
11/11/26HUnifacisa88-57
05/11/26ABauru77-64
03/11/26AFranca87-76
29/10/26HBrasilia100-61
27/10/26HPato86-65
22/10/26AUniao Corinthians88-71
20/10/26ACaxias do Sul78-66
12/05/26HCorinthians Paulista81-92
09/05/26ACorinthians Paulista97-103

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Paulistano
NBB 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL43%
HomeWW100%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games725
Win %43%100%20%
Points / game69.674.067.8
Allowed / game73.968.576.0
Point differential-4.3+5.5-8.2
Avg total143.4142.5143.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Minas
NBB 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game85.187.882.5
Allowed / game65.461.569.2
Point differential+19.8+26.2+13.2
Avg total150.5149.2151.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas880100%85.165.4+19.8
2 Mogi76186%83.173.9+9.3
3 Pinheiros86275%85.273.1+12.1
4 Flamengo75271%80.973.4+7.4
5 Unifacisa75271%79.475.1+4.3
6 Franca85362%78.971.6+7.2
7 Uniao Corinthians74357%72.374.7-2.4
8 Brasilia84450%80.679.8+0.9
9 Cruzeiro63350%76.278.8-2.7
10 Corinthians Paulista73443%80.079.0+1.0
11 Bauru73443%76.777.7-1.0
12 Sao Jose73443%80.381.7-1.4
13 Paulistano73443%69.673.9-4.3
14 Botafogo62433%76.783.0-6.3
15 Pato82625%72.681.5-8.9
16 Osasco61517%77.886.8-9.0
17 Cearense71614%65.683.7-18.1
18 Caxias do Sul7070%64.779.6-14.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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