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Paulistano vs Minas Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 22 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 104-83
29-17 30-24 31-19 14-23
Position#7
Record16-11
FormWWWLL
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game76.7
Paulistano 🏆
Brazil
vs
Minas
Brazil
Position#3
Record21-6
FormLLLWW
Points / game87.1
Allowed / game81.4
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Antonio Prado Jr
Other2025-26
Meetings · Paulistano v Minas
21 Dec 2026
PAUL v MINA
upcoming
22 Feb 2026
PAUL104
MINA83
14 Apr 2025
PAUL66
MINA76
25 Nov 2023
PAUL71
MINA86
02 May 2023
PAUL68
MINA77
30 Apr 2023
PAUL80
MINA76
03 Dec 2022
PAUL90
MINA73
13 Nov 2021
PAUL67
MINA96
01 Mar 2021
PAUL76
MINA74
04 Nov 2019
PAUL80
MINA76
24 Oct 2018
PAUL81
MINA76
16 Nov 2017
PAUL93
MINA86
26 Nov 2016
PAUL98
MINA86
08 Dec 2015
PAUL82
MINA50
28 Nov 2014
PAUL62
MINA83
16 Jan 2014
PAUL80
MINA66
13 Dec 2012
PAUL92
MINA78
15 Dec 2011
PAUL88
MINA83
25 Feb 2011
PAUL72
MINA70
28 Jan 2009
PAUL82
MINA76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Paulistano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PaulistanoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaulistano
Date
Competition
Corinthians Paulista
#6
W
86-81
86
81
+5
72avg 70
H23/12
NBB
Mogi
#8
W
81-66
81
66
+15
65avg 70
H27/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
L
81-88
81
88
-7
67avg 70
A09/01
NBB
Bauru
#10
W
89-87
89
87
+2
no box
A15/01
NBB
Brasilia
#5
W
83-81 OT
83
81
+2
no box
H19/01
NBB
Franca
#1
W
91-89
91
89
+2
78avg 70
A03/02
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
86-73
86
73
+13
87avg 70
H07/02
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
74-63
74
63
+11
68avg 70
A11/02
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
73-80
73
80
-7
64avg 70
A13/02
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
68-80
68
80
-12
53avg 70
A19/02
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-23
19-21
23-24
24-13
18-15
24-9
18-20
21-22
17-23
22-23
20-22
22-20
26-11
23-26
21-18
19-32
16-16
25-14
18-21
13-21
25-27
18-18
22-26
26-18
18-19
20-18
25-20
23-16
17-21
22-11
18-14
17-17
22-20
13-18
20-19
18-23
11-26
25-15
14-20
18-19
160.0Avg total
81.2Scored
78.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)80.276.7156.9+3.559%
Season at home (13)81.272.1153.3+9.277%
Season away (14)79.281.0160.2-1.843%
Last 10 (10)81.278.8160.0+2.470%
Last 5 (5)78.477.0155.4+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)77.879.6157.4-1.840%
vs Similar ◀ (13)73.077.6150.6-4.654%
vs Weaker (12)85.274.4159.7+10.867%
This opponent (Minas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinasBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMinas
Date
Competition
Boca Juniors
#2
L
77-92
77
92
-15
no box
A15/01
Champions League Americas
Aguada
#11
W
95-75
95
75
+20
no box
H16/01
Champions League Americas
Sao Jose
#9
W
95-91
95
91
+4
no box
A19/01
NBB
Pato
#17
W
75-67
75
67
+8
70avg 77
H21/01
NBB
Aguada
#11
W
94-62
94
62
+32
100avg 77
H04/02
Champions League Americas
Boca Juniors
#2
L
67-77
67
77
-10
52avg 77
H06/02
Champions League Americas
Bauru
#10
L
90-105
90
105
-15
89avg 77
A10/02
NBB
Franca
#1
L
82-100
82
100
-18
73avg 77
A12/02
NBB
Brasilia
#5
W
92-91
92
91
+1
88avg 77
H17/02
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
98-95 OT
98
95
+3
87avg 77
H19/02
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-21
23-25
18-27
23-19
24-21
28-15
21-19
22-20
28-27
29-17
17-21
21-26
17-27
23-18
17-4
18-18
30-25
20-16
24-8
20-13
12-24
20-10
22-18
13-25
21-28
33-27
20-28
16-22
24-20
24-35
20-23
14-22
31-20
26-28
26-16
9-27
26-22
17-18
15-25
27-20
172.0Avg total
86.5Scored
85.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)87.181.4168.6+5.778%
Season at home (14)85.979.1165.1+6.886%
Season away (13)88.483.9172.3+4.569%
Last 10 (10)86.585.5172.0+1.060%
Last 5 (5)85.893.6179.4-7.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)78.480.0158.4-1.640%
vs Similar ◀ (7)84.980.9165.7+4.043%
vs Weaker (18)89.279.8169.0+9.494%
This opponent (Paulistano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -2.9-2.9
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -2.9-2.9
PaulistanoMinas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PaulistanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H23/12
NBB
Mogi
#8
W
42-24
42
24
+18
H27/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A09/01
NBB
Bauru
#10
W
49-37
49
37
+12
A15/01
NBB
Brasilia
#5
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H19/01
NBB
Franca
#1
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A03/02
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H07/02
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A11/02
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A13/02
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A19/02
NBB
77.5Avg total
40.1Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.538.277.7+1.447%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.635.974.5+2.657%-
Last 30 away (16)40.440.180.5+0.238%-
Last 10 (10)40.137.477.5+2.750%-
Last 5 (5)38.238.676.8-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)38.440.078.4-1.620%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)37.138.675.7-1.531%-
vs Weaker (12)42.736.979.6+5.875%-
This opponent (Minas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boca Juniors
#2
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A15/01
Champions League Americas
Aguada
#11
W
52-36
52
36
+16
H16/01
Champions League Americas
Sao Jose
#9
W
57-44
57
44
+13
A19/01
NBB
Pato
#17
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H21/01
NBB
Aguada
#11
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H04/02
Champions League Americas
Boca Juniors
#2
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H06/02
Champions League Americas
Bauru
#10
L
54-55
54
55
-1
A10/02
NBB
Franca
#1
L
48-55
48
55
-7
A12/02
NBB
Brasilia
#5
W
57-48
57
48
+9
H17/02
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H19/02
NBB
91.3Avg total
46.9Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.341.585.8+2.853%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.340.186.4+6.171%-
Last 30 away (16)42.542.785.2-0.238%-
Last 10 (10)46.944.491.3+2.550%-
Last 5 (5)46.846.493.2+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)37.841.879.6-4.020%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)45.945.191.0+0.743%-
vs Weaker (18)45.440.085.4+5.467%-
This opponent (Paulistano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Paulistanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paulistano: 80.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.619.4
49.0%
52.2%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.59.5
33.3%
32.5%28.5
🏀 Free throws19.213.3
69.3%
72.8%13.3
They take 68.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minas: 86.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.320.5
52.2%
52.2%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.59.5
32.2%
32.5%28.5
🏀 Free throws24.417.2
70.5%
72.8%17.2
They take 68.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Paulistano
LLWWWWWLWW
Minas
WWLLLWWWWL
#7
League position
#3
+3.8
Net rating
+0.8
98.6
Offensive rating
95.4
94.8
Defensive rating
94.7
49.4%
Effective FG%
50.5%
50.8%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
13.9%
Turnover %
15.0%
31.0%
Off. rebound %
34.0%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.35
33.3%
3-point %
32.2%
48.8%
Assist %
70.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence98.6 · 95.4Defence94.8 · 94.7Shooting49.4% · 50.5%3-point %33.3% · 32.2%Ball care13.9% · 15.0%Off. rebounds31.0% · 34.0%Free throws0.28 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Paulistano   ■ Minas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Paulistano wins
8
Minas wins
DateGameScore
18/11/25Minas v Paulistano94-63
14/04/25Paulistano v Minas66-76
20/12/24Minas v Paulistano86-82
11/03/24Minas v Paulistano72-70
25/11/23Paulistano v Minas71-86
09/05/23Minas v Paulistano71-67
07/05/23Minas v Paulistano68-83
02/05/23Paulistano v Minas68-77
30/04/23Paulistano v Minas80-76
27/04/23Minas v Paulistano85-82
Paulistanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/02/26APinheiros68-80
13/02/26ACaxias do Sul73-80
11/02/26AUniao Corinthians74-63
07/02/26HOsasco86-73
03/02/26AFranca91-89
19/01/26HBrasilia83-81 OT
15/01/26ABauru89-87
09/01/26ASao Jose81-88
27/12/25HMogi81-66
23/12/25HCorinthians Paulista86-81
Minaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/02/26HRio Claro98-95 OT
17/02/26HBrasilia92-91
12/02/26AFranca82-100
10/02/26ABauru90-105
06/02/26HBoca Juniors67-77
04/02/26HAguada94-62
21/01/26HPato75-67
19/01/26ASao Jose95-91
16/01/26HAguada95-75
15/01/26ABoca Juniors77-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Paulistano
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL59%
HomeLWWWW77%
AwayWWWLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %59%77%43%
Points / game80.281.279.2
Allowed / game76.772.181.0
Point differential+3.5+9.2-1.8
Avg total156.9153.3160.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%38%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)50% (6)67% (3)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Minas
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW78%
HomeWLWWW86%
AwayWLWLL69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %78%86%69%
Points / game87.185.988.4
Allowed / game81.479.183.9
Point differential+5.7+6.8+4.5
Avg total168.6165.1172.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%21%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (12)71% (7)80% (5)
Overtime %11%14%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Pinheiros2722581%86.074.4+11.5
2 Franca2822679%89.475.2+14.1
3 Flamengo2822679%86.977.7+9.2
4 Minas2721678%87.181.4+5.7
5 Brasilia2820871%82.272.7+9.6
6 Corinthians Paulista2820871%83.878.0+5.8
7 Sao Jose28171161%82.879.9+2.8
8 Paulistano27161159%80.276.7+3.5
9 Bauru29171259%79.678.2+1.4
10 Mogi27141352%75.869.9+5.9
11 Unifacisa27141352%80.179.2+0.9
12 Uniao Corinthians27141352%79.181.4-2.3
13 Caxias do Sul26111542%72.277.2-5.1
14 Cruzeiro2791833%79.285.2-6.0
15 Rio Claro2781930%77.487.4-10.0
16 Pato2872125%73.379.4-6.1
17 Cearense2762122%77.086.9-9.8
18 Botafogo2752219%72.183.1-11.0
19 Osasco2642215%75.187.3-12.2
20 Vasco2742315%69.379.4-10.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Paulistano29303114104
Minas1724192383
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