PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Pavlodar vs Almaty Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 09 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 69-82
15-19 17-17 16-28 21-18
Position#8
Record0-1
FormLLLLL
Points / game68.0
Allowed / game89.0
vs
Almaty 🏆
Kazakhstan
Position#4
Record2-1
FormLLLWW
Points / game84.3
Allowed / game77.0
KazakhstanNational League· Scysor No
Other2024-25
Meetings · Pavlodar v Almaty
09 Oct 2024
PAVL69
ALMA82
08 Oct 2024
PAVL68
ALMA89
24 Jan 2024
PAVL69
ALMA109
23 Jan 2024
PAVL98
ALMA106
21 Feb 2018
PAVL43
ALMA80
21 Dec 2017
PAVL43
ALMA63
30 Oct 2016
PAVL28
ALMA86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pavlodar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Almaty winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PavlodarKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPavlodar
Date
Competition
Kaspiy Aktau
#7
L
69-78
69
78
-9
62avg 60
A07/02
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#7
L
88-94 OT
88
94
-6
no box
A08/02
National League
Aktobe
#3
L
67-81
67
81
-14
63avg 60
A12/02
National League
Aktobe
#3
L
77-96
77
96
-19
74avg 60
A13/02
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
74-108
74
108
-34
60avg 60
H10/03
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
74-106
74
106
-32
61avg 60
H11/03
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
65-94
65
94
-29
60avg 60
A25/03
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
59-88
59
88
-29
52avg 60
A26/03
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
54-93
54
93
-39
40avg 60
H27/03
National League
Almaty
#4
L
68-89
68
89
-21
54avg 60
H08/10
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-25
15-11
20-19
19-23
31-25
19-13
9-25
26-22
15-21
18-18
16-19
18-23
17-23
21-28
10-30
29-15
20-33
19-27
12-28
23-20
16-34
18-25
23-32
17-15
15-27
14-20
15-31
21-16
19-32
6-21
12-19
22-16
15-26
18-27
14-25
7-15
12-19
17-17
19-32
20-21
162.2Avg total
69.5Scored
92.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)68.089.0157.0-21.00%
Season at home (1)68.089.0157.0-21.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)69.592.7162.2-23.20%
Last 5 (5)64.094.0158.0-30.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)73.092.9165.9-20.04%
vs Similar (4)77.088.2165.2-11.20%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Almaty) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlmatyKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlmaty
Date
Competition
Astana 2
#5
W
97-78
97
78
+19
99avg 79
H05/03
National League
Astana 2
#5
L
73-92
73
92
-19
60avg 79
H06/03
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
71-94
71
94
-23
62avg 79
A16/03
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
103-105
103
105
-2
98avg 79
A17/03
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#4
L
89-121
89
121
-32
86avg 79
A30/03
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#4
L
85-112
85
112
-27
75avg 79
A31/03
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#4
L
98-108
98
108
-10
82avg 79
H06/04
National League
Astana 2
#3
L
74-77
74
77
-3
no box
A04/10
National League
Astana 2
#3
W
90-86
90
86
+4
no box
A05/10
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
89-68
89
68
+21
85avg 79
A08/10
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-22
29-17
15-27
26-12
24-29
9-25
13-23
27-15
12-21
20-22
24-27
15-24
23-24
32-20
20-29
28-32
26-31
22-29
25-38
16-23
28-29
23-23
14-29
20-31
29-28
25-24
24-33
20-23
23-22
17-14
19-25
15-16
20-19
19-15
32-26
19-26
19-12
17-17
32-19
21-20
181.0Avg total
86.9Scored
94.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)84.377.0161.3+7.367%
Season at homeno games
Season away (3)84.377.0161.3+7.367%
Last 10 (10)86.994.1181.0-7.230%
Last 5 (5)87.290.2177.4-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)78.689.2167.8-10.619%
vs Similar (2)82.081.5163.5+0.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)92.079.6171.6+12.471%
This opponent (Pavlodar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-14-7+0+7+14Q1Q1: -9.0-9.0Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -4.2-4.2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -11.0-11.0Q3: -5.8-5.8Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -1.5-1.5
-14-7+0+7+14Q1Q1: -9.0-9.0Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -4.2-4.2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -11.0-11.0Q3: -5.8-5.8Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -1.5-1.5
PavlodarAlmaty
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PavlodarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kaspiy Aktau
#7
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A07/02
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#7
W
50-38
50
38
+12
A08/02
National League
Aktobe
#3
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A12/02
National League
Aktobe
#3
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A13/02
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
39-60
39
60
-21
H10/03
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
34-59
34
59
-25
H11/03
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
29-47
29
47
-18
A25/03
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
25-53
25
53
-28
A26/03
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
33-53
33
53
-20
H27/03
National League
Almaty
#4
L
29-36
29
36
-7
H08/10
National League
81.2Avg total
34.0Scored
47.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.347.984.2-11.610%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.948.886.8-10.912%-
Last 30 away (14)34.546.981.4-12.47%-
Last 10 (10)34.047.281.2-13.210%-
Last 5 (5)30.049.679.6-19.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)35.648.884.4-13.24%-
vs Similar (4)41.042.283.2-1.250%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Almaty) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlmatyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Astana 2
#5
W
56-39
56
39
+17
H05/03
National League
Astana 2
#5
L
33-54
33
54
-21
H06/03
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A16/03
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
W
55-44
55
44
+11
A17/03
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#4
L
48-60
48
60
-12
A30/03
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#4
L
51-52
51
52
-1
A31/03
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#4
W
54-52
54
52
+2
H06/04
National League
Astana 2
#3
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A04/10
National League
Astana 2
#3
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A05/10
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A08/10
National League
88.7Avg total
44.4Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)44.245.089.2-0.845%-
Last 30 at home (10)44.445.189.5-0.740%-
Last 30 away (19)44.244.989.1-0.847%-
Last 10 (10)44.444.388.7+0.160%-
Last 5 (5)44.040.684.6+3.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)43.548.291.8-4.825%-
vs Similar (2)39.535.074.5+4.5100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)47.738.686.3+9.186%-
This opponent (Pavlodar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Pavlodar wins
10
Almaty wins
DateGameScore
08/10/24Pavlodar v Almaty68-89
24/01/24Pavlodar v Almaty69-109
23/01/24Pavlodar v Almaty98-106
31/10/23Almaty v Pavlodar82-71
30/10/23Almaty v Pavlodar87-66
21/02/18Pavlodar v Almaty43-80
24/01/18Almaty v Pavlodar80-49
21/12/17Pavlodar v Almaty43-63
30/10/16Pavlodar v Almaty28-86
16/11/15Almaty v Pavlodar90-49
Pavlodarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/10/24HAlmaty68-89
27/03/24HIrbis Almaty54-93
26/03/24AIrbis Almaty59-88
25/03/24AIrbis Almaty65-94
11/03/24HIrbis Almaty74-106
10/03/24HIrbis Almaty74-108
13/02/24AAktobe77-96
12/02/24AAktobe67-81
08/02/24AKaspiy Aktau88-94 OT
07/02/24AKaspiy Aktau69-78
Almatylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/10/24APavlodar89-68
05/10/24AAstana 290-86
04/10/24AAstana 274-77
06/04/24HTobol Kostanay98-108
31/03/24ATobol Kostanay85-112
30/03/24ATobol Kostanay89-121
17/03/24AIrbis Almaty103-105
16/03/24AIrbis Almaty71-94
06/03/24HAstana 273-92
05/03/24HAstana 297-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pavlodar
National League 2024-25
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game68.068.0-
Allowed / game89.089.0-
Point differential-21.0-21.0-
Avg total157.0157.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Almaty
National League 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
Home--
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games3-3
Win %67%-67%
Points / game84.3-84.3
Allowed / game77.0-77.0
Point differential+7.3-+7.3
Avg total161.3-161.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%-33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kaspiy Aktau110100%83.074.0+9.0
2 Almaty32167%84.377.0+7.3
3 Irbis Almaty21150%76.571.5+5.0
4 Astana 221150%81.582.0-0.5
5 Aktobe21150%71.576.5-5.0
6 Tobol Kostanay1010%74.083.0-9.0
7 Pavlodar1010%68.089.0-21.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pavlodar1517162169
Almaty1917281882
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.