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Penarol vs Cordon Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 23 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 23:15
Final 102-83
30-9 24-24 29-24 19-26
Position#1
Record3-0
FormLLWWW
Points / game88.7
Allowed / game66.7
Penarol 🏆
Uruguay
vs
Position#11
Record0-3
FormWLLLL
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game89.7
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Palacio Penarol
Other2025-26
Meetings · Penarol v Cordon
23 Oct 2025
PENA102
CORD83
31 Mar 2025
PENA95
CORD88
31 Oct 2024
PENA77
CORD73
08 Apr 2024
PENA90
CORD81
30 Jan 2024
PENA65
CORD75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penarol winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cordon winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PenarolUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPenarol
Date
Competition
Malvin
#4
W
82-73 OT
82
73
+9
72avg 79
H28/03
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
W
95-88
95
88
+7
95avg 79
H31/03
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
W
76-71
76
71
+5
70avg 79
H08/04
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
W
78-73
78
73
+5
74avg 79
A13/04
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
L
76-95
76
95
-19
75avg 79
H17/04
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
L
93-96 OT
93
96
-3
87avg 79
A21/04
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
L
78-84
78
84
-6
70avg 79
H25/04
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
W
87-62
87
62
+25
82avg 79
A14/10
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
89-79
89
79
+10
81avg 79
H17/10
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
W
90-59
90
59
+31
95avg 79
A20/10
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-15
13-14
21-24
17-16
26-15
19-31
25-18
25-24
24-16
17-22
16-16
19-17
8-27
32-10
16-15
22-21
16-18
20-14
14-31
26-32
22-20
21-23
17-14
15-18
17-27
23-17
21-19
17-21
17-13
26-17
20-15
24-17
22-25
21-20
26-22
20-12
22-20
26-16
18-15
24-8
162.4Avg total
84.4Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)88.766.7155.3+22.0100%
Season at home (1)89.079.0168.0+10.0100%
Season away (2)88.560.5149.0+28.0100%
Last 10 (10)84.478.0162.4+6.470%
Last 5 (5)87.476.0163.4+11.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)78.589.5168.0-11.00%
vs Similar (4)77.076.2153.2+0.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)86.974.4161.3+12.588%
This opponent (Cordon) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CordonUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCordon
Date
Competition
Aguada
#2
L
94-109
94
109
-15
80avg 70
A27/03
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
L
88-95
88
95
-7
82avg 70
A31/03
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
88-81
88
81
+7
84avg 70
A04/04
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
63-78
63
78
-15
50avg 70
H08/04
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
75-90
75
90
-15
55avg 70
A14/04
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
79-75
79
75
+4
68avg 70
H16/04
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
76-105
76
105
-29
60avg 70
A22/04
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
78-85
78
85
-7
67avg 70
A11/10
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
L
84-104
84
104
-20
74avg 70
H15/10
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
L
76-80
76
80
-4
70avg 70
A17/10
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-31
30-28
20-24
19-26
15-26
31-19
18-25
24-25
28-23
23-17
15-26
22-15
24-19
20-20
5-18
14-21
12-20
17-25
21-21
25-24
14-25
25-14
28-20
12-16
24-24
26-34
17-19
9-28
14-25
26-24
21-17
17-19
20-25
23-29
22-25
19-25
16-25
19-21
24-17
17-17
170.3Avg total
80.1Scored
90.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)79.389.7169.0-10.30%
Season at home (1)84.0104.0188.0-20.00%
Season away (2)77.082.5159.5-5.50%
Last 10 (10)80.190.2170.3-10.120%
Last 5 (5)78.689.8168.4-11.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)80.188.3168.3-8.226%
vs Similar (4)88.589.8178.2-1.275%
vs Weaker (3)76.377.0153.3-0.733%
This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -5.1-5.1Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: -3.8-3.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -5.1-5.1Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: -3.8-3.8
PenarolCordon
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Malvin
#4
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H28/03
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H31/03
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H08/04
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A13/04
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H17/04
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A21/04
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H25/04
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A14/10
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H17/10
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A20/10
Liga Uruguaya
79.0Avg total
41.0Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.838.080.8+4.867%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.738.678.3+1.150%-
Last 30 away (14)46.437.283.6+9.186%-
Last 10 (10)41.038.079.0+3.060%-
Last 5 (5)43.439.683.0+3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)41.545.086.5-3.550%-
vs Similar (4)34.037.071.0-3.025%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)44.437.581.9+6.875%-
This opponent (Cordon) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CordonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aguada
#2
L
55-59
55
59
-4
A27/03
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A31/03
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A04/04
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H08/04
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
29-45
29
45
-16
A14/04
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H16/04
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
50-58
50
58
-8
A22/04
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A11/10
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
L
43-54
43
54
-11
H15/10
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A17/10
Liga Uruguaya
90.6Avg total
43.2Scored
47.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.145.787.9-3.630%-
Last 30 at home (11)39.446.585.8-7.118%-
Last 30 away (19)43.745.389.1-1.637%-
Last 10 (10)43.247.490.6-4.230%-
Last 5 (5)41.449.290.6-7.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)41.346.788.0-5.322%-
vs Similar (4)48.044.592.5+3.575%-
vs Weaker (3)40.340.380.7+0.033%-
This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Penaroltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Penarol: 83.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.119.8
53.4%
53.3%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.59.2
31.2%
33.3%27.6
🏀 Free throws23.316.7
71.7%
70.9%16.7
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cordontheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cordon: 78.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.219.1
48.7%
53.3%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.79.4
31.6%
33.3%28.2
🏀 Free throws17.512.5
71.4%
70.9%12.5
They take 68.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Penarol
WWWLLLWWWW
Cordon
LLLLWLLWLL
#1
League position
#11
+8.6
Net rating
-13.9
107.3
Offensive rating
104.1
98.7
Defensive rating
118.0
50.5%
Effective FG%
48.2%
47.9%
Opp. effective FG%
52.4%
16.3%
Turnover %
13.5%
29.6%
Off. rebound %
26.0%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.25
31.2%
3-point %
31.6%
71.7%
Assist %
60.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence107.3 · 104.1Defence98.7 · 118.0Shooting50.5% · 48.2%3-point %31.2% · 31.6%Ball care16.3% · 13.5%Off. rebounds29.6% · 26.0%Free throws0.35 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)70% · 20%
■ Penarol   ■ Cordon
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Penarol wins
1
Cordon wins
DateGameScore
31/03/25Penarol v Cordon95-88
30/01/25Cordon v Penarol92-104
31/10/24Penarol v Cordon77-73
09/04/24Penarol v Cordon90-81
24/03/24Cordon v Penarol68-84
31/01/24Penarol v Cordon65-75
26/11/23Cordon v Penarol67-75
Penarollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/10/25AUnion Atletica90-59
17/10/25HMalvin89-79
14/10/25ANacional87-62
25/04/25HDefensor78-84
21/04/25ADefensor93-96 OT
17/04/25HDefensor76-95
13/04/25ADefensor78-73
08/04/25HDefensor76-71
31/03/25HCordon95-88
28/03/25HMalvin82-73 OT
Cordonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/10/25AHebraica y Macabi76-80
15/10/25HUnion Atletica84-104
11/10/25AMalvin78-85
22/04/25AMalvin76-105
16/04/25HMalvin79-75
14/04/25AMalvin75-90
08/04/25HMalvin63-78
04/04/25AMalvin88-81
31/03/25APenarol88-95
27/03/25AAguada94-109

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penarol
Liga Uruguaya 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game88.789.088.5
Allowed / game66.779.060.5
Point differential+22.0+10.0+28.0
Avg total155.3168.0149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cordon
Liga Uruguaya 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game79.384.077.0
Allowed / game89.7104.082.5
Point differential-10.3-20.0-5.5
Avg total169.0188.0159.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Penarol330100%88.766.7+22.0
2 Defensor43175%96.889.5+7.2
3 Bigua43175%87.884.0+3.8
4 Aguada32167%95.791.3+4.3
5 Malvin32167%86.387.0-0.7
6 Nacional32167%87.090.7-3.7
7 Urunday42250%101.890.5+11.2
8 Hebraica y Macabi42250%80.584.8-4.2
9 Union Atletica31233%81.386.0-4.7
10 Cordon3030%79.389.7-10.3
11 Goes3030%82.396.0-13.7
12 Welcome3030%91.0108.3-17.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Penarol30242919102
Cordon924242683
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