Penarol vs Quimsa Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 08 Oct 2025

Tip-off: 23:05

Final 88-85

24-27 17-22 23-23 24-13

Position#11

Record0-3

FormWWLLL

Points / game79.3

Allowed / game87.7

Penarol 🏆

Quimsa

Position#3

Record2-1

FormLLLWW

Points / game79.7

Allowed / game69.3

Liga A· Polideportivo Islas Malvinas

Other2025-26

Meetings · Penarol v Quimsa

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penarol winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Quimsa winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Penarol

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormPenarol

Date

Competition

Platense

#16

75-79

-4

63avg 70

H25/04

Liga A

Ferro

73-75

-2

62avg 70

H27/04

Liga A

Union De Santa Fe

#11

79-85

-6

71avg 70

A03/05

Liga A

Obera TC

71-86

-15

60avg 70

A04/05

Liga A

Independiente de Oliva

#17

99-74

+25

102avg 70

H08/05

Liga A

Zarate

#19

110-81

110

+29

113avg 70

H10/05

Liga A

Riachuelo

89-75

+14

72avg 70

H20/05

Liga A

San Lorenzo

#17

74-82

-8

66avg 70

A26/09

Liga A

Ferro

84-97

-13

76avg 70

A28/09

Liga A

Regatas

80-84

-4

71avg 70

H04/10

Liga A

20-18

21-16

10-27

24-18

12-20

26-20

16-24

19-11

25-17

15-24

18-15

21-29

18-29

20-17

21-17

12-23

26-20

28-15

23-16

22-23

21-14

37-29

25-24

27-14

29-20

25-14

21-16

14-25

19-21

21-20

18-17

16-24

24-15

20-24

20-30

20-28

22-21

16-19

22-25

20-19

165.2Avg total

83.4Scored

81.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (3)	79.3	87.7	167.0	-8.3	0%
Season at home (1)	80.0	84.0	164.0	-4.0	0%
Season away (2)	79.0	89.5	168.5	-10.5	0%
Last 10 (10)	83.4	81.8	165.2	+1.6	30%
Last 5 (5)	87.4	83.8	171.2	+3.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	73.5	80.0	153.5	-6.5	50%
vs Similar (15)	77.1	82.0	159.1	-4.9	27%
vs Weaker (13)	85.0	75.8	160.8	+9.2	54%

This opponent (Quimsa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Quimsa

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormQuimsa

Date

Competition

Riachuelo

99-97

95avg 76

A12/05

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

78-67

+11

69avg 76

H07/06

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

88-65

+23

88avg 76

H09/06

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

83-81

65avg 76

A11/06

Liga A

Boca Juniors

58-70

-12

43avg 76

A23/06

Liga A

Boca Juniors

70-87

-17

58avg 76

A25/06

Liga A

Boca Juniors

80-83

-3

70avg 76

H28/06

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

72-73

-1

66avg 76

H26/09

Liga A

Argentino

#19

99-71

+28

99avg 76

H29/09

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

68-64

56avg 76

A06/10

Liga A

34-26

22-24

25-28

18-19

24-14

20-14

20-20

14-19

21-20

20-4

25-30

22-11

23-23

27-19

13-16

20-23

13-15

17-16

18-19

10-20

28-26

16-24

11-20

15-17

19-15

14-21

19-24

28-23

25-20

20-21

15-13

12-19

32-17

31-13

18-26

18-15

14-21

17-9

12-17

25-17

155.3Avg total

79.5Scored

75.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (3)	79.7	69.3	149.0	+10.3	67%
Season at home (2)	85.5	72.0	157.5	+13.5	50%
Season away (1)	68.0	64.0	132.0	+4.0	100%
Last 10 (10)	79.5	75.8	155.3	+3.7	60%
Last 5 (5)	77.8	75.6	153.4	+2.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	76.7	77.7	154.3	-1.0	33%
vs Similar (6)	73.8	79.0	152.8	-5.2	17%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	89.7	77.1	166.8	+12.6	81%

This opponent (Penarol) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

PenarolQuimsa

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	19.3	40.7	+2.1	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.2	18.9	41.1	+3.4	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.4	19.9	40.3	+0.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	19.5	41.1	+2.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	18.2	41.2	+4.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	16.0	18.0	34.0	-2.0	50%	-
vs Similar (15)	20.4	20.1	40.5	+0.3	47%	-
vs Weaker (13)	23.4	18.6	42.0	+4.8	85%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.9	18.9	41.8	+4.1	70%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	24.1	18.1	42.2	+5.9	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.9	19.5	41.4	+2.4	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.3	19.7	43.0	+3.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	19.8	43.4	+3.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	18.7	16.7	35.3	+2.0	67%	-
vs Similar (6)	20.2	19.2	39.3	+1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	24.3	19.1	43.4	+5.2	76%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	20.3	40.3	-0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.2	19.8	41.9	+2.4	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.4	21.0	38.4	-3.6	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.9	19.8	42.7	+3.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	21.2	45.0	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	16.0	22.0	38.0	-6.0	0%	-
vs Similar (15)	19.5	20.1	39.7	-0.6	53%	-
vs Weaker (13)	21.1	20.3	41.4	+0.8	46%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	19.7	41.7	+2.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.1	19.1	41.3	+3.0	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.8	20.2	42.0	+1.5	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	16.5	36.9	+3.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	17.6	37.2	+2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	21.3	22.0	43.3	-0.7	33%	-
vs Similar (6)	17.8	22.3	40.2	-4.5	17%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	23.2	18.7	41.9	+4.5	57%	-

PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Platense

#16

41-34

H25/04

Liga A

Ferro

38-40

-2

H27/04

Liga A

Union De Santa Fe

#11

40-41

-1

A03/05

Liga A

Obera TC

38-46

-8

A04/05

Liga A

Independiente de Oliva

#17

54-35

+19

H08/05

Liga A

Zarate

#19

58-43

+15

H10/05

Liga A

Riachuelo

54-34

+20

H20/05

Liga A

San Lorenzo

#17

40-41

-1

A26/09

Liga A

Ferro

44-39

A28/09

Liga A

Regatas

38-40

-2

H04/10

Liga A

83.8Avg total

44.5Scored

39.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.4	39.7	81.0	+1.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	44.4	38.6	83.1	+5.8	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.9	40.9	78.7	-3.0	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.5	39.3	83.8	+5.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.8	39.4	86.2	+7.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	32.0	40.0	72.0	-8.0	0%	-
vs Similar (15)	39.9	40.3	80.2	-0.3	47%	-
vs Weaker (13)	44.5	38.9	83.4	+5.5	69%	-

This opponent (Quimsa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

QuimsaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Riachuelo

56-50

A12/05

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

44-28

+16

H07/06

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

41-24

+17

H09/06

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

50-42

A11/06

Liga A

Boca Juniors

30-31

-1

A23/06

Liga A

Boca Juniors

44-50

-6

A25/06

Liga A

Boca Juniors

33-36

-3

H28/06

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

45-41

H26/09

Liga A

Argentino

#19

63-30

+33

H29/09

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

31-30

A06/10

Liga A

79.9Avg total

43.7Scored

36.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.9	38.6	83.5	+6.3	73%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	46.2	37.3	83.5	+8.9	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	43.7	39.8	83.4	+3.9	81%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.7	36.2	79.9	+7.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.2	37.4	80.6	+5.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	40.0	38.7	78.7	+1.3	67%	-
vs Similar (6)	38.0	41.5	79.5	-3.5	17%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	47.5	37.8	85.3	+9.8	90%	-

This opponent (Penarol) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	18.6	39.0	+1.8	70%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.7	18.0	38.7	+2.7	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.0	19.3	39.3	+0.7	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	21.1	40.5	-1.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	22.4	43.6	-1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	22.5	17.0	39.5	+5.5	50%	-
vs Similar (15)	19.9	20.2	40.1	-0.3	67%	-
vs Weaker (13)	20.6	17.0	37.6	+3.6	77%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	19.6	40.1	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.6	20.6	43.2	+2.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.6	18.8	37.3	-0.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.6	21.3	38.9	-3.7	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.0	20.0	35.0	-5.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	18.7	20.3	39.0	-1.7	67%	-
vs Similar (6)	17.5	18.2	35.7	-0.7	17%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	21.6	19.9	41.5	+1.7	57%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	20.9	39.5	-2.3	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.8	19.4	39.2	+0.3	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.2	22.6	39.8	-5.4	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	21.4	40.9	-1.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	22.0	41.4	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	19.0	23.0	42.0	-4.0	50%	-
vs Similar (15)	17.3	21.5	38.9	-4.2	27%	-
vs Weaker (13)	19.9	19.8	39.8	+0.1	46%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	18.9	38.5	+0.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.8	18.9	39.6	+1.9	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.6	18.9	37.5	-0.2	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	18.3	36.5	-0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	18.2	37.8	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	18.0	18.7	36.7	-0.7	67%	-
vs Similar (6)	18.3	19.3	37.7	-1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	20.2	18.8	39.0	+1.5	52%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.9	39.5	78.4	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.4	37.4	77.9	+3.0	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.2	41.9	79.1	-4.6	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.9	42.5	81.4	-3.6	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.6	44.4	85.0	-3.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	41.5	40.0	81.5	+1.5	50%	-
vs Similar (15)	37.2	41.7	78.9	-4.5	20%	-
vs Weaker (13)	40.5	36.8	77.4	+3.7	62%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.1	38.5	78.6	+1.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	43.4	39.4	82.9	+4.0	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.2	37.6	74.8	-0.4	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.8	39.6	75.4	-3.8	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.6	38.2	72.8	-3.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	36.7	39.0	75.7	-2.3	67%	-
vs Similar (6)	35.8	37.5	73.3	-1.7	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	41.8	38.7	80.5	+3.1	57%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Penaroltheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Quimsatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Quimsa: 71.2 points a game scored

🏀🏀51%

🏀🏀🏀31%

🏀18%

🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 51% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 31% of the points

🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 18% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game

48%

34%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.8	18.3	47.2%	53.7%	36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.6	7.3	28.5%	32.9%	21.9
🏀 Free throws	17.5	12.7	72.6%	71.5%	12.7

They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.4	17.4	47.8%	53.7%	34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.5	8.3	31.3%	32.9%	24.9
🏀 Free throws	21.3	15.7	73.7%	71.5%	15.7

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.1	18.7	50.3%	53.7%	37.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.5	8.6	33.6%	32.9%	25.7
🏀 Free throws	18.3	13.3	73.1%	71.5%	13.3

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.3	17.7	50.0%	53.7%	35.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.8	8.1	30.4%	32.9%	24.4
🏀 Free throws	19.7	14.6	74.3%	71.5%	14.6

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Penarol wins

Quimsa wins

Date	Game	Score
29/03/25	Penarol v Quimsa	63-81
25/01/25	Quimsa v Penarol	79-84
19/06/24	Quimsa v Penarol	91-60
16/06/24	Penarol v Quimsa	65-64
14/06/24	Penarol v Quimsa	75-83
11/06/24	Quimsa v Penarol	70-85
09/06/24	Quimsa v Penarol	79-47
08/04/24	Quimsa v Penarol	75-80
06/12/23	Penarol v Quimsa	75-98
01/02/23	Quimsa v Penarol	76-83

Penarollast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
04/10/25	H	Regatas	80-84
28/09/25	A	Ferro	84-97
26/09/25	A	San Lorenzo	74-82
20/05/25	H	Riachuelo	89-75
10/05/25	H	Zarate	110-81
08/05/25	H	Independiente de Oliva	99-74
04/05/25	A	Obera TC	71-86
03/05/25	A	Union De Santa Fe	79-85
27/04/25	H	Ferro	73-75
25/04/25	H	Platense	75-79

Quimsalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
06/10/25	A	Obras Sanitarias	68-64
29/09/25	H	Argentino	99-71
26/09/25	H	Instituto de Cordoba	72-73
28/06/25	H	Boca Juniors	80-83
25/06/25	A	Boca Juniors	70-87
23/06/25	A	Boca Juniors	58-70
11/06/25	A	Obras Sanitarias	83-81
09/06/25	H	Obras Sanitarias	88-65
07/06/25	H	Obras Sanitarias	78-67
12/05/25	A	Riachuelo	99-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penarol

Liga A 2025-26

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLL	0%
Home	L	0%
Away	LL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	3	1	2
Win %	0%	0%	0%
Points / game	79.3	80.0	79.0
Allowed / game	87.7	84.0	89.5
Point differential	-8.3	-4.0	-10.5
Avg total	167.0	164.0	168.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	0% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Quimsa

Liga A 2025-26

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWW	67%
Home	LW	50%
Away	W	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	3	2	1
Win %	67%	50%	100%
Points / game	79.7	85.5	68.0
Allowed / game	69.3	72.0	64.0
Point differential	+10.3	+13.5	+4.0
Avg total	149.0	157.5	132.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	33%	50%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	0% (1)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Gimnasia	1	1	0	100%	81.0	65.0	+16.0
2	Ferro	3	3	0	100%	91.0	81.7	+9.3
3	Obera TC	1	1	0	100%	85.0	76.0	+9.0
4	Independiente de Oliva	1	1	0	100%	93.0	86.0	+7.0
5	Boca Juniors	4	3	1	75%	87.5	75.2	+12.2
6	Regatas	4	3	1	75%	83.8	79.8	+4.0
7	Instituto de Cordoba	4	3	1	75%	80.8	79.5	+1.2
8	Quimsa	3	2	1	67%	79.7	69.3	+10.3
9	Olimpico	2	1	1	50%	83.5	74.5	+9.0
10	Obras Sanitarias	2	1	1	50%	74.5	71.5	+3.0
11	La Union	2	1	1	50%	87.0	85.0	+2.0
12	San Lorenzo	3	1	2	33%	79.0	82.7	-3.7
13	San Martin	3	1	2	33%	65.7	73.0	-7.3
14	Atenas	3	1	2	33%	67.0	80.3	-13.3
15	Platense	2	0	2	0%	84.5	92.0	-7.5
16	Penarol	3	0	3	0%	79.3	87.7	-8.3
17	Racing de Chivilcoy	3	0	3	0%	75.3	84.7	-9.3
18	Argentino	2	0	2	0%	73.5	97.5	-24.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Penarol	24	17	23	24	88
Quimsa	27	22	23	13	85

← all games of the day

Penarol vs Quimsa Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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