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Penn State vs Lafayette Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 19 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 19:30
Scheduled
Position#179
Record3-2
FormWWLLW
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game75.6
vs
Position#202
Record3-3
FormWLWWL
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game67.2
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Penn State v Lafayette
19 Dec 2026
PENN v LAFA
upcoming
25 Nov 2022
PENN70
LAFA57
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penn State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Lafayette win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Penn StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nebraska
#21
L
64-87
64
87
-23
A21/02
NCAA
Iowa
#81
W
71-69
71
69
+2
H28/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
L
62-94
62
94
-32
H05/03
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
L
62-74
62
74
-12
A08/03
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
L
66-76
66
76
-10
A10/03
NCAA
Canisius
#236
W
97-57
97
57
+40
H03/11
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#212
W
97-93
97
93
+4
H05/11
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#58
L
76-82
76
82
-6
H09/11
NCAA
Lafayette
#202
L
46-89
46
89
-43
A11/11
NCAA
Mercyhurst Lakers
#317
W
72-57
72
57
+15
H12/11
NCAA
1H
2H
20-38
44-49
34-38
37-31
21-45
41-49
21-43
41-31
32-34
34-42
47-26
50-31
54-31
43-62
38-42
38-40
16-54
30-35
33-29
39-28
149.1Avg total
71.3Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)77.675.6153.2+2.060%
Season at home (4)85.572.2157.8+13.275%
Season away (1)46.089.0135.0-43.00%
Last 10 (10)71.377.8149.1-6.540%
Last 5 (5)77.675.6153.2+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)70.082.3152.3-12.323%
vs Similar (6)77.783.0160.7-5.333%
vs Weaker (2)84.557.0141.5+27.5100%
This opponent (Lafayette) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LafayetteUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
American University
#204
L
61-75
61
75
-14
H22/02
NCAA
Colgate
#168
W
70-69
70
69
+1
A26/02
NCAA
Army
#318
W
83-77
83
77
+6
H28/02
NCAA
Holy Cross
#321
L
77-82
77
82
-5
H04/03
NCAA
Butler
#200
L
60-96
60
96
-36
A03/11
NCAA
Kings (PA) Monarchs
#440
W
104-67
104
67
+37
H05/11
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#78
L
57-67 OT
57
67
-10
A07/11
NCAA
Penn State
#179
W
89-46
89
46
+43
H11/11
NCAA
Penn St. Lehigh Valley
#464
W
89-46
89
46
+43
H11/11
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#100
L
58-81
58
81
-23
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
31-34
30-41
31-25
39-44
37-26
46-51
39-34
38-48
34-54
26-42
55-31
49-36
24-31
31-24
54-16
35-30
54-16
35-30
29-35
29-46
145.4Avg total
74.8Scored
70.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)76.267.2143.3+9.050%
Season at home (3)94.053.0147.0+41.0100%
Season away (3)58.381.3139.7-23.00%
Last 10 (10)74.870.6145.4+4.250%
Last 5 (5)79.461.4140.8+18.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)66.575.8142.2-9.225%
vs Similar (15)70.675.0145.6-4.440%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)89.046.0135.0+43.0100%
This opponent (Penn State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: -6.4-6.41st half: +8.6+8.62nd half2nd half: -0.1-0.12nd half: -3.4-3.4
-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: -6.4-6.41st half: +8.6+8.62nd half2nd half: -0.1-0.12nd half: -3.4-3.4
Penn StateLafayette
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Penn StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nebraska
#21
L
20-38
20
38
-18
A21/02
NCAA
Iowa
#81
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H28/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
L
21-45
21
45
-24
H05/03
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
L
21-43
21
43
-22
A08/03
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A10/03
NCAA
Canisius
#236
W
47-26
47
26
+21
H03/11
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#212
W
54-31
54
31
+23
H05/11
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#58
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H09/11
NCAA
Lafayette
#202
L
16-54
16
54
-38
A11/11
NCAA
Mercyhurst Lakers
#317
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H12/11
NCAA
69.6Avg total
31.6Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.239.872.0-7.633%-
Last 30 at home (18)34.335.870.1-1.450%-
Last 30 away (12)29.045.874.8-16.88%-
Last 10 (10)31.638.069.6-6.430%-
Last 5 (5)37.636.474.0+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)31.740.872.5-9.127%-
vs Similar (6)31.540.071.5-8.533%-
vs Weaker (2)40.027.567.5+12.5100%-
This opponent (Lafayette) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LafayetteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
American University
#204
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H22/02
NCAA
Colgate
#168
W
31-25
31
25
+6
A26/02
NCAA
Army
#318
W
37-26
37
26
+11
H28/02
NCAA
Holy Cross
#321
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H04/03
NCAA
Butler
#200
L
34-54
34
54
-20
A03/11
NCAA
Kings (PA) Monarchs
#440
W
55-31
55
31
+24
H05/11
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#78
L
24-31
24
31
-7
A07/11
NCAA
Penn State
#179
W
54-16
54
16
+38
H11/11
NCAA
Penn St. Lehigh Valley
#464
W
54-16
54
16
+38
H11/11
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#100
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A14/11
NCAA
69.0Avg total
38.8Scored
30.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.234.368.5-0.133%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.932.069.9+5.947%-
Last 30 away (15)30.536.567.1-6.020%-
Last 10 (10)38.830.269.0+8.660%-
Last 5 (5)43.225.869.0+17.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)30.735.065.7-4.317%-
vs Similar (15)33.036.369.3-3.333%-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)54.016.070.0+38.0100%-
This opponent (Penn State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Penn State wins
1
Lafayette wins
DateGameScore
11/11/26Lafayette v Penn State89-46
26/11/22Penn State v Lafayette70-57
Penn Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HMercyhurst Lakers72-57
11/11/26ALafayette46-89
09/11/26HPittsburgh76-82
05/11/26HChattanooga Mocs97-93
03/11/26HCanisius97-57
10/03/26ANorthwestern66-76
08/03/26ARutgers62-74
05/03/26HOhio State62-94
28/02/26HIowa71-69
21/02/26ANebraska64-87
Lafayettelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ASt. Bonaventure58-81
11/11/26HPenn St. Lehigh Valley89-46
11/11/26HPenn State89-46
07/11/26ASaint Josephs Hawks57-67 OT
05/11/26HKings (PA) Monarchs104-67
03/11/26AButler60-96
04/03/26HHoly Cross77-82
28/02/26HArmy83-77
26/02/26AColgate70-69
22/02/26HAmerican University61-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penn State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW60%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games541
Win %60%75%0%
Points / game77.685.546.0
Allowed / game75.672.289.0
Point differential+2.0+13.2-43.0
Avg total153.2157.8135.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lafayette
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL50%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game76.294.058.3
Allowed / game67.253.081.3
Point differential+9.0+41.0-23.0
Avg total143.3147.0139.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %17%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UCLA330100%101.358.3+43.0
2 Nebraska330100%89.060.7+28.3
3 Rutgers330100%84.756.3+28.3
4 Michigan State440100%93.066.2+26.8
5 Oregon330100%95.068.7+26.3
6 Indiana440100%89.068.0+21.0
7 Wisconsin330100%79.058.0+21.0
8 Minnesota440100%78.858.5+20.2
9 USC330100%88.371.3+17.0
10 Washington220100%83.570.0+13.5
11 Illinois43175%104.571.2+33.2
12 Purdue43175%78.569.0+9.5
13 Northwestern43175%70.861.8+9.0
14 Iowa32167%85.064.7+20.3
15 Michigan32167%81.774.3+7.3
16 Penn State53260%77.675.6+2.0
17 Ohio State42250%81.079.2+1.8
18 Maryland31233%84.380.0+4.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Patriot League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Navy54180%69.265.8+3.4
2 Boston University43175%80.074.5+5.5
3 Army42250%75.566.2+9.2
4 Lafayette63350%76.267.2+9.0
5 Lehigh42250%64.570.2-5.8
6 American University31233%64.075.0-11.0
7 Loyola Maryland51420%68.473.0-4.6
8 Colgate3030%69.785.7-16.0
9 Bucknell4040%62.287.5-25.2
10 Holy Cross3030%64.092.7-28.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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