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Pesaro vs Pistoia Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 27 Dec 2016
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 57-59
7-13 16-13 19-16 15-17
Position#15
Record4-8
FormLLWLW
Points / game76.1
Allowed / game79.5
Pesaro
Italy
vs
Pistoia 🏆
Italy
Position#7
Record5-7
FormWLWLW
Points / game76.3
Allowed / game79.4
ItalyLega ARound 13
Domestic2016-17
Meetings · Pesaro v Pistoia
30 Dec 2026
PES v PIS
upcoming
29 Oct 2025
PES82
PIS73
13 Apr 2024
PES89
PIS82
13 Apr 2020
PES v PIS
upcoming
07 Oct 2018
PES83
PIS77
08 Apr 2018
PES80
PIS72
27 Dec 2016
PES57
PIS59
11 Oct 2015
PES73
PIS74
26 Apr 2015
PES82
PIS86
09 Mar 2014
PES75
PIS74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pesaro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pistoia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Cantu
#14
L
68-77
68
77
-9
91avg 100
A16/10
Lega A
Avellino
#3
L
55-60
55
60
-5
79avg 100
H23/10
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
59-86
59
86
-27
no box
A30/10
Lega A
Venezia
#1
W
84-78
84
78
+6
107avg 100
H06/11
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
83-87
83
87
-4
111avg 100
H13/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#6
L
80-87
80
87
-7
102avg 100
A20/11
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
73-78
73
78
-5
98avg 100
H27/11
Lega A
Cremona
#16
W
73-71
73
71
+2
98avg 100
A04/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
96-102 OT
96
102
-6
no box
H11/12
Lega A
Caserta
#13
W
87-82
87
82
+5
108avg 100
A18/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-23
15-18
10-20
18-16
15-14
13-13
10-18
17-15
18-24
9-21
20-23
12-18
17-14
24-22
16-22
27-20
13-17
17-21
24-20
29-29
26-23
13-25
21-8
20-31
22-23
15-19
19-14
17-22
29-22
12-23
15-13
17-13
21-19
20-14
22-26
24-28
10-15
26-21
20-26
31-20
156.6Avg total
75.8Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)76.179.5155.6-3.433%
Season at home (6)77.878.0155.8-0.233%
Season away (6)74.381.0155.3-6.733%
Last 10 (10)75.880.8156.6-5.030%
Last 5 (5)81.884.0165.8-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)78.782.1160.8-3.436%
vs Similar (19)75.976.9152.8-1.042%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pistoia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPistoia
Date
Competition
Avellino
#3
L
67-83
67
83
-16
92avg 103
A15/10
Lega A
Caserta
#13
L
65-74
65
74
-9
97avg 103
A24/10
Lega A
Varese
#10
W
97-64
97
64
+33
no box
H30/10
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
68-69
68
69
-1
96avg 103
H05/11
Lega A
Venezia
#1
L
62-74
62
74
-12
no box
A13/11
Lega A
Trento
#4
W
84-78 OT
84
78
+6
no box
H20/11
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
70-104
70
104
-34
91avg 103
A27/11
Lega A
Torino
#12
W
89-73
89
73
+16
125avg 103
H04/12
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#8
L
64-79
64
79
-15
84avg 103
A11/12
Lega A
Cantu
#14
W
94-87 OT
94
87
+7
no box
H19/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-22
18-13
12-14
12-34
13-22
18-19
19-13
15-20
20-14
22-14
28-15
27-21
16-18
20-15
16-15
16-21
19-16
18-12
12-19
13-27
13-14
20-22
22-16
18-21
18-21
22-31
16-27
14-25
20-22
25-16
19-22
25-13
22-19
10-22
22-21
10-17
20-19
16-24
15-21
29-16
154.5Avg total
76.0Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)76.379.4155.8-3.142%
Season at home (6)86.875.3162.2+11.583%
Season away (6)65.883.5149.3-17.70%
Last 10 (10)76.078.5154.5-2.540%
Last 5 (5)80.284.2164.4-4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)77.189.1166.2-12.012%
vs Similar (20)74.876.2150.9-1.540%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)94.087.0181.0+7.0100%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -3.6-3.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -3.6-3.6
PesaroPistoia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cantu
#14
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A16/10
Lega A
Avellino
#3
W
28-27
28
27
+1
H23/10
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
27-45
27
45
-18
A30/10
Lega A
Venezia
#1
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H06/11
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H13/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#6
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A20/11
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H27/11
Lega A
Cremona
#16
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A04/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H11/12
Lega A
Caserta
#13
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A18/12
Lega A
75.1Avg total
36.0Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.638.477.1+0.243%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.936.875.7+2.256%-
Last 30 away (14)38.340.478.6-2.129%-
Last 10 (10)36.039.175.1-3.130%-
Last 5 (5)38.840.879.6-2.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)38.239.477.5-1.255%-
vs Similar (19)38.937.976.8+1.037%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pistoia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Avellino
#3
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A15/10
Lega A
Caserta
#13
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A24/10
Lega A
Varese
#10
W
42-28
42
28
+14
H30/10
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H05/11
Lega A
Venezia
#1
W
37-28
37
28
+9
A13/11
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H20/11
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A27/11
Lega A
Torino
#12
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H04/12
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#8
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A11/12
Lega A
Cantu
#14
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H19/12
Lega A
75.0Avg total
37.5Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.440.977.3-4.433%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.039.176.1-2.147%-
Last 30 away (15)35.942.778.5-6.820%-
Last 10 (10)37.537.575.0+0.050%-
Last 5 (5)37.242.079.2-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)36.646.883.4-10.112%-
vs Similar (20)36.238.674.8-2.440%-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)36.043.079.0-7.00%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 73.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.721.5
49.2%
51.1%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.96.7
32.1%
35.7%20.1
🏀 Free throws13.410.2
76.1%
74.0%10.2
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 73.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀63%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 63% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.1 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.923.1
49.3%
51.1%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.55.7
26.5%
35.7%17.1
🏀 Free throws13.310.0
75.2%
74.0%10.0
They take 68.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Dec 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pesaro
WLWLLLWLLL
Pistoia
WLWLWLLWLL
#15
League position
#7
-6.5
Net rating
-5.7
99.2
Offensive rating
97.3
105.7
Defensive rating
103.0
48.8%
Effective FG%
46.3%
52.8%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
18.2%
Turnover %
19.1%
27.4%
Off. rebound %
31.3%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.19
32.1%
3-point %
26.5%
40.8%
Assist %
52.1%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence99.2 · 97.3Defence105.7 · 103.0Shooting48.8% · 46.3%3-point %32.1% · 26.5%Ball care18.2% · 19.1%Off. rebounds27.4% · 31.3%Free throws0.21 · 0.19Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Pesaro   ■ Pistoia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Pesaro wins
5
Pistoia wins
DateGameScore
25/01/16Pistoia v Pesaro77-75
11/10/15Pesaro v Pistoia73-74
26/04/15Pesaro v Pistoia82-86
29/12/14Pistoia v Pesaro84-53
09/03/14Pesaro v Pistoia75-74
24/11/13Pistoia v Pesaro115-110 OT
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/16ACaserta87-82
11/12/16HBrindisi96-102 OT
04/12/16ACremona73-71
27/11/16HTrento73-78
20/11/16AReggiana80-87
13/11/16HVarese83-87
06/11/16HVenezia84-78
30/10/16ASassari59-86
23/10/16HAvellino55-60
16/10/16ACantu68-77
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/12/16HCantu94-87 OT
11/12/16ACapo d'Orlando64-79
04/12/16HTorino89-73
27/11/16AOlimpia Milano70-104
20/11/16HTrento84-78 OT
13/11/16AVenezia62-74
05/11/16HSassari68-69
30/10/16HVarese97-64
24/10/16ACaserta65-74
15/10/16AAvellino67-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pesaro
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW33%
HomeLWLLL33%
AwayLLLWW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %33%33%33%
Points / game76.177.874.3
Allowed / game79.578.081.0
Point differential-3.4-0.2-6.7
Avg total155.6155.8155.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)0% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %8%17%0%
Pistoia
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW42%
HomeWLWWW83%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %42%83%0%
Points / game76.386.865.8
Allowed / game79.475.383.5
Point differential-3.1+11.5-17.7
Avg total155.8162.2149.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %17%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano1211192%89.678.4+11.2
2 Venezia1310377%81.878.1+3.8
3 Avellino128467%79.275.4+3.8
4 Reggiana128467%82.280.2+2.1
5 Capo d'Orlando127558%79.075.5+3.5
6 Caserta127558%83.283.2+0.1
7 Brindisi126650%82.581.3+1.2
8 Torino126650%82.983.6-0.7
9 Trento125742%75.875.8+0.0
10 Sassari125742%75.275.5-0.3
11 Brescia125742%80.581.6-1.1
12 Pistoia125742%76.379.4-3.1
13 Pesaro124833%76.179.5-3.4
14 Cantu124833%78.384.2-5.8
15 Varese134931%75.880.1-4.3
16 Cremona1221017%75.982.8-6.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pesaro716191557
Pistoia1313161759
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