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Pesaro vs Cantu Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 24 Jan 2021
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 107-83
26-20 27-18 29-14 25-31
Position#10
Record8-8
FormWLLWL
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game82.5
Pesaro 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#15
Record5-11
FormLWLLL
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game83.1
ItalyLega ARound 17
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Pesaro v Cantu
01 Dec 2024
PES90
KAN67
24 Jan 2021
PES107
KAN83
26 Dec 2019
PES72
KAN87
17 Mar 2019
PES72
KAN80
22 Apr 2018
PES82
KAN91
05 Feb 2017
PES78
KAN73
24 Apr 2016
PES96
KAN90
04 Jan 2015
PES83
KAN103
02 Feb 2014
PES82
KAN79
18 Nov 2012
PES66
KAN76
24 May 2012
PES80
KAN68
22 May 2012
PES91
KAN78
21 Mar 2012
PES72
KAN69
18 Feb 2012
PES64
KAN71
06 Jan 2011
PES76
KAN75
01 Nov 2009
PES60
KAN75
11 Jan 2009
PES84
KAN86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pesaro winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cantu winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Varese
#12
W
85-78
85
78
+7
77avg 73
H08/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#13
W
84-63
84
63
+21
72avg 73
H22/11
Lega A
Treviso
#7
L
81-91
81
91
-10
72avg 73
A06/12
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
L
70-78
70
78
-8
63avg 73
H12/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#3
W
92-81
92
81
+11
82avg 73
A19/12
Lega A
Trieste
#6
W
84-74
84
74
+10
83avg 73
H27/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
80-100
80
100
-20
71avg 73
A30/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
93-97
93
97
-4
89avg 73
A03/01
Lega A
Brescia
#11
W
98-88
98
88
+10
89avg 73
H10/01
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
74-99
74
99
-25
63avg 73
A17/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-21
18-18
27-18
24-21
19-22
23-15
17-16
25-10
18-28
22-19
26-28
15-16
15-21
19-13
20-23
16-21
27-21
23-15
26-24
16-21
26-20
20-25
19-17
19-12
22-22
22-30
14-23
22-25
18-21
31-18
23-25
21-33
16-22
24-23
28-15
30-28
19-23
22-21
20-28
13-27
169.0Avg total
84.1Scored
84.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)82.882.5165.2+0.250%
Season at home (8)82.278.8161.0+3.562%
Season away (8)83.286.2169.5-3.038%
Last 10 (10)84.184.9169.0-0.850%
Last 5 (5)85.891.6177.4-5.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)82.992.5175.4-9.621%
vs Similar ◀ (13)79.378.9158.2+0.454%
vs Weaker (3)92.361.7154.0+30.7100%
This opponent (Cantu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CantuItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCantu
Date
Competition
Virtus Roma
#16
W
101-85
101
85
+16
no box
H22/11
Lega A
Brindisi
#3
L
71-85
71
85
-14
58avg 68
A06/12
Lega A
Cremona
#9
L
67-101
67
101
-34
52avg 68
A09/12
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
73-74
73
74
-1
66avg 68
A13/12
Lega A
Trieste
#6
W
73-67
73
67
+6
69avg 68
H16/12
Lega A
Brescia
#11
L
89-92 OT
89
92
-3
no box
H20/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#13
W
78-68
78
68
+10
no box
A26/12
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
L
67-80
67
80
-13
58avg 68
H02/01
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
92-98
92
98
-6
88avg 68
A10/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
82-91
82
91
-9
71avg 68
H17/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-21
23-15
28-27
27-22
21-27
16-15
13-18
21-25
14-27
22-24
18-21
13-29
18-23
22-19
17-16
16-16
20-17
14-14
13-10
26-26
32-22
17-27
18-19
13-12
18-11
21-20
17-19
22-18
19-16
22-26
10-24
16-14
14-25
22-23
27-26
29-24
17-24
21-15
23-34
21-18
163.4Avg total
79.3Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)78.183.1161.2-5.131%
Season at home (8)78.981.4160.2-2.538%
Season away (8)77.284.9162.1-7.625%
Last 10 (10)79.384.1163.4-4.830%
Last 5 (5)81.685.8167.4-4.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)77.286.9164.2-9.719%
vs Similar ◀ (12)78.381.1159.4-2.842%
vs Weaker (2)94.078.5172.5+15.5100%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +0.0+0.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +0.0+0.0
PesaroCantu
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Varese
#12
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H08/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#13
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H22/11
Lega A
Treviso
#7
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A06/12
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H12/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#3
W
50-36
50
36
+14
A19/12
Lega A
Trieste
#6
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H27/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A30/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A03/01
Lega A
Brescia
#11
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H10/01
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A17/01
Lega A
83.8Avg total
42.0Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.241.182.3+0.240%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.240.980.1-1.733%-
Last 30 away (15)43.341.284.5+2.147%-
Last 10 (10)42.041.883.8+0.240%-
Last 5 (5)44.045.089.0-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)43.644.688.2-0.943%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)37.840.378.1-2.523%-
vs Weaker (3)45.028.073.0+17.0100%-
This opponent (Cantu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CantuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Roma
#16
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H22/11
Lega A
Brindisi
#3
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A06/12
Lega A
Cremona
#9
L
36-51
36
51
-15
A09/12
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A13/12
Lega A
Trieste
#6
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H16/12
Lega A
Brescia
#11
D
49-49
49
49
+0
H20/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#13
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A26/12
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H02/01
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A10/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H17/01
Lega A
80.7Avg total
39.6Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.241.982.1-1.837%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.141.081.1-0.943%-
Last 30 away (16)40.242.883.0-2.531%-
Last 10 (10)39.641.180.7-1.530%-
Last 5 (5)40.641.882.4-1.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)39.042.981.9-3.931%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)40.641.782.2-1.133%-
vs Weaker (2)47.035.582.5+11.5100%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 83.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.018.5
51.4%
51.2%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.110.9
37.5%
35.9%32.7
🏀 Free throws17.713.6
76.8%
75.8%13.6
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cantutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cantu: 77.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.519.0
50.7%
51.2%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.59.2
36.1%
35.9%27.6
🏀 Free throws16.112.0
74.5%
75.8%12.0
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Jan 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pesaro
LWLLWWLLWW
Cantu
LLLWLWLLLW
#10
League position
#15
-1.1
Net rating
-7.2
114.8
Offensive rating
103.4
115.9
Defensive rating
110.6
53.5%
Effective FG%
52.1%
58.5%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
15.9%
Turnover %
17.6%
31.1%
Off. rebound %
24.0%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.26
37.5%
3-point %
36.1%
55.4%
Assist %
59.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence114.8 · 103.4Defence115.9 · 110.6Shooting53.5% · 52.1%3-point %37.5% · 36.1%Ball care15.9% · 17.6%Off. rebounds31.1% · 24.0%Free throws0.27 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Pesaro   ■ Cantu
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Pesaro wins
7
Cantu wins
DateGameScore
04/10/20Cantu v Pesaro81-72
26/12/19Pesaro v Cantu72-87
17/03/19Pesaro v Cantu72-80
19/11/18Cantu v Pesaro87-90
22/04/18Pesaro v Cantu82-91
26/12/17Cantu v Pesaro92-73
05/02/17Pesaro v Cantu78-73
16/10/16Cantu v Pesaro77-68
24/04/16Pesaro v Cantu96-90
27/12/15Cantu v Pesaro90-65
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/21ASassari74-99
10/01/21HBrescia98-88
03/01/21AOlimpia Milano93-97
30/12/20AVirtus Bologna80-100
27/12/20HTrieste84-74
19/12/20ABrindisi92-81
12/12/20HFortitudo Bologna70-78
06/12/20ATreviso81-91
22/11/20HReggiana84-63
08/11/20HVarese85-78
Cantulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/21HVirtus Bologna82-91
10/01/21ASassari92-98
02/01/21HFortitudo Bologna67-80
26/12/20AReggiana78-68
20/12/20HBrescia89-92 OT
16/12/20HTrieste73-67
13/12/20ATrento73-74
09/12/20ACremona67-101
06/12/20ABrindisi71-85
22/11/20HVirtus Roma101-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pesaro
Lega A 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL50%
HomeWWLWW62%
AwayLWLLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %50%62%38%
Points / game82.882.283.2
Allowed / game82.578.886.2
Point differential+0.2+3.5-3.0
Avg total165.2161.0169.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%50%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %6%12%0%
Cantu
Lega A 2020-21
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL31%
HomeWWLLL38%
AwayLLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %31%38%25%
Points / game78.178.977.2
Allowed / game83.181.484.9
Point differential-5.1-2.5-7.6
Avg total161.2160.2162.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%12%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %6%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano1716194%89.173.6+15.4
2 Brindisi1511473%85.980.0+5.9
3 Sassari1611569%90.885.6+5.2
4 Virtus Bologna1610662%85.278.2+7.0
5 Venezia1610662%80.276.8+3.4
6 Pesaro168850%82.882.5+0.2
7 Trieste147750%77.477.4+0.0
8 Reggiana167944%76.680.1-3.6
9 Treviso167944%83.888.7-4.9
10 Cremona156940%83.586.1-2.6
11 Trento1661038%78.280.1-1.9
12 Brescia1661038%80.183.6-3.6
13 Fortitudo Bologna1551033%78.982.6-3.7
14 Cantu1651131%78.183.1-5.1
15 Varese134931%79.986.8-6.9
16 Virtus Roma92722%74.987.7-12.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pesaro26272925107
Cantu2018143183
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