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Pesaro vs Torino Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 Feb 2018
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 90-95
24-25 19-24 24-26 23-20
Position#15
Record4-14
FormLWLLL
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game83.3
vs
Torino 🏆
Italy
Position#12
Record10-8
FormLLLLL
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game79.8
ItalyLega ARound 19
Domestic2017-18
Meetings · Pesaro v Torino
13 Jan 2019
PES102
TOR98
11 Feb 2018
PES90
TOR95
29 Jan 2017
PES65
TOR66
04 Jan 2016
PES69
TOR76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pesaro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Torino winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Varese
#8
W
74-71
74
71
+3
H03/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#13
L
83-86
83
86
-3
A09/12
Lega A
Avellino
#4
L
78-83
78
83
-5
H17/12
Lega A
Cantu
#9
L
73-92
73
92
-19
A26/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
64-78
64
78
-14
H02/01
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
71-72
71
72
-1
A07/01
Lega A
Sassari
#6
W
88-85
88
85
+3
H13/01
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
70-88
70
88
-18
A21/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
L
96-104
96
104
-8
H27/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#7
L
67-85
67
85
-18
A03/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-15
18-12
16-19
18-25
25-22
26-23
21-18
11-23
8-29
25-14
27-20
18-20
17-17
15-21
13-23
28-31
13-20
18-17
20-15
13-26
15-23
19-17
18-22
19-10
26-23
21-18
18-23
23-21
20-21
20-16
13-27
17-24
22-22
23-26
20-25
31-31
12-30
20-21
15-15
20-19
160.8Avg total
76.4Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)76.083.3159.3-7.322%
Season at home (9)77.081.0158.0-4.033%
Season away (9)75.085.6160.6-10.611%
Last 10 (10)76.484.4160.8-8.020%
Last 5 (5)78.486.8165.2-8.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)77.784.7162.3-7.026%
vs Similar (6)79.282.0161.2-2.833%
vs Weaker (1)56.073.0129.0-17.00%
This opponent (Torino) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TorinoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#3
W
95-86
95
86
+9
H07/01
Lega A
Zenit Petersburg
#6
L
84-95
84
95
-11
A10/01
Eurocup
Varese
#8
W
92-89
92
89
+3
A14/01
Lega A
Rytas
#12
W
83-77
83
77
+6
H17/01
Eurocup
Brindisi
#14
L
68-82
68
82
-14
H21/01
Lega A
Rytas
#12
L
68-101
68
101
-33
A24/01
Eurocup
Sassari
#6
L
80-92
80
92
-12
A27/01
Lega A
Bayern
#3
L
81-107
81
107
-26
A31/01
Eurocup
Avellino
#4
L
59-77
59
77
-18
H04/02
Lega A
Zenit Petersburg
#6
L
73-87
73
87
-14
H07/02
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-16
24-24
20-23
19-23
27-24
31-22
10-27
16-22
18-22
22-29
25-18
27-20
18-14
30-16
17-29
18-18
13-21
27-12
13-30
15-19
14-30
16-24
23-23
15-24
25-23
14-28
14-20
27-21
23-27
17-17
14-37
27-26
9-19
13-21
22-20
15-17
22-18
25-18
9-29
17-22
167.6Avg total
78.3Scored
89.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)79.279.8159.1-0.656%
Season at home (9)82.479.2161.7+3.267%
Season away (9)76.080.4156.4-4.444%
Last 10 (10)78.389.3167.6-11.030%
Last 5 (5)72.292.8165.0-20.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)78.685.7164.3-7.138%
vs Similar (7)81.179.9161.0+1.357%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)80.574.5155.0+6.0100%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: -4.2-4.2Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: -8.9-8.9Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: -1.6-1.6
PesaroTorino
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Varese
#8
W
40-27
40
27
+13
H03/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#13
W
51-45
51
45
+6
A09/12
Lega A
Avellino
#4
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H17/12
Lega A
Cantu
#9
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A26/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H02/01
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A07/01
Lega A
Sassari
#6
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H13/01
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A21/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H27/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#7
L
32-51
32
51
-19
A03/02
Lega A
79.2Avg total
38.5Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.341.480.7-2.137%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.138.976.9-0.843%-
Last 30 away (16)40.443.684.1-3.231%-
Last 10 (10)38.540.779.2-2.240%-
Last 5 (5)39.643.483.0-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)38.741.980.7-3.230%-
vs Similar (6)43.340.383.7+3.067%-
vs Weaker (1)29.036.065.0-7.00%-
This opponent (Torino) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TorinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#3
W
56-40
56
40
+16
H07/01
Lega A
Zenit Petersburg
#6
W
58-46
58
46
+12
A10/01
Eurocup
Varese
#8
L
40-51
40
51
-11
A14/01
Lega A
Rytas
#12
W
48-30
48
30
+18
H17/01
Eurocup
Brindisi
#14
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H21/01
Lega A
Rytas
#12
L
30-54
30
54
-24
A24/01
Eurocup
Sassari
#6
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A27/01
Lega A
Bayern
#3
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A31/01
Eurocup
Avellino
#4
L
22-40
22
40
-18
H04/02
Lega A
Zenit Petersburg
#6
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H07/02
Eurocup
84.5Avg total
42.0Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.841.381.1-1.643%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.338.678.9+1.750%-
Last 30 away (14)39.144.483.6-5.336%-
Last 10 (10)42.042.584.5-0.550%-
Last 5 (5)35.645.080.6-9.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)39.842.682.4-2.843%-
vs Similar (7)40.636.477.0+4.157%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)36.545.081.5-8.50%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 75.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.220.4
48.3%
51.6%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.17.2
32.6%
34.9%21.6
🏀 Free throws18.713.0
69.5%
73.0%13.0
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Torinotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Torino: 78.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.321.4
53.1%
51.6%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.37.5
32.2%
34.9%22.5
🏀 Free throws17.113.2
77.2%
73.0%13.2
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Feb 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pesaro
LLLWLLLLLW
Torino
LLLLLLWWLW
#15
League position
#12
-11.3
Net rating
-5.7
103.5
Offensive rating
103.7
114.8
Defensive rating
109.4
48.5%
Effective FG%
51.3%
56.7%
Opp. effective FG%
54.2%
14.9%
Turnover %
18.0%
28.0%
Off. rebound %
25.9%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.27
32.6%
3-point %
32.2%
43.8%
Assist %
61.2%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence103.5 · 103.7Defence114.8 · 109.4Shooting48.5% · 51.3%3-point %32.6% · 32.2%Ball care14.9% · 18.0%Off. rebounds28.0% · 25.9%Free throws0.29 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)20% · 30%
■ Pesaro   ■ Torino
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Pesaro wins
5
Torino wins
DateGameScore
22/10/17Torino v Pesaro88-79
29/01/17Pesaro v Torino65-66
09/10/16Torino v Pesaro83-79
04/05/16Torino v Pesaro83-66
04/01/16Pesaro v Torino69-76
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/18AVirtus Bologna67-85
27/01/18HReggiana96-104
21/01/18ABrescia70-88
13/01/18HSassari88-85
07/01/18AVenezia71-72
02/01/18HOlimpia Milano64-78
26/12/17ACantu73-92
17/12/17HAvellino78-83
09/12/17APistoia83-86
03/12/17HVarese74-71
Torinolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/18HZenit Petersburg73-87
04/02/18HAvellino59-77
31/01/18ABayern81-107
27/01/18ASassari80-92
24/01/18ARytas68-101
21/01/18HBrindisi68-82
17/01/18HRytas83-77
14/01/18AVarese92-89
10/01/18AZenit Petersburg84-95
07/01/18HBrescia95-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pesaro
Lega A 2017-18
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL22%
HomeWLLWL33%
AwayLLLLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %22%33%11%
Points / game76.077.075.0
Allowed / game83.381.085.6
Point differential-7.3-4.0-10.6
Avg total159.3158.0160.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)60% (5)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Torino
Lega A 2017-18
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL56%
HomeWWWLL67%
AwayLLLWL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %56%67%44%
Points / game79.282.476.0
Allowed / game79.879.280.4
Point differential-0.6+3.2-4.4
Avg total159.1161.7156.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%22%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)50% (2)100% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Avellino1914574%84.677.0+7.6
2 Olimpia Milano1914574%78.071.3+6.7
3 Venezia1914574%80.778.6+2.2
4 Brescia1813572%79.973.9+6.0
5 Virtus Bologna1911858%79.976.2+3.7
6 Torino1810856%79.279.8-0.6
7 Sassari1910953%83.780.3+3.4
8 Cremona1991047%82.381.2+1.1
9 Trento1991047%77.777.8-0.2
10 Reggiana1991047%75.976.2-0.3
11 Cantu1991047%87.087.7-0.7
12 Varese1871139%77.175.7+1.4
13 Brindisi1961332%77.180.3-3.2
14 Pistoia1961332%74.880.8-6.0
15 Capo d'Orlando1951426%67.681.6-14.0
16 Pesaro1841422%76.083.3-7.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pesaro2419242390
Torino2524262095
← all games of the day
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