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Virtus Bologna vs Pesaro Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Feb 2018
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 85-67
30-12 21-20 15-15 19-20
Position#7
Record10-7
FormWLWWW
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game76.4
Virtus Bologna 🏆
Italy
vs
Pesaro
Italy
Position#15
Record4-13
FormLLWLL
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game83.2
ItalyLega ARound 18
Domestic2017-18
Meetings · Virtus Bologna v Pesaro
30 Dec 2023
VIR83
PES66
26 Mar 2023
VIR88
PES76
17 May 2022
VIR70
PES51
15 May 2022
VIR82
PES76
06 Nov 2021
VIR88
PES75
30 Dec 2020
VIR100
PES80
01 Feb 2020
VIR106
PES89
23 Mar 2019
VIR78
PES70
03 Feb 2018
VIR85
PES67
09 Feb 2016
VIR79
PES75
19 Apr 2015
VIR89
PES85
29 Dec 2013
VIR75
PES65
02 Dec 2012
VIR76
PES58
29 Apr 2012
VIR73
PES64
20 Feb 2011
VIR71
PES70
10 Jan 2010
VIR82
PES80
14 Feb 2009
VIR95
PES88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Bologna winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pesaro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#14
L
75-79
75
79
-4
173avg 116
A19/11
Lega A
Cremona
#10
W
79-78
79
78
+1
106avg 116
H03/12
Lega A
Cantu
#9
L
87-94
87
94
-7
118avg 116
A10/12
Lega A
Torino
#12
W
84-76
84
76
+8
111avg 116
H17/12
Lega A
Varese
#8
W
90-85 OT
90
85
+5
no box
A26/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#13
W
75-67
75
67
+8
101avg 116
H02/01
Lega A
Avellino
#4
L
59-87
59
87
-28
84avg 116
A07/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
W
85-75
85
75
+10
114avg 116
H13/01
Lega A
Trento
#5
W
82-75
82
75
+7
107avg 116
H21/01
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#16
W
86-69
86
69
+17
180avg 116
A28/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-18
12-16
29-22
17-23
23-16
17-20
17-20
22-22
22-25
16-25
25-21
24-23
15-23
23-22
22-15
24-16
17-14
19-24
15-17
23-19
25-20
23-18
9-17
18-12
10-22
15-22
16-13
18-30
17-24
27-21
25-14
16-16
21-13
23-19
23-21
15-22
26-13
21-24
17-14
22-18
158.7Avg total
80.2Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)79.976.4156.3+3.659%
Season at home (9)82.673.2155.8+9.378%
Season away (8)77.079.9156.9-2.938%
Last 10 (10)80.278.5158.7+1.770%
Last 5 (5)77.474.6152.0+2.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)64.072.0136.0-8.00%
vs Similar (10)80.680.8161.4-0.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)81.570.4151.9+11.184%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Trento
#5
L
74-91
74
91
-17
96avg 101
A19/11
Lega A
Varese
#8
W
74-71
74
71
+3
100avg 101
H03/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#13
L
83-86
83
86
-3
108avg 101
A09/12
Lega A
Avellino
#4
L
78-83
78
83
-5
102avg 101
H17/12
Lega A
Cantu
#9
L
73-92
73
92
-19
99avg 101
A26/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
64-78
64
78
-14
85avg 101
H02/01
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
71-72
71
72
-1
94avg 101
A07/01
Lega A
Sassari
#6
W
88-85
88
85
+3
111avg 101
H13/01
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
70-88
70
88
-18
91avg 101
A21/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
L
96-104
96
104
-8
120avg 101
H27/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-26
19-21
25-23
13-21
22-15
18-12
16-19
18-25
25-22
26-23
21-18
11-23
8-29
25-14
27-20
18-20
17-17
15-21
13-23
28-31
13-20
18-17
20-15
13-26
15-23
19-17
18-22
19-10
26-23
21-18
18-23
23-21
20-21
20-16
13-27
17-24
22-22
23-26
20-25
31-31
162.1Avg total
77.1Scored
85.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)76.583.2159.7-6.624%
Season at home (9)77.081.0158.0-4.033%
Season away (8)76.085.6161.6-9.612%
Last 10 (10)77.185.0162.1-7.920%
Last 5 (5)77.885.4163.2-7.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)78.284.6162.8-6.527%
vs Similar (7)79.080.7159.7-1.743%
vs Weaker (1)56.073.0129.0-17.00%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -4.1-4.1
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -4.1-4.1
Virtus BolognaPesaro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#14
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A19/11
Lega A
Cremona
#10
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H03/12
Lega A
Cantu
#9
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A10/12
Lega A
Torino
#12
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H17/12
Lega A
Varese
#8
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A26/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#13
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H02/01
Lega A
Avellino
#4
L
25-44
25
44
-19
A07/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H13/01
Lega A
Trento
#5
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H21/01
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#16
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A28/01
Lega A
78.8Avg total
38.9Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.037.178.1+3.967%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.937.079.9+5.975%-
Last 30 away (14)38.937.276.1+1.757%-
Last 10 (10)38.939.978.8-1.040%-
Last 5 (5)41.639.280.8+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)35.039.074.0-4.00%-
vs Similar (10)40.140.480.5-0.350%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)41.835.377.1+6.679%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#5
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A19/11
Lega A
Varese
#8
W
40-27
40
27
+13
H03/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#13
W
51-45
51
45
+6
A09/12
Lega A
Avellino
#4
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H17/12
Lega A
Cantu
#9
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A26/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H02/01
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A07/01
Lega A
Sassari
#6
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H13/01
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A21/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H27/01
Lega A
79.2Avg total
38.9Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.441.180.5-1.737%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.839.076.8-1.240%-
Last 30 away (15)41.043.184.1-2.133%-
Last 10 (10)38.940.379.2-1.440%-
Last 5 (5)39.440.680.0-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)39.041.580.5-2.532%-
vs Similar (7)42.040.482.4+1.657%-
vs Weaker (1)29.036.065.0-7.00%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 78.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.520.1
48.4%
51.6%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.58.7
32.8%
34.9%26.1
🏀 Free throws16.411.9
72.6%
73.0%11.9
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 76.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.921.4
51.1%
51.6%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.66.9
31.9%
34.9%20.7
🏀 Free throws18.612.8
68.8%
73.0%12.8
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Feb 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Virtus Bologna
WWWLWWWLWL
Pesaro
LLWLLLLLWL
#7
League position
#15
+2.2
Net rating
-10.9
105.8
Offensive rating
105.6
103.7
Defensive rating
116.5
48.8%
Effective FG%
50.0%
51.4%
Opp. effective FG%
56.9%
14.7%
Turnover %
14.1%
30.1%
Off. rebound %
27.0%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.29
32.8%
3-point %
31.9%
52.4%
Assist %
44.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence105.8 · 105.6Defence103.7 · 116.5Shooting48.8% · 50.0%3-point %32.8% · 31.9%Ball care14.7% · 14.1%Off. rebounds30.1% · 27.0%Free throws0.24 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)70% · 20%
■ Virtus Bologna   ■ Pesaro
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Virtus Bologna wins
3
Pesaro wins
DateGameScore
14/10/17Pesaro v Virtus Bologna75-81
09/02/16Virtus Bologna v Pesaro79-75
25/10/15Pesaro v Virtus Bologna68-63
19/04/15Virtus Bologna v Pesaro89-85
26/12/14Pesaro v Virtus Bologna67-70
27/04/14Pesaro v Virtus Bologna79-78
29/12/13Virtus Bologna v Pesaro75-65
30/03/13Pesaro v Virtus Bologna101-91
02/12/12Virtus Bologna v Pesaro76-58
29/04/12Virtus Bologna v Pesaro73-64
Virtus Bolognalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/18ACapo d'Orlando86-69
21/01/18HTrento82-75
13/01/18HReggiana85-75
07/01/18AAvellino59-87
02/01/18HPistoia75-67
26/12/17AVarese90-85 OT
17/12/17HTorino84-76
10/12/17ACantu87-94
03/12/17HCremona79-78
19/11/17ABrindisi75-79
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/18HReggiana96-104
21/01/18ABrescia70-88
13/01/18HSassari88-85
07/01/18AVenezia71-72
02/01/18HOlimpia Milano64-78
26/12/17ACantu73-92
17/12/17HAvellino78-83
09/12/17APistoia83-86
03/12/17HVarese74-71
19/11/17ATrento74-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Bologna
Lega A 2017-18
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW59%
HomeWWWWW78%
AwayLLWLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %59%78%38%
Points / game79.982.677.0
Allowed / game76.473.279.9
Point differential+3.6+9.3-2.9
Avg total156.3155.8156.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%33%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)33% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %6%0%12%
Pesaro
Lega A 2017-18
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL24%
HomeWLLWL33%
AwayLLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %24%33%12%
Points / game76.577.076.0
Allowed / game83.281.085.6
Point differential-6.6-4.0-9.6
Avg total159.7158.0161.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)60% (5)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brescia1713476%80.573.6+6.8
2 Avellino1712571%84.178.4+5.6
3 Olimpia Milano1712571%76.972.2+4.6
4 Venezia1712571%80.878.8+2.0
5 Virtus Bologna1710759%79.976.4+3.6
6 Torino1710759%80.480.0+0.4
7 Sassari179853%85.081.5+3.5
8 Cremona179853%83.281.2+2.0
9 Cantu179853%87.887.6+0.1
10 Reggiana1771041%76.377.4-1.1
11 Trento1771041%77.178.4-1.3
12 Varese1761135%76.475.1+1.3
13 Brindisi1761135%77.780.3-2.6
14 Pistoia1751229%74.980.5-5.6
15 Capo d'Orlando1751229%68.381.1-12.8
16 Pesaro1741324%76.583.2-6.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Virtus Bologna3021151985
Pesaro1220152067
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