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Pesaro vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 06 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 71-85
18-11 21-30 12-25 20-19
Position#10
Record3-2
FormWWLLW
Points / game91.6
Allowed / game88.0
vs
Position#1
Record4-1
FormWLLWL
Points / game76.6
Allowed / game71.2
ItalyLega ARound 6
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Pesaro v Olimpia Milano
21 Jan 2024
PES65
MIL85
20 May 2023
PES80
MIL94
18 May 2023
PES88
MIL83
06 Nov 2022
PES71
MIL85
16 Jan 2022
PES85
MIL82
25 Apr 2021
PES81
MIL88
08 Dec 2019
PES65
MIL71
28 Oct 2018
PES82
MIL97
02 Jan 2018
PES64
MIL78
30 Apr 2017
PES90
MIL79
23 Dec 2015
PES69
MIL66
23 Mar 2015
PES61
MIL84
16 Dec 2013
PES73
MIL94
10 Dec 2012
PES70
MIL72
04 Jun 2012
PES67
MIL73
02 Jun 2012
PES85
MIL77
15 Oct 2011
PES69
MIL66
15 May 2011
PES82
MIL71
29 Mar 2010
PES83
MIL77
12 Oct 2008
PES62
MIL67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pesaro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Venezia
#6
L
75-85
75
85
-10
52avg 73
H01/05
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#13
W
85-84 OT
85
84
+1
no box
A08/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
76-82
76
82
-6
69avg 73
A15/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
51-70
51
70
-19
43avg 73
A17/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
55-75
55
75
-20
no box
H19/05
Lega A
Trieste
#15
W
100-74
100
74
+26
102avg 73
A02/10
Lega A
Venezia
#6
W
90-89
90
89
+1
78avg 73
H08/10
Lega A
Tortona
#3
L
73-81
73
81
-8
60avg 73
A15/10
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#12
L
97-99 OT
97
99
-2
no box
H23/10
Lega A
Brescia
#8
W
98-97
98
97
+1
90avg 73
A29/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-22
17-23
22-22
16-18
15-18
21-16
20-22
15-15
22-24
14-21
18-17
22-20
13-12
12-19
13-16
13-23
19-21
16-14
10-24
10-16
27-18
20-26
25-16
28-14
26-18
25-19
24-28
15-24
14-24
15-23
26-17
18-17
26-20
23-22
22-22
16-23
22-26
29-20
26-27
21-24
163.6Avg total
80.0Scored
83.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)91.688.0179.6+3.660%
Season at home (2)93.594.0187.5-0.550%
Season away (3)90.384.0174.3+6.367%
Last 10 (10)80.083.6163.6-3.640%
Last 5 (5)91.688.0179.6+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)75.684.9160.6-9.336%
vs Similar (16)87.183.7170.8+3.469%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
69-62
69
62
+7
67avg 71
A06/10
Euroleague
Scafati
#11
W
75-66
75
66
+9
71avg 71
A09/10
Lega A
Alba Berlin
#17
L
74-80 OT
74
80
-6
no box
H14/10
Euroleague
Brindisi
#9
W
83-82
83
82
+1
72avg 71
H16/10
Lega A
Partizan
#6
W
80-75
80
75
+5
75avg 71
A18/10
Euroleague
Bayern
#16
W
83-81
83
81
+2
77avg 71
A20/10
Euroleague
Venezia
#6
L
69-77
69
77
-8
60avg 71
A23/10
Lega A
Barcelona
#3
L
56-74
56
74
-18
45avg 71
A28/10
Euroleague
Verona
#16
W
78-54
78
54
+24
79avg 71
H30/10
Lega A
Real Madrid
#2
L
77-83
77
83
-6
66avg 71
H03/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-23
27-21
15-10
13-8
33-25
22-15
14-12
6-14
12-26
18-12
21-22
19-10
27-21
19-16
23-29
14-16
17-27
24-22
21-12
18-14
16-22
21-21
26-23
20-15
21-16
15-21
18-23
15-17
21-21
8-22
12-18
15-13
23-6
18-21
19-16
18-11
20-23
30-24
11-20
16-16
147.8Avg total
74.4Scored
73.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)76.671.2147.8+5.480%
Season at home (3)79.771.0150.7+8.7100%
Season away (2)72.071.5143.5+0.550%
Last 10 (10)74.473.4147.8+1.060%
Last 5 (5)72.673.8146.4-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)71.077.3148.3-6.333%
vs Similar (10)75.674.2149.8+1.450%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)81.071.6152.6+9.488%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +2.0+2.0
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +2.0+2.0
PesaroOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#6
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H01/05
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#13
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A08/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A15/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
25-31
25
31
-6
A17/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H19/05
Lega A
Trieste
#15
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A02/10
Lega A
Venezia
#6
W
51-37
51
37
+14
H08/10
Lega A
Tortona
#3
L
29-47
29
47
-18
A15/10
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#12
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H23/10
Lega A
Brescia
#8
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A29/10
Lega A
80.2Avg total
39.6Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.841.181.9-0.247%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.441.383.7+1.143%-
Last 30 away (16)39.440.980.3-1.450%-
Last 10 (10)39.640.680.2-1.050%-
Last 5 (5)45.443.288.6+2.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)38.841.380.1-2.536%-
vs Similar (16)42.640.983.5+1.856%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A06/10
Euroleague
Scafati
#11
W
55-40
55
40
+15
A09/10
Lega A
Alba Berlin
#17
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H14/10
Euroleague
Brindisi
#9
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H16/10
Lega A
Partizan
#6
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A18/10
Euroleague
Bayern
#16
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A20/10
Euroleague
Venezia
#6
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A23/10
Lega A
Barcelona
#3
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A28/10
Euroleague
Verona
#16
W
41-27
41
27
+14
H30/10
Lega A
Real Madrid
#2
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H03/11
Euroleague
81.1Avg total
40.6Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.538.178.6+2.457%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.138.281.3+4.971%-
Last 30 away (16)38.338.076.3+0.344%-
Last 10 (10)40.640.581.1+0.140%-
Last 5 (5)38.639.478.0-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)40.046.386.3-6.333%-
vs Similar (10)37.938.876.7-0.950%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)43.237.180.3+6.162%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 76.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.518.7
47.3%
51.3%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.19.6
38.2%
36.4%28.8
🏀 Free throws14.610.6
72.6%
76.1%10.6
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 73.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.717.6
48.0%
51.3%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.18.4
36.4%
36.4%25.2
🏀 Free throws16.213.3
82.1%
76.1%13.3
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Nov 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pesaro
WLLWWLLLWL
Olimpia Milano
LWLLWWWLWW
#10
League position
#1
-7.6
Net rating
+1.7
106.0
Offensive rating
104.1
113.6
Defensive rating
102.4
51.2%
Effective FG%
50.5%
54.0%
Opp. effective FG%
49.4%
17.2%
Turnover %
18.1%
29.3%
Off. rebound %
26.5%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.27
38.2%
3-point %
36.4%
53.7%
Assist %
61.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence106.0 · 104.1Defence113.6 · 102.4Shooting51.2% · 50.5%3-point %38.2% · 36.4%Ball care17.2% · 18.1%Off. rebounds29.3% · 26.5%Free throws0.23 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Pesaro   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Pesaro wins
8
Olimpia Milano wins
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/22ABrescia98-97
23/10/22HBasket Napoli97-99 OT
15/10/22ATortona73-81
08/10/22HVenezia90-89
02/10/22ATrieste100-74
19/05/22HVirtus Bologna55-75
17/05/22AVirtus Bologna51-70
15/05/22AVirtus Bologna76-82
08/05/22ABasket Napoli85-84 OT
01/05/22HVenezia75-85
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/22HReal Madrid77-83
30/10/22HVerona78-54
28/10/22ABarcelona56-74
23/10/22AVenezia69-77
20/10/22ABayern83-81
18/10/22APartizan80-75
16/10/22HBrindisi83-82
14/10/22HAlba Berlin74-80 OT
09/10/22AScafati75-66
06/10/22ALyon-Villeurbanne69-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pesaro
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW60%
HomeWL50%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %60%50%67%
Points / game91.693.590.3
Allowed / game88.094.084.0
Point differential+3.6-0.5+6.3
Avg total179.6187.5174.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %20%50%0%
Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW80%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %80%100%50%
Points / game76.679.772.0
Allowed / game71.271.071.5
Point differential+5.4+8.7+0.5
Avg total147.8150.7143.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna550100%86.071.4+14.6
2 Tortona550100%77.064.6+12.4
3 Olimpia Milano54180%76.671.2+5.4
4 Varese64267%89.387.0+2.3
5 Venezia53260%80.476.6+3.8
6 Pesaro53260%91.688.0+3.6
7 Trento53260%76.274.6+1.6
8 Reggiana52340%75.471.8+3.6
9 Sassari52340%80.679.0+1.6
10 Brindisi52340%83.285.2-2.0
11 Basket Napoli52340%82.285.0-2.8
12 Brescia62433%86.286.8-0.7
13 Treviso62433%74.881.8-7.0
14 Trieste51420%77.492.0-14.6
15 Verona51420%76.090.6-14.6
16 Scafati61517%78.283.3-5.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pesaro1821122071
Olimpia Milano1130251985
← all games of the day
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