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Pesaro vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 May 2023
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 80-94
17-34 23-21 14-16 26-23
Position#10
Record15-18
FormLWLLW
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game87.2
vs
Position#1
Record25-8
FormWWWWL
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game72.8
ItalyLega ALega A - Quarter-finals
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Pesaro v Olimpia Milano
21 Jan 2024
PES65
MIL85
20 May 2023
PES80
MIL94
18 May 2023
PES88
MIL83
06 Nov 2022
PES71
MIL85
16 Jan 2022
PES85
MIL82
25 Apr 2021
PES81
MIL88
08 Dec 2019
PES65
MIL71
28 Oct 2018
PES82
MIL97
02 Jan 2018
PES64
MIL78
30 Apr 2017
PES90
MIL79
23 Dec 2015
PES69
MIL66
23 Mar 2015
PES61
MIL84
16 Dec 2013
PES73
MIL94
10 Dec 2012
PES70
MIL72
04 Jun 2012
PES67
MIL73
02 Jun 2012
PES85
MIL77
15 Oct 2011
PES69
MIL66
15 May 2011
PES82
MIL71
29 Mar 2010
PES83
MIL77
12 Oct 2008
PES62
MIL67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pesaro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Trento
#7
L
70-84
70
84
-14
64avg 74
H02/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
70-102
70
102
-32
61avg 74
A09/04
Lega A
Scafati
#11
L
79-86
79
86
-7
68avg 74
H16/04
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
82-96
82
96
-14
75avg 74
A19/04
Lega A
Trieste
#15
W
94-83
94
83
+11
90avg 74
H23/04
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#12
L
87-98
87
98
-11
78avg 74
A29/04
Lega A
Tortona
#3
W
82-78
82
78
+4
no box
H07/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
68-94
68
94
-26
56avg 74
A13/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
57-86
57
86
-29
44avg 74
A15/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
88-83
88
83
+5
83avg 74
H18/05
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-20
17-24
19-20
18-20
22-19
9-31
27-30
12-22
18-15
19-16
19-22
23-33
20-27
25-16
26-26
11-27
22-21
24-19
18-23
30-20
27-30
23-22
23-21
14-25
20-14
30-21
13-24
19-19
16-26
17-28
23-24
12-16
15-27
11-17
18-30
13-12
22-24
14-18
25-24
27-17
166.7Avg total
77.7Scored
89.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)83.287.2170.3-4.045%
Season at home (16)84.783.8168.4+0.962%
Season away (17)81.790.4172.1-8.629%
Last 10 (10)77.789.0166.7-11.330%
Last 5 (5)76.487.8164.2-11.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)79.088.9167.9-9.935%
vs Similar (12)83.383.2166.6+0.150%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#10
W
102-70
102
70
+32
100avg 75
H09/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#14
L
84-89
84
89
-5
83avg 75
A13/04
Euroleague
Verona
#16
W
83-61
83
61
+22
72avg 75
A16/04
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#12
W
88-76
88
76
+12
85avg 75
H19/04
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
92-78
92
78
+14
83avg 75
H23/04
Lega A
Tortona
#3
W
77-75
77
75
+2
79avg 75
A30/04
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
79-67
79
67
+12
60avg 75
H07/05
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
W
94-68
94
68
+26
94avg 75
H13/05
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
W
86-57
86
57
+29
89avg 75
H15/05
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
L
83-88
83
88
-5
75avg 75
A18/05
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-22
31-9
30-27
22-12
26-22
21-17
21-26
16-24
24-8
15-16
21-20
23-17
24-17
20-18
25-14
19-27
14-21
19-12
27-18
32-27
25-24
17-22
17-11
18-18
9-18
23-16
23-14
24-19
26-16
28-17
24-23
16-12
27-15
17-11
30-18
12-13
24-22
18-14
24-25
17-27
159.7Avg total
86.8Scored
72.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)83.272.8156.0+10.376%
Season at home (17)84.971.5156.4+13.488%
Season away (16)81.374.2155.6+7.162%
Last 10 (10)86.872.9159.7+13.980%
Last 5 (5)83.871.0154.8+12.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)79.577.9157.4+1.662%
vs Similar (6)82.077.7159.7+4.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)84.772.8157.5+11.980%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +5.7+5.7Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: +4.6+4.6Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: +0.3+0.3
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +5.7+5.7Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: +4.6+4.6Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: +0.3+0.3
PesaroOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#7
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H02/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
31-50
31
50
-19
A09/04
Lega A
Scafati
#11
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H16/04
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A19/04
Lega A
Trieste
#15
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H23/04
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#12
L
50-52
50
52
-2
A29/04
Lega A
Tortona
#3
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H07/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
33-54
33
54
-21
A13/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
26-44
26
44
-18
A15/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H18/05
Lega A
82.2Avg total
38.7Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.242.382.5-2.147%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.538.879.3+1.767%-
Last 30 away (15)39.945.985.8-5.927%-
Last 10 (10)38.743.582.2-4.840%-
Last 5 (5)39.045.484.4-6.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)39.144.283.2-5.129%-
vs Similar (12)41.540.381.8+1.267%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#10
W
50-31
50
31
+19
H09/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#14
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A13/04
Euroleague
Verona
#16
W
39-24
39
24
+15
A16/04
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#12
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H19/04
Lega A
Treviso
#13
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H23/04
Lega A
Tortona
#3
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A30/04
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H07/05
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
W
54-33
54
33
+21
H13/05
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
W
44-26
44
26
+18
H15/05
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A18/05
Lega A
76.4Avg total
42.7Scored
33.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.437.277.6+3.260%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.734.975.6+5.876%-
Last 30 away (13)39.940.280.1-0.238%-
Last 10 (10)42.733.776.4+9.070%-
Last 5 (5)42.835.077.8+7.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)36.138.574.6-2.462%-
vs Similar (6)42.739.582.2+3.267%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)42.535.177.5+7.460%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 76.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.718.8
52.7%
51.3%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.49.2
37.7%
36.4%27.6
🏀 Free throws15.811.7
74.1%
76.1%11.7
They take 60.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 86.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.618.4
58.2%
51.3%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.211.5
40.8%
36.4%34.5
🏀 Free throws18.415.3
83.2%
76.1%15.3
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 May 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pesaro
WLLWLWLLLL
Olimpia Milano
LWWWWWWWLW
#10
League position
#1
-16.1
Net rating
+20.0
107.5
Offensive rating
121.9
123.6
Defensive rating
101.9
54.2%
Effective FG%
59.6%
61.1%
Opp. effective FG%
51.5%
17.5%
Turnover %
16.9%
24.5%
Off. rebound %
30.0%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.31
37.7%
3-point %
40.8%
53.2%
Assist %
55.9%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence107.5 · 121.9Defence123.6 · 101.9Shooting54.2% · 59.6%3-point %37.7% · 40.8%Ball care17.5% · 16.9%Off. rebounds24.5% · 30.0%Free throws0.26 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)30% · 80%
■ Pesaro   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Pesaro wins
8
Olimpia Milano wins
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/05/23HOlimpia Milano88-83
15/05/23AOlimpia Milano57-86
13/05/23AOlimpia Milano68-94
07/05/23HTortona82-78
29/04/23ABasket Napoli87-98
23/04/23HTrieste94-83
19/04/23ATreviso82-96
16/04/23HScafati79-86
09/04/23AOlimpia Milano70-102
02/04/23HTrento70-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/05/23APesaro83-88
15/05/23HPesaro86-57
13/05/23HPesaro94-68
07/05/23HSassari79-67
30/04/23ATortona77-75
23/04/23HTreviso92-78
19/04/23HBasket Napoli88-76
16/04/23AVerona83-61
13/04/23AVirtus Bologna84-89
09/04/23HPesaro102-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pesaro
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW45%
HomeLLWWW62%
AwayLLLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331617
Win %45%62%29%
Points / game83.284.781.7
Allowed / game87.283.890.4
Point differential-4.0+0.9-8.6
Avg total170.3168.4172.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%19%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)67% (6)67% (3)
Overtime %6%12%0%
Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL76%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayWLWWL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331716
Win %76%88%62%
Points / game83.284.981.3
Allowed / game72.871.574.2
Point differential+10.3+13.4+7.1
Avg total156.0156.4155.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%71%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)67% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna3326779%86.578.5+8.0
2 Olimpia Milano3325876%83.272.8+10.3
3 Tortona33201361%80.278.0+2.2
4 Sassari33191458%83.979.4+4.6
5 Varese30171357%90.990.7+0.1
6 Venezia33181555%82.380.1+2.2
7 Trento33161748%76.578.0-1.5
8 Brescia30141647%82.580.9+1.6
9 Brindisi33151845%83.483.6-0.2
10 Pesaro33151845%83.287.2-4.0
11 Scafati30121840%79.380.5-1.2
12 Basket Napoli30121840%79.383.8-4.5
13 Treviso30121840%81.187.0-5.9
14 Reggiana30111937%76.277.1-0.8
15 Trieste30111937%78.284.0-5.8
16 Verona3092130%78.485.7-7.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pesaro1723142680
Olimpia Milano3421162394
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